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Confessions from purported ex-EA Viral Marketer who knows their M&A strategy somehow

Mandoric

Banned
There's no way in hell EA keeps 500+ viral marketers on their payroll.

Don't think a room of 500 creatives in the basement of EA headquarters. Think ten or twenty guys who get mailed swag or a couple hundred bucks from the MoH, or ME, or TOR, or whatever marketing budget. Then multiply that over every franchise.
 

bunbun777

Member
abd51d77.jpg


Pretty sure I am okay but the rest of you I have my doubts.
 

Omega

Banned
It's crazy. 3/4 years ago everyone was up in arms over Activision and were acting like EA was the greatest (they had just released Mirrors Edge and Dead Space along with some other new IPs I think)

Now, I barely see anyone saying negative stuff about Activision and everyone is hoping that EA has a monumental collapse and are no longer involved in gaming.
 
It's crazy. 3/4 years ago everyone was up in arms over Activision and were acting like EA was the greatest (they had just released Mirrors Edge and Dead Space along with some other new IPs I think)

Now, I barely see anyone saying negative stuff about Activision and everyone is hoping that EA has a monumental collapse and are no longer involved in gaming.

EA has been shitting the bed every night for the past year or so with Project 10 Dollar, the (not true?) forum bans that render players unable to play their games, and their developed/published games getting slaughtered by GAF. How much of this hate is deserved and how much is due to DAII and ME3's negative feedback is anybody's guess.
 

subversus

I've done nothing with my life except eat and fap
the most interesting news about this is that both Bioware games didn't live up to expectations.
 

Orayn

Member
Prolly cause they can get away with it there. Including "viral marketing" in a post on /v/ results in a temp ban! lol

To be fair, they set it up that way because people would accuse any thread about a game they didn't like of being viral marketing. It was incredibly annoying.
 

Snuggles

erotic butter maelstrom
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=155581

There was also the Sony viral guy that used the proper registered symbol in the thread title.

Haha, this cracks me up just because it's gotta suck to viral for something so impracticable. Why would I want to strap all that crap on to my console? The backlash is hilarious:

'"this thing is a sure fire way of killing your PS3. The system is one of the most thermally efficient pieces of consumer electronics around, ****ing up the meticulously designed air flow and interrupting you supply of power to the PSU is just a dumb-shit move that will lead to tears in the end."

OP: "are you crying?

anyway no i am not viral marketer or anything. i just like to keep my system cool.

i like my systems perfect and take good care of them."
 

The Technomancer

card-carrying scientician
It's crazy. 3/4 years ago everyone was up in arms over Activision and were acting like EA was the greatest (they had just released Mirrors Edge and Dead Space along with some other new IPs I think)

Now, I barely see anyone saying negative stuff about Activision and everyone is hoping that EA has a monumental collapse and are no longer involved in gaming.

Its the cirrrrrrrcle of liiiiiiiiiife
 

Nirolak

Mrgrgr
the most interesting news about this is that both Bioware games didn't live up to expectations.

Well, either EA has been lying to investors for a while, or an anonymous guy on 4chan was wrong.

So, I guess we'll find out based on if legal suits are filed in about five weeks.

One day I need to perform an experiment and make up a bunch of stuff on 4chan and see if it gets posted here.
 

Yoshi

Headmaster of Console Warrior Jugendstrafanstalt
Ha. I remember being accused of being a viral marketer by someone in the iOS thread for having lots of praise for a 1$ SRPG. I even got it during a free promotion.

You're working for a one-time-payment of one dollar? Doesn't seem all too lucrative to me :(.
 

Wallach

Member
Well, either EA has been lying to investors for a while, or an anonymous guy on 4chan was wrong.

So, I guess we'll find out based on if legal suits are filed in about five weeks.

One day I need to perform an experiment and make up a bunch of stuff on 4chan and see if it gets posted here.

Make it about BioWare and I'd like your odds.
 

Nirolak

Mrgrgr

subversus

I've done nothing with my life except eat and fap
Well, either EA has been lying to investors for a while, or an anonymous guy on 4chan was wrong.

So, I guess we'll find out based on if legal suits are filed in about five weeks.

legal suits on behalf of investors? I think most of them won't notice a thing. Also while these games may do well it may be not enough. it's never enough. NEVER. EVER.
 

