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Media Create Sales: Week 23, 2017 (Jun 05 - Jun 11)

Zedark

Member
PREDICTION LEAGUE JULY 2017

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jun 26 to Jul 30):

[NSW] Nintendo Switch Hardware (35 days) - 355k
[PS4] Gundam Versus (25 days) - 230k
[3DS] New Nintendo 2DS XL (18 days) - 130k
[3DS] The Snack World: TreJarers (18 days) - 25k
[3DS] Ever Oasis (18 days) - 25k
[PS4] Final Fantasy XII: The Zodiac Age (18 days) - 70k
[NSW] Splatoon 2 (10 days) - 1050k

Think Splatoon 2 will sell just over 1 million in two weeks of tracking, which will be a great result. Also, I expect 45k for three weeks after ARMS, 150k spike during Splatoon 2 launch and 70k the week after.
 

KAORIII

Neo Member
Every Level 5 new IP has failure written on it and from the old only Yo-Kai Watch still has power left. Layton and Inazuma Eleven revivals will be shadows of the past.

If somehow they manage to maintain or increase Yo-Kai Watch sales it will keep them relevant for some longer. This won't happen on dying 3DS and as a franchise it's far nowadays from forcing its young audience to move from 3DS to expensive Switch.

And these games will sell more than ARMS. They will be fine.
 

Passose

Banned
Every Level 5 new IP has failure written on it and from the old only Yo-Kai Watch still has power left. Layton and Inazuma Eleven revivals will be shadows of the past.

If somehow they manage to maintain or increase Yo-Kai Watch sales it will keep them relevant for some longer. This won't happen on dying 3DS and as a franchise it's far nowadays from forcing its young audience to move from 3DS to expensive Switch.
I think Layton still has some steam in it,a Layton game on the switch while it still has less competition will do good. And come on, even the OG 3ds started out at 25k yen right there
 

hiska-kun

Member
People keep forgetting about Fantasy Life. It has so much potential. It could be their next million seller. No joke.

Even Level 5 forgot about Fantasy Life.

Anyone noticed how Nintendo's biggest Switch games are each launching in the same week of earnings releases? Mario Kart, Splatoon​ 2 and Odyssey so far, makes me wonder what late January could hold.

But Splatoon 2 and the earnings are one week apart, though.
 

Passose

Banned
PREDICTION LEAGUE JULY 2017

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jun 26 to Jul 30):

[NSW] Nintendo Switch Hardware (35 days) - 360k
[PS4] Gundam Versus (25 days) - 274k
[3DS] New Nintendo 2DS XL (18 days) - 200k
[3DS] The Snack World: TreJarers (18 days) - 14k
[3DS] Ever Oasis (18 days) - 22k
[PS4] Final Fantasy XII: The Zodiac Age (18 days) - 120k
[NSW] Splatoon 2 (10 days) - 770k
 

VLQ

Member
PREDICTION LEAGUE JULY 2017

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jun 26 to Jul 30):

[NSW] Nintendo Switch Hardware (35 days) - 255k
[PS4] Gundam Versus (25 days) - 280k
[3DS] New Nintendo 2DS XL (18 days) - 70k
[3DS] The Snack World: TreJarers (18 days) - 65k
[3DS] Ever Oasis (18 days) - 35k
[PS4] Final Fantasy XII: The Zodiac Age (18 days) - 80k
[NSW] Splatoon 2 (10 days) - 950k
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
I thought this was interesting. So I kind of broke down what KT does. Yeah, a mainline Dynasty Warriors looks unlikely. I also think these titles would be unlikely/impossible:

Dead or Alive (Likely won't come to Switch)
Nioh (If they make another one, it probably will be PS4 console exclusive)

These are the series likely or already on the Switch

Winning Post (Has Switch version)
Nobunaga's Ambition (Has Switch version)
Romance of the Three Kingdoms (Has Switch version)
Fatal Frame series (Would likely be Switch if they make another one)
Nights of Azure (Coming to Switch)

To break it up by Divisions:

Tecmo This is probably the division that would be most adverse to making Switch games. They try to push the tech and have an outlook toward the West.

Koei They port their sim games to everything. Even the Wii U. Switch will continue to get them. They will probably continue to not sell that well, but that doesn't seem to matter.

Omega Force. Switch will get FE, One Piece and maybe another Zelda but not main series or Toukiden (they could put one on the Switch, the engine works on the PS3, but they probably won't bother).

Ruby Party Stuff is almost exclusively mobile or handheld (3DS and Vita). The last console title they released was for the PS2. They are not going to move to the PS4 exclusively. They will put something out on the Switch or Switch/PS4 or they will go full mobile (that might be the likely one).

GUST I suppose it depends how Nights of Azure does. But I still don't see them surviving in a PS4 only ecosystem when the Vita is no longer viable. At this time they don't produce the type of titles that wouldn't be possible on the Switch, it matters more if they feel it is worth it.

