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Media Create Sales: Week 34, 2015 (Aug 17 - Aug 23)
- Thread starter Chris1964
- Start date
Jarod McChicken
Member
The last PS4 top 10 by Tsutaya might give us an idea. There are some games on the PlayStation Store also, I believe
Pretty sure this will not be true.
I don't expect the combined amount to surpass DQH FW, but the PS4 version has a chance to launch with at least 300-350k FW provided there is enough supply. Question is what type of legs can we expect from MG in Japan.
Dragon quest heroes, that was more PS3-oriented than MGSV is supposed to be, made the console jump up to 46k Hw-wise in week 9 back in February:
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=1003690
the "baseline" was higher back then (the previous week it sold 24k with minor releases, the week before 21k with even smaller releases and so on). MGSV should be more PS4-oriented, so I'm expecting at least 45k for PS4 HW numbers, if not even higher. It's the biggest release for this year, I think, so I'm expecting it to be fully supported by potential PS4 owners.
Kresnik258
Member
Jarod McChicken
Member
I see 08/27 on Amazon for Until Dawn and DD Online, even if I believe the service for the latter will be on 08/31. What are your release date for those ?
I should highlight Dishonored.
There is another week before Until Dawn and Dragon's Dogma Online are tracked.
Quoting myself to add, for reference:
1. PS3 - 75,311 | 10,856
This is the week back in June 2008 for the MGSIV release in Japan.
PS3 was trailing similarly to PS4 nowadays, I'd say (the 10.856 number is the week before release). This time the game will be available on both platform, so I'm expecting a smaller hw bump for PS4, but I'd adjust my prediction for the "minimum" I'm expecting, from 45k to 50k MINIMUM for PS4 numbers inlcuidng MGSV debut.
So the PS4 version of Metal Gear Solid 5 is now ahead of the PS4 version of Dragon Quest Heroes in the same time frame on COMG, and if you take into account the fact there is a limited edition bundle for the game, you would have to assume that MGS 5 will move more hardware than the Dragon Quest Heroes week, which was 46k without a limited edition bundle. I'm thinking the PS4 sells at least 50k in MGS 5 week.
Psycho_Mantis
Banned
DQH had a bundle.
Bruno MB
Member
Sorry, this is the correct data.
New Nintendo 3DS - 33.625
Nintendo 3DS - 2.381
http://bbs2.ruliweb.daum.net/gaia/d...84/read?bbsId=G003&itemId=5&articleId=1816001
Are you talking about the bundle back in december? Or was there actually a bundle the week Dragon Quest Heroes released?
I think the numbers that were being argued about for Splatoon were much lower than that. It's already left those well in the dust.
A prelaunch holiday bundle at that, which seems to have accounted for roughly a third it's total sales on PS4. I don't think a direct comg comparison is really that useful given the context.
Minecraft finally edges it's way over 300,000.
Bloodborne bundle seems to have been a somewhat effective move for Sony during these dry software months, should have been done earlier. They should have made it available in all stores as well, I wonder how many suckers have bought PS4 these past few weeks and missed out on a 'free' game.
Bloodborne bundle seems to have been a somewhat effective move for Sony during these dry software months, should have been done earlier. They should have made it available in all stores as well, I wonder how many suckers have bought PS4 these past few weeks and missed out on a 'free' game.
It's going to be a decent margin ahead of Dragon Quest Heroes' opening week (on PS4) and Dragon Quest's opening week was 269k. So it could be 400k but I'm expecting no less than 350k.
Dragon Quest's opening week at 269k wasn't just opening week in reality
bigbaldwolf86
Banned
It's sad that the total of 3 home consoles don't even total the sales of the 3DS this year
but WiiU+PS3+PS4 YTD > 3DS YTD (MC)
bigbaldwolf86
Banned
Sorry I meant just PS4, Wii U and X1
Edit: Even adding in PS3 only takes it 80k above the 3DS
Went straight over my head lol
Yeah that was the joke >.>
Not a surprise, 3DS is the only system in recent years to have done good sales in Japan.
They won't lifetime either. Adding Vita too and they should hit near half of total 3DS sales though.
So what will PS4 sell in total this year? Every week is a massive YOY increase and the PS4 is just 200k away from it's total 2014 sales, and September will be huge. I think it could land in the 1.2-1.6 million ballpark.
By the way, the PS4 will sell a lot more this year in Japan than PS3 did in 2008, which was a little over 1 million, good for the PS4!!
By the way, the PS4 will sell a lot more this year in Japan than PS3 did in 2008, which was a little over 1 million, good for the PS4!!
Yeah, all trackers counted the DQ download code bundles sold back in December. IIRC, it should be more like 210,000, then (retail only).
Unless we see massive spikes next week and it holds, it's not gonna come close.
So PS4 is actually outselling PS3 in a similar time frame? That's sort of...surprising. PS3 must've really struggled in Japan in its first two years.
