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The Official Presidential Polling Thread (ALL presidential polling data goes here)
- Thread starter Incognito
- Start date
- Status
ronito said:
Proof that people born in or before 1915 are running close to their expiration date. :lol
Triumph Dolomite 1300cc said:
Err? The Chicago Boys were all from Chile. They came to the US to learn ecomomics, most of them at the Univ. of Chicago where the zomg most brilliant economist evar learned them good. They went back and teh result was "teh Miracle of Chile." All was puppies and sunshine, and they all lived happily ever after. The End.
So you're saying that the CIA had NOTHING to do with the coup and putting those bozos down there? Also, it's funny to me that people will point to Chile as a triumph of open market, crazy ass golden straight jacket economics. The country was actually going into the shitter until they started enacting some reforms that looked suspiciously like socialism...JayDubya said:
For my little prettyheads...
11/10-11
McCain (R) 49
Vilsack (D) 32
Romney (R) 35
Vilsack (D) 39
11/26-27
McCain (R) 48
Clinton (D) 44
Giuliani (R) 48
Clinton (D) 43
11/28-29
Gingrich (R) 41
Clinton (D) 50
Gingrich (R) 38
Obama (D) 48
11/30-12/1
McCain (R) 53
Kerry (D) 36
Giuliani (R) 51
Kerry (D) 37
12/2-3
Gingrich (R) 38
Kerry (D) 47
Gingrich (R) 36
Gore (D) 52
12/6:
Romney (R) 40
Clinton (D) 48
Romney (R) 39
Gore (D) 48
12/10-11
Giuliani (R) 51
Bayh (D) 34
McCain (R) 52
Bayh (D) 32
11/10-11
McCain (R) 49
Vilsack (D) 32
Romney (R) 35
Vilsack (D) 39
11/26-27
McCain (R) 48
Clinton (D) 44
Giuliani (R) 48
Clinton (D) 43
11/28-29
Gingrich (R) 41
Clinton (D) 50
Gingrich (R) 38
Obama (D) 48
11/30-12/1
McCain (R) 53
Kerry (D) 36
Giuliani (R) 51
Kerry (D) 37
12/2-3
Gingrich (R) 38
Kerry (D) 47
Gingrich (R) 36
Gore (D) 52
12/6:
Romney (R) 40
Clinton (D) 48
Romney (R) 39
Gore (D) 48
12/10-11
Giuliani (R) 51
Bayh (D) 34
McCain (R) 52
Bayh (D) 32
evil solrac v3.0
Member
siamesedreamer said:
governor of kansas i believe. a good moderate. supports education (specaially art programs so he getsa gold star in my book) he'd be a good choice.
Fragamemnon
Member
I don't like Huckabee. I don't like conservatives as elected members of a government that represents me as a rule, though. He does have a lot of things that would make him palatable in both the primary and the general election for the GOP, and is probably a decent choice given the incredible baggage of most of the other big-name candidates.
Rassmussen needs to poll Edwards. His really sharpened up his game a notch and has been working the early primary states like crazy.
Rassmussen needs to poll Edwards. His really sharpened up his game a notch and has been working the early primary states like crazy.
Corwood Rep
Member
Milton Friedman was awesome btw
And I'm betting it was less Godlessness that killed him than it was being 94.
And I'm betting it was less Godlessness that killed him than it was being 94.
Corwood Rep
Member
Triumph Dolomite 1300cc said:
**** you
Triumph Dolomite 1300cc said:
Not in the least. Old Milty with his non-aggression principle is responsible for destruction. Riiiiight.
Let's either stop this, or make a split thread. No matter how much you consider him to be like Galactus, Milton has nothing to do with Presidential Polling.
Well, at the very least I'm pretty sure he's Thomas Friedman's dad, and he also killed Princess Di.JayDubya said:
On a serious tip, I respect Friedman for what he did re: the draft and his positions on prostitution and drugs. But come on now, looking back at what happened after a lot of his ideas were implemented here and the UK in the 80's can you really tell me that he was right? Yeah, YOU probably can, but I don't expect someone looking at it rationally to do the same.
Some stuff to chew on.
