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Media Create Sales: Week 29, 2017 (Jul 17 - Jul 23)

ethomaz

Banned
One post? I didn't know you were so regular follower of Media Create threads. Go to pre PS4 launch threads and you'll find.
I tried two threads...

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=752438
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=771596

The most close to your claim is one or two guy saying it could beat the PS2 first week sales posted (600k) and one of the guys are saying about shipment and not sales.

And yes... I read MC threads here since 2007.
 

test_account

XP-39C²
One post? I didn't know you were so regular follower of Media Create threads. Go to pre PS4 launch threads and you'll find.
What were the reason for such belief? Why would the PS4 suddently sell 10+ million more than the PS3, before knowing any sales pattern of the PS4?
 

MisterR

Member
Common sense and observation. Mmmkay.



I'm not the one who claimed anything in relation to people saying X or Y lol. You are so don't start tweaking, just show receipts lol.

Sorry, not gonna let your bullshit slide because I don't have time to research old threads all day. Anyone in this thread with any frequency knows the truth of the matter.
 

wrowa

Member
So PSP Slim was a home console too?

Switch is primary a portable with option to use it connected to a TV... it doesn't require a TV or monitor like a console requires.

Next to no one really used the PSP Slim like that since the setup was a pain and the result not really worth it (as PSP games didn't exactly scale well to TV screens, huge black borders included). TV out was an option, but far from a defining or even important feature of the hardware.

Switch on the other hand is through and through designed to be used both ways. TV out isn't a gimmick, but a central, defining feature. The setup is easy (you've got a dock and separate controllers) and the hardware optimized to render games in higher quality/resolution on TV. Comparisons to PSP Slim are laughable in that regard. It's a console-handheld-hybrid, just get over it already.
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Apparently we have many regulars here who remember everything from 4 years ago. I'm far from my computer but when I'm back I'll dig some posts of these ghost predictions just for fun and further derail of the thread.
 
Sorry, not gonna let your bullshit slide because I don't have time to research old threads all day.

I never claimed anything lmao. You're getting too wound up. I just find the claims funny, if you don't wanna dig up evidence you don't have to. But if you wanna do the whole "lots of people said this wouldn't happen" angle I dont see why backing it up is suddenly "my bullshit".

Anyone in this thread with any frequency knows the truth of the matter.

Okay, sure.
 
I...no? I think Switch is going to be phenomenally successful overall and I think Splatoon 2 will be (is already) a hit, I am just cautious more than anything about it's long term potential when compared to the previous game.



I'm more talking in Japan, where legs were more pronounced than anywhere else. Those worldwide numbers don't quite paint the picture of the game's growth in Japan. I feel Splatoon 2 will outdo Splatoon 1 worldwide without much effort, but I'm not convinced it's a safe bet in Japan.

That having been said if there's a smaller than expected drop next week, colour me entirely wrong which, again, I'll be happy to admit.

Splatoon 2 will sell along side Switch hardware for at least the next year. Even if it doesn't end up with a FW being only 10% of the total sales like the original in Japan, that doesn't mean it won't be a phenomenon. Next weeks drop is going to be big no matter how you slice it due to a lack of install base, but it will still be selling at least 20k a week in October. It will outsell the original Splatoon this year in any scenario that Nintendo ships 3+ million Switches.
 

Elandyll

Banned
Common sense and observation. Mmmkay.



I'm not the one who claimed anything in relation to people saying X or Y lol. You are so don't start tweaking, just show receipts lol.
Actually Chris did make a somewhat bizarre claim.

"People" also expected PS4 to be the next PS2 in Japan.

It depends what anyone wants to remember.
I won't say No One ever made that claim, because there's always a chance for a crazy person or two, but I have never seen that, as opposed to plenty saying the PS4 won't reach PS3 levels (even now, as you can see here).
 
Actually Chris did make a somewhat bizarre claim.


I won't say No One ever made that claim, because there's always a chance for a crazy person or two, but I have never seen that, as opposed to plenty saying the PS4 won't reach PS3 levels (even now, as you can see here).

It is a bizarre claim. It was stated in an effort to frame it as "both sides" being the same, when the frequency of claims have clearly not been the same (for obvious reasons).
 

kswiston

Member
Huge opening for Splatoon 2. A greater than 50% attach rate in the game's first weekend outside of the Switch's launch window is crazy.

I'm surprised that the Switch hardware figure isn't higher given how low numbers have been in recent weeks. I thought that there might have been more of a stockpiling going on. I guess Nintendo is still fighting against a supply deficit.
 

