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Legend of Zelda Mafia |OT| A Lynch to the Past

Natiko

Banned
I'm mondo tired and feel like crap though so I'm checking out. I'll be back before day end to respond to anything relevant.
 

nin1000

Banned
For what it's worth, I don't think the bolded is a particularly helpful alignment tell for nin, at least based on past experience.

In Election Mafia, I had a 1-shot Public alignment check which I used on nin on day 1. The majority of players believed my claim pretty quickly and therefore trusted the Town return result that nin received through my ability.

That didn't stop nin from still posting a load of fluff and role playing posts as Obama. It got quite frustrating at times when he was the only one I could fully trust and he wasn't trying to solve the game like I had hoped.


Maybe it's different this time, but I feel it's relevant enough to bring up and consider.

I did not know that and sincerely apologize.
 

nin1000

Banned
Not gonna lie , but that unvoting in the last minute of the prior day phase is still something that stands out to me.

Will probably put a vote down soon.
 
Null
melonrabbit - Has been a relative non-entity today. I don't have great feelings about her so she's closer to scum than town, but I don't feel as strongly as I previously did. Think she may just be a frustrated townie.
I really don't get how you can say the underlined given the back and forth with cabot. Not to mention the several people, myself included, that scum-read her.
Lean Scum
AbsolutBro -

Seeding the ground for his later vote shenanigans and missing the target.


The Stanley read is all fluff. The acohrs one reeks of "Let me throw a few pot shots at my teammate but then not actually follow through on it".
I was responding to others who made that comment about me and agreeing with it, because it's true. And yes, my reads on several people in that post weren't great, because it was D1. I even made a "fluff" read on Nin that is in another post. I'm not trying to defend my weak D1 reads, it is something I need to work on, but at the very least I'm consistent in my D1 mediocrity. :-\

So you made a mistake by not following the vote count because you had multiple tabs open tracking the thread and missed..the votes..? Perhaps these multiple tabs you were tracking weren't explicitly the game thread.
Careful you don't hurt yourself stretching here. Between the reply tab, current postcount tab, search tab and up-to-date thread tab, I missed some posts. It happens.

my only real scum read on AB are these:
The second bolded point is in response to something I asked Natiko, but this is uh, a lot of mechanics speculation at a point in the game where we really don't have any real idea of how it works, and we won't know more until the phases progress. I felt this was too unnecessary and it was probably one of a handful of times AB has been really engaged in this game.
I mean, the first is a direct response to Ty4on's question, and the second (while not directed at me) was meant to both try to clarify with anecdotal experience, and to point out that detailing the item Natiko received (and speculating on others) should probably be avoided because scum can both see and influence that discussion. Sorry if that wasn't clear.

As to Magnum, I am kind of withholding judgement for now. On the one hand, he feels like a town who feels like they have a lead and is doggedly pursuing. On the other, having never played with Magnum before I can't say if that would be his scum cover/MO. On the third, mutant, hand, his vote on me is his only post after I prod voted but at least it gives a detailed explanation of why (even if I disagree, naturally).

I think we have about 12 hours left, and I only have a little bit before family stuff starts up, but I will try to be on end day, at least on mobile. My feelings on Melon haven't changed and that's probably where my vote will land, but I want to try to reread Kawl, Kyan and *Splinter. If I survive the next day/night phases, I'm home all week because of inauguration, so I'll be around a lot more.
 

*Splinter

Member
seems like every other point requires you to believe that at least 1 of his own reads are just blatantly correct.
I liked a lot of Natiko's post, but I did notice this as well.

For example:
Good call, got some criticism in on your teammate all while pushing it off for later AND blending him in with someone innocent. Though oddly I wonder if anyone else has done something similar..
This sounds like he's caught Stan bussing a teammate, but it assumes that Absolut is scum AND that Magnum is town (the latter assumption being especially eyebrow raising).
 

nin1000

Banned
give me a 3000 word essay on your feelings on the current situation.

