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(Hardware) October 2008 NPD Predictions - Closes November 7 @ 8 pm

Thunder Monkey said:
First time I've missed since I started I think.

With 116 posts and a fair bit of discussion, I think we could be looking at < 100 participants. That's not a bad thing, in and of itself, but it does indicate that a few people, like yourself, missed the cutoff that normally would have wanted to predict. It's something to consider when looking at the cutoff time for upcoming months.

It is normally a very "fast" turnaround from a 5-week month to a 4-week month, as well.
 
donny2112 said:
With 116 posts and a fair bit of discussion, I think we could be looking at < 100 participants. That's not a bad thing, in and of itself, but it does indicate that a few people, like yourself, missed the cutoff that normally would have wanted to predict. It's something to consider when looking at the cutoff time for upcoming months.

It is normally a very "fast" turnaround from a 5-week month to a 4-week month, as well.
I wasn't expecting it to be so soon, can you extend the date till the 10th or 9th at least?
 
RobertM said:
I wasn't expecting it to be so soon, can you extend the date till the 10th or 9th at least?

As an exception rather than the rule, yes, to the 9th.

Predictions extended until 8 p.m. Eastern Standard Time on November 9th.

OP will be updated, but I can't update the thread title.

Hopefully anyone who actually wanted to predict and hadn't will see the update. :)
 
donny2112 said:
As an exception rather than the rule, yes, to the 9th.

Predictions extended until 8 p.m. Eastern Standard Time on November 9th.

OP will be updated, but I can't update the thread title.

Hopefully anyone who actually wanted to predict and hadn't will see the update. :)
:( I missed the January cutoff I think by like 3 hours and you wouldnt let my prediction in :(

I'd be in the top 10 total for the year also :(
 
Thunder Monkey said:
Guess that means he likes me more.

No.

I put part of the blame on myself, as I noticed it wasn't up during the day much this week and didn't bump it. Next month it'll probably run Sunday to Sunday instead of Friday to Friday. Morgan Wedbush previews usually come out on Monday, so ending the prediction thread before then should be good.
 
Chumly said:
:( I missed the January cutoff I think by like 3 hours and you wouldnt let my prediction in :(

I'd be in the top 10 total for the year also :(

I also missed one of the month (forgot which one) prediction by 12 hours (too late by 12 hours). I would have significantly higher standing in Overall 2008 if it was counted (I think it should be up from #42 to something like #18.

So, you are not the only one that missed the deadline, you have companies.
 
donny2112 said:
No.

I put part of the blame on myself, as I noticed it wasn't up during the day much this week and didn't bump it. Next month it'll probably run Sunday to Sunday instead of Friday to Friday. Morgan Wedbush previews usually come out on Monday, so ending the prediction thread before then should be good.
That really hurts... :(
 
Thunder Monkey said:
That really hurts... :(

You presumed. I needed to correct the presumption. You're fine, but I didn't want to let the idea that I was doing it as a special favor to you stay out there.

If I had made the effort to make sure it got bumped once or twice during the day this week, I wouldn't have extended the deadline. The thread didn't need it the last few months, and I let it slide this time around. Hopefully with a slightly later start/end date, it won't be an issue going forward even on short turnaround months.

No personal insult intended. :)
 
[360]278k
[NDS]495k
[PS2]162k
[PS3]220k
[PSP]243k
[WII]640k

Didn't put much effort into it this time around. Thanks donny for giving us more time.
 
donny2112 said:
You presumed. I needed to correct the presumption. You're fine, but I didn't want to let the idea that I was doing it as a special favor to you stay out there.

If I had made the effort to make sure it got bumped once or twice during the day this week, I wouldn't have extended the deadline. The thread didn't need it the last few months, and I let it slide this time around. Hopefully with a slightly later start/end date, it won't be an issue going forward even on short turnaround months.

No personal insult intended. :)
:lol

No problem man.
 
In case anyone wants to compare their predictions:

Code:
PlayStation 2   136K	
PlayStation 3   190K	
PSP           	193K	
Xbox 360	371K	
Wii     	803K	
Nintendo DS	491K

Was way off on 360, pretty close on Wii.
 