Al Gore's son sez Dad isn't running in 2008:
And from the Prince of Darkness, on McCain, Inc.:
More at link.
Al Gore's son sez Dad isn't running in 2008:
And from the Prince of Darkness, on McCain, Inc.:
More at link.
Reeling from Diablos' stunning kiss of death, potential nominee Evan Bayh has stepped out of the race.
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,236821,00.html
Great candidate on paper ... but apparantly is a little too boring/bland to make a serious run.
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,236821,00.html
Great candidate on paper ... but apparantly is a little too boring/bland to make a serious run.
First thing I thought of when he dropped out, "Damn, wasn't Diablos pimping him hard?" :lol :lol :lol :lol And, yeah, he's a terrible, boring, monotone speaker and even less charismatic than Kerry. What really chaps my ass is the fact that he raised $11 million for this ill-fated adventure and didn't dole out ONE DAMN DIME to any Democratic cause for the 2006 midterms. Meanwhile, from Senator Kerry(18+ million) to Rep. Barney Frank(300k) to countless others, Democrats were doing everything they could to help out their colleagues. Bayh didn't do jack shit and he must have known that would have bit him in the ass, too. Penny-pinching dipshit... he can go back to being a true conservative Democrat, now.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/16239360/
Yesssssss.
Former Democratic vice presidential nominee John Edwards intends to enter the 2008 race for the White House, two Democratic officials said Saturday.
Edwards, who represented North Carolina in the Senate for six years, plans to make the campaign announcement late this month from the New Orleans neighborhood hit hardest by Hurricane Katrina last year and slow to recover from the storm.
The officials spoke on condition of anonymity because they did not want to pre-empt Edwards announcement.lol)
Yesssssss.
http://www.crooksandliars.com/2006/...ey-trying-to-protect-the-st-mccain-narrative/
Newsweek runs a cover story asking if America is ready for Clinton or Obama, but decides to cut their own polling data from the article showing Clinton leading, and Obama behind by low single-digits against the Republican front-runners, presumably because the data didn't match the narrative of their story.
Nice one, Newsweek.
Newsweek runs a cover story asking if America is ready for Clinton or Obama, but decides to cut their own polling data from the article showing Clinton leading, and Obama behind by low single-digits against the Republican front-runners, presumably because the data didn't match the narrative of their story.
Nice one, Newsweek.
Cute.ToxicAdam said:
I'm not really upset, but I do like Evan Bayh -- he's too moderate for me personally, but I'd still take him over anyone representing the GOP, and I'm pretty desperate to see just about any Democrat (unless they're some nutcase like Zell Miller) win. This country likes moderates, and he is just that. Incognito, I won't argue your point about what Bayh didn't do for his own party when they could have used his help, as I've noticed that as well. But I do disagree when you say he has no charisma.
Fragamemnon
Member
Bayh is a good speaker and has charisma. His problem is that he doesn't have the whole package together already and it looks like the big three-Clinton, Obama, and the NotClintonOrObama (presumably Edwards) pretty much have all their ducks in a row and the first pick for staff and donors. This primary has some heavy hitters from the get-go and the smaller-profile types are worried about getting run over before the whole thing starts.
If you feel like replying to this: http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=138583
Do it here I guess. I have a gut feeling Romeny will beat McCain. Romeny is being backed by Jeb Bush now, Bush family support is very important in the GOP primaries.
Do it here I guess. I have a gut feeling Romeny will beat McCain. Romeny is being backed by Jeb Bush now, Bush family support is very important in the GOP primaries.
http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/01/24/2008-kerry-not-running/
2008: Kerry Not Running
By Adam Nagourney
In these days when everyone and their brother seems to be running for president, someone today decided that he was not: Senator John Kerry, the Massachusetts Democrat who lost to President Bush in 2004.
The news was relayed by a Democratic official in anticipation of an announcement later today.
Mr. Kerry had made clear after his narrow loss that he wanted to run again, and had spent much of the past two years traveling the country, trying to build support. But Democrats had seen his chances as increasingly remote. For one thing, he was up against what is emerging as one of the strongest Democratic fields in years. For another, much of his former supporters had made clear they would not join him again and were moving on to other candidates.
