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GAF Oscar Pool

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C

Charles Foster Kane

Rosebud
Since I don't think we've had an Oscar prediction thread in a while, I thought it'd be fun to have one.

Following tradition, here's the value breakdown:

Best Picture (10%)
Directing (8%)
Actor in a Leading Role (8%)
Actress in a Leading Role (8%)
Supporting Actor (6%)
Supporting Actress (6%)
Writing (Original Screenplay) (5%)
Writing (Adapted Screenplay) (5%)
Animated Feature Film (4%)
Original Song (4%)
Original Score (4%)
Cinematography (4%)
Film Editing (3%)
Art Direction (3%)
Costume Design (3%)
Makeup (3%)
Sound Mixing (3%)
Sound Editing (3%)
Visual Effects (3%)
Foreign Language Film (2%)
Documentary Feature (2%)
Documentary Shor (1%)
Short Film (Animated) (1%)
Short Film (Live Action) (1%)

I created a google form, go there and vote! I already checked it and it works fine.


Winner gets nothing, just the pride of winning. lol

Responses summary.

EDIT:

Results: username, points/number of correct predictions.

1. UberTag 98/22
2. ViewtifulJC 96/21
3. Cowlibob 94/21
4. BrickArts295 93/21
5. CerealCycle 92/20
**. Fey 92/19
7. jett 91/19
**. Cerberus 91/21
**. -Kees- 91/20
**. DMczaf 91/21
**. DrStyles 91/19
12. Please activate my account 90/18
**. Tpthrlldragster 90/20
14. hal9001 88/18
**. BowieZ 88/18
16. Ridley327 87/18
**. mxgt 87/19
**. informer07 87/18
**. Newjeruse 87/18
**. Charles Foster Kane 87/18
**. Dawg 87/19
**. trh 87/18
23. kingkitty 86/19
**. Meier 86/19
25. Ampersands 85/18
26. Wilbur 84/18
27. PushTheButtonMax 83/16
**. pauljeremiah 83/18
**. Wes 83/19
30. Phire Phox 82/17
**. Fancy Clown 82/17
32. Moppeh 81/17
**. FaidSint 81/20
34. breakfuss 80/16
**. Dewd 80/18
**. Linius 80/15
**. Cartman86 80/16
38. robotrock 79/16
39. Freewheelin' 78/15
**. RatskyWatsky 78/17
**. notrollious 78/16
**. Kal 78/16
**. CreeperBlocks 78/16
44. Kubricks Ghost 76/15
**. Inferno313 76/15
**. dany m 76/16
**. Deputy Dangle 76/16
**. Bo-Locks 76/16
49. WyndhamPrice 75/18
**. aY227 75/15
**. Mairu 75/16
 
R

Raxus

Member
The shorts were brutal. I have no f'ing clue what to pick. I feel confident about some of my picks however.
 
W

WJD

Member
The ones I feel relatively confident about:

Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave
Best Director: Alfonso Cuarón for Gravity
Best Actor: Chiwetel Ejiofor for 12 Years a Slave
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine
Best Supporting Actor: Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers Club
Best Supporting Actress: Lupita Nyong'o for 12 Years a Slave
Best Original Screenplay: American Hustle: Eric Warren Singer, David O. Russell
Best Animated Feature Film: Frozen
Best Foreign Language Film: The Hunt: Thomas Vinterberg(Denmark)
Cinematography: Gravity: Emmanuel Lubezki
Editing: Gravity: Alfonso Cuarón, Mark Sanger
Original Song: Frozen: Kristen Anderson-Lopez, Robert Lopez("Let It Go")
Best Sound Mixing: Gravity: Skip Lievsay, Niv Adiri, Christopher Benstead, Chris Munro
Best Sound Editing: Gravity: Glenn Freemantle
Best Visual Effects: Gravity: Timothy Webber, Chris Lawrence, David Shirk, Neil Corbould
Best Documentary Feature: The Act of Killing: Joshua Oppenheimer, Signe Byrge Sørensen
 
A

AkuMifune

Banned
I think Hollywood will fall over themselves to give 12 Years a Slave everything they can, but at the same time you can't stop the Mcconaissance. Gravity the leftovers.
 