Random:

Ninja Gaiden I kind of doubt any console will get new one for a while, but would likely skip the switch. Then again the DS got a Ninja Gaiden spinoff game so who knows anymore.

Deception I don't see a new installment this generation. But the engine they used supported both the Vita and PS3, so it would be possible.

Any games I am missing?

This was entire Koei Tecmo support for Wii U.

[WIU] Ninja Gaiden 3: Razor's Edge <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2012.12.08} (¥6.800)
[WIU] Warriors Orochi 3: Hyper <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2012.12.08} (¥6.800)
[WIU] Romance of the Three Kingdoms 12 <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2012.12.13} (¥8.800)
[WIU] Fist of the North Star: Ken's Rage 2 <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2013.01.31} (¥7.800)
[WIU] Romance of the Three Kingdoms 12 with Power-Up Kit <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2013.09.26} (¥9.800)
[WIU] Hyrule Warriors # <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2014.08.14} (¥7.389)

and 3DS

[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2011.02.26} (¥5.800)
[3DS] Dead or Alive: Dimensions <FTG> (Koei Tecmo) {2011.05.19} (¥5.800)
[3DS] FabStyle # <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2011.11.24} (¥5.800)
[3DS] Dynasty Warriors Vs. <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2012.04.26} (¥5.800)
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles 2nd <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2012.09.13} (¥5.800)
[3DS] Nobunaga's Ambition # <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2013.09.19} (¥4.800)
[3DS] Nobunaga's Ambition & Romance of the Three Kingdoms Twin Pack {Nobunaga's Ambition \ Romance of the Three Kingdoms} <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2013.09.19} (¥8.800)
[3DS] Romance of the Three Kingdoms # <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2013.09.19} (¥4.800)
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles 3 # <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2014.12.04} (¥5.800)
[3DS] La Corda d'Oro 3: Full Voice Special # <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.02.26} (¥5.800)
[3DS] Atelier Rorona Plus: The Alchemist of Arland # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.06.04} (¥5.800)
[3DS] Nobunaga's Ambition 2 # <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.08.06} (¥4.800)
[3DS] Nobunaga's Ambition 2 & Romance of the Three Kingdoms 2 Twin Pack {Nobunaga's Ambition 2 \ Romance of the Three Kingdoms 2} <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.08.06} (¥8.800)
[3DS] Romance of the Three Kingdoms 2 # <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.08.06} (¥4.800)
[3DS] Hyrule Warriors Legends # <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2016.01.21} (¥5.800)
[3DS] Attack on Titan: Escape from Certain Death # <ADV> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.05.11} (¥5.800)
 

Bruno MB

Member
I collected our Dragon Quest XI predictions for the full year. About 3,4 million between both versions, it is a pretty realistic prediction, but the splits will probably be more favourable to PlayStation 4 than the predicted 75:25 in favour of Nintendo 3DS.

[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 4.000.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 3.400.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 3.250.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 3.200.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 3.120.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 3.100.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 3.000.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 3.000.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 3.000.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.910.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.876.543
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.842.218
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.836.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.800.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.789.012
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.604.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.600.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.600.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.550.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.500.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.500.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.500.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.500.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.499.999
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.400.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.350.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.250.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.240.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.137.859
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.040.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 2.000.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 1.955.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 1.750.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 1.500.000
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 1.500.000

GAF Average - 2.602.875


[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 1.630.500
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 1.200.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 1.150.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 1.100.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 1.100.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 1.021.782
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 1.000.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 1.000.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 990.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 960.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 900.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 899.999
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 864.689
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 864.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 850.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 806.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 801.234
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 800.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 800.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 800.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 800.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 789.012
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 784.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 750.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 750.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 700.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 700.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 700.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 600.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 600.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 600.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 506.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 500.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 450.000
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 450.000

GAF Average - 834.778
 

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
This was entire Koei Tecmo support for Wii U.

[WIU] Ninja Gaiden 3: Razor's Edge <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2012.12.08} (¥6.800)
[WIU] Warriors Orochi 3: Hyper <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2012.12.08} (¥6.800)
[WIU] Romance of the Three Kingdoms 12 <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2012.12.13} (¥8.800)
[WIU] Fist of the North Star: Ken's Rage 2 <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2013.01.31} (¥7.800)
[WIU] Romance of the Three Kingdoms 12 with Power-Up Kit <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2013.09.26} (¥9.800)
[WIU] Hyrule Warriors # <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2014.08.14} (¥7.389)

