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next-gen.biz feeling Blu: 08 will see the last month ever of 360 outselling PS3 lol

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Luckyman

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http://www.next-gen.biz/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=8734&Itemid=2

EDITOR'S VIEW: The PlayStation 3 Rebirth

Consumers are replacing their TV sets with high-def flat-screens. They will also replace their DVD players with Blu-ray players. They will seek the machine that is noted for its quality; the one that is future-proof; the one with the trust-worthy brand name; the one that, wow, also plays games. They will invest in PlayStation.

So is it all over for Xbox 360? No, the sales numbers are still in that platform’s favor. But sales numbers change quickly. I’m going to predict that, at some point in 2008, Xbox 360 will enjoy its last ever month outselling PlayStation 3. It will be Blu-ray, not Metal Gear Solid, that makes this happen.
 
Consumers are replacing their TV sets with high-def flat-screens. They will also replace their DVD players with Blu-ray players. They will seek the machine that is noted for its quality; the one that is future-proof; the one with the trust-worthy brand name; the one that, wow, also plays games. They will invest in PlayStation.

Uh huh.
 
Ugh... People who think that average Joe Q Public is running out to spend £300 on a new TV, £300 on a console/blu-ray player and then a load more money buying new movies and replacing the old ones probably needs to get out more.

In case he hasn't noticed, people are starting to pinch the pennies a bit more what with credit problems and rising gas prices. Why do I get the impression that the editor is a single male with lots of disposable income to flutter away on movies, games and music, and seems to be under the impression that he is reflective of the average consumer?
 
I still don't believe in Blu-Ray and I think it will fail. It might sell to some people, but it won't become a new standard like DVD was.
 
I honestly think 2008 will have more AAA 360 releases than PS3 releases. So unless the PS3 has another amazing pricedrop, I don't see this happening.
 
sionyboy said:
Ugh... People who think that average Joe Q Public is running out to spend £300 on a new TV, £300 on a console/blu-ray player and then a load more money buying new movies and replacing the old ones probably needs to get out more.

In case he hasn't noticed, people are starting to pinch the pennies a bit more what with credit problems and rising gas prices. Why do I get the impression that the editor is a single male with lots of disposable income to flutter away on movies, games and music, and seems to be under the impression that he is reflective of the average consumer?

Joe Q Public is wondering why your dollar sign isn't the right symbol.

$

Try that next time.

Joe Q Public also liked Bud Light and PBR. Not Guinness.
 
I think that may actually happen. 360 software is continue to outsell PS3 software though, since people will be buying PS3s as a Blu-Ray player.
 
ItsInMyVeins said:
I still don't believe in Blu-Ray and I think it will fail. It might sell to some people, but it won't become a new standard like DVD was.
It doesn't need to become the new DVD for it not to fail.
 
He seems to be putting far too much faith in BR affecting the PS3 sales when most will just go out and buy a cheap standalone if they want a BR player.
 
Agree with this article.

I'm pretty confident that given the closure of the format wars, the stellar lineup of PS3 titles in '08 relative to the competition, the refinement of the online infrastructure, and the reliability relative to the 360 that you very well may see the PS3 start outselling the 360 once the big titles come out this fall. And then from there, I don't see that trend ever changing.
 
Well, it's not like there's an ocean between the sales of these two platforms despite the X360 having had the best year in the history of the Xbox brand versus the worst year PlayStation has ever had (and it actually seems possible the PS3 outdid the X360 in worldwide sales in 07).

This year Blu-ray really is in favor of the PS3 not to mention the system having clearly the best 2008 software lineup of any platform.

Outside of North America though, the PS3 is a decent factor in Japan. The system (just after nine months on the market) went past the X360 in most EU countries this Xmas period.

2008 is the year of the PS3.
 
Psychotext said:
He seems to be putting far too much faith in BR affecting the PS3 sales when most will just go out and buy a cheap standalone if they want a BR player.

Tadow!
 
Snah said:
Agree with this article.

I'm pretty confident that given the closure of the format wars, the stellar lineup of PS3 titles in '08 relative to the competition, the refinement of the online infrastructure, and the reliability relative to the 360 that you very well may see the PS3 start outselling the 360 once the big titles come out this fall. And then from there, I don't see that trend ever changing.

Shocker!
 
Psychotext said:
He seems to be putting far too much faith in BR affecting the PS3 sales when most will just go out and buy a cheap standalone if they want a BR player.

And then there will be those who will buy a PS3 for that? Where is it said that every BR player sold will be a PS3?
 
Psychotext said:
He seems to be putting far too much faith in BR affecting the PS3 sales when most will just go out and buy a cheap standalone if they want a BR player.

I thought the PS3 was still the cheapest blu-ray player out there?

edit: my bad, looks like they have come down in price...even if it is out of stock.
 
Prince8 said:
I honestly think 2008 will have more AAA 360 releases than PS3 releases. So unless the PS3 has another amazing pricedrop, I don't see this happening.

:lol Do you have some secret list of exclusives?
 
In parts of Europe (certainly not all of it) this might be already happening. In America, on NPD? Not at this rate.

The only way I see it happening is if Microsoft just sit on their asses and don't try and compete. Which is ridiculous.