D

Double D

Member
I just voted despite not having a clue about anything. The only movie I've seen on that list is Gravity. This feels like March Madness.
 
L

Linkyn

Member
Having not seen any of the foreign films or documentaries, I couldn't vote for those. I also have virtually no knowledge of proper sound editing etc. The only categories I feeel relatively strongly about are picture, director, actors / actresses and animated feature.

As an aside, anyone got a decent stream for a poor student in the UK without TV access?

My picks are

Picture: 12 Years a Slave
Director: Alfonso Cuarón for Gravity
Actor: Chiwetel Ejofor in 12 Years a Slave
Actress: Cate Blanchett in Blue Jasmine
Supporting Actor: Michael Fassbender in 12 Years a Slave
Supporting Actress: Jennifer Lawrence in American Hustle
Original Screenplay: Spike Jonze for Her
Adapted Screenplay: John Ridley for 12 Years a Slave
Animated Feature Film: Frozen
Original Score: William Butler and Andy Koyama for Her
Original Song: Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez for "Let It Go"

All the technical and production awards go to Gravity, with the exception of Costume Design (American Hustle), Production Design (12 Years a Slave) and Hair & Makeup (Dallas Buyers Club).

Edit: Cleanup
 
B

Bobby Roberts

Banned
WJD said:
This would be ideal, I just see American Hustle as far more Academy-friendly.
Click to expand...

Yeah, but on that count - the Academy isn't all that friendly to comedies, which is what Wolf of Wall Street and American Hustle are. Big, loud comedies. When given the choice, the Academy will almost NEVER pick a comedy over a meaningful drama (like 12 Years, or Gravity) unless it's in a category like Best Supporting Actor/Actress or Best Screenplay.

Which is why I'm picking Jennifer Lawrence for Best Supporting Actress and Her for Best Original Screenplay.

edit: Looking at your ballot, we're simpatico on our picks EXCEPT for the major ones: I gave McQueen best Director, McConaughey Best Actor ("He's Due" will be the thinking there) Bullock Best Actress (Prom Queens, remember) JLaw for Supporting Actress, and Her for Original Screenplay.
 
W

WJD

Member
BobbyRoberts said:
Yeah, but on that count - the Academy isn't all that friendly to comedies, which is what Wolf of Wall Street and American Hustle are. Big, loud comedies. When given the choice, the Academy will almost NEVER pick a comedy over a meaningful drama (like 12 Years, or Gravity) unless it's in a category like Best Supporting Actor/Actress or Best Screenplay.

Which is why I'm picking Jennifer Lawrence for Best Supporting Actress and Her for Best Original Screenplay.

edit: Looking at your ballot, we're simpatico on our picks EXCEPT for the major ones: I gave McQueen best Director, McConaughey Best Actor ("He's Due" will be the thinking there) Bullock Best Actress (Prom Queens, remember) JLaw for Supporting Actress, and Her for Original Screenplay.
Click to expand...

Agree that it's a toss-up between McQueen and Cuaron, but I see an Argo/Ang Lee scenario playing out between the two in terms of the director/picture split.

Disagree on McConaughey though (as much as I loved him in DBC) and just can't see past Chiwetel.

Not sure on Bullock to be honest and I still feel fairly confident about Blanchett.

Jennifer Lawrence wouldn't surprise me but really, I thought her Silver Lining's Playbook performance was miles ahead of American Hustle.

Would absolutely love Her to win Original Screenplay and for that reason alone would be surprised if it happened.
 
R

RumblingRosco

Member
Here are my picks. I don't necessarily agree with them, but they are what I expect to win; submitted these picks using the OP's form:

Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave
Best Director: Alfonso Cuarón for Gravity
Best Actor: Christian Bale for American Hustle
Best Actress: Meryl Streep for August: Osage County
Best Supporting Actor: Jonah Hill for The Wolf of Wall Street
Best Supporting Actress: Jennifer Lawrence for American Hustle
Best Original Screenplay: Her: Spike Jonze
Best Adapted Screenplay: 12 Years a Slave: John Ridley
Best Animated Feature Film: Frozen
Best Foreign Language Film: The Hunt: Thomas Vinterberg(Denmark)
Cinematography: Gravity: Emmanuel Lubezki
Editing: Gravity: Alfonso Cuarón, Mark Sanger
Production Design: The Great Gatsby: Catherine Martin, Beverley Dunn
Costume Design: 12 Years a Slave: Patricia Norris
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: The Lone Ranger: Joel Harlow, Gloria Pasqua Casny
Original Score: Saving Mr. Banks: Thomas Newman
Original Song: Frozen: Kristen Anderson-Lopez, Robert Lopez("Let It Go")
Best Sound Mixing: Gravity: Skip Lievsay, Niv Adiri, Christopher Benstead, Chris Munro
Best Sound Editing: Gravity: Glenn Freemantle
Best Visual Effects: The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug: Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon, David Clayton, Eric Reynolds
Best Documentary Feature: The Act of Killing: Joshua Oppenheimer, Signe Byrge Sørensen[/QUOTE]
Best Documentary Short: Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall: Edgar Barens
Best Animated Short: Feral: Daniel Sousa, Dan Golden
Best Live Action Short: Helium: Anders Walter
 
H

hat_hair

Member
Divius said:
I wonder how overwhelmed by lurker entries you'll be, CFK.
Click to expand...

I'm constantly lurking, and I entered.
Gravity is a lock for best visual effects.
Frozen will probably win best animated feature, but I'm glad Ernest and Celestine got some recognition there.
 
W

Wilbur

Banned
Just voted. Can I see who voted for what?

Picture - 12YAS
Director - Cuaron
Actor - McConaughey
Actress - Blanchett
S Actor - Leto
S Actress - Lawrence
O Screenplay - Her
A Screenplay - 12YAS
Animated - Frozen
Foreign - Great Beauty
Cinematography - Gravity
Editing - Gravity
Production - 12YAS
Costume - American Hustle
Make Up - DBC
Score - Gravity
Song - Let It Go
Sound Mix - Gravity
Sound Editing - Gravity
VFX - Gravity
Documentary - Act of Killing
 
S

Senoculum

Member
I voted for Gravity in everything except best actress. That's a tough one. It deserves Best Director, but it may lose out. And it may lose Best Picture, but it deserves it because the film as a whole was a transcendental experience. The journey was real man...

12 Years a Slave was a solid piece of work, but the film plods in the second act.

Best Supporting Actor for Captain Phillips, because I thought they pulled a legitimate Somali terrorist into the movie. He was fantastic; realistic and above all frightening.
 
D

daydream

Banned
Put in my vote. Should be an interesting evening. My money's on '12 Years', Leo for Best Actor and Blanchett for Best Actress.
 
W

War Peaceman

You're a big guy.
Voted, I was wavering between 12 Years and Dallas Buyers Club for several of the major categories and went with what I know (12 Years a Slave), rather than my hunch for what might win (McConaughey).
 
T

TheKaeptain

Banned
I voted. Gravity is going to win best picture. McQueen will win best director. Also, I hate JLaw and think she sucked AH but she is going to win. She shouldn't but she is the "it" girl.
 
L

Linkyn

Member
icarus-daedelus said:
Make-up category is the best this year, as usual.

Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa
Dallas Buyers Club
The Lone Ranger
Click to expand...

I only watched DBC very recently, and despite knowing Leto was in it and having met him in person, I didn't recognise him until the movie was over.
 
D

D4Danger

Unconfirmed Member
Done. I don't know about some so I just picked the first answer.

I think Gravity will win big. Best picture and director + all the technical stuff
 
P

Peru

Member
Awww yess. Some meaty categories this year. Much potential for wrong picks. Some locks have become more uncertain in the final weeks.
 
R

Ridley327

Member
I see a lot of people picking JLaw for supporting actress, but aren't we forgetting an important detail here? She won last year, and the Academy isn't fond of back-to-back wins, even in different categories. I think that Hanks is still paying undue penance because of that.
 
T

TheKaeptain

Banned
Ridley327 said:
I see a lot of people picking JLaw for supporting actress, but aren't we forgetting an important detail here? She won last year, and the Academy isn't fond of back-to-back wins, even in different categories. I think that Hanks is still paying undue penance because of that.
Click to expand...

I hope I am wrong. In fact I voted for who is more likely going to win. I hope I am wrong about a lot of things. I need 12 Years a Slave to sweep just to see twitter-racist cry.


EDIT: and Bruce Dren is getting his.
 
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