and 3DS

[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2011.02.26} (¥5.800)
[3DS] Dead or Alive: Dimensions <FTG> (Koei Tecmo) {2011.05.19} (¥5.800)
[3DS] FabStyle # <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2011.11.24} (¥5.800)
[3DS] Dynasty Warriors Vs. <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2012.04.26} (¥5.800)
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles 2nd <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2012.09.13} (¥5.800)
[3DS] Nobunaga's Ambition # <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2013.09.19} (¥4.800)
[3DS] Nobunaga's Ambition & Romance of the Three Kingdoms Twin Pack {Nobunaga's Ambition \ Romance of the Three Kingdoms} <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2013.09.19} (¥8.800)
[3DS] Romance of the Three Kingdoms # <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2013.09.19} (¥4.800)
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles 3 # <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2014.12.04} (¥5.800)
[3DS] La Corda d'Oro 3: Full Voice Special # <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.02.26} (¥5.800)
[3DS] Atelier Rorona Plus: The Alchemist of Arland # <RPG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.06.04} (¥5.800)
[3DS] Nobunaga's Ambition 2 # <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.08.06} (¥4.800)
[3DS] Nobunaga's Ambition 2 & Romance of the Three Kingdoms 2 Twin Pack {Nobunaga's Ambition 2 \ Romance of the Three Kingdoms 2} <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.08.06} (¥8.800)
[3DS] Romance of the Three Kingdoms 2 # <SLG> (Koei Tecmo) {2015.08.06} (¥4.800)
[3DS] Hyrule Warriors Legends # <ACT> (Koei Tecmo) {2016.01.21} (¥5.800)
[3DS] Attack on Titan: Escape from Certain Death # <ADV> (Koei Tecmo) {2017.05.11} (¥5.800)

Adding a bit more infos

Switch KT's support up to June 15th, 2017

Nobunaga's Ambition: Creation with Power Up Kit
Romance of the Three Kingdoms XIII with Power Up Kit
Nobunaga's Ambition: Taishi
Nights of Azure 2
Champion Jockey Special
Winning Post 8 2017
Fire Emblem Warriors

All these games have already released / will be released (barring delays) during this year.

3DS KT's support in its first year

Samurai Warriors: Chronicles
Dead or Alive Dimensions
FabStyle

PSV KT's support in its first year

Dynasty Warriors Next
Ninja Gaiden Sigma Plus
Nobunaga's Ambition: Way of Heaven with Power-Up Kit

Wii U KT's support in its first year

Ninja Gaiden 3: Razor's Edge
Warriors Orochi 3 Hyper
Romance of the Three Kingdoms 12
Ken's Rage: Fist of the North Star 2
Romance of the Three Kingdoms 12 with Power-Up Kit

PS4 KT's support in its first year

Dynasty Warriors 8 with Xtreme Legends
Nobunaga's Ambition: Sphere of Influence
Nobunaga's Ambition Online: Tenka Mugen no Shou
Warriors Orochi 3: Ultimate
Samurai Warriors 4
Dynasty Warriors 8: Empires
Nobunaga's Ambition: Sphere of Influence with Power-Up Kit
 

Laplasakos

Member
I wonder if Sony will ressurect Freedom Wars now that MH World is coming to PS4. Only one ''hunting'' game is left now without a platform. God Eater 3.
 
PSV KT's support in its first year

Dynasty Warriors Next
Ninja Gaiden Sigma Plus
Nobunaga's Ambition: Way of Heaven with Power-Up Kit

AFAIK Ciel no Surge & Atelier Totori Plus were both published by K-T as they were after they bought out Gust.
 

cacildo

Member
I dont usually follow this thread, but what happened to Minecraft Switch in japan? Did they never release it there or it just didnt caught on?
 

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
AFAIK Ciel no Surge & Atelier Totori Plus were both published by K-T as they were after they bought out Gust.

Given your remake, I just checked on Amazon Atelier Totori Plus' cover (the one which was released later in 2012), and it still shows the same logo as the original Atelier Totori

81GZC9KCrIL._SL1474_.jpg

On the contrary, Gust games published by Koei Tecmo display the following logo


With a label under the original logo, stating "Published by Koei Tecmo". So, I suppose both 2012's Vita games were, indeed, published directly by Gust.
 
PREDICTION LEAGUE JULY 2017

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jun 26 to Jul 30):

[NSW] Nintendo Switch Hardware (35 days) - 260k
[PS4] Gundam Versus (25 days) - 220k
[3DS] New Nintendo 2DS XL (18 days) - 101k
[3DS] The Snack World: TreJarers (18 days) - 31k
[3DS] Ever Oasis (18 days) - 32k
[PS4] Final Fantasy XII: The Zodiac Age (18 days) - 85k
[NSW] Splatoon 2 (10 days) - 850k
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
PREDICTION LEAGUE JULY 2017

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jun 26 to Jul 30):

[NSW] Nintendo Switch Hardware (35 days) - 321.098
[PS4] Gundam Versus (25 days) - 234.567
[3DS] New Nintendo 2DS XL (18 days) - 123.456
[3DS] The Snack World: TreJarers (18 days) - 34.567
[3DS] Ever Oasis (18 days) - 23.456
[PS4] Final Fantasy XII: The Zodiac Age (18 days) - 98.765
[NSW] Splatoon 2 (10 days) - 987.654
 

schuelma

Wastes hours checking old Famitsu software data, but that's why we love him.
Splatoon 2 sounds like a safe guess, still stuff to cover with that game.