Nirolak

Mrgrgr
I'm placing my bets on exceeded non-GAAP expectations and a mention that Mass Effect 3 exceeded expectations given that it shipped more in week one than the lifetime sales of either of its predecessors, and that they already said the pre-orders were above expectations.
 

Wallach

Member
I'm placing my bets on exceeded non-GAAP expectations and a mention that Mass Effect 3 exceeded expectations given that it shipped more in week one than the lifetime sales of either of its predecessors, and that they already said the pre-orders were above expectations.

When is it? I'm more interested in their TOR status update. The bigger question is did they experience further subscription growth or did their retention slide significantly?
 

Nirolak

Mrgrgr
When is it? I'm more interested in their TOR status update. The bigger question is did they experience further subscription growth or did their retention slide significantly?

It should be at the end of April/beginning of May.

They head to a lot of conferences though, so we might get another update sooner.

Here are their specific comments from that slide:

Transcript said:
Star Wars, this is an area that I think has got a lot of people anxious. I've heard from investors today saying that
we must have 800,000 subscribers. I heard 600,000 yesterday. So what I think a lot of people have
misunderstood is we said we had 1.7 million subscribers on the last call, which was about a month ago. What that
was about was the fact that only about – just about half that number had triggered through their 30-day point and
become active subscribers, our definition of recurring subscribers.

We had about half that total still in the 30-day trial period, but they're subscribers because that first month is
including with a package good. What I said a month ago was, just over half. I can now confirm for you today that
the vast majority of the 1.7 is now triggered through that point and they're recurring subscribers.

What happens from here? So we didn't go backwards like a lot of folks thought we had. Michael pointed out that
would have been mathematically impossible to me in a side-bar conversation. He was, in fact, right in his analysis,
but it doesn't seem that most people had figured that out. Thank you, Michael, for the vote of confidence.

So where we are right now with Star Wars: The Old Republic is this. We've captured a great business. It's the most
successful MMO through this period in the history of our industry. But we are nowhere relative to sort of what the
opportunity in front of us is. What happens from here are content releases every quarter, systems, and tutorials,
and feature upgrades quarter to quarter and a future of expansion of content. What we tailored the game for was
the core user. We tailored the game for people that have played more than one MMO and were existing MMO
players.

What we do from here is our expansion content and our feature upgrades are designed to do things like make the
download a lot smaller, so new users can find entry into the game a lot easier. Features like buddy keys, so you can
have a friend that hasn't yet paid for the game, to bring that hurdle down, free into the game for a short period of
time, so they can get, like, the equivalent of a weekend pass. Things that are designed to increase the funnel at the
top, that means content changes. It means feature changes. It means new ways to bring the product to market.

I am not giving you my fiscal 2013 guidance, but it is very clear on the surface that some of the craziness that was
out there in terms of misunderstanding [ph] this is that I can (10:04) clear up today. It's a very strong entry. We
still have a lot of future in front of us. We're two months into the launch, a lot more to go, but 1.7 million, vast
majority now, are recurring subscribers.
Source: http://files.shareholder.com/downlo...50c8d268/ERTS_Wedbush_03082012_Transcript.pdf
 

trinest

Member
How did the hate for EA come back? Everyone though they were fricken awesome for awhile recently and that Activision was the evil spawn of satan. What happened to flip the two companies? Is it because Activision only makes Cod now so they can't really fuck much else up?


There's no better way to promote a company by constantly trashing it...right? I'm sure somewhere it makes sense.

The old even bad publicity is good publicity angle?

I've actually been accused of being a viral marketer for EA before because I've done montages of Hot Pursuit, Mirror's Edge, and Dead Space, and because I have a hard-on for the Crysis games. They owe me some money.

Clearly you need to pick up your paycheck from HR more often.
 
I'm placing my bets on exceeded non-GAAP expectations and a mention that Mass Effect 3 exceeded expectations given that it shipped more in week one than the lifetime sales of either of its predecessors, and that they already said the pre-orders were above expectations.

I literally placed my bets and bought a chunk of call options expiring in May after earnings should come out.

No Whammys EA!

How did the hate for EA come back? Everyone though they were fricken awesome for awhile recently and that Activision was the evil spawn of satan. What happened to flip the two companies? Is it because Activision only makes Cod now so they can't really fuck much else up?
The hate never left, it just sat dormant in the pit of our souls waiting to erupt and I think that their big focus on Origin lately has triggered that explosion for a lot of people.
 

