PREDICTION LEAGUE YEAR 2017
Predict how much these titles will sell this year (from Dec 26, 2016 to Dec 31, 2017):
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 0k
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 0k
[PS4] PlayStation 4 Hardware - 1,400,000
[NSW] Nintendo Switch Hardware - 1,200,000
[3DS] Nintendo 3DS Hardware - 1,400,000
3DS loses almost the entire holiday season because it launched in February. It was at 4,5m 3 weeks later.
I'm honestly surprised I'm the only one so far who thinks DQXI will sell (ship) zero units this year.
I'm honestly surprised I'm the only one so far who thinks DQXI will sell (ship) zero units this year.
So the first major event for FE Heroes is now live, and features a special character not available anywhere else. Map is really challenging, and uses quite a bit of stamina (15 on Hard, with 50 being what you have when full... yeah, gonna sell loads of stamina potion this week-end).
??????
15 Stamina on Hard is the normal cost of any Special Map...
Yup, forgot to mention the "no revive items" rule.
Ōkami;230052437 said:In order to get to 4m by the end of the year (meaning 43 weeks of sales) the Nintendo Switch would need to become the fastest selling console in Japan since the Game Boy Advance.
For comparison, LTD after 43 weeks:
GBA: 4.85m
3DS: 3.60m
WII: 3.54m
NDS: 3.26m
PS2: 3.05m
PS1: 1.21m
With that we know about the system now I wouldn't make the assertion of it even selling 3 million, the best thing to compare it to, as far as release timing and price goes is the PS2.
First Day Sell-through {2017.02.09}
[3DS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Joker 3 - Professional <RPG> (Square Enix) (¥5.250) - 40%
Just out of interest what do people think will be pushing Switch sales world wide? Zelda has never been a sales juggernaut, even on the Wii with its hardware numbers it's still only like 7-8 million right?
Just out of interest what do people think will be pushing Switch sales world wide? Zelda has never been a sales juggernaut, even on the Wii with its hardware numbers it's still only like 7-8 million right?
Ōkami;230052437 said:In order to get to 4m by the end of the year (meaning 43 weeks of sales) the Nintendo Switch would need to become the fastest selling console in Japan since the Game Boy Advance.
For comparison, LTD after 43 weeks:
GBA: 4.85m
3DS: 3.60m
WII: 3.54m
NDS: 3.26m
PS2: 3.05m
PS1: 1.21m
With that we know about the system now I wouldn't make the assertion of it even selling 3 million, the best thing to compare it to, as far as release timing and price goes is the PS2.
If the 3DS and PS4 versions indeed release on the same day, then I can see this being a reality. That said, I still see a possibility that the 3DS version gets released in 2017, and the home console one being pushed to 2018. It allows the game to technically meet its target, while also giving the other version the extra time it seems to be needing. Setting up a double-dipping scenario would also help justify their splurging on multiple versions of the same game too.PREDICTION LEAGUE YEAR 2017
Predict how much these titles will sell this year (from Dec 26, 2016 to Dec 31, 2017):
[3DS] Dragon Quest XI - 0k
[PS4] Dragon Quest XI - 0k
With an aggresive pirce cut that I think Switch won't have (if the situation repeats, something that I won't think it will happen).
I think Switch will sell fine but not like other cheaper systems. So I think 4 million is a bit difficult to reach. But we will see.
Just out of interest what do people think will be pushing Switch sales world wide? Zelda has never been a sales juggernaut, even on the Wii with its hardware numbers it's still only like 7-8 million right?
If the 3DS and PS4 versions indeed release on the same day, then I can see this being a reality. That said, I still see a possibility that the 3DS version gets released in 2017, and the home console one being pushed to 2018. It allows the game to technically meet its target, while also giving the other version the extra time it seems to be needing. Setting up a double-dipping scenario would also help justify their splurging on multiple versions of the same game too.
November 2006 NPD:
Wii - 476k
Twilight Princess (Wii) - 412k
December 2006 NPD:
Wii - 604k
Twilight Princess (Wii) - 519k
Twilight Princess (GC) - 533k
January 2007 NPD:
Wii - 436k
Twilight Princess (Wii) - 189k
Twilight Princess (GC) - 144k
February 2007 NPD:
Wii - 335k
Twilight Princess (Wii) - 130k
Twilight Princess (GC) - 55k
"Never been a sales juggernaut" :lol
Look at the LTD vs the install base of the console.
