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(Hardware) Official March NPD Prediction Thread - closes Friday Apr 11

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donny2112

Member
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 4 p.m. EST on Friday, April 11th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

Format:

[360]
[NDS]
[PS2]
[PS3]
[PSP]
[WII]

Examples:

Code: 
Good              Bad
[PS2] 123K        [PS2] 123.5K
[PS2] 123,000     [PS2] 123.000
[PS2] 123000      [PS2] - 123000
[PS2] 123456      [PS2] one-hundred and twenty-three thousand

The Official Software Prediction thread is here.


NPD Release: April 17th @ 4:00 p.m. EST (thread posted around 6:30 p.m. EST)
NPD Coverage: March 2 - April 5 (5 weeks, February was 4 weeks)


February 2008 Results (4-week month) - thanks to NPD and sonycowboy

sonycowboy said:
Hardware

PlayStation 2 351.8K
PlayStation 3 280.8K
PlayStation Portable 243.1K
Xbox 360 254.6K
Nintendo DS 587.6K
Wii 432K

Top 10 SW
Top-Selling VG Software - February 2008
RELEASE TOTAL U.S. RANK
TITLE PUBLISHER DATE UNITS

360 CALL OF DUTY 4: MODERN WARFARE* ACTIVISION 7-Nov 296.2K 1
360 DEVIL MAY CRY 4* CAPCOM USA 8-Feb 295.2K 2
WII PLAY W/ REMOTE NINTENDO OF AMERICA 7-Feb 289.7K 3
PS3 DEVIL MAY CRY 4* CAPCOM USA 8-Feb 233.5K 4
WII GUITAR HERO III: LEGENDS OF ROCK* ACTIVISION 7-Oct 222.9K 5
NDS MARIO AND SONIC: OLYMPIC GAMES SEGA OF AMERICA 8-Jan 205.6K 6
360 LOST ODYSSEY MICROSOFT 8-Feb 203.6K 7
360 TUROK TOUCHSTONE 8-Jan 197.7K 8
PS2 GUITAR HERO III: LEGENDS OF ROCK* ACTIVISION 7-Oct 183.8K 9
360 ROCK BAND* MTV GAMES/ELECTRONIC ARTS 7-Nov 161.8K 10
Click to expand...


Potentially significant releases from March 2 - April 5: ASE
Alphabet Soup Edition

360 - AoT (3/6), PES 2008 (3/11), R6V2 (3/18)
NDS - FFCC:RoF (3/11), PES 2008 (3/11), NG: DS (3/25)
PS2 - PES 2008 (3/11)
PS3 - AoT (3/6), PES 2008 (3/11), HSG5:OoB (3/18), R6V2 (3/18)
PSP - GoW:CoO (3/4), PES 2008 (3/11), CC:FFVII (3/24)
WII - SSBB (3/9), PES 2008 (3/18)
 
Since annecdotal evidence suggests that any 360 supply issues were cleared up by the last week of February, this will be a very interesting NPD.
 
a Master Ninja said:
Since annecdotal evidence suggests that any 360 supply issues were cleared up by the last week of February, this will be a very interesting NPD.
Click to expand...

I expect 360 to pull ahead a couple months till MGS4. Fall will be interesting factoring in Blu Ray victory, and some large Sony titles.
 
Army of Two >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> PES. Fix that potential big releases thing at the bottom. Army of Two had to have done around 300k on the 360. PES probably didn't even bust 100k on any platform.
 
[360] 345k
[NDS] 575k
[PS2] 340k
[PS3] 280k
[PSP] 400k
[WII] 650k

smash bro's came out. lets hope they stocked those wii's!
 
Oh, what the hell:

[360] 340k
[NDS] 580k
[PS2] 380k
[PS3] 310k
[PSP] 350k
[WII] 600k

EDIT: Out of curiosity, was there a listing for all the people close to the last NPD? Not that I expect to be anywhere on it, but I'm curious how things went.
 
[WII]800K
[NDS]640K
[PSP]300K
[PS2]300K
[PS3]290K
[360]280K

I'm highballing the Wii, just because it seems like all the major retailers got at least 2 big shipments last month.
 
AlteredBeast said:
Army of Two >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> PES. Fix that potential big releases thing at the bottom. Army of Two had to have done around 300k on the 360. PES probably didn't even bust 100k on any platform.
Click to expand...

No problem. :)
 
5 week month and some people are predicting 500k for Wii for the very month that SUPER SMASH BROS BRAWL launched? Is the supply situation really that bad, I mean really really? One would thought they'd stack up some units for the one of the most important titles in US this year...

Well, here goes:

[360] 350k
[NDS] 630k
[PS2] 330k
[PS3] 295k
[PSP] 365k
[WII] 695k
 
Vinci said:
EDIT: Out of curiosity, was there a listing for all the people close to the last NPD? Not that I expect to be anywhere on it, but I'm curious how things went.
Click to expand...

Check last month's thread. The unit result is posted for everyone. The point system results is posted for the Top 50.
 
Taurus said:
5 week month and some people are predicting 500k for Wii for the very month that SUPER SMASH BROS BRAWL launched? Is the supply situation really that bad, I mean really really? One would thought they'd stack up some units for the one of the most important titles in US this year...
Click to expand...

Even with SSBB, I can't fathom that Nintendo can produce enough units to lift it over 500k. Believe me, it would be amazing if they do. I just don't see it happening.

...and if by chance they do, wouldn't that be the most non-holiday sales ever for a console?
 
Culex said:
Even with SSBB, I can't fathom that Nintendo can produce enough units to lift it over 500k. Believe me, it would be amazing if they do. I just don't see it happening.

...and if by chance they do, wouldn't that be the most non-holiday sales ever for a console?
Click to expand...

A straight 25% increase from last month's NPD would land them at 540K. Are you (or anyone else putting Wii under 540K) saying you can't see them producing Wiis at the same pace they did last month?

October 2007 Wii had 519K, September 2007 was 501K for Wii and 528K 360 (Halo 3).
 
[360] 360k
[NDS] 600k
[PS2] 280k
[PS3] 345k
[PSP] 360k
[WII] 650k

If you don't think that Nintendo held back extra stock for SSBB, then you are mad!
 
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