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IDC: Record tablet shipments in Q4 2012; MS Surface ships 900,000

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It's a...start?

FRAMINGHAM, Mass., January 31, 2013 – Worldwide tablet shipments outpaced predictions reaching a record total of 52.5 million units worldwide in the fourth quarter of 2012 (4Q12), according to preliminary data from the International Data Corporation (IDC) Worldwide Quarterly Tablet Tracker. The tablet market grew 75.3% year over year in 4Q12 (up from 29.9 million units in 4Q11) and increased 74.3% from the previous quarter's total of 30.1 million units. Lower average selling prices (ASPs), a wide range of new product offerings, and increased holiday spending all acted as catalysts to push the already climbing tablet market to record levels.

"We expected a very strong fourth quarter, and the market didn't disappoint," said Tom Mainelli, research director, Tablets, at IDC. "New product launches from the category's top vendors, as well as new entrant Microsoft, led to a surge in consumer interest and very robust shipments totals during the holiday season. The record-breaking quarter stands in stark contrast to the PC market, which saw shipments decline during the quarter for the first time in more than five years."

Apple's iPad once again led the market, and the firm's shipment total of 22.9 million units was exactly in line with IDC's forecast for the period. A strong iPad mini launch, plus availability of the fourth generation full-sized iPad, led to solid 48.1% shipment growth over the same quarter last year. However, strong competition in the market led to Apple's market share declining for a second quarter in a row (down to 43.6% from 46.4% last quarter). Number two vendor Samsung experienced 263% year-on-year growth, shipping nearly 8 million combined Android and Windows 8 tablets during the quarter to grab 15.1% of the market, its same market share total from the previous quarter.

Amongst the other top 5 vendors, Amazon and Barnes & Noble both saw their market share increase sharply as new products gained traction during the holiday season. Amazon shipped more than 6 million tablets during the quarter, increasing its share to 11.5%, up from 8.3% the previous quarter, with year-over year growth of 26.8%; Barnes & Noble shipped close to a million units, increasing its share to 1.9%, up from 0.7%, despite a year-over-year growth rate of -27.7%. Meanwhile, number four Asus saw its share slip from 7.8% to 5.8% despite continued strong shipments of its Google-branded Nexus 7 tablet and the highest year-over-year increase in the top five at 402.3%. Microsoft entered the market during the quarter with its Surface with Windows RT tablet, but failed to reach the top five after shipping just shy of 900,000 units into the channel.

"There is no question that Microsoft is in this tablet race to compete for the long haul. However, devices based upon its new Windows 8 and Windows RT operating systems failed to gain much ground during their launch quarter, and reaction to the company's Surface with Windows RT tablet was muted at best," said Ryan Reith, program manager, Mobile Device Trackers at IDC. "We believe that Microsoft and its partners need to quickly adjust to the market realities of smaller screens and lower prices. In the long run, consumers may grow to believe that high-end computing tablets with desktop operating systems are worth a higher premium than other tablets, but until then ASPs on Windows 8 and Windows RT devices need to come down to drive higher volumes."

For reference, Surface RT release dates:

United States: 26 October
United Kingdom: 30 October
Australia: 6 November
Canada: 30 October

iPad mini was released on November 2nd.
 
lawl. Every upcoming years we're going to see record tablet shipments. They are poised to become the main personal computers people will interact with a decade from now. Of course, I'm not saying is not exactly a revelation.
 
Windows is likely going to a very distant third to Android and iOS on tablets like they are on smartphones. Pretty crazy coming off their near monopoly on desktops.

Which is a pretty scary proposition to Microsoft, since many people and increasingly more people replace their home computers with tablets.
 
lawl

So better or worse than Zune?

When you are beat by the Barnes & Noble Nook a company that is struggling to stay alive I'd say that isn't anything to be proud about.

Samsung's tablet success is pretty remarkable. Their phone success makes sense since the Note and S3 are great phones, none of their tablets are that good, especially compared to Asus's Android lineup of tablets.
 
Wow. The huge hype during the initial lead-up and immediate aftermath of Surface's reveal didn't amount to much, it seems.
 
Wow. The huge hype during the initial lead-up and immediate aftermath of Surface's reveal didn't amount to much, it seems.