The final blow, many Democrats say, came during the last campaign when Mr. Kerry told what he said was a botched joke that Republicans seized on to try say Mr. Kerry, himself a veteran of the war in Vietnam, was insulting the troops in Iraq. The remarks produced a storm of controversy and left some Democrats even those who thought Mr. Kerrys statement was being unfairly reported angered at a Democrat who had a history as a candidate of making politically damaging remarks.
A Democrat familiar with Mr. Kerrys decision said that the Massachusetts senator had instead decided to run for re-election and to organize grassroots opposition to the war in Iraq.
2008: Kerry Not Running
By Adam Nagourney
In these days when everyone and their brother seems to be running for president, someone today decided that he was not: Senator John Kerry, the Massachusetts Democrat who lost to President Bush in 2004.
The news was relayed by a Democratic official in anticipation of an announcement later today.
Mr. Kerry had made clear after his narrow loss that he wanted to run again, and had spent much of the past two years traveling the country, trying to build support. But Democrats had seen his chances as increasingly remote. For one thing, he was up against what is emerging as one of the strongest Democratic fields in years. For another, much of his former supporters had made clear they would not join him again and were moving on to other candidates.
The final blow, many Democrats say, came during the last campaign when Mr. Kerry told what he said was a botched joke that Republicans seized on to try say Mr. Kerry, himself a veteran of the war in Vietnam, was insulting the troops in Iraq. The remarks produced a storm of controversy and left some Democrats even those who thought Mr. Kerrys statement was being unfairly reported angered at a Democrat who had a history as a candidate of making politically damaging remarks.
A Democrat familiar with Mr. Kerrys decision said that the Massachusetts senator had instead decided to run for re-election and to organize grassroots opposition to the war in Iraq.
TIME: Hillary Clinton Way Ahead In Democratic Poll
The Democratic party clearly has a front-runner for the 2008 nomination, since a new TIME poll fits into some earlier findings and now its an early trend:
Hillary Clinton is the clear front-runner to win the Democratic partys nomination for President in 2008, but the Republican race will be a close contest between Senator John McCain and former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani with McCain edging Giuliani by a three- to four-point margin. And a presidential face-off between Clinton and McCain, right now, would be close to a dead heat. Those are some of the key findings of a new TIME poll earlier this week that canvassed a random sample of 1,064 registered voters by phone.
Despite the buzz generated by Senator Barack Obama entering the race, the survey found that Senator Clinton would beat him for the Democratic nomination by a margin of 40% to 21%. Senator John Edwards is a distant third with 11%. Obama clearly suffers a disadvantage in profile among likely voters, with only 51% indicating that they knew enough about him to form an opinion, compared with 94% saying the same of Hillary Clinton. In Obamas favor, however, is his far lower negative ratings. While 58% of voters familiar with Hillary Clinton have a positive view of her, 41% give her negative marks, for a net favorability score of +17. By contrast, Obamas net favorability score is +47. On the Republican side, Giuliani has a net favorability rating of +68, with only 14% having a negative view of him. McCains net favorability score is +45.
McCain, however, holds a narrow lead of 30% to 26% over Giuliani for the GOP nomination. A race between McCain and Clinton would be a virtual tie (47%-47%), according to the poll, while McCain would beat either Obama or Senator John Edwards by a 7-point margin.
TIME notes that it isnt clear sailing for Ms. Clinton. Her popularity doesnt translate across party lines, as Giulianis or McCains does. In other words: she starts the race as clear Democratic favorite but has to work on smoothing out perceptions of her that cause her to remain a polarizing figure (her appealing and accessible website announcement was an excellent start). This can be done but like McCain, shes going to have to adroitly walk a shaky political tightrope within her own party to sew up the nomination.
The Democratic party clearly has a front-runner for the 2008 nomination, since a new TIME poll fits into some earlier findings and now its an early trend:
Hillary Clinton is the clear front-runner to win the Democratic partys nomination for President in 2008, but the Republican race will be a close contest between Senator John McCain and former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani with McCain edging Giuliani by a three- to four-point margin. And a presidential face-off between Clinton and McCain, right now, would be close to a dead heat. Those are some of the key findings of a new TIME poll earlier this week that canvassed a random sample of 1,064 registered voters by phone.