No, that person is living in Fantasy Land.
PS4 is still tracking behind Wii U.
I think the answer is no: PS3 was launched in Japan around Xmas 2006 (November 2006), so the 2008 was the third year on the market; PS4 was launched in Japan last year, around February, so this is its second year on the market. So, the timeframes don't match.
Well, tbh, that person wasn't lying at all. At week 34, this is the situation YtD:
4. PS3 - 9,020 | 11,393 | 639,404
2. PS4 | 14.495 | 18.503 | 723.365
So, this year the PS4 sold so fare in the first 34 weeks of the year more units than PS3 did in the same amount of weeks back in 2008 in Japan.
Horrifying. Last gen we had 4 platforms over 10m (with one over 20m and another over 30m). This gen we only get one system doing those sorts of numbers, with no others even coming close.
Well, it is going to get a massive spike when Metal Gear Solid comes out next week, but there's other games coming for PS4 this year such as Persona, Star Ocean, Hot Shots Golf, but I don't really know what you mean by "it won't come close." Are you saying it won't come close to the minimum I had which was 1.2 million, or the maximum I had which was 1.6 million?
I predict 1.2-1.25 million PS4 this year.
September: 100-120k
October: 60-80k
November: 80-100k
December: 180-200k
Pennywise83
Banned
Even accounting for the post-holidays drops, numbers are quite nice. AC and YW keep selling quite well, and show legs. Taiko PSV is not having much legs and sales are quite low - there will likely be another PSV entry next year.
YOY changes:
3DS: -15%
PS4: +0.2%
WIU: +0.2%
PSV: -27%
PS3: -56%
YOY changes:
3DS: -15%
PS4: +0.2%
WIU: +0.2%
PSV: -27%
PS3: -56%
I said PS4 will sell more in 2015 than PS3 in 2008 bruh
I'm going to try posting up the first part of the Road to TGS this week after the Famitsu stuff finishes leaking.
Was there anything people wanted beyond the following information?
Title, Publisher, Developer, Platforms, Genre, Notes.
Notes would include anything especially notable about the title.
I'm trying to post less of these this year so there's more potential to discuss a large list at a time instead of just 2-3 entries popping up in isolation.
Was there anything people wanted beyond the following information?
Title, Publisher, Developer, Platforms, Genre, Notes.
Notes would include anything especially notable about the title.
I'm trying to post less of these this year so there's more potential to discuss a large list at a time instead of just 2-3 entries popping up in isolation.
You're right, but the 1.6 million is completely outlandish.
1.2 million isn't crazy, but it has to have big increases that hold through the rest of the year.
It can't really get below 20k again (accounting for spikes with big launches) for this to happen.
Sounds about right, maybe September could be a bit higher but we'll see in a few weeks.
The only reason the 1.6m is there is because every week the PS4 is well over 50% up YOY, and if that continues it could land around there (but it won't, because I don't think PS4 can double what it did in the holiday months)
This one was announced already actually: http://gematsu.com/2015/07/idolmast...-event-ps-vita-taiko-crossover-game-announced
I don't know how are the monthly weeks in Japan... Are the same of the US? I know September is a 5 weeks month in the US, 30 August to 2 October.
Is September a 5 weeks month even in Japan?
PS4 YtD 2014 (MC numbers): 970.667
So far the YoY increase is not that high (0.2%) but due to launch numbers of last year, I suppose. Recently, since the introduction of Bloodborne code and the announcement of DQXI, it seems to have increased its pace compared to last year. I'd say that a 10% increase is doable, so I tend to agree with the 1.15/1.2 millions as YtD 2015 for PS4, unless Sony will introduce some sort of price cut alongside the Christmas festivities.
About Wii U, YtD 2014 (MC numbers): 618.150
So far the increase is the same as PS4, +0..2%, but the Splatoon launch effectively changed its weekly baseline. Last year's bundles were uneffective in terms of holiday bump: this year one's is actually even worst in terms of actual "economical value", but I think that Wii U's ability to beat its past YtD is baed on the possible Super Mario Maker popularity. If the game will gain momentum, alongside an "evergreen" Splatoon it could lead up to a small YoY increase, anyway probably smaller than the PS4 one, so I'd say that it could end selling around 650k YtD 2015.
Despite it being the only console actually successfull in Japan, 3DS YoY comparison will be the more "tough": last year's YtD was 3.176.525 thanks to the NEW models introduced. I suppose that in a month and a half the YoY comparison will be way worst than the actual - 15%. I think it will probably end around 2 millions YtD 2015, with a drop around 33% or higher.
I imagine a similar drop YoY even for PSVita (1.168.570 YtD 2014, MC numbers), that could end up around 850k YtD 2015 I suppose.
1st Course
Member
Glad you're doing this for yet another year. Always enjoyed the road to tgs posts. I'm not sure it is too much trouble, but I would love to see a release date category if possible.