Not as crazy as it seems.
Cabot what are your thoughts on natiko on this situation.

So you made a mistake by not following the vote count because you had multiple tabs open tracking the thread and missed..the votes..? Perhaps these multiple tabs you were tracking weren't explicitly the game thread.
 

CzarTim

Member
2995 to go.

any thoughts from natikos post young Tim?
I think that was a p good post. I'd say that maybe made me feel a bit worse about Bronx again because I had forgotten those posts.

Not sure what to make of Stanley right now. Not acting like he particularly cares he's in the running.
 

*Splinter

Member
*Splinter -

Don't really follow the Stanley logic here. You go from making note of his posting, but even saying you like the change to them voting for him based on the change. Shout out to the AB mention and then instant brush off. This is the lightest of my scum reads to be fair and I'll fully admit part of it is due to me thinking of those that voted for acohrs if any of them are scum I'm leaning Splinter or nin. I also feel like Splinter has done a lot of posting without sharing much of meaning, kind of like Ty4on got accused of D1 by a few of you.
The bolded isn't really true, but I think I didn't explain it very clearly so maybe that's my fault.

My D1 read of Stanley was that there was "a difference" and he was making more of an effort than usual. I considered two possible reasons for that:
1) He's trying harder because he can be a bit low activity sometimes and often ends up in the blender list.
2) He's scum.
For D1, I chose to go with the former - in part because I don't want to trap somewhere in a box where they have to keep being low activity or they get scumread. Stan looked like he would be playing more, cool, let him keep that up and I'd have more opportunities to analyse him and determine his alignment.

End of D1 his vote was revealed to be scummy (I don't remember why at this moment), and that extra context makes me consider option 2 more strongly. So I'd say my scumread was more based on his D1 vote, and the playstyle change was just used as backup.


Also, for AB I only really had one thing to mention, and it was the vote that I had already talked about at the start of the day phase (maybe I should have repeated it). Apart from that he's a fairly solid null, maybe lean town for being consistent with past games.
 

Ty4on

Member
I was responding to others who made that comment about me and agreeing with it, because it's true. And yes, my reads on several people in that post weren't great, because it was D1. I even made a "fluff" read on Nin that is in another post. I'm not trying to defend my weak D1 reads, it is something I need to work on, but at the very least I'm consistent in my D1 mediocrity. :-\

Weren't your reads in Vampire pretty good? You were suspicious of batsnacks and Hobo D1, both scum.
 

Ty4on

Member
Alright, so there's this movie called "For Love of the Game", a baseball movie staring Kevin Costner who plays an aging pitcher who is playing in his final game. Over the course of the movie, people realize that he's on his way to pitching a no-hitter. In the final inning, the rival coach sends out a rookie pinch-hitter to bat. The reason for this is because the new guy would be the least likely to be intimidated by either a talented pitcher or the significance of their last game being a no-hitter.

To bring it back, I think CCS is the new guy and Sorian is Kevin Costner. The scum team probably went for fran for the reasons CzarTim gave, while CCS may have been the one to go for one of our most experienced players. If that's the case, he's either a neutral SK or vigilante who's cost us a townie while playing pretty anti-town.

That's oddly specific. I wanna hear more about this and CCS posts you think support this theory.
 
Weren't your reads in Vampire pretty good? You were suspicious of batsnacks and Hobo D1, both scum.

Batsnacks yes, but I don't think I scumread Hobo. Batsnacks did literally the exact thing that someone had just done in Overwatch: find some tiny inconsistency and jump overboard on it. Haven't seen that here. Earliest would maybe be Sorian on Bronx, but even then Sorian both backed away and was going after other players at the same time.

"i know he is town lol GOTCHA! LOLOLOL"

say hi to scum chat from me, i miss it

I can't be the only one not liking this post, the bolded part specifically? Kyanrute has some good hunting posts, and I find myself nodding at his Stan and *Splinter posts. Yet this joke kind of rubs me the wrong way. If he knows those two (Stan/*Splinter) are town, it's easier to put those town reads together.
 