Seems likely. Probably wait a week or two to let ARMS have some room, then the all out push starts.
 
PREDICTION LEAGUE JULY 2017

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jun 26 to Jul 30):

[NSW] Nintendo Switch Hardware (35 days) - 266,555
[PS4] Gundam Versus (25 days) - 166,777
[3DS] New Nintendo 2DS XL (18 days) - 88,999
[3DS] The Snack World: TreJarers (18 days) - 67,676
[3DS] Ever Oasis (18 days) - 32,333
[PS4] Final Fantasy XII: The Zodiac Age (18 days) - 134,567
[NSW] Splatoon 2 (10 days) - 788,999

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

.
 
Given your remake, I just checked on Amazon Atelier Totori Plus' cover (the one which was released later in 2012), and it still shows the same logo as the original Atelier Totori



On the contrary, Gust games published by Koei Tecmo display the following logo



With a label under the original logo, stating "Published by Koei Tecmo". So, I suppose both 2012's Vita games were, indeed, published directly by Gust.

For some reason I have K-T's logo on the Ciel no Surge box:


(I'm presuming that's not the box for Reincarnation, which I believe is this):


Maybe you're right though. Can't find any Atelier Totori boxes with the logo on.
 

Kanann

Member
And I sit here waiting for variety direct :/

One game direct is kind of boring, there combo it for 2-3 direct now.
 

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
Super Bomberman R tops 100K!

Also, quite consistent sales for Dragon Quest Heroes I-II for Nintendo Switch off the charts, at least in the past few weeks

Week 20, 2017 {2017.05.15 - 2017.05.21}

47./39. [NSW] Dragon Quest Heroes I & II for Nintendo Switch (Square Enix) {2017.03.03} - 744 / 50,866

Week 23, 2017 {2017.06.05 - 2017.06.11}

49./52. [NSW] Dragon Quest Heroes I & II for Nintendo Switch (Square Enix) {2017.03.03} - 783 / 53,066

Sales from Week 21 to Week 23, 2017 - 2,200
Average - 733

I suppose something similar is going on for Puyo Puyo Tetris S, at least.

EDIT: I've also updated my comparison post to include Winning Post 8 2017.

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=240705720&postcount=22
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
And I sit here waiting for variety direct :/

One game direct is kind of boring, there combo it for 2-3 direct now.
General Direct that covers what?

Everything is dated for Q3. Maybe there will be a fast preview for the releases of next 2-3 months but it will be focused around Splatoon 2.

Fall direct will be the interesting one.
 

Laplasakos

Member
Also, quite consistent sales for Dragon Quest Heroes I-II for Nintendo Switch off the charts, at least in the past few weeks

Week 20, 2017 {2017.05.15 - 2017.05.21}

47./39. [NSW] Dragon Quest Heroes I & II for Nintendo Switch (Square Enix) {2017.03.03} - 744 / 50,866

Week 23, 2017 {2017.06.05 - 2017.06.11}

49./52. [NSW] Dragon Quest Heroes I & II for Nintendo Switch (Square Enix) {2017.03.03} - 783 / 53,066

Sales from Week 21 to Week 23, 2017 - 2,200
Average - 733

I suppose something similar is going on for Puyo Puyo Tetris S, at least.

EDIT: I've also updated my comparison post to include Winning Post 8 2017.

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=240705720&postcount=22

Dragon Quest Heroes 1-2 performance is quite disappointing imho. It's not that i was expecting some crazy number like 100k but after seeing how well Switch was doing I was hoping for better numbers.
 
11./13. [3DS] Pokemon Sun / Moon <RPG> (Pokemon Co.) {2016.11.18} (¥4.980) - 2.935 / 3.272.444 (-11%)
12./17. [3DS] Animal Crossing: New Leaf - Welcome amiibo <ETC> (Nintendo) {2016.11.23} (¥2.700) - 2.925 / 187.599 (+3%)
13./16. [3DS] Super Mario Maker for Nintendo 3DS <ACT> (Nintendo) {2016.12.01} (¥4.700) - 2.725 / 1.049.802 (-8%)

These games got legs so listen up dudes


maybe you meant this :

18./25. [PSV] Minecraft: PlayStation Vita Edition # <ADV> (Sony Computer Entertainment) {2015.03.19} (¥2.400) - 1.773 / 981.706 <80-100%> (+6%)


but it's not on 3DS so I see your point
 
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