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The Official 2010 NPD Prediction Thread

[360] 4,700,000
[NDS] 12,500,000
[PS2] 1,300,000
[PS3] 4,800,000
[PSP] 1,900,000
[WII] 10,100,000
 
[360] 4700k
[NDS] 10500k
[PS2] 1400k
[PS3] 4000k
[PSP] 2200k
[WII] 9500k

Edit: Damn, is this past the deadline? I thought it was 4 PM Pacific Time. Any chance this could still get in?
 
Number of contestants: 49

GAF Aggregate said:
[NDS] 10,903,790
[WII] 9,856,312
[360] 5,231,128
[PS3] 5,009,078
[PSP] 2,086,804
[PS2] 1,263,693

Disqualified: selig, starship, SuperBanjo

According to NPD, here are the numbers I have...

Code:
Month       [360]     [PS2]     [PSP]      [PS3]     [NDS]     [WII]
01/2010   332,800    41,600   100,100    276,900   422,200   465,800
02/2010   422,000   101,900   133,400    360,100   613,200   397,900
03/2010   338,400   118,300   119,900    313,900   700,800   557,500
04/2010   185,400              65,500    180,800   440,800   277,200
05/2010   194,600              59,400    154,500   383,700   334,800
06/2010   451,700             121,000    304,800   510,700   422,500
07/2010   443,500              84,000    214,500   398,400   253,900
08/2010   356,700              79,400    226,000   342,700   244,300
09/2010   483,989             106,624    312,000   403,000   254,000
10/2010   325,000              75,000    250,000   342,000   232,000
11/2010 1,370,000             288,000    530,000 1,500,000 1,270,000
12/2010 1,860,000             428,000* 1,210,000 2,500,000 2,360,000
TOTAL   6,764,089   261,800 1,660,324* 4,333,500 8,557,500 7,069,900

* PSP numbers for December 2010 were not made available, and thus the number you see here is an estimate from jvm at Gamasutra. I've calculated rankings with and without the PSP taken into account.

Results for the 2010 NPDs without the PSP, using these numbers...

NPD said:
[NDS] 8,557,500
[WII] 7,069,900
[360] 6,764,089
[PS3] 4,333,500

1. donny2112 - 4,585,189
2. Archurro - 4,855,011
3. rostocker - 5,493,189
4. JoshuaJSlone - 5,652,189
5. Thunder Monkey - 5,653,189
6. Valru - 5,703,189
7. mujun - 5,803,189
7. King Seesar - 5,803,189
7. thestopsign - 5,803,189
10. Baki - 5,833,189
11. Hyllian - 5,970,189
11. GDGF - 5,970,189
13. Road - 6,053,189
14. scottnak - 6,058,189
15. Neo C. - 6,103,189
16. bakemono - 6,203,189
16. Jokeropia - 6,203,189
18. Deadman - 6,275,011
19. BMF - 6,303,189
19. seady - 6,303,189
21. archnemesis - 6,403,189
22. ichinisan - 6,753,189
23. ChefRamsay - 7,003,189
24. thy_ - 7,303,189
25. GAF Aggregate - 7,341,241
26. botticus - 7,503,189
27. apujanata - 7,570,189
28. Busaiku - 7,670,189
29. Jonsoncao - 7,703,189
30. Joe White - 7,809,314
31. Atreides - 7,870,189
32. Orgen - 7,915,189
33. BowieZ - 8,091,989
34. skedar897 - 8,205,189
35. jj984jj - 8,353,189
35. JoseJX - 8,353,189
37. Fularu - 8,803,189
38. WaltJay - 9,003,189
39. Rainier - 9,303,189
40. andy_lhc - 9,360,789
41. RBH - 9,403,189
42. Aad - 9,503,189
43. John Dunbar - 9,603,189
44. AlternativeUlster - 9,653,189
45. gamergirly - 9,803,189
45. farnham - 9,803,189
47. combinekidd - 10,775,011
48. akilshohen - 12,053,189
49. UltimaPooh - 13,410,011
50. operon - 15,335,011

Results for the 2010 NPDs including the PSP, using these numbers...

NPD said:
[NDS] 8,557,500
[WII] 7,069,900
[360] 6,764,089
[PS3] 4,333,500
[PSP] 1,660,324*

1. donny2112 - 4,724,865
2. Archurro - 5,317,335
3. Thunder Monkey - 5,663,513
4. JoshuaJSlone - 5,712,513
5. rostocker - 5,732,865
6. King Seesar - 5,892,865
7. Valru - 6,042,865
8. GDGF - 6,159,865
9. Neo C. - 6,242,865
10. bakemono - 6,263,513
10. Jokeropia - 6,263,513
12. Baki - 6,292,865
13. scottnak - 6,308,865
14. mujun - 6,342,865
14. Road - 6,342,865
16. Hyllian - 6,509,865
17. Deadman - 6,614,687
18. archnemesis - 6,642,865
18. thestopsign - 6,642,865
20. BMF - 6,663,513
21. seady - 7,142,865
22. ichinisan - 7,592,865
23. thy_ - 7,642,865
24. ChefRamsay - 7,742,865
25. GAF Aggregate - 7,767,721
26. Busaiku - 7,809,865
27. apujanata - 8,009,865
28. botticus - 8,042,865
29. Atreides - 8,209,865
30. BowieZ - 8,263,713
31. Orgen - 8,349,865
32. Joe White - 8,373,990
33. Jonsoncao - 8,442,865
34. skedar897 - 8,584,865
35. JoseJX - 8,692,865
36. Fularu - 8,942,865
37. WaltJay - 9,342,865
38. Rainier - 9,463,513
39. jj984jj - 9,492,865
40. Aad - 9,742,865
41. AlternativeUlster - 9,892,865
42. John Dunbar - 9,992,865
43. gamergirly - 10,292,865
44. RBH - 10,542,865
45. farnham - 10,642,865
46. andy_lhc - 10,876,265
47. combinekidd - 12,114,687
48. akilshohen - 13,142,865
49. UltimaPooh - 14,849,687
50. operon - 15,924,687
 
Cheesemeister said:
Number of contestants: 49



Disqualified: selig, starship, SuperBanjo

According to NPD, here are the numbers I have...