Despite the buzz generated by Senator Barack Obama entering the race, the survey found that Senator Clinton would beat him for the Democratic nomination by a margin of 40% to 21%. Senator John Edwards is a distant third with 11%. Obama clearly suffers a disadvantage in profile among likely voters, with only 51% indicating that they knew enough about him to form an opinion, compared with 94% saying the same of Hillary Clinton. In Obamas favor, however, is his far lower negative ratings. While 58% of voters familiar with Hillary Clinton have a positive view of her, 41% give her negative marks, for a net favorability score of +17. By contrast, Obamas net favorability score is +47. On the Republican side, Giuliani has a net favorability rating of +68, with only 14% having a negative view of him. McCains net favorability score is +45.
McCain, however, holds a narrow lead of 30% to 26% over Giuliani for the GOP nomination. A race between McCain and Clinton would be a virtual tie (47%-47%), according to the poll, while McCain would beat either Obama or Senator John Edwards by a 7-point margin.
TIME notes that it isnt clear sailing for Ms. Clinton. Her popularity doesnt translate across party lines, as Giulianis or McCains does. In other words: she starts the race as clear Democratic favorite but has to work on smoothing out perceptions of her that cause her to remain a polarizing figure (her appealing and accessible website announcement was an excellent start). This can be done but like McCain, shes going to have to adroitly walk a shaky political tightrope within her own party to sew up the nomination.
look at the extra data on pollsronito said:
6% of democrats say they dont know who hillary is/dont know enough about hillary
49% of democrats say they dont know who obama is/dont know enough about obama
Remember only one time in the last 50 years has a front runner won a open democratic primary
siamesedreamer
Banned
Hillary lagging in Iowa
They were talking last night on CNN that they think the DEM nominee will be known by 2/5 next year. I guess that means losing a state like Iowa early could be disastrous.
They were talking last night on CNN that they think the DEM nominee will be known by 2/5 next year. I guess that means losing a state like Iowa early could be disastrous.
These poll numbers prove one thing. No republican can win in 2008 if the war is going on.
The distance between hillary and mccain continues to grow....
This month:
Hillary: 50%
McCain: 44%
Last month:
Hillary: 48%
McCain: 47%
same story for Obama:
this month:
Obama: 48%
McCain: 42%
last month:
Obama: 46%
McCain: 44%
The distance between hillary and mccain continues to grow....
This month:
Hillary: 50%
McCain: 44%
Last month:
Hillary: 48%
McCain: 47%
same story for Obama:
this month:
Obama: 48%
McCain: 42%
last month:
Obama: 46%
McCain: 44%
siamesedreamer
Banned
New SurveyUSA poll on New Hampshire for WBZ-TV Boston:
Republicans
Giuliani 33
McCain 32
Romney 21
Other 11
Undecided 3
Republicans
Giuliani 33
McCain 32
Romney 21
Other 11
Undecided 3
siamesedreamer
Banned
Gallup Today:
Hillary 55%
Edwards 16%
Obama 13%
Obama leads Hillary in likability 41% to 31%.........
Hillary 55%
Edwards 16%
Obama 13%
Obama leads Hillary in likability 41% to 31%.........
reggieandTFE
Member
Cyan said:
Most Americans don't read national newspapers, news magazines, or watch CNN and still have no idea who Obama, hard though it is to believe. Personally, I'm still pulling for Edwards.
http://www.pollingreport.com/wh08rep.htm
Wow. He's dramatically cratering in each of the polls. Looks like the straight-talk express might be derailing.
Wow. He's dramatically cratering in each of the polls. Looks like the straight-talk express might be derailing.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/27/AR2007022701030_pf.html
Blacks Shift To Obama, Poll Finds
I think it's hilarious that Al Gore (a non-committed candidate) is beating poor John Edwards.
Obama's only shot is to keep him in the race as long as possible.
Blacks Shift To Obama, Poll Finds
I think it's hilarious that Al Gore (a non-committed candidate) is beating poor John Edwards.
Obama's only shot is to keep him in the race as long as possible.
siamesedreamer
Banned
South Carolina straw poll results:
Giuliani
Hunter
McCain
Romney
Brownback
I'll wait for an official link that shows the percentages.......