Kawl_USC

Member
Natiko if you come back can you expand on how the missing wolfs in your assumptions change the level of your scum reads?

Like people have said some of the scum reads are presupposed on another still alive player being scum.

If you're going to be making assumptions like that it might be better to post them slashed together or explicitly put out for others to better understand.

That post seems like a lot of solid work, even if some will call it over ambitious in putting forth a solved game. I'm sure kyan will award plus plus townie points for it.
 

Kawl_USC

Member
Batsnacks yes, but I don't think I scumread Hobo. Batsnacks did literally the exact thing that someone had just done in Overwatch: find some tiny inconsistency and jump overboard on it. Haven't seen that here. Earliest would maybe be Sorian on Bronx, but even then Sorian both backed away and was going after other players at the same time.



I can't be the only one not liking this post, the bolded part specifically? Kyanrute has some good hunting posts, and I find myself nodding at his Stan and *Splinter posts. Yet this joke kind of rubs me the wrong way. If he knows those two (Stan/*Splinter) are town, it's easier to put those town reads together.

If it was any one but kyan I'd be worried. He shit posts like this always. Actually the one non scum he had did he do this? Meh regardless I don't see it as particularly NAI for the shit posting swede.
 

Sophia

Member
Going up to the city today to pre-order a switch. Should be here for the last two hours of day's end, but I'll be out before that.
 

Ty4on

Member
^^^^^^ Now that's scummy...

Thread is so quiet sometimes. I still don't get the CSS lynch. Feel pretty confident he's not scum. He isn't very different to the CCS I remember from Pop. I'm scum reading the votes that came in quietly like Stanley's and think we should look at those if CCS is lynched and flips town.
Can't make out a clear scum read along the low activity group. AB, Bronx, Ynnek and Stanley all look bad to me. Terra and Magnum kinda null and maybe leaning town on Nin

Anyhow, town reads

Kawl - While I disagree with the CCS lynch it seems like a weird thing for scum to focus so much attention on. I'd have love to see more, but his tone is alright. He seems to really believe in the importance of the CCS lynch. I think scum are piggybacking this lynch rather than creating it.

Natiko - I've had so much uncertainty about him, but that means he's the player I've read the most thoroughly so I feel quite confident he is town. Lots of little things, going against the flow, finding small details, having strong opinions, claiming the night actions which I feel like scum would avoid and if scum he's probably lying which makes it even less likely IMO.

CzarTim - Haven't read him nearly as closely as I should have today, but he felt good yesterday. Had a read of me which changed, I like when reads change a bit, and was very negative of acohrs. Lots of small interactions with him where he was criticising him.

*Splinter - This is also mostly stuff from yesterday. Scum!Spinter is usually a lot more aggressive, controlling and interested in pushing an agenda, but here he has been more laidback and giving reads which is what he also did in his last games as town.

Cabot - Nothing sticks out, but that's kinda what he's always like. When I go deeper his posts are always thoughtful and don't give the impression of being analysis for analysis' sake.

Kyanrute - I need to give him a closer look, but right now looking quite good on the surface. He's used to being scum and good at staying out of sight, but his vote on D1 hit at a very important time and his analysis wasn't bad.
 

Natiko

Banned
I really don't get how you can say the underlined given the back and forth with cabot. Not to mention the several people, myself included, that scum-read her.
I don't mean non-entity in terms of others discussing her, I mean I don't think she has shared much of worth in D2. Her play in D1 got criticism and now in D2 her only real discussion has been centered around Cabot who I'm pretty sure just about everyone except nin and her town read. If she was scum though I don't think she would be playing so frustrated nor do I think she would solo push Cabot so hard currently. It just doesn't seem likely so for now she's null.
I liked a lot of Natiko's post, but I did notice this as well.