There is a reason Apple announces release date, price and lets you pre-order it on their store the second they unveil a product. Surface had months and months for the hype to dwindle and die after the announcement. The price didn't help.
 
Windows is likely going to a very distant third to Android and iOS on tablets like they are on smartphones. Pretty crazy coming off their near monopoly on desktops.

Which is a pretty scary proposition to Microsoft, since many people and increasingly more people replace their home computers with tablets.

I disagree that people are replacing their PC's with tablets. More often than not, tablets are a complimentary device to PC's. The surface is something that would definitely be able to replace laptops though, while still giving you the utility of a tablet. However, desktop PC's aren't going anywhere anytime soon.

I've yet to meet someone who only has a tablet, without also having a laptop or desktop.

Surface sales are actually not too bad once you factor in the fact that until late in December, they were sold only at Microsoft stores, and online (which they sold out of fairly quick). Now that Surface is getting into more big box retail stores like Best Buy and Costco, and the fact that Surface Pro is launching in a little over a week, I expect next quarter to have much higher numbers. Many people, here included, were waiting for the Pro version, not the RT version.

I personally have a Surface RT and use it every day. Love my blue touch cover. It would be great if there was a cheaper model, but that will come in time. I don't think I'll be getting a Pro since I already have a touchscreen laptop/tablet (Lenovo X220T).
 
Wow. The huge hype during the initial lead-up and immediate aftermath of Surface's reveal didn't amount to much, it seems.

UHBY5jY.gif
 
There is a reason Apple announces release date, price and lets you pre-order it on their store the second they unveil a product. Surface had months and months for the hype to dwindle and die after the announcement. The price didn't help.

Their problem is the product, not public awareness. Apple not only invented a new product category, but they've also managed to ship a great device each year and have by far the best eco system. Even if their products sucked, it would have taken MS years to catch up thanks to the fact that iPad was there first. They are late to the party, they don't have a better product and they don't have a low price. That's a recipe for failure, no matter how much money they spend on the marketing.
 
They are late to the party, they don't have a better product and they don't have a low price. That's a recipe for failure, no matter how much money they spend on the marketing.

Define "better".

Maybe selling them at only a handful of locations wasn't a great idea huh?

Yeah, I'm sure that skewed it a bit. Still, I also think the public just doesn't really know what to make of the Surface. Whatever you thought about the launch commercials' quality, I don't feel like they really emphasized the strength of the device.

I never liked the "click in" slogan they went with, either. First, "click" makes you think of a mouse, whereas this was competing in the touch/tablet market. Second, the snap keyboard is great...but enough to base an entire ad campaign on? Show off the features of the OS, dammit.
 
There is a reason Apple announces release date, price and lets you pre-order it on their store the second they unveil a product. Surface had months and months for the hype to dwindle and die after the announcement. The price didn't help.

Did Microsoft even go all out with this? Seems more like an experiment to me, until the surface pro comes out, is it not? I don't know, it's a genuine question.
 
That doesn't make a product "better".

I really think you're getting into semantics. Are you saying people don't generally pick the better product for their needs?

Did Microsoft even go all out with this? Seems more like an experiment to me, until the surface pro comes out, is it not? I don't know, it's a genuine question.

I honestly don't know what they expected, Surface RT was destined to fail. Microsoft has done a poor job differentiating the RT from the Pro, much less from an iPad. Their marketing has been, hey look, clicky keyboard. No mentions of Office being built in, no mentions of add on memory. I honestly don't see much of a future for Surface RT or even the ARM side of Windows 8.
 
That doesn't make a product "better".
it seems to help. even samsung. but we can second-guess consumers all day, too.

Did Microsoft even go all out with this? Seems more like an experiment to me, until the surface pro comes out, is it not? I don't know, it's a genuine question.
microsoft sure seems to enjoy half-assing itself into new markets (zune, kin, phones, tablets, etc). xbox remains the good son.
 
I believe they still count Windows 8 tablets as part of the PC segment. Windows RT though, I think is part of this, but those don't sell at all considering they suck compared to the intel Atom SoC tablets.

edit: oh this is shipments. meh.
 