Giuliani
Hunter
McCain
Romney
Brownback
I'll wait for an official link that shows the percentages.......
siamesedreamer
Banned
WrathOfOtaibah
Banned
The lack of Obama domination is disturbing. Now he is getting outpaced by that POS John Edwards? ****ing Christ.
siamesedreamer
Banned
The Experiment said:
In GA?......
What are you smoking?
Could things be any worse for George W. Bush and his beleaguered party? In the new TIME poll, the President's job approval rating continues to wallow near his all-time lows, at 33%, while his disapproval rating breaks the 60% barrier for the third consecutive survey. On Iraq, meanwhile, just 38% of respondents think the U.S. was right to invade, and only 37% believe "the new Iraqi government will be able to build a stable and reasonably Democratic society." Given a choice of policy options going forward, 68% endorse proposals to withdraw most combat troops, either within a year or no later than August 31, 2008, while just 28% say troops should stay in the country "as long as needed until the Iraqis can handle the situation themselves."
And then there's the burgeoning scandal stemming from the Justice Department's dismissal last year of eight U.S. attorneys. Forty-eight percent of respondents say the federal prosecutors were fired because they "refused to be pressured by politics," compared to just 22% who believe they were dismissed "for proper reasons." By a 55-33% margin, Americans believe Bush is refusing to allow top aide Karl Rove and other White House aides to testify under oath "because he's trying to cover up the reasons for the firings" , not because he "wants to preserve the Constitution's separation of powers." A slight plurality, 39-36%, believe Attorney General Alberto Gonzales should resign.
So it's taken almost as a given among the professional political class that the 2008 presidential election is the Democrats' to lose. Republicans are so morose in general, and conservatives so unhappy with their current field of candidates, that the assumption of a Democratic advantage has become bi-partisan. And with the public so soured on the Republican in the White House, and so many other trends working against them, including an up-tick in the percentage of Americans identifying themselves as Democrats , it's hard to find any good news for Republicans these days. So why, in poll after poll, including the new TIME poll, does that advantage seem to disappear whenever voters are asked to pick a president in hypothetical head-to-head match-ups among front-runners with solid name recognition. In our poll, Hillary Clinton loses to John McCain, 42-48%, and to Rudy Giuliani 41-50%. Even though Clinton maintains a 7% edge over Obama among Democratic respondents, Obama fares better in the general election match-ups. It's so close that it's a statistical dead-heat, but Obama still loses: 43-45% to McCain, 44-45% to Giuliani.
It's hard to know exactly why respondents who are generally unhappy towards — and in many cases fed up with — the GOP might still prefer a Republican for president over a Democrat. Much of it has to do with the individual candidates involved. In Clinton's case, as TIME pollster Mark Schulman points out, "with Hillary the Democratic front-runner, most voters have made up their minds about her, both pro and con. She may have limited upward potential against Republicans. The emerging anti-Hillaries, Obama and Edwards, suffer from low awareness at this point."
Another GOP advantage in these match-ups is the way the party's top two candidates are viewed by the public. "Giuliani and McCain are not traditional Republicans," says Schulman. "Rather they both have an independent streak that plays well in certain traditional Democratic bastions, such as the Northeast and California, the left and right coasts." As anyone following the campaign knows, the perceived "independent streak" that helps both McCain and Giuliani with the general electorate could hurt them, and possibly doom them, with GOP primary voters. Also, as Schulman points out, every Republican candidate is vulnerable because of his support for Bush's policy in Iraq and his closeness to Bush in general. "If Iraq persists as an issue, all of our polls show this will undercut Republican candidates," he says. "Being seen as 'close to Bush' is a real negative in the polls. When the campaign really heats up, the Democrats should have a lot of cards to play."
Democrats also may have a residual disadvantage going into 2008 — a long-standing disposition among voters to view Republicans as stronger on issues involving national security. Without question, Bush has done serious damage to the Republican brand in this arena. But, with the nation waging two wars and terrorism still a threat, that underlying sentiment might be one of the reasons GOP candidates appear competitive at all.
