Support NeoGAF

[confuziz]

[360] 350K
[NDS] 405K
[PS3] 180K
[PSP] 55K
[WII] 250k

 

[timetokill]

[360] 300k
[NDS] 410k
[PS3] 212k
[PSP] 87k
[WII] 311k

 

[donny2112]

~30 hours left to predict for July.

 

[SonicX_Zero]

[360] 300k
[NDS] 485k
[PS3] 250k
[PSP] 90k
[WII] 360k

 

[skedar897]

[360] 345K
[NDS] 500K
[PS3] 235K
[PSP] 100K
[WII] 405K

 

[doicare]

[360] 345k
[NDS] 405k
[PS3] 225k
[PSP] 80k
[WII] 280k

 

[Road]

[360] 323,000
[NDS] 393,000
[PS3] 242,000
[PSP] 77,000
[WII] 303,000

 

[Ydahs]

[360] 371k
[NDS] 492k
[PS3] 265k
[PSP] 99k
[WII] 402k

 

[Strike]

[360] 345k
[NDS] 410k
[PS3] 220k
[PSP] 70k
[WII] 280k

 

[rostocker]

[360] 360k
[NDS] 421k
[PS3] 213k
[PSP] 74k
[WII] 311k

 

[dragct]

[NDS] 385K
[WII] 340K
[360] 320K
[PS3] 240K
[PSP] 90K

 

[starship]

[360] 340k
[NDS] 420k
[PS3] 260k
[PSP] 80k
[WII] 350k

 

[Brakara]

[360] 375k
[NDS] 395k
[PS3] 220k
[PSP] 85k
[WII] 300k

 

[modulaire]

[360] 370k
[NDS] 480k
[PS3] 250k
[PSP] 80k
[WII] 350k

 

[lowlylowlycook]

[360] 310k
[PS3] 230k
[PSP] 90k
[Wii] 325k
[DS] 285k

 

[boontje]

[360] 350k
[NDS] 410k
[PS3] 215k
[PSP] 80k
[WII] 310k

 

[donny2112]

~2.5 hours left to predict for July.

 

[Acheteedo]

[360] 345k
[NDS] 412k
[PS3] 258k
[PSP] 78k
[WII] 340k

 

[botticus]

Yikes, almost missed it.

[PS3] 250k
[PSP] 95k
[360] 300k
[WII] 320k
[NDS] 400k

 

[jvm]

Time's almost up.

 

[donny2112]

July 2010 NPD HW Predictions

GAF_Agg

1. NDS - 426K
2. WII - 338K
3. 360 - 335K
4. PS3 - 242K
5. PSP - 84K


GAF_spec

1. NDS - 406K
2. 360 - 341K
3. WII - 324K
4. PS3 - 235K
5. PSP - 87K

 

[jvm]

July 2010 NPD HW Predictions

GAF_Agg

1. NDS - 426K
2. WII - 338K
3. 360 - 335K
4. PS3 - 242K
5. PSP - 84K


GAF_spec

1. NDS - 406K
2. 360 - 341K
3. WII - 324K
4. PS3 - 235K
5. PSP - 87K

Very interesting differential between the two groups there. That doesn't happen very often, does it?

 

[Jonsoncao]

Very interesting differential between the two groups there. That doesn't happen very often, does it?

based on the data extrapolation, there is a great chance 360's gonna outsell Wii this NPD

 

[jvm]

Professional estimates are in.

           GAF_Agg    GAF_spec    WEDBUSH   EEDAR
1. NDS      426K        406K       405K      403K
2. WII      338K        324K       310K      274K
3. 360      335K        341K       355K      309K
4. PS3      242K        235K       230K      201K
5. PSP       84K         87K        85K       67K
6. PS2       --K         --K        45K       --K

EEDAR is most pessimistic about every system. GAF_Agg is most optimistic for NDS, Wii, and PS3.

 

[donny2112]

Very interesting differential between the two groups there. That doesn't happen very often, does it?

I don't think so. GAF_Agg is very close between the two, though. I guess it's a case of how much of last month's 360 sales were due to 1) discounted older hardware which will eventually go away, if not already be gone by the early part of July, and 2) 360 Slim reported shortages. Maybe they'll cancel each other out. :lol

 

[Saiyar]

http://www.techflash.com/seattle/20...us_console_market_for_2nd_straight_month.html
If this is accurate then wow at the 360.

 

[Frillen]

Impressive 360 performance! Ouch at the Wii, but November and December sales will compensate most of it.

 

[OldJadedGamer]

http://www.techflash.com/seattle/20...us_console_market_for_2nd_straight_month.html
If this is accurate then wow at the 360.

4 people I know upgraded to the S unit. We'll see when the official numbers come through.