October 2008 NPD Predictions

Unit Results

1. Yes Boss! - 158,000
2. Frillen - 176,000
2. Pachter - 176,000
4. Linkup - 179,000
5. 1cesc - 185,000
6. jibblypop - 189,000
7. llonesmiz - 196,000
8. Keikoku - 212,000
9. N.A - 214,000
10. donny2112 - 219,000
10. sionyboy - 219,000
12. JJConrad - 229,000
13. Jesse2040 - 231,000
14. doicare - 234,000
15. Alcibiades - 236,000
16. nextgeneration - 237,000
17. DayShallCome - 238,000
18. VanMardigan - 241,000
19. Chumly - 246,000
20. Gaborn - 247,000
20. rostocker - 247,000
22. RBH - 254,000
23. dyls - 256,000
24. laserbeam - 259,000
24. Sean - 259,000
26. gtj1092 - 264,000
26. Strike - 264,000
28. jvm - 266,000
29. bcn-ron - 271,000
30. JoshuaJSlone - 274,000
30. SuperBanjo - 274,000
32. SIP YEK NOD - 278,000
33. starship - 279,000
34. botticus - 281,000
35. apujanata - 286,000
36. tahrikmili - 294,000
36. Ydahs - 294,000
38. boontje - 296,000
39. John Dunbar - 299,000
40. jmonteiro - 301,000
41. Atreides - 304,000
41. kiruyama - 304,000
41. LOCK - 304,000
44. suffah - 305,000
45. gregor7777 - 306,000
45. lowlylowlycook - 306,000
47. scottnak - 311,000
48. Jokeropia - 313,000
49. ayrkain - 314,000
50. Hammer24 - 316,000
51. robotnjik - 317,000
52. dammitmattt - 318,000
53. Foil - 319,000
53. WrikaWrek - 319,000
55. Private Hoffman - 329,000
56. Frankfurter - 334,000
56. Hyllian - 334,000
58. rikitikitik - 336,000
59. SuperSonic1305 - 340,000
60. blitz64 - 341,000
61. Brakara - 349,000
62. Orgen - 353,000
63. AniHawk - 354,000
63. The M.O.B - 354,000
63. timetokill - 354,000
66. danwarb - 356,000
67. Mr.Potato Head - 357,000
68. cuate - 359,000
69. SPEA - 363,000
70. BLaZiN PRopHeT - 364,000
71. archnemesis - 366,000
71. RobertM - 366,000
71. wayward archer - 366,000
74. No_Style - 374,000
74. Osuwari - 374,000
76. jj984jj - 376,000
77. Scott32020 - 379,000
78. Psychotext - 380,000
79. dirtmonkey37 - 382,000
80. NemesisPrime - 383,000
80. Spiegel - 383,000
82. Thunder Monkey - 384,000
83. Restricted_Area - 386,000
84. Flakster99 - 390,000
85. Casey120 - 391,000
86. Brak - 403,000
87. Darklord - 413,000
88. choodi - 416,000
89. skedar897 - 419,000
90. andy_lhc - 429,000
91. Jonsoncao - 433,000
92. Oblivion - 434,000
93. shykyoichi - 441,000
94. perfectchaos007 - 444,000
95. comedy bomb - 446,000
96. Jethro - 454,000
96. Region-FreeWii - 454,000
98. moe_81 - 483,000
99. Rekwest - 490,000
100. LiquidMetal14 - 514,000
101. kefka2030 - 515,350
102. B E N K E - 528,000
103. agm2502 - 534,000
104. JaCy - 572,000
105. akilshohen - 594,000
106. UltimaPooh - 612,000
107. Minsc - 668,000
108. Duxxy3 - 778,000
109. Zihark - 886,000




