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[Fahdis]

Well, is it time with the prices and everything else going bonkers? Will consumers speak with their wallets or have times changed where things will sell out regardless?

 

[GamesDontSuck]

I can't see another North American 1983 crash ever happening again. Didn't the market drop by 80% or something wild until Nintendo came along? Gaming is too big today.

However, maybe there will be another crash of sorts. Games are costing too much to develop these days and theres alot of the same ol' same ol' coming out. Imagine if people get tired of the AAA output or another recession happens. Suddenly, people aren't buying alot of games that cost 500 million to develop. That would effect the AAA output. A recession for games of sorts...

 

[Sohurmk833]

Xbox already crashed.

As for the others. They'll certainly lose sales. One more than the other but i see neither Sony nor Nintendo outright crashing in the near future.

 

[RAIDEN1]

Xbox already crashed.

As for the others. They'll certainly lose sales. One more than the other but i see neither Sony nor Nintendo outright crashing in the near future.

Well the Xbox may have crashed these past few years, but Asha is looking to reboot it, so let's see...how does Project Helix fare..

 

[diffusionx]

I hope so.

 

[StueyDuck]

short answer... yes

 

[CentralScrutinizer]

Brother, we are living through it in real time.

Get used to the current graphical capability of hardware because it's gonna stagnate for about fifteen years.

Developers better learn to tone it down and optimize their shit. They also will need to learn how to make actual fun and innovative games again.

 

[Portugeezer]

If someone launches a next-gen console next year, it's going to be rough.

 

[Instant_Classic]

Yes, gaming costs keep increasing while the the player base and sales aren't alongside with it.

 

[Sohurmk833]

Well the Xbox may have crashed these past few years, but Asha is looking to reboot it, so let's see...how does Project Helix fare..

She can reboot what she wants, the Helix is going to be north of $1000 which means it's dead on arrival.

 

[kruis]

There certainly is a crash happening at the moment. We went from consoles becoming cheaper during the course of a generation to consoles becoming significantly more expensive than when they launched. The ongoing AIpocalypse is also runing the PC gamnig business by making essential components more valuable than gold and diamonds. At the same time we see an increasing number of (primarily western) development studios firing people or even closing entirely.

The industry is not in a healthy state at the moment at all.

 

[Akuji]

Well the Xbox may have crashed these past few years, but Asha is looking to reboot it, so let's see...how does Project Helix fare..

I admire the Xbox Fans. They Never give up.

Hopefully xbox does come back stronger then ever but I cant really believe in it.

 

[Cumulus]

I´m not expecting a crash, but something drastic will definitely happen in the AAA realm. That whole business model is just unsustainable with development cost and time getting more and more out of hand.
It´s literally russian roulette by now.
Maybe AI will become a savior here but we`ll see.

 

[RoboFu]

One can only hope

 

[GrayChild]

Yes, but not in the way it was back in 1983. For better or worse the industry is too big and (still) too profitable to become near-extinct.

We're in the "survival of the fittest" stage. And those deemed fit are the ones who can actually cater to their respective audiences rather than their shareholders.

Good times.

 

[Goalus]

Cloud gaming is cheap and easy to use. No one has to buy expensive hardware in order to play games.

 

[Gonzito]

With these hardware prices yeah for sure

 

[PeteBull]

Well, is it time with the prices and everything else going bonkers? Will consumers speak with their wallets or have times changed where things will sell out regardless?

Its not even half as bad as in early/mid 90s if u compare midrange gaming pc price, simply value of the dollar is extremly low now so if u are US gamer or westerner overall u slowly "catching up" to what rest of the world usually paid for having gaming hobby.

Only sctual scenario where gaming industry gonna crash, but we will have way more serious worries by that time- is if/when china finally invades taiwan/ww3 begins.

 

[Hypereides]

I´m not expecting a crash, but something drastic will definitely happen in the AAA realm. That whole business model is just unsustainable with development cost and time getting more and more out of hand.
It´s literally russian roulette by now.
Maybe AI will become a savior here but we`ll see.

I doubt it, but the AAA suits are collectively hoping it will. They just can't face they've made some very short-sighted decisions and the chickens are coming back to roost.

If western AAA had cared about the longevity of their business, and perhaps made more frugal choices, then they wouldn't have found themselves in the current predicament they're in.

For the record, I don't think we'll see a crash, but we might see a course correction, recalibration and contraction.

 

[Laptop1991]

If it doesn't actually crash, it will get a lot smaller or different and just end up being gaming mostly on phones, which i don't do or consider the same, they already priced games too high and sales plummeted, now it's hardware, it's not looking good.

 

[ahtlas7]

Yes.

 

[analog_future]

We aren't "due for" it, because It's already happening right now.

 

[dragonyeuw]

I'm no gaming economist, but as hardware rises you're just cutting more and more people out of the market. Its a self-fulfilling prophecy that, at the very least, the AAA side of development falls further out of whack without the consumer numbers needed to sustain it. Maybe we're moving towards a whale based market where people are fine with $1000+ consoles and $100 games, whatever that amounts to. But I'm personally looking at a gaming future where I'll mostly be digesting smaller scale AAs/Indies on whatever hardware won't cost me a kidney.

 

[MarV0]

We aren't "due for" it, because It's already happening right now.

For every AAA slop that fails 10 Indies succeed by providing gameplay innovations and new experiences.

This is not a crash more like a market shift towards consumer needs that were ignored for a while.

 

[poodaddy]

I actually hope so.

A reset is what this industry desperately needs. Get the bad actors, consultants, money launderers, activists, and trend chasers out and the industry will repair itself, but we need the bottom to drop out for that to happen.

Noone ever said cutting cancer out was a painless procedure, but it's necessary for survival.

 

[lastmessiah]

I think the industry growth will mostly be concentrated in tablets/mobile going forward. I don't think that's necessarily a bad thing either.

 

[Dr.Morris79]

So Much Bloat
So many non jobs
So many crap ideas
So many 'advisers'
So many in roles in an industry they despise
So much friction with customer's
So many arseholes as 'community' managers
So many games no one even wants
So much 'diversity' for the sake of 'diversity'

Is it any wonder if there is one?

Been gaming for 42 years and I wouldnt weep if there was

It needs a bloody good enema.

 

[Plague Doctor]

Yes.

And I feel fine.

 

[Darkmakaimura]

I would be okay with it at least if it's just a Western game crash.

 

[Cakeboxer]

I hope these bloated $200+ million AAA single-player games crash and burn, so we can get back to shorter, more focused games that are cheaper to make and release more quickly. That way, we might finally see some real innovation again instead of studios constantly playing it safe.