Fredescu

Member
How did the hate for EA come back? Everyone though they were fricken awesome for awhile recently and that Activision was the evil spawn of satan. What happened to flip the two companies? Is it because Activision only makes Cod now so they can't really fuck much else up?
It's been back for years. It wasn't flipped though. No one thinks much of Activision.
 

Margalis

Banned
EA has been extremely slippery about the actual expectations for SWTOR. If you read the quotes above they are a bunch of gobbledygook that say basically nothing.
 

Margalis

Banned
Did you read the part where it says over 0.5 million subs is profitable, over 1 million is good, between 1.5 and 2 is great? That's pretty specific.

None of those is any sort of actual expectation or guidance.

He also says that even at 1 million subs they don't feel great about the investment, which means that while 0.5 million may be "profitable" on a continuing quarterly basis it almost certainly isn't profitable if you factor in the cost of the "historical investment."

Which is sort of like saying that my 2 million dollar lemonade stand is profitable because I make 5 cents on each cup of lemonade I sell.

At no point (to my knowledge) has EA given straightforward answers to questions like how many active subscribers do they expect to have, much net revenue do they expect SWTOR to bring in, and how long that will take to cover development costs and then be pure profit.

At one point they say that the NA market alone is at least 12 million, and that SWTOR appeals to the "majority" of that market. There is absolutely zero chance they will hit what those numbers imply.
 

Nirolak

Mrgrgr
None of those is any sort of actual expectation or guidance.

He also says that even at 1 million subs they don't feel great about the investment, which means that while 0.5 million may be "profitable" on a continuing quarterly basis it almost certainly isn't profitable if you factor in the cost of the "historical investment."

Which is sort of like saying that my 2 million dollar lemonade stand is profitable because I make 5 cents on each cup of lemonade I sell.

At no point (to my knowledge) has EA given straightforward answers to questions like how many active subscribers do they expect to have, much net revenue do they expect SWTOR to bring in, and how long that will take to cover development costs and then be pure profit.

At one point they say that the NA market alone is at least 12 million, and that SWTOR appeals to the "majority" of that market. There is absolutely zero chance they will hit what those numbers imply.

swtorcostl5uom.png
 

Margalis

Banned
Still not seeing any expectation there.

By the way, that part where it says ""yields a negative NPV"..."we don't lose money" essentially means they lose money.

1 million subs over 5 to 10 years (uh...which is it?) looks to be about the real break-even point. That's the point at which investing in SWTOR was a better decision than investing in the typical EA product. (And let's not forget that EA loses money!) They currently have 1.7 million "subs" where "subs" includes everyone who bought a box. That means if they maintain that number throughout this year (extremely unlikely) they need 300k subs a decade from now to average 1 million over ten years.
 

subversus

I've done nothing with my life except eat and fap
Their expectation is to make a profit on their huge investment, so go ahead and connect the dots

he doesn't even need to connect dots, he just needs to read the whole damn thing. apparently reading is hard for some people these days.

edit: love his stealth edit.
 

_woLf

Member
Very interesting news.

I honestly see some kind of merger between EA and Bioware ala Activision-Blizzard, especially with the way EA has been branding recently acquired studios under Bioware's label.

We be in some interesting times, this here gaming industry.
 

Margalis

Banned
he doesn't even need to connect dots, he just needs to read the whole damn thing. apparently reading is hard for some people these days.

It's pretty clear from your two posts that you have absolutely no idea what any of that quoted CFO statement means.

How many times are you going to post what is essentially "hurr durr me am right" without saying anything substantive? Like...do you even know what any of those acronyms mean? Hint: none of them mean "profit."

By the way, if I'm wrong about not seeing any expectation, why don't you just point out where exactly in the above they provide that expectation? Seems like it would be pretty simple.

Edit: Here is an example of a subscriber expectation provided by Netflix:

http://allthingsd.com/20110915/netflix-cuts-its-guidance-by-1-million-subscribers/

As you can see it's a plain english thing, not a range of possibilities shrouded in financial jargon. "0.5 million is kinda sorta ok, 1 million is ok, and better than 1 million is starting to be pretty good" is not an expectation. That's just not what the word "expectation" means in any context financial or otherwise.
 

EVIL

Member
so if the viral marketing segment is moved to east asia, it will be really easy fishing out the EA trolls because of the engrish
 
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