For example:

This sounds like he's caught Stan bussing a teammate, but it assumes that Absolut is scum AND that Magnum is town (the latter assumption being especially eyebrow raising).
I would posit this, if you are on the scum team and you've already lost a teammate D1 not to mention D1 your vote was considered pretty garbage by everyone - would you deem it the best strategy to come back and double down on it? I just don't buy it personally. He would've been better able to blend in had he voted for melon or CCS.
Natiko if you come back can you expand on how the missing wolfs in your assumptions change the level of your scum reads?

Like people have said some of the scum reads are presupposed on another still alive player being scum.

If you're going to be making assumptions like that it might be better to post them slashed together or explicitly put out for others to better understand.

That post seems like a lot of solid work, even if some will call it over ambitious in putting forth a solved game. I'm sure kyan will award plus plus townie points for it.
Well I noted before that the reason those posts get highlighted is you can see it across the theoretical scum that they did similar things that for the most part none of the other plays have done.

Along with that there are tiers for a reason, I think Bronx and Stan look scummy based just on the acohrs posts, their votes, and the overall content of their posts. I wouldn't call the AB points for each of them significant in influencing their placing, it more is circumstantial evidence that pushed AB up to leaning scum. Perhaps it would have been more useful to include it under AB, but since they were also in my scum list I included it under them as the authors.

In my mind the chances of them being scum goes something like Stanley > Bronx >>> AB >> *Splinter. As the game progresses I could see AB and Splinter moving, but as of right now I didn't feel there were two better candidates to place above them while also covering the idea of a scum vote on acohrs. That's why barring new evidence or a thunderdome on people that aren't Stan or Bronx I wouldn't vote on anyone but those two today.

I also know that there are likely three scum left, not four but since I don't think I'm perfect I've opted to list four. Also, I'm not sure if I answered your question because I didn't fully understand it, but I tried lol Clarify further if I missed the point and I'll try again.
 

Sophia

Member
Lean Town
Sophia - Her contributions seem to be fairly good and the vote switch at the end of D1 makes her look better than before. Still slight concern due to how ambivalent she seemed about her switch to acohrs in D2. Seemed like she couldn't have cared less who she voted for which if that is the case - why switch?

It seems that way, because it was that way. As I said earlier, I had no strong preference towards CCS or acohrs, and voted simply to prevent a tie.
 

Ty4on

Member
In my mind the chances of them being scum goes something like Stanley > Bronx >>> AB >> *Splinter. As the game progresses I could see AB and Splinter moving, but as of right now I didn't feel there were two better candidates to place above them while also covering the idea of a scum vote on acohrs. That's why barring new evidence or a thunderdome on people that aren't Stan or Bronx I wouldn't vote on anyone but those two today.

I also know that there are likely three scum left, not four but since I don't think I'm perfect I've opted to list four. Also, I'm not sure if I answered your question because I didn't fully understand it, but I tried lol Clarify further if I missed the point and I'll try again.
What about CCS? Sorry if I'm being dense, but I don't remember you saying much about him lately.
 

cabot

Member
I'd like Terra to offer some more thoughts before day end, the bits and bobs that he's come out with I have mostly disagreed with.


His sophia read in particular seemed baffling.
 

Sophia

Member
Looks like I'm still here for a little bit. Entirely possible I may or may not miss day end tho.

It all seems a little too quiet, like building up for another shenanigan based finale

I feel like the conversation has resigned itself to a few talking points, but nobody actually wants to commit to a lynch.
 

cabot

Member
Looks like I'm still here for a little bit. Entirely possible I may or may not miss day end tho.



I feel like the conversation has resigned itself to a few talking points, but nobody actually wants to commit to a lynch.

I disagree, off the top of my head we have

Me - melon
Kawl - CCS
Natiko - Stan or Bronx


I think AB wants melon but I can't be bothered checking right now, making dinner.
 

cabot

Member
The closest we have to a target is CCS, though the votes are spread reasonably thin, which may be dangerous for scum as the wagon could change
 

Kyanrute

Member
Re: if there is a bus vote on acohrs, it would be either Splinter or Ty

Acohrs reminds me of Pop, unsure what to make of that

What is your experience with mafia?