People expecting the Switch to sell millions based on Zelda look to be disappointed.
Who is actually saying this?
There's plenty of people expecting the Switch to sell amazing in its first year and saying launch lineup doesn't matter due to Zelda.
Look at the LTD vs the install base of the console.
People expecting the Switch to sell millions based on Zelda look to be disappointed.
There's plenty of people expecting the Switch to sell amazing in its first year and saying launch lineup doesn't matter due to Zelda.
There's plenty of people expecting the Switch to sell amazing in its first year and saying launch lineup doesn't matter due to Zelda.
Look at the LTD vs the install base of the console.
People expecting the Switch to sell millions based on Zelda look to be disappointed.
Do you see the numbers you quoted?
I wouldn´t be surprised if the tie ratio in the first 3-6 Months between Zelda and Switch could reach 1:2 or 1:3 (or maybe even better).
It's going to be much higher than 50% for the first 3 months, considering there's nothing else to fucking buy until Mario Kart 8 Deluxe comes out almost 2 months later.
The attach rate for Zelda and 12 Switch in South East Asia will be 100%! Wow!!
The attach rate for Zelda and 12 Switch in South East Asia will be 100%! Wow!!
Only you will buy Switch?
Why u diss Supa Bombaman Rrrrr.T_T
The attach rate for Knack and PS4 was 100%! Wow!!
I'm honestly surprised I'm the only one so far who thinks DQXI will sell (ship) zero units this year.
I'm not dissing it, but no one is buying a Switch just to play Bomberman. The vast majority of Switch buyers in the first two months will be buying it to play Zelda. The bulk of the remainder will be the weirdos who want to play Baby.
2018 is late for a big 3DS game to release even in japan
2018 probably is for the west and no 3DS version for there
2018 is late for a big 3DS game to release even in japan
2018 probably is for the west and no 3DS version for there
Not sure about tons of appealing software, but maybe better than the 3DS at least.The 3DS had a very weak launch in Japan when it came to software.
The Switch on the other hand is going to have a ton of appealing software for the Japanese market.
Splatoon in itself will be massive with local multiplayer, in much the same way Monster Hunter blew up when it became portable.
PS4 Never Give Up Road Trip
Week 150: PS3 3,533,131 / PS4 4.100.667
Week 151: PS3 3,573,091 / PS4 4.187.836
Week 152: PS3 3.610.629 / PS4 4.234.839
Week 153: PS3 3,641,525 / PS4 4.268.215
Week 154: PS3 3,671,756 / PS4 4.308.886
Week 155: PS3 3,701,733 / PS4 4.345.264
Week 156: PS3 3,737,794
Week 157: PS3 3,786,719
Week 158: PS3 3,825,217
Week 159: PS3 3,859,969
Week 160: PS3 3.906.497
Week 170: PS3 3.964.279
Week 171: PS3 4.039.395
Week 172: PS3 4.276.480
Week 173: PS3 4.386.999
Week 174: PS3 4,501,368
Needs avg. 15k.
Not sure about tons of appealing software, but maybe better than the 3DS at least.
Splatoon 2 local multiplayer is also a wildcard, in my opinion. It will be popular, but i'm not sure if theres millions of people out there not interesting in Splatoon at this point, but will be because of added local multiplayer. Splatoon is a versus game while MH is a co-op game, but we'll see how things turn out =)
Out of curiosity, needs 15k for what? To not fall behind the PS3 before week 174? If so, it seems unlikley at this point
you're forgetting about new baseline <5k for ps4 when it dies in march
Sure, i was just wondering about local play in specific, if that in itself will bring millions of more people into the game.Well, Splatoon 1 was huge in Japan, despite being on an eminently unappealing home console in a region that doesn't like home consoles to begin with. Placing the sequel on a vastly more appealing handheld console could certainly give it the opportunity to do big numbers. If the Switch takes off in a big way in Japan, the release of Splatoon 2 is when I'm expecting it to happen.