There are other interesting developments in the poll. John Edwards has surged among Democrats since he announced that his wife Elizabeth's cancer had recurred. In a three-way match-up, Clinton polls 38% among registered Democrats, vs 30% for Obama and 26% for Edwards. Edwards received just 17% in mid-March.
In the GOP race, Giuliani's post-announcement honeymoon appears to be over. The former New York City mayor's lead over erstwhile front-runner McCain has narrowed to 13 points, 35-22%, among registered Republicans, down from a 20-point lead two weeks ago. http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,1604469,00.html?cnn=yes
And then there's the burgeoning scandal stemming from the Justice Department's dismissal last year of eight U.S. attorneys. Forty-eight percent of respondents say the federal prosecutors were fired because they "refused to be pressured by politics," compared to just 22% who believe they were dismissed "for proper reasons." By a 55-33% margin, Americans believe Bush is refusing to allow top aide Karl Rove and other White House aides to testify under oath "because he's trying to cover up the reasons for the firings" , not because he "wants to preserve the Constitution's separation of powers." A slight plurality, 39-36%, believe Attorney General Alberto Gonzales should resign.
So it's taken almost as a given among the professional political class that the 2008 presidential election is the Democrats' to lose. Republicans are so morose in general, and conservatives so unhappy with their current field of candidates, that the assumption of a Democratic advantage has become bi-partisan. And with the public so soured on the Republican in the White House, and so many other trends working against them, including an up-tick in the percentage of Americans identifying themselves as Democrats , it's hard to find any good news for Republicans these days. So why, in poll after poll, including the new TIME poll, does that advantage seem to disappear whenever voters are asked to pick a president in hypothetical head-to-head match-ups among front-runners with solid name recognition. In our poll, Hillary Clinton loses to John McCain, 42-48%, and to Rudy Giuliani 41-50%. Even though Clinton maintains a 7% edge over Obama among Democratic respondents, Obama fares better in the general election match-ups. It's so close that it's a statistical dead-heat, but Obama still loses: 43-45% to McCain, 44-45% to Giuliani.
It's hard to know exactly why respondents who are generally unhappy towards — and in many cases fed up with — the GOP might still prefer a Republican for president over a Democrat. Much of it has to do with the individual candidates involved. In Clinton's case, as TIME pollster Mark Schulman points out, "with Hillary the Democratic front-runner, most voters have made up their minds about her, both pro and con. She may have limited upward potential against Republicans. The emerging anti-Hillaries, Obama and Edwards, suffer from low awareness at this point."
Another GOP advantage in these match-ups is the way the party's top two candidates are viewed by the public. "Giuliani and McCain are not traditional Republicans," says Schulman. "Rather they both have an independent streak that plays well in certain traditional Democratic bastions, such as the Northeast and California, the left and right coasts." As anyone following the campaign knows, the perceived "independent streak" that helps both McCain and Giuliani with the general electorate could hurt them, and possibly doom them, with GOP primary voters. Also, as Schulman points out, every Republican candidate is vulnerable because of his support for Bush's policy in Iraq and his closeness to Bush in general. "If Iraq persists as an issue, all of our polls show this will undercut Republican candidates," he says. "Being seen as 'close to Bush' is a real negative in the polls. When the campaign really heats up, the Democrats should have a lot of cards to play."
Democrats also may have a residual disadvantage going into 2008 — a long-standing disposition among voters to view Republicans as stronger on issues involving national security. Without question, Bush has done serious damage to the Republican brand in this arena. But, with the nation waging two wars and terrorism still a threat, that underlying sentiment might be one of the reasons GOP candidates appear competitive at all.
There are other interesting developments in the poll. John Edwards has surged among Democrats since he announced that his wife Elizabeth's cancer had recurred. In a three-way match-up, Clinton polls 38% among registered Democrats, vs 30% for Obama and 26% for Edwards. Edwards received just 17% in mid-March.
In the GOP race, Giuliani's post-announcement honeymoon appears to be over. The former New York City mayor's lead over erstwhile front-runner McCain has narrowed to 13 points, 35-22%, among registered Republicans, down from a 20-point lead two weeks ago. http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,1604469,00.html?cnn=yes
siamesedreamer
Banned
Gallup New Hampshire GOP poll:
Romney - 25%
McCain - 25%
Guiliani - 18%
They said Romney has doubled his percentage there in the last two months.
