No. Portable gaming is on a rise right now, actually usable, and not a random fad that lasts for awhile. This usability won't go away, at least not in the near future.
With the Wii, they didn't know what a successor should look like. With the switch 2....all they need is a more powerful switch, with a couple of upgrades and done, people will buy in droves
This feels like a pretty simple path, and yet they are reportedly so snake bitten by the 3DS and Wii U that they are really unsure about this path.
Switch Pro or 2 will be a newer Nvidia ARM-based console.
Nintendo can ditch the whole generation stuff and release a new version Switch every 3-4 years - only-handheld, better screen and so on (minor upgrades). Cost efficient for everyone.
One generation that just keeps on giving - both handheld and stationary.
Easy to develop for and extremely affordable development kits.
This is basically what I think they should do.
This Switch generation is so successful -- so why stop it? Never stop it. If Switch OLED is proof of anything, it's that Switch owners like to buy fancier Switches. It's time for a Switch S1, S2, S3... S10, S10+, S20... lol Just keep pumping out incrementally better hardware that happens to play the older aging library of games to their most optimal and be done with it.
If nintendo tried some sort of gimmick instead of just a switch 2, i have a feeling it will bomb.
You know they are going with at least one new gimmick. It cannot just be a Super Switch.
I don't believe most people play the switch as a portable console.
I think there's always space for a home model, without the undocking, the issue for them is that that realization might not be in their interest, they can't charge more for a console with less stuff unless they make it more powerful.
Switch lite goes the opposite way, and I'm unsure that's their biggest seller, perhaps because people like to play stuff on TV.
and fix the joycon drift once and for all.
I think you are right about this. Currently, Nintendo has the Switch Lite model (handheld-only) and the Switch OLED. Going forward, I don't see why they couldn't with a handheld-only (cheap) model, a true Switch 2 model (includes dock), and even beefier home-only model. The way I look at this, many many Switch owners have already purchased more than one Switch, and a significant portion have bought at least 3 Switches (but sold off their first Switch, etc). I would bet $100 a home-only Switch 2 with beefier tech that is "more comparable" to PS5 could sell
~20 million units. I can imagine quite a few hardcore Switch 2 owners owning both handheld-capable Switch 2 and a home-only. It's basically money sitting on the table...
There's definitely a chance of the Switch 2 being a failure. Or at least dropping off like the 3DS did after the DS. There's been reports that Nintendo is very concerned about their next console. And I can see why.
The 3DS was the natural progression of DS, yet sold half as much as the DS. The Wii U followed the same market strategy as the Wii (cheaper underpowered HW compared to the competition, with a controller gimmick to hook in casuals), yet was a complete failure. Switch 2 isn't going to have the same draw as the FIRST hybrid system as the Switch had.
It does help that they are focusing all of their SW efforts onto one system. Still, if it's just more of the same, I don't see it being as big as of a hit as the OG.
The problems that faced 3DS and Wii U are fairly well understood by most, now. Nintendo maybe still scratching their heads about Wii U, but in the case of that hardware it simply lacked utility in the eyes of most consumers who saw the thing. First, it wasn't well understood if it was a Wii add-on or a new thing entirely. Second,
even I didn't really want the thing, although I did cave in and buy it. As I said, Wii U lacked utility. Off-screen play was novelty, but it wasn't the way I played most of the games, so it was
unnecessary.
The 3DS was priced too high for what it was.
Nintendo's jumping the shark is going to be in explaining to Switch owners why they need Switch 2. I think about my inlaws whenever I think about Nintendo's path to success with a Switch successor.
How the heck did they sell my inlaws 2 Switches, BotW, Tropical Freeze, Mario Parties, Mario Kart, Mario Odyssey, and Animal Crossing?? This is why Switch has sold 111 million units. They also owned a Wii but never bought a Wii U.
The first step ought to be in showing Switch owners the current library will be play best on the new Switch 2 -- every game, day one, new and improved straight out of the box. Sell your Switch. Buy Switch 2. Continue to play...
Well Nintendo. Pretty sure they will fuck up the next console , that’s Nintendo cycle
I'm pretty sure they will too, just like they've already fucked up selling me a Switch Pro. All I've wanted since 2019 is to play my god dang BotW and XC2 with less blurry and better enemy draw distances. It was so god dang simple... and yet it twas nought.
Trying to predict Nintendo is a fool's errand.
It really is. At the end of the day, selling a beefed up Switch 2 is the goal, but there must also be
something new that draws people in. I like the PS5 rumble and triggers and feel like that's a nice gimmick, so now Nintendo can't do it I guess. They could always ditch the dock and allow for TV play while still utilizing the Switch's screen for off TV stuff -- that's
new and it would also meld well with a home-only Switch 2 box for
improved play.
I'm just not confident in their ability to deliver an iterative successful product while at the same time pitching a new gimmick that is core to the play experience -- furthermore, this industry abhors gimmicks that create new and different experiences the other hardwares don't have. lol