Short version:
- Prey seems to have debuted with between 17K to maybe 25K sales in the UK.
- This is much lower than Dishonored 1, Dishonored 2, or any other recent Bethesda game this generation. You can think of it as half of Dishonored 2 or a third of Dishonored 1 if that helps approximate.
- There's a lot of data in the quotes below if you want to compare more specifically.
- For reference, Deus Ex: Mankind Divided debuted with ~38K, and that got the series killed.
Expanded information:
- Prey seems to have debuted with between 17K to maybe 25K sales in the UK.
- This is much lower than Dishonored 1, Dishonored 2, or any other recent Bethesda game this generation. You can think of it as half of Dishonored 2 or a third of Dishonored 1 if that helps approximate.
- There's a lot of data in the quotes below if you want to compare more specifically.
- For reference, Deus Ex: Mankind Divided debuted with ~38K, and that got the series killed.
Expanded information:
That estimate is not correct, Dishonored sold about 72,000 units in its debut.
(Upweighted to 100%)
[Week 41, 2012] DISHONORED (BETHESDA SOFTWORKS) - 72,000 / NEW
[Week 21, 2014] WOLFENSTEIN: THE NEW ORDER (BETHESDA SOFTWORKS) - 82,000 / NEW
[Week 19, 2016] DOOM (BETHESDA SOFTWORKS) - 63,000 / NEW
[Week 45, 2016] DISHONORED 2 (BETHESDA SOFTWORKS) - 42,000 / NEW
The 71% drop week over week which was used to create this ceiling came from here: http://www.gamesindustry.biz/articl...rt-8-deluxe-holds-off-prey-in-uk-boxed-chartsBased on Watch Dogs we calculated that the floor for Mario Kart 8 was about 58,000 units, please note that there is always a certain margin of error that accumulates every week because of the rounding. Therefore, Mario Kart 8 Deluxe first week should be > 61,000 once we upweight it to 100% of the market. I upweight in this case because total marked data is always extrapolated to 100% of the market.Thank you! I'll split out a thread in a bit.
Would 20-25K with a ceiling of 30K (if Mario Kart was 100% of Switch software sales in April) be an appropriate estimate for Prey?
So based on the data we got this week we can say that Prey at least sold 17,000 units (100%). I would lower the ceiling of 30,000 units (100%) because The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild was every week of April in the top 10, and that is at least some thousands of units per week. Then there is 1-2 Switch that also charted in the top 40 every week.