Oemenia

Banned
Apparently we have many regulars here who remember everything from 4 years ago. I'm far from my computer but when I'm back I'll dig some posts of these ghost predictions just for fun and further derail of the thread.
Well maybe we could lighten up sometimes about non-Nintendo sales?
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
I won't say No One ever made that claim, because there's always a chance for a crazy person or two, but I have never seen that, as opposed to plenty saying the PS4 won't reach PS3 levels (even now, as you can see here).
PS3 stopped at 10,5m. The general opinion (for some time and not only now) is that PS4 will be at PS3 level minus or plus something. Who are these plenty that say something else?
 

sense

Member
Apparently we have many regulars here who remember everything from 4 years ago. I'm far from my computer but when I'm back I'll dig some posts of these ghost predictions just for fun and further derail of the thread.
Please lookout for your predictions from 4 years ago as well when you do.
 
Actually Chris did make a somewhat bizarre claim.

The original point was basically the same point he makes everytime a system launches which is "people say a lot of stupid shit around launches, it's just what you choose to remember". I agree with this.

Lots of people saying PS4 will be the next PS2? I don't agree with that. Some? Yeah. Lots of people saying it'll sell worse than the PS3? Good chunk from what I remember. Lots saying it will sell better than PS3? Also a good chunk. 10:1 on the PS4 to PS2 claim? I wouldn't put numbers to that. How could anyone know?

If we've just ventured to the realm where this matters (it doesn't) I dont see why this is suddenly outrageous as a request. I am not the one claiming anything so I'm not obligated to dig up posts. Nor is "my bullshit" a real thing lol.

Side note, I thought the "rounding" bit gave away I was not seriously trying to have an argument lol.
 

Bruno MB

Member
Your conversation reminds me that I have been very lazy these past months and I have yet to calculate the prediction results for the months of May and June.

Also, I miss Road.
 

rudger

Member
Wow splatoon. Over 50% attachment rate and am I wrong to think this does not include digital sales? If any game should be bought digitally, it's the game that requires online for 90% of its content and keeps getting updates.
 
Wow splatoon. Over 50% attachment rate and am I wrong to think this does not include digital sales? If any game should be bought digitally, it's the game that requires online for 90% of its content and keeps getting updates.

You're right, it doesn't include digital. And Splatoon 2 had some good incentive to purchase it digitally, so I expect it did well in that department.
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Please lookout for your predictions from 4 years ago as well when you do.
Why don't you do it? You won't like what you'll find for my PS4 LTD predictions before launch. On the other hand I can dig some very funny of yours that still wait to be quoted.
 

Chauzu

Member
This thread is heating up! I guess that happens when Splatoon sells well and PS4 passes 5m.

Happy for Splatoon, probs picking it up tomorrow when I get my salary.
 
10./08. [NSW] The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild # <ADV> (Nintendo) {2017.03.03} (¥6.980) - 5.989 / 543.016 (-15%)

qXrJUGc.gif
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
This thread is heating up! I guess that happens when Splatoon sells well and PS4 passes 5m.
Actually if you take out some posters I'm having a disagreement it's another typical day between me and some of my usual beloved followers. It has been some time since the last one. In a few months the next.
 

Fukuzatsu

Member
Ok so your conclusion is "decent feat"
My post was responding to "amazing achievement".

Seems we agree?

"I mean you can easily argue that the PS3 was not competing with handheld systems"
I don't think it's as easy argument to make AT ALL in Japan.
The mere fact that games like Dragon Quest went to DS and not PS3 shows you that they were definitely competing.

A certain segment of game, sure. Dragon Quest, along with non-Persona MegaTen games, and Monster Hunter, did go to handhelds after the PS3's introduction. However, the Japanese market is not and was not just Dragon Quest. FF stayed on home consoles for example. I'm sure at the very least there are more people in Japan than in other territories for whom DQ on its own is a system-seller, but even in Japan there is still a market for games like Metal Gear, mainline Final Fantasy, Gran Turismo, Demon's Souls, what have you. And most of these games didn't go portable without becoming a game that played very differently or markedly worse (Peace Walker/Portable Ops in MGS's case), or remakes of older games and spin-offs (FF).

You could say there was more crossover between DS/PSP and Wii/PS3 in Japan than in the West, but it's still a fundamentally different way to play video games, and the types of games that they ultimately got aren't similar enough to be direct competitors I think.
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
A certain segment of game, sure. Dragon Quest, along with non-Persona MegaTen games, and Monster Hunter, did go to handhelds after the PS3's introduction. However, the Japanese market is not and was not just Dragon Quest. FF stayed on home consoles for example. I'm sure at the very least there are more people in Japan than in other territories for whom DQ on its own is a system-seller, but even in Japan there is still a market for games like Metal Gear, mainline Final Fantasy, Gran Turismo, Demon's Souls, what have you. And most of these games didn't go portable without becoming a game that played very differently or markedly worse (Peace Walker/Portable Ops in MGS's case), or remakes of older games and spin-offs (FF).