In the pipe they've got Alan Wake, GoW 2/3, Banjo, SFIV, GTA IV with exclusive DLC, and much more I'm probably not thinking of. They've also got plenty of room to compete on price.
 
If he's talking globally it's not that far fetched a prediction. Or at least, to predict that more often than not it would outsell 360 from some point in 08 (I don't know about never ever ever outselling it again). In terms of NA, I wouldn't expect that, but it'll be interesting to see if it can continue to close the month-on-month gap as it started to do at the end of 07.

His commentary at the end about the significance and meaning of "winning" is fairly on the mark.
 
gofreak said:
If he's talking globally it's not that far fetched a prediction. Or at least, to predict that more often than not it would outsell 360 from some point in 08 (I don't know about never ever ever outselling it again).

His commentary at the end about the significance and meaning of "winning" is fairly on the mark.

If he's talking globally, the PS3 more than likely already is outselling the 360 or is very close to doing so.

I'm fairly confident he's talking about the north american market, which isn't far-fetched given the number of exclusive blockbuster titles that are going to appear on the console in '08.

Barring any significant pricing disparity between the 360 and PS3 next year, I definitely believe you will see this prediction come to fruition. I don't agree with him that blu-ray will be the primary factor of this change; rather, I believe it to be a convergence of other variables as well which will be responsible. Titles like MGS4, Killzone 2, Resistance 2, Gran Turismo 5, MotorStorm 2 and Little Big Planet will have a pretty huge impact. Gamers will flock to where the games are, and the PS3 has a significant lineup of killer exclusive titles.
 
Nintendo will sell more hardware units than anyone else, and it’ll make a heap of money. In pure numbers on the ground terms, Wii may well win.

But this isn’t a big win for the game industry as a whole, because Nintendo takes such a huge percentage of the software market. Even with today's massive installed base, we don't believe Nintendo’s third-party partners can sell much more than 500,000 units of any game in first three months on sale (in either North America or Europe), whereas Nintendo games can and do sell millions.

Looks like he does not know that when you slap Mario on the title.. it´s possible.
 
More reliable hardware, falling prices, better announced games (at this point), Blu-ray, free online, PSN quickly catching up to XBL services quality (and in someways exceeding), and continual positive media attention such as these sorts of article...

Will definetly give the PS3 a good chance of taking over the X360 this year. A very good chance. And anyone that scoffs at the notion probably needs to recheck the facts.

Will it definetly? Well... you can't predict the shit that will go down. But based off what we think will happen, why not?

HD-DVD was in the lead for its first year after all...
 
Luckyman said:
I’m going to predict that, at some point in 2008, Xbox 360 will enjoy its last ever month outselling PlayStation 3.

Globally based on NPD, GfK and Media Create data this is already likely the case. I think the PS3 2008 blockbusters will amount to winning over North American, UK and Australian sales as well.
 
lupinko said:
Where is your HDDVD now?

Don't have one, but I am a little suprised that it didn't do better, at least amoung people in genreral. If MS would have waited and put it into X360's thing might have looked a bit different, tho. That's just speculation of course.
 
PuppetSlave said:
Thats not what he is saying I think. He simply means that DVD will stay for the most part. Not that HDDVD will win.

DVD will stay around for a very long time just like VHS, that doesn't take away from the selling point of Blu-Ray to those that own HDTV sets or prospective HDTV owners, however. If you own an HDTV, then outside of financial considerations at this point and in the future (which will change, obviously), there's absolutely no reason to go back.
 
ItsInMyVeins said:
I still don't believe in Blu-Ray and I think it will fail. It might sell to some people, but it won't become a new standard like DVD was.
:/

I think with the rise of piracy, DVDs are becoming more and more obsolete, but Blu-Ray offers hi-definition visual clarity that demands for movies like Black Hawk Down to be watched again, just to see the sweat and pores of the actors D:
 
Mariah Carey said:
I can see the PS3 having a rebound a la the PSP; but it'll still be a too-little-too-late kind of thing.

The console battle for second place is still yet to be decided. PS3/Xbox2 aren't going to catch the Wii, but I doubt the PS3 v. Xbox2 with be as dire looking on sales charts as PSP v. DS
 
This might be an interesting thread to bookmark.

Sure, they'll beat 360 in Japan, that's a given.

Sure, they'll probably beat 360 in Europe too, but not terribly.

But in America the writing is on the wall.

Unless they do something crazy like axe another $200 off the price I seriously doubt Sony can beat them in sales for even one month.

Worldwide is another matter. It's going to be close.

Also, both are going to be eating some serious Wii dust, more like Grand Canyon than Silicon Valley.
 
Dante said:
:lol Do you have some secret list of exclusives?
Sure:

Alan Wake
Banjo kazooie 3
Fable 2
Halo wars
Lost odyssey
Ninja Gaiden II
Tom Clancy's Splinter Cell: Conviction
Too Human

Possibly:
Gears of War 2

I left out most rumored releases and releases that will most likely not be that great (I could be wrong in them though).
 
THis thread needs a bookmark, The mighty ps2 even got outsold by xbox in north america some months,theres no way that the ps3 would never be outsold by the 360 again in their life time.
 
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