 

[Averon]

I nailed the PS3 numbers

 

[dolemite]

http://www.techflash.com/seattle/20...us_console_market_for_2nd_straight_month.html
If this is accurate then wow at the 360.

Damn, nearly double the Wii numbers. The 360s 4GB was out in August, so that's probably another month of domination.

 

[Frillen]

4 people I know upgraded to the S unit. We'll see when the official numbers come through.

Just like PS3 owners upgraded to the Slim?

 

[Karma]

http://www.techflash.com/seattle/20...us_console_market_for_2nd_straight_month.html
If this is accurate then wow at the 360.

Dont think that is correct. The Wii should have done over 400,000 if the numbers from Nintendo were right.

 

[Frillen]

Dont think that is correct. The Wii should have done over 400,000 if the numbers from Nintendo were right.

Different trackers, plus the site/blog seems reliable.

 

[OldJadedGamer]

Just like PS3 owners upgraded to the Slim?

Only one person I know upgraded their fats to the slim... me.

 

[Pooya]

totally forgot about NPD, wow.

 

[Frillen]

Only one person I know upgraded their fats to the slim... me.

Acecdotal evidences FTW.

 

[OldJadedGamer]

Acecdotal evidences FTW.

Never said it was anything else did I?

 

[[Nintex]]

Dont think that is correct. The Wii should have done over 400,000 if the numbers from Nintendo were right.

Nintendo definition of the North American market is often "The Americas".

 

[jvm]

Those are the figures.

 

[dolemite]

Dont think that is correct. The Wii should have done over 400,000 if the numbers from Nintendo were right.

They could have another extra week of August rolled into their numbers.

 

[Jonsoncao]

modified my 360 prediction from 410k to 390k then to 380k... oh well

 

[jvm]

[360] | 380K - 443.5K | = 63.5K (14% rel. error)
[NDS] | 402K - 398.4K | = 3.6K (1% rel. error)
[PS3] | 261K - 214.5K | = 46.5K (22% rel. error)
[PSP] | 92K - 84K | = 8K (9.5% rel. error)
[WII] | 337K - 253.9K | = 83.1K (33% rel. error)

Total absolute error: 204.7K (15% rel. error)

Total hardware:
Actual: 1394.3K
Estimate: 1472K (5.5% rel. error)

 

[donny2112]

July 2010 NPD Hardware Prediction Results

Units

1. Brakara - 124,500
2. doicare - 145,700
3. Strike - 155,700
4. boontje - 165,700
5. confuziz - 167,500
6. Hiro_Kunimi_80 - 167,700
6. Pachter - 167,700
8. Jonsoncao - 172,700
9. rostocker - 174,700
10. VegaShinra - 177,700
11. Jesse2040 - 189,700
12. pitseleh - 195,700
13. bakemono - 197,700
14. manzo - 202,700
15. donny2112 - 203,700
16. jvm - 204,700
17. Road - 209,500
18. N.A - 212,700
19. timetokill - 217,700
20. jj984jj - 219,500
20. Zero-Crescent - 219,500
22. JoshuaJSlone - 229,500
23. Saiyar - 230,700
24. archnemesis - 232,500
25. Sho_Nuff82 - 240,700
25. WaltJay - 240,700
25. Ignis Fatuus - 240,700
28. Jokeropia - 241,700
29. GAF_Agg - 246,700
30. Acheteedo - 247,700
31. combinekidd - 250,700
32. Hyllian - 251,700
33. dragct - 254,500
34. botticus - 257,700
35. NeoUltima - 262,700
36. starship - 270,700
37. Orgen - 284,700
38. operon - 285,700
39. Sadist - 286,700
40. modulaire - 290,700
41. scottnak - 296,700
42. andy_lhc - 301,700
43. Megadragon15 - 310,700
43. user_nat - 310,700
45. Averon - 320,700
46. Osuwari - 322,700
46. Scott32020 - 322,700
48. Dedication Through Light - 329,700
49. Gadfly - 331,700
50. miladesn - 334,700
51. lowlylowlycook - 339,500
52. Aad - 342,700
53. BLaZiN PRopHeT - 347,700
54. SonicX_Zero - 377,700
55. Ydahs - 379,700
56. courage201 - 380,700
57. skedar897 - 387,700
58. seady - 392,700
59. V_Ben - 395,700
60. LiquidMetal14 - 426,700
61. Bay Maximus - 471,700
62. perfectchaos007 - 483,500