Point Results

Code:
     October 2008                Last 3 Months                Overall 2008	
1.   Yes Boss!          138.84   doicare             363.38   doicare             1,065.97
2.   Frillen            134.15   laserbeam           350.79   starship            1,044.33
3.   Linkup             127.98   Gaborn              349.53   nextgeneration      1,038.41
4.   jibblypop          125.87   Frillen             348.21   botticus            1,036.16
5.   N.A                121.84   dyls                347.3    donny2112           1,032.82
6.   Pachter            121.29   Chumly              345.08   dyls                1,030.67
7.   rostocker          119.29   llonesmiz           341.26   llonesmiz           1,030.64
8.   sionyboy           118.91   Yes Boss!           338.87   DayShallCome        1,028.09
9.   dyls               118.86   Linkup              338.12   Jokeropia           1,019.33
10.  RBH                118.85   Pachter             336.54   AniHawk             1,014.14
11.  llonesmiz          118.67   JJConrad            332.7    rostocker           1,005.43
12.  laserbeam          118.19   Jesse2040           332.62   JoshuaJSlone        1,004.76
13.  JJConrad           118.06   rostocker           332.57   Pachter             1,004.70
14.  DayShallCome       117.58   Hyllian             331.8    danwarb             1,002.31
15.  jvm                117.32   AniHawk             330.96   Brak                  999.96
16.  donny2112          117.22   jibblypop           329.83   SuperBanjo            999.44
17.  Keikoku            117.02   Hammer24            329.77   Psychotext            992.75
18.  Jokeropia          116.71   Jokeropia           329.55   Frillen               989.26
19.  lowlylowlycook     116.34   RBH                 329.4    blitz64               987.12
20.  Alcibiades         116.33   Brak                329.19   Strike                981.18
21.  Chumly             116.06   apujanata           329.05   Frankfurter           980.05
22.  Hammer24           116.02   Strike              328.92   Flakster99            978.07
23.  SuperBanjo         116      botticus            328.62   RBH                   977.21
24.  VanMardigan        115.85   Flakster99          328.29   Yes Boss!             975.71
25.  Strike             115.8    jvm                 328.21   Brakara               975.03
26.  AniHawk            115.79   donny2112           328.2    scottnak              973.38
27.  botticus           115.76   timetokill          327.16   rikitikitik           972.35
28.  SIP YEK NOD        115.69   N.A                 326.97   Spiegel               967.74
29.  jmonteiro          115.58   danwarb             326.55   Hammer24              958.9
30.  WrikaWrek          115.12   DayShallCome        325.95   JJConrad              949.73
31.  apujanata          115.11   nextgeneration      325.06   Region-FreeWii        944.7
32.  nextgeneration     115.04   Private Hoffman     324.85   SIP YEK NOD           943.39
33.  danwarb            115.02   SuperBanjo          323.28   Chumly                943.01
34.  Gaborn             114.98   Brakara             322.47   choodi                937.67
35.  tahrikmili         114.94   SIP YEK NOD         321.8    Linkup                920.85
36.  robotnjik          114.89   jj984jj             320.12   Thunder Monkey        915.77
37.  dirtmonkey37       114.8    scottnak            319.75   apujanata             902.44
38.  rikitikitik        114.48   No_Style            319.4    N.A                   897.47
39.  boontje            113.98   BLaZiN PRopHeT      318.54   perfectchaos007       895.38
40.  doicare            113.66   Atreides            318.32   Osuwari               882.99
41.  wayward archer     113.54   Spiegel             316.93   Jesse2040             880.84
42.  scottnak           113.36   JoshuaJSlone        316.59   felipeko              871.91
43.  NemesisPrime       113.33   Psychotext          316.4    archnemesis           871.88
44.  Brakara            112.32   Osuwari             316.38   Chibbi Brady          868.98
45.  starship           112.32   Scott32020          316.31   Orgen                 862.84
46.  Osuwari            112.13   Thunder Monkey      316.06   Ydahs                 861.49
47.  Private Hoffman    112.09   andy_lhc            315.89   Minsc                 858.91
48.  1cesc              111.98   starship            315.61   boontje               858.86
49.  shykyoichi         111.9    rikitikitik         315.55   andy_lhc              852.6
50.  timetokill         111.88   RobertM             314.21   womfalcs3             850.75

Congratulations, Yes Boss! :D

Remember a couple of months ago when michaelpachter said he wanted to be like JoshuaJSlone? Watch out, JJS! :lol
 
Joint 10th in the units results with Donny, and 9th in the points results. Tidy brah! Hell of a lot better than my August results when I was 145/147 :D
 
donny2112 said:
Remember a couple of months ago when michaelpachter said he wanted to be like JoshuaJSlone? Watch out, JJS! :lol
Wow he actually said that? Congrats JJS, you're making your way to the top! :lol

Good work Yes Boss! and doicare!
 
Jesse2040 said:
How do the points work out again? Didnt see my nickname in the top 50 for points, but placed 13 on the predictions.

70. Jesse2040 - 105.57

http://www.angelfire.com/planet/donny2112/NeoGAF/points_main.html

You did pretty well on the individual systems (worst ones were PS3/360 totaling ~30 points out of 40), but you got the ordering of the systems incorrect. Normally, that's not a big deal. However, about 70% of the predictors got the ordering correct this time around (including my first time, ever :D ), so your lacking it cost you 10 points most everyone else got.
 
donny2112 said:
October 2008 NPD Predictions

Unit Results
93. shykyoichi - 441,000

Point Results

Code:
     October 2008                Last 3 Months                Overall 2008	
49.  shykyoichi         111.9    rikitikitik         315.55   andy_lhc              852.6

OMG! It's my 1st time joining the Predictions. :D Nice to see I was able to belong in the Top 100. I think the Wii is my primary source of inconsistency. :lol

Congrats to the winner and everyone who joined.
 
I was off by a lot on my predictions this month (70k off Wii, 70k off PS3, 81k off 360) and still came in a pretty decent 24th place.

Interestingly it was the 360 which hurt my predictions the most rather than the Wii. Though it still seems like whatever insane prediction I make for the Wii Nintendo always manages to outdo it :lol
 
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