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2012 Republican Primaries: MS and AL | Learning to say Y'all and loving Grits

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RustyNails

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Tonight, MS and AL voters go to polls and decide the winner between Romney, Santorum, Gingrich and Paul. Exit polls showing a tight race.

Delegates at stake

Mississippi : 37
Alabama : 50

The race so far:

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In my experience, www.cnn.com has the latest polling updates due to their sci-fi wizardry that John King loves to play around with.

Alabama Outlook
Outlook: Polls have shown Romney, Gingrich and Santorum all hovering around 30%, well within the sampling error. Which voters turn out will be a key, with Romney aiming to get the majority of moderate Republicans and hoping that Santorum and Gingrich split the votes of those who described themselves to pollsters as “very conservative.”
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Miss. Outlook
An automated Public Policy Poll completed over the weekend showed Gingrich with a slight lead at 33%, but closely followed by Romney at 31% and Santorum at 27%. Just like in Alabama, whichever candidate does the best job of motivating his supporters could win.
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Source

As usual, PoliGAF 2012 Megathread is here
 
I'm too surprised, everyone around here has been spouting off about Santorum, and gingrich signs have been getting stolen every day in my neighborhood :lol.

I'm just hoping Gingrich gets knocked out, i'm tired of seeing him around.
 
According to Wiki there's caucuses in Hawaii and American Samoa tonight as well. I haven't seen any polling for them though, or anything about how many delegates are at stake.
 
lj167 said:
According to Wiki there's caucuses in Hawaii and American Samoa tonight as well. I haven't seen any polling for them though, or anything about how many delegates are at stake.
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Their polls don't close for another 2-3 hours i think.
 
Interested to see if Santorum manages to out-perform those exit polls.

And lol CNN focusing on prisoners working in Alabama.
 
I so wish Gingrich dropped out or joined with Santorum. Make this primary really go down to the wire.
 
At this point I'm just hoping that Mitt Romney doesn't get the delegates he needs to be the nominee. Optimally I want Santorum to win both contests, suboptimally I'd be happy if Santorum and Gingrich both win one, further suboptimally I'd be okay with Gingrich winning both, and it'd be a bad night if Romney wins both.
 
Ecotic said:
At this point I'm just hoping that Mitt Romney doesn't get the delegates he needs to be the nominee. Optimally I want Santorum to win both contests, suboptimally I'd be happy if Santorum and Gingrich both win one, further suboptimally I'd be okay with Gingrich winning both, and it'd be a bad night if Romney wins both.
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I would say Romney has a decent chance in Miss. since turnout was low and only his campaign as GOTV effort going on.
 
Ecotic said:
At this point I'm just hoping that Mitt Romney doesn't get the delegates he needs to be the nominee. Optimally I want Santorum to win both contests, suboptimally I'd be happy if Santorum and Gingrich both win one, further suboptimally I'd be okay with Gingrich winning both, and it'd be a bad night if Romney wins both.
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But that means Paul can put his delegate plan to steal the nomination into action!
 
Ecotic said:
At this point I'm just hoping that Mitt Romney doesn't get the delegates he needs to be the nominee. Optimally I want Santorum to win both contests, suboptimally I'd be happy if Santorum and Gingrich both win one, further suboptimally I'd be okay with Gingrich winning both, and it'd be a bad night if Romney wins both.
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I really want this to be over, Santorum needs to disappear and the closer he gets only emboldens the big neo-cons. I don't have faith in the national electorate not to elect him.

All in all I'd say the only big loser tonight will be Gingrich if he doesn't win either. Romney will be seen as having a good night even if he loses both, but makes a good stand, long as he gets around 30%. Santorum really has nothing to lose tonight.
 
CaptYamato said:
How in the fuck is Romney winning Miss? Ginbitch taking Santocum's votes?
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i love these nicknames.


question? when romney wins, how will obama not completely DESTROY his ass in debates? there is soo much material to attack romney on, which romney will obama call out? lol
 
nick nacc said:
i love these nicknames.


question? when romney wins, how will obama not completely DESTROY his ass in debates? there is soo much material to attack romney on, which romney will obama call out? lol
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Yes the campaign ads and the debates will be a sight, the GOP tends to shy away from his flip flops but Obama is surely gluing to highlight them
 
nick nacc said:
i love these nicknames.


question? when romney wins, how will obama not completely DESTROY his ass in debates? there is soo much material to attack romney on, which romney will obama call out? lol
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Because the economy is shit and Obama isn't the greatest debater? Romney won't have a problem at the debates
 
Why do Santorum and Gingrich want the other to quit the race? All they need to do is deny Romney > 50% of the delegates and it will go to the convention and one of them will win. It's easier to do that if both of them are in the race than if it's just a one on one match (ignoring Paul of course).
 
Synth_floyd said:
Why do Santorum and Gingrich want the other to quit the race? All they need to do is deny Romney > 50% of the delegates and it will go to the convention and one of them will win. It's easier to do that if both of them are in the race than if it's just a one on one match (ignoring Paul of course).
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Romney is going to win regardless. He has the best chance of beating Obama and the Republicans know that.
 
Synth_floyd said:
Why do Santorum and Gingrich want the other to quit the race? All they need to do is deny Romney > 50% of the delegates and it will go to the convention and one of them will win. It's easier to do that if both of them are in the race than if it's just a one on one match (ignoring Paul of course).
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Yeah, I was thinking about this the other day . . . if one drops out, it might make it more likely for Romney to win. Depending on how the delegates are split, it might be better to keep Romney from ever getting big wins.
 
Weird how Mitt goes from barely winning in Ohio after dumping so much money in the state and Santorum completely imploding on himself to being competitive in three races that are unequivocally hostile territory.

The dynamics of this election are bizarre.
 
Synth_floyd said:
Why do Santorum and Gingrich want the other to quit the race? All they need to do is deny Romney > 50% of the delegates and it will go to the convention and one of them will win. It's easier to do that if both of them are in the race than if it's just a one on one match (ignoring Paul of course).
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Because a brokered convention candidate has zero chance of winning, and if they go against the will of the people (Romney, who will be in the delegate lead), they'll be a laughingstock.
 
Actually it would be better for one of them to quit if it's a winner take all state, but for the proportional states then it's better for both of them to stay in. Hmm
 
Mike M said:
Weird how Mitt goes from barely winning in Ohio after dumping so much money in the state and Santorum completely imploding on himself to being competitive in three races that are unequivocally hostile territory.

The dynamics of this election are bizarre.
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Yep. This zany primary destroyed every preconceived notion of GOP primaries.

Based John King is saying Miss turnout is really low
 
Wonder if there's a sort-of "Bradley effect" with Santorum where voters say one thing with Pollsters/Exit-pollsters and do another thing when they actually vote, because this happens almost every time with him.

I think there really may be something to it. I was wondering why he wasn't performing stronger in these states since they match-up demographically with who has been voting for him so far. Just look at his performance in Kansas and other SE states
 
Any idea which counties in MS are the big population centers? I know the Gulfport/Biloxi area, Hattiesburg and metro Jackson are the major population centers, but no clue on what counties that covers.
 
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