You could say there was more crossover between DS/PSP and Wii/PS3 in Japan than in the West, but it's still a fundamentally different way to play video games, and the types of games that they ultimately got aren't similar enough to be direct competitors I think.
Peace Walker initial plans were to be named MGS5, Type-0 and Birth by Sleep didn't have the treatment of a low profile spin off,the opposite. Almost every Japanese company brought the biggest titles to handhelds.
 

Aleh

Member
Splatoon 2 already having sold more than any other game is a crazy achievement.
Curious to see if the supply will keep up in the following weeks
 

sense

Member
Why don't you do it? You won't like what you'll find for my PS4 LTD predictions before launch. On the other hand I can dig some very funny of yours that still wait to be quoted.
Feel free to. I don't post my predictions/thoughts as know it all facts so I have no problem admitting I was wrong if someone wants to quote them.
 

Fdkn

Member
If someone is bored enought to go digging threads from 3-4 years ago, he is going to find more posts talking about PS4 reaching a 5-6million LTD and even some funny ones about PS4 being the last sony device ever in Japan than the unicorn user predicting the return of the ps2, but I'm not the one that undervalues his time that much to do so.
 
PS4 should have an easier time reaching 10 million than PS3. For starters, it has Monster Hunter World, Final Fantasy VII: Remake and Kingdom Hearts 3. It will also keep getting any Dragon Quest Spin-offs or Yakuza games. The only thing that is likely going to cut its legs will be a potential PS5 in 2019. Otherwise it might continue getting steady sales unlike the PS3 which hit its peak with FFXIII and Slim.
 

L~A

Member
Amazon ran a big campaign with Splatoon 2 download cards which sold a lot and aren't tracked from Media Create or Famitsu.

Mr. Jimmy was specifically talking about Fate in that case.

About Splatoon 2, it's a damn shame the download codes/cards from Amazon are not tracked, because they seem have sold a substantial amount, and Bomberman sales last week shows such promotions can have noticeable impact on sales.

Are the average digital ratios still looking to be 10% or so?

For Switch specifically?
 
Happy for splatoon, but whats up with the harsh zelda and ffxii drops?
Zelda will hit a ceiling soon. There are only so many people that are going to pick an open world Zelda unlike a game like Splatoon or Mario Kart.

FFXII drop is standard for a JRPG. It wasn't popular and the Zodiac Job System is already available in Japan so the appeal to play it for the first time isn't there.
 

Fukuzatsu

Member
Peace Walker initial plans were to be named MGS5, Type-0 and Birth by Sleep didn't have the treatment of a low profile spin off,the opposite. Almost every Japanese company brought the biggest titles to handhelds.

Regardless, Peace Walker was not MGS5, Type-0 is not FFXIII, and Birth by Sleep can be whatever it wants (I'm not familiar with Kingdom Hearts), but KHIII is coming out on PS4.
 

Eolz

Member
I'll gladly eat some crow and say I predicted the PS4 to be at less than that at this time. I think it was around a million less.
It did a good comeback after a bad launch yeaf and achieved a good (for the current market obv) consistent weekly baseline in the end.

I still don't think that it will go up to 10M LTD (PS3 levels) in Japan at all though, but I've always said that it's mainly due to not lasting 8+ years like its predecessor. 8M max when the PS5 will be out is a lot more plausible.

Edit: just like I didn't expect a PS4 Pro delaying a PS5 further away.
 
If someone is bored enought to go digging threads from 3-4 years ago, he is going to find more posts talking about PS4 reaching a 5-6million LTD and even some funny ones about PS4 being the last sony device ever in Japan than the unicorn user predicting the return of the ps2, but I'm not the one that undervalues his time that much to do so.

Ahh, the times when people thought the PS4 wouldn't even outsell the Vita lol
Funnily enough, my outlandish prediction of PS4 doing better than PS3 seems to be closer to reality xD
 
PS4 should have an easier time reaching 10 million than PS3. For starters, it has Monster Hunter World, Final Fantasy VII: Remake and Kingdom Hearts 3. It will also keep getting any Dragon Quest Spin-offs or Yakuza games. The only thing that is likely going to cut its legs will be a potential PS5 in 2019. Otherwise it might continue getting steady sales unlike the PS3 which hit its peak with FFXIII and Slim.

I won't even say that PS5 will cut PS4 legs off .
I expect Japan will be cross gen with PS4\PS5 for a good while maybe even longer than the west .
Which will in turn hurt PS5 sales more than anything .
 

schuelma

Wastes hours checking old Famitsu software data, but that's why we love him.
Why on today of all days are we talking about PS4 hardware?
 
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