• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

(Hardware) October 2008 NPD Predictions - Closes November 7 @ 8 pm

R

Rolf NB

Member
[360] 316k
[NDS] 509k
[PS2] 171k
[PS3] 228k
[PSP] 222k
[WII] 707k

JoshuaJSlone said:
Even if we imagine X360 sold 0 units until the price drop took effect in September, its average rate of post-price-drop sales would be around 81K/week. Not sure why that rate would increase for month two.
Click to expand...
It's October. When I look at the past few years, it seems typical for NPD October (4 weeks) to end up with roughly the same sales as NPD September (5 weeks), i.e. a 25% seasonal bump in weekly sales.
I'd agree that 400