Forgive me if I'm stating something stupid, but if these are shipment numbers for Surface, and until halfway through December, Surface was only being sold out of Microsoft's own stores, and was frequently out of stock, doesn't it seem fairly obvious that this is more of a factor of manufacturing and distribution limiting the number than demand?

I mean, if it had wider distribution, shipment numbers could be low because stores didn't buy more from Microsoft since they didn't see demand for it. But it's not the case here.
 
I don't understand how I know what they need to do, but MS just cant seem to get the hang of it.
Is it a case of rose colored glasses being handed out in Redmond?
 
Forgive me if I'm stating something stupid, but if these are shipment numbers for Surface, and until halfway through December, Surface was only being sold out of Microsoft's own stores, and was frequently out of stock, doesn't it seem fairly obvious that this is more of a factor of manufacturing and distribution limiting the number than demand?

I mean, if it had wider distribution, shipment numbers could be low because stores didn't buy more from Microsoft since they didn't see demand for it. But it's not the case here.

We don't like that narrative. Metro sucks and we want it to fail.
 
Forgive me if I'm stating something stupid, but if these are shipment numbers for Surface, and until halfway through December, Surface was only being sold out of Microsoft's own stores, and was frequently out of stock, doesn't it seem fairly obvious that this is more of a factor of manufacturing and distribution limiting the number than demand?

I mean, if it had wider distribution, shipment numbers could be low because stores didn't buy more from Microsoft since they didn't see demand for it. But it's not the case here.

Umm, it was in stock at BestBuy in Honolulu and San Diego area in mid December. Perhaps those areas are outliers, but I see no evidence that Surface was flying off the shelves.

http://news.cnet.com/8301-10805_3-57566759-75/microsoft-surface-sales-well-below-shipments-says-isuppli/
 
These estimates are all BS anyways. Wait for companies to announce how many they sold, I remember when Samsung's actual tablet numbers came out during the trial all these analysts had huge eggs on their faces.
 
These estimates are all BS anyways. Wait for companies to announce how many they sold, I remember when Samsung's actual tablet numbers came out during the trial all these analysts had huge eggs on their faces.

Is Apple the only company that releases tablet sales numbers? I know Amazon doesn't mention anything specific but just vague percentages.
 
These estimates are all BS anyways. Wait for companies to announce how many they sold, I remember when Samsung's actual tablet numbers came out during the trial all these analysts had huge eggs on their faces.

None do other than Apple. MS and Amazon point blank refuse to ever do so, and Samsung only did due to the trial.
 
I wonder what the sales would have been like if they priced it at $299....

I wonder what the sales would have been like if they gave it away for free....




By selling at a loss they would have done themselves more harm than good.
 
I don't understand how I know what they need to do, but MS just cant seem to get the hang of it.
Is it a case of rose colored glasses being handed out in Redmond?

MS think cuatomers want their devices.
They thought in Japan a few token releases would sell the 360 and that Windows 8/RT would bring Windows to tablets. Thus it would sell, after all its windows and its theirs.

MS in both cases ignored the differences between the market their device was made to target and the market they were expanding into. They ignore the competition and general success of these markets and expect every time that the market is somehow missing them.

RT has brought nothing new and its behind the two leading platforms in a variety of ways. It offers no real niche or benefit to the customer.
 
I'm always a bit stunned how extremely enthusiastic some people around here have been for Surface.

It's a very nicely designed product, with a very good touch interface OS, and with innovative keyboard covers that none of the competition can offer.

So you're stunned because enthusiasts would buy products the general public may be less interested in?
 
I hope more manufacturers will release Windows RT tablets and that soon more chipsets will be supported.

Ideally, if RT ran on all ARM chipsets nothing would stand in the way of OEMs to release both an Android and a Windows version of all tablets. I believe a lot more people would opt for the Windows version ('here's the same tablet with the full Office!').

Right now OEMs seemingly put a lot more effort into their Android devices. Looking at the Windows 8 launch it's no surprise that Windows tablets didn't sell.
 
Wasn't the Surface only being sold in Microsoft Stores and on their website until mid-December? I'm not saying the thing would've flown off the shelves, but it did spend its first several weeks in a limited number of stores so I'm sure that had an impact.
 
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