If this is your first game as town, what is different from playing as scum?

-What do you make of Acohrs asking magnum about pineapple on pizza too?

XX:56


You're fast

Please tell me what is going on with CCS and acohrs in one or two sentences

Quote me too

******MARKER******

Do you have any real feelings about who is scum among Acohrs/CCS if any? Doesn't have to be much.

I'm a bit indecisive, not town reading either, but I feel like I don't really wanna see CCS or Acohrs lynched today. It feels as stupid as trusting CCS' force reads.

This is why you have a bunch of wagons


Why do you think you're not wrong about Acohrs like you were in Pop?

*suspicious eyes*

Because both are town?

CCS selfvoted, said it was so people could see he was town and that they should trust him acohrs also was town.

Acohrs selfvoted to protect CCS

CCS said he didn't have any special information, just that he reads acohrs as town.

Note: CCS made a "force read" of acohrs in Pop. Basically he said something like that to cabot, got a reply which he thought meant he was right and acohrs was town. He stated this in thread and all of us thinking he had some sort of ability responded by not lynching acohrs who was scum...

VOTE: Acohrs
Had no idea CCS had this many votes

Ok so Ty posts a lot so I might've missed something. Hopefully not. If there was a bus vote on acohrs, I'd guess Ty to be the one.

Ty's playstyle in general seems to involve a lot of questions, something that he himself has said. This can be seen in his communication with acohrs too. But, scum or no scum?

There is the fact that bussing is a thing that scum do and Ty is the only one whom I think fits the bill. The only other concrete thing I see is that Ty to me seems too trusting when it comes to CCS and his reads. "I do not want to lynch CCS or acohrs because of CCS's jedi reads." Not his own reads, but the reads of a person who to me was acting in an irrational way. Seems very strange to me. Ty's acohrs vote itself comes late enough to join the train but in a point where I feel he could be a scum sacrificing a mate for #townpoints. To answer the question, scum, when it comes to this point. I will read d2 Ty again to see if my view changes.
 

Natiko

Banned
What about CCS? Sorry if I'm being dense, but I don't remember you saying much about him lately.
My general feeling is he's nonsense. I think he's bad for town regardless of his alignment, but I realized I was tunneling in on him before and thought it was best to step away. It's impossible to truly know his alignment because he apparently has settled on playing like a loon regardless of alignment for whatever reason.
 

Sophia

Member
I have said before that Ty feels similar to how he was in Danny Phantom, where he was scum. Maybe I'll go ahead and read over his Day 2 stuff as well.
 

cabot

Member
My general feeling is he's nonsense. I think he's bad for town regardless of his alignment, but I realized I was tunneling in on him before and thought it was best to step away. It's impossible to truly know his alignment because he apparently has settled on playing like a loon regardless of alignment for whatever reason.

we call it nin syndrome, or nindrome.

OK maybe I called it nindrome.
 

cabot

Member
I can't blame nin alone though.

SalvaPot as well. Shout out to my man.


Handing out some hard truths this saturday evening.
 

Ty4on

Member
There is the fact that bussing is a thing that scum do and Ty is the only one whom I think fits the bill. The only other concrete thing I see is that Ty to me seems too trusting when it comes to CCS and his reads. "I do not want to lynch CCS or acohrs because of CCS's jedi reads." Not his own reads, but the reads of a person who to me was acting in an irrational way. Seems very strange to me. Ty's acohrs vote itself comes late enough to join the train but in a point where I feel he could be a scum sacrificing a mate for #townpoints. To answer the question, scum, when it comes to this point. I will read d2 Ty again to see if my view changes.

I wasn't trusting of CCS' reads, I remembered his reads in Pop which were completely off and helped cost us the game :p

And yes I stood on the fence for a long time. I didn't see what was the big deal with their self voting. I voted acohrs because both played like they did in Pop and players that I trusted like CzarTim and Natiko were pushing for his lynch.
 