Code:
Month       [360]     [PS2]     [PSP]      [PS3]     [NDS]     [WII]
01/2010   332,800    41,600   100,100    276,900   422,200   465,800
02/2010   422,000   101,900   133,400    360,100   613,200   397,900
03/2010   338,400   118,300   119,900    313,900   700,800   557,500
04/2010   185,400              65,500    180,800   440,800   277,200
05/2010   194,600              59,400    154,500   383,700   334,800
06/2010   451,700             121,000    304,800   510,700   422,500
07/2010   443,500              84,000    214,500   398,400   253,900
08/2010   356,700              79,400    226,000   342,700   244,300
09/2010   483,989             106,624    312,000   403,000   254,000
10/2010   325,000              75,000    250,000   342,000   232,000
11/2010 1,370,000             288,000    530,000 1,500,000 1,270,000
12/2010 1,860,000             428,000* 1,210,000 2,500,000 2,360,000
TOTAL   6,764,089   261,800 1,660,324* 4,333,500 8,557,500 7,069,900

* PSP numbers for December 2010 were not made available, and thus the number you see here is an estimate from jvm at Gamasutra. I've calculated rankings with and without the PSP taken into account.

Results for the 2010 NPDs without the PSP, using these numbers...



1. donny2112 - 4,585,189
2. Archurro - 4,855,011
3. rostocker - 5,493,189
4. JoshuaJSlone - 5,652,189
5. Thunder Monkey - 5,653,189
6. Valru - 5,703,189
7. mujun - 5,803,189
7. King Seesar - 5,803,189
7. thestopsign - 5,803,189
10. Baki - 5,833,189
11. Hyllian - 5,970,189
11. GDGF - 5,970,189
13. Road - 6,053,189
14. scottnak - 6,058,189
15. Neo C. - 6,103,189
16. bakemono - 6,203,189
16. Jokeropia - 6,203,189
18. Deadman - 6,275,011
19. BMF - 6,303,189
19. seady - 6,303,189
21. archnemesis - 6,403,189
22. ichinisan - 6,753,189
23. ChefRamsay - 7,003,189
24. thy_ - 7,303,189
25. GAF Aggregate - 7,341,241
26. botticus - 7,503,189
27. apujanata - 7,570,189
28. Busaiku - 7,670,189
29. Jonsoncao - 7,703,189
30. Joe White - 7,809,314
31. Atreides - 7,870,189
32. Orgen - 7,915,189
33. BowieZ - 8,091,989
34. skedar897 - 8,205,189
35. jj984jj - 8,353,189
35. JoseJX - 8,353,189
37. Fularu - 8,803,189
38. WaltJay - 9,003,189
39. Rainier - 9,303,189
40. andy_lhc - 9,360,789
41. RBH - 9,403,189
42. Aad - 9,503,189
43. John Dunbar - 9,603,189
44. AlternativeUlster - 9,653,189
45. gamergirly - 9,803,189
45. farnham - 9,803,189
47. combinekidd - 10,775,011
48. akilshohen - 12,053,189
49. UltimaPooh - 13,410,011
50. operon - 15,335,011

Results for the 2010 NPDs including the PSP, using these numbers...



1. donny2112 - 4,724,865
2. Archurro - 5,317,335
3. Thunder Monkey - 5,663,513
4. JoshuaJSlone - 5,712,513
5. rostocker - 5,732,865
6. King Seesar - 5,892,865
7. Valru - 6,042,865
8. GDGF - 6,159,865
9. Neo C. - 6,242,865
10. bakemono - 6,263,513
10. Jokeropia - 6,263,513
12. Baki - 6,292,865
13. scottnak - 6,308,865
14. mujun - 6,342,865
14. Road - 6,342,865
16. Hyllian - 6,509,865
17. Deadman - 6,614,687
18. archnemesis - 6,642,865
18. thestopsign - 6,642,865
20. BMF - 6,663,513
21. seady - 7,142,865
22. ichinisan - 7,592,865
23. thy_ - 7,642,865
24. ChefRamsay - 7,742,865
25. GAF Aggregate - 7,767,721
26. Busaiku - 7,809,865
27. apujanata - 8,009,865
28. botticus - 8,042,865
29. Atreides - 8,209,865
30. BowieZ - 8,263,713
31. Orgen - 8,349,865
32. Joe White - 8,373,990
33. Jonsoncao - 8,442,865
34. skedar897 - 8,584,865
35. JoseJX - 8,692,865
36. Fularu - 8,942,865
37. WaltJay - 9,342,865
38. Rainier - 9,463,513
39. jj984jj - 9,492,865
40. Aad - 9,742,865
41. AlternativeUlster - 9,892,865
42. John Dunbar - 9,992,865
43. gamergirly - 10,292,865
44. RBH - 10,542,865
45. farnham - 10,642,865
46. andy_lhc - 10,876,265
47. combinekidd - 12,114,687
48. akilshohen - 13,142,865
49. UltimaPooh - 14,849,687
50. operon - 15,924,687
#10 FUCK YEAH
 
Did any "real" analyst try predicting for the year?

Wii numbers seemed to hurt everyone most.
 
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