Romney - 25%
McCain - 25%
Guiliani - 18%
They said Romney has doubled his percentage there in the last two months.
It seems New Yorkers still like Hillary more than they like Rudy -- and they may even prefer an Illinois senator to the former New York City mayor.
In the latest Quinnipiac University poll released Thursday, Sen. Hillary Clinton tops Rudy Giuliani with 50 percent to 42 percent of the vote in a head-to-head matchup.
The margin between the two candidates narrowed slightly from the last poll, taken in mid-February, when Clinton led Giuliani 50 percent to 40 percent.
When asked to pick between Giuliani and Sen. Barack Obama, New Yorkers were split, with each candidate receiving 44 percent of the vote. Respondents were not asked to pick between the two candidates in the previous poll.
The results may reflect the difficulties Giuliani faces, even in his own state, in a tough period for Republican nationwide. New Yorkers gave President George W. Bush an approval rating of just 26 percent, compared to a 68 percent approval for Clinton.
Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, cautions reading too much into the results for Giuliani. "It reflects that [New York] is a Democratic state," says Carroll.
"Giuliani was New York's mayor--but he's not New York's president."
When asked who they prefer among just the Republican candidates, Giuliani crushed his rivals, with 52 percent of New York voters supporting him, compared to 13 percent for Sen. John McCain. Former New York Gov. George Pataki registered just 6 percent of the vote, with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney receiving 4 percent.
Clinton outpaced her Democratic rivals as well, with 44 percent support compared to 14 percent for Obama. Former presidential candidate Al Gore also registered 14 percent, with ex-Senator John Edwards trailing at 9 percent.
The telephone poll of 1,548 registered New York state voters was conducted March 28-April 2, before the fundraising totals for the first quarter of 2007 were released, which showed surprising strength for Obama and Romney.
It has a sampling error margin of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points.
The Democratic sample of 680 voters had a sampling error margin of plus or minus 4 percentage points while the Republican sample of 476 voters had a sampling error margin of plus or minus 4.5 percent. http://www.amny.com/news/local/am-poll0406,0,6595077,print.story?coll=am-local-headlines
In the latest Quinnipiac University poll released Thursday, Sen. Hillary Clinton tops Rudy Giuliani with 50 percent to 42 percent of the vote in a head-to-head matchup.
The margin between the two candidates narrowed slightly from the last poll, taken in mid-February, when Clinton led Giuliani 50 percent to 40 percent.
When asked to pick between Giuliani and Sen. Barack Obama, New Yorkers were split, with each candidate receiving 44 percent of the vote. Respondents were not asked to pick between the two candidates in the previous poll.
The results may reflect the difficulties Giuliani faces, even in his own state, in a tough period for Republican nationwide. New Yorkers gave President George W. Bush an approval rating of just 26 percent, compared to a 68 percent approval for Clinton.
Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, cautions reading too much into the results for Giuliani. "It reflects that [New York] is a Democratic state," says Carroll.
"Giuliani was New York's mayor--but he's not New York's president."
When asked who they prefer among just the Republican candidates, Giuliani crushed his rivals, with 52 percent of New York voters supporting him, compared to 13 percent for Sen. John McCain. Former New York Gov. George Pataki registered just 6 percent of the vote, with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney receiving 4 percent.
Clinton outpaced her Democratic rivals as well, with 44 percent support compared to 14 percent for Obama. Former presidential candidate Al Gore also registered 14 percent, with ex-Senator John Edwards trailing at 9 percent.
The telephone poll of 1,548 registered New York state voters was conducted March 28-April 2, before the fundraising totals for the first quarter of 2007 were released, which showed surprising strength for Obama and Romney.
It has a sampling error margin of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points.
The Democratic sample of 680 voters had a sampling error margin of plus or minus 4 percentage points while the Republican sample of 476 voters had a sampling error margin of plus or minus 4.5 percent. http://www.amny.com/news/local/am-poll0406,0,6595077,print.story?coll=am-local-headlines
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