Kyanrute

Member
It feels like he's bouncing back and fourth between "IDGAF ¯\_(ツ)_/¯" mode and "Look I'm a helpful townie!" mode.

I wasn't trusting of CCS' reads, I remembered his reads in Pop which were completely off and helped cost us the game :p

And yes I stood on the fence for a long time. I didn't see what was the big deal with their self voting. I voted acohrs because both played like they did in Pop and players that I trusted like CzarTim and Natiko were pushing for his lynch.

I myself considered the self votes confusing and unnecessary. They made no sense as a town play and I don't still see the good scum play in them. Could you explain what exactly you thought about the self votes, apart from them being not a big deal? How did you explain them to yourself?
 

Sophia

Member
I myself considered the self votes confusing and unnecessary. They made no sense as a town play and I don't still see the good scum play in them. Could you explain what exactly you thought about the self votes, apart from them being not a big deal? How did you explain them to yourself?

These was my post on it on Day 1.

You two are full of crap.

If you're both town, you just WIFOM'd the hell out of town for no benefit.

Where do you think that gets us, exactly?
No seriously why the hell are acohrs and CCS voting for themselves?

Stupid, anti-town behavior. Except now we know one of them wasn't town.
 

Kyanrute

Member
Sophia, that quote was not meant for that post, stupid multitasking Kyan is reading and quoting and writing posts all at the same time and that is what he gets, a mixup of things. But yes, the book of Sophia and acohrs:

It feels like he's bouncing back and fourth between "IDGAF ¯\_(ツ)_/¯" mode and "Look I'm a helpful townie!" mode.

I find it amusing that acohrs ignored the actual comment regarding himself, and instead focused on Sorian's comment on Absolut.

I think I've only played with Absolut once or twice? Don't really have enough information to judge his playstyle.

Also dunno about Kawl anymore, seeing as he's not really around to chat. Meh.

In the middle of Guild Wars 2, but right now I feel scummy gut vibes from Sorian, acohrs, and Ty. I want to read over all of acohr's posts tho.

Unvoting Kawl for the moment.

Unvote

I'm back home. Reading things over. Right now gut town reading Melon and Tim.

My gut says I should still vote Ty because he's a strong enough player to change his patterns based upon what people are talking about him.

CCS and Acohrs bullshit from last page is still bullshit. As is the premature day 1 name claim in Groose.

No seriously why the hell are acohrs and CCS voting for themselves?

I don't want to lynch either one of them on principle, but at the same time not lynching at least one of them leaves the WIFOM hanging over our heads the rest of the game.

Nah, I noticed it too. But sadly I can't vote for achors and still break the tie.

VOTE: Acohrs

+one quote in Sophia's post above, well done Kyan in terms of the things missed

Ty. While Sophia's vote does fit the bus idea where scum would want to be on the train to gain townpoints but would not be willing to join the train until at the last possible minute because they'd want to save their mate, Sophia's antagonizing ways make her vote more convincing than that of Ty's. There is a case where scum Sophia is throwing shade at her mate right from the start for them #townpoints, but I find the case of defensive Ty more convincing myself.
 

Ty4on

Member
I myself considered the self votes confusing and unnecessary. They made no sense as a town play and I don't still see the good scum play in them. Could you explain what exactly you thought about the self votes, apart from them being not a big deal? How did you explain them to yourself?
When I see someone do stupid things they're usually town. I don't think much about them and look elsewhere.
 
I'd flip CCS for the anti-town shenanigans, lack of caring or attempting to contribute (even when pushed), sheeping, and other frustrating behavior. Without it we can't close the loop with acohrs. And I recognize it could just be me getting such scummy vibes from this play style.

I will put my vote down for now.

vote: CCS

However, I am willing to switch my vote to Stan, if that gains traction or if there's a tie.
 
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