Points

     July 2010                   Last 3 Months                Overall 2010
1.   Brakara           109.36    doicare             324.57   Hiro_Kunimi_80      660.49
2.   doicare           104.24    confuziz            299.06   doicare             646.76
3.   Strike            100.07    Strike              298.47   confuziz            624.28
4.   boontje            98.78    starship            289.53   starship            608.61
5.   Pachter            94.58    Brakara             289.33   Strike              605.95
6.   Hiro_Kunimi_80     93.76    Jonsoncao           285.46   Pachter             603.79
7.   confuziz           92.02    Hiro_Kunimi_80      283.92   Jesse2040           602.57
8.   Jonsoncao          90.26    boontje             280.32   BLaZiN PRopHeT      601.61
9.   rostocker          90.08    Pachter             274.61   dragct              600.92
10.  donny2112          87.85    bakemono            272.24   bakemono            598.87
11.  jj984jj            87.57    Aad                 271.98   boontje             596.23
12.  timetokill         87.5     rostocker           267.46   user_nat            591.61
13.  Zero-Crescent      87.1     Jokeropia           265.9    Brakara             589.62
14.  VegaShinra         87.08    jvm                 265.79   JoshuaJSlone        588.76
15.  Jesse2040          86.81    botticus            265.74   Jokeropia           585.54
16.  archnemesis        86.5     Orgen               261.28   Jonsoncao           584.48
17.  Road               86.2     Jesse2040           259.65   Saiyar              584.01
18.  Saiyar             85.92    dragct              258.94   rostocker           570.85
19.  pitseleh           85.87    Saiyar              258.83   donny2112           569.04
20.  manzo              85.85    N.A                 258.62   jvm                 566.81
21.  N.A                85.4     pitseleh            258.56   scottnak            564.7
22.  JoshuaJSlone       85.13    timetokill          256.67   N.A                 564
23.  jvm                84.17    jj984jj             256.2    modulaire           559.95
24.  bakemono           84.15    scottnak            252.94   timetokill          559.15
25.  Jokeropia          83.76    donny2112           252.27   Orgen               557.43
26.  dragct             83.17    Sadist              252.23   WaltJay             557.13
27.  Hyllian            82.89    lowlylowlycook      251.72   NeoUltima           549.25
28.  Acheteedo          82.61    JoshuaJSlone        251.59   jj984jj             544.09
29.  botticus           82.31    Hyllian             251.11   andy_lhc            543.62
30.  WaltJay            81.98    modulaire           250.7    Scott32020          536.41
31.  Orgen              81.92    andy_lhc            250.35   Aad                 534.99
32.  Sho_Nuff82         81.53    archnemesis         249.81   Megadragon15        533.84
33.  Ignis Fatuus       81.53    user_nat            249.09   Osuwari             523.73
34.  starship           81.48    SonicX_Zero         247.13   Sadist              523.38
35.  modulaire          80.76    BLaZiN PRopHeT      247.09   archnemesis         516.68
36.  scottnak           80.21    NeoUltima           245.28   skedar897           511.25
37.  combinekidd        79.88    Scott32020          241.55   Ydahs               509.62
38.  NeoUltima          79.87    skedar897           241.23   botticus            503.06
39.  lowlylowlycook     79.81    Megadragon15        239.65   lowlylowlycook      499.34
40.  user_nat           79.72    Osuwari             235.4    Gamemaster_ca_2003  490.33
41.  Megadragon15       79.58    LiquidMetal14       231.43   SuperBanjo          488.9
42.  andy_lhc           79.07    Ydahs               230.5    Road                486.22
43.  Scott32020         79.01    WaltJay             229.52   SonicX_Zero         471.28
44.  Sadist             78.71    miladesn            212.8    seady               468.91
45.  Averon             78.51    seady               210.85   Hyllian             466.34
46.  Osuwari            76.96    perfectchaos007     200.79   hxa155              463.17
47.  Gadfly             76.86    Zero-Crescent       187.82   Koodo               457.24
48.  operon             76.12    VegaShinra          182.74   VegaShinra          452.13
49.  SonicX_Zero        76.09    SuperBanjo          180.81   Averon              451.75
50.  Aad                74.86    Road                176.78   perfectchaos007     444.79

Congratulations, Brakara!

 

[Hiro_Kunimi_80]

terrible Q2 2010

 

[confuziz]

terrible Q2 2010

I fear your first place is in danger :lol

 

[perfectchaos007]

Dead last! I'm pretty good at that!

 

[doicare]

God damn it :lol That's twice in a row now i'm sure i'd done enough to finish first for the month only to end up being pipped into second place. Right there's only one sensible thing left to do now...i'm going for the hat-trick.

 

[botticus]

Went from top 50 for the year to top 40. Are there enough months left to sneak back into the top 20?

Spoiler

Wish I hadn't forgotten a month. :/

 

[jvm]

Congrats, Brakara!

I'm holding onto the top 20, but barely. Sheesh!

 

[manzo]

*beats jvm, donny and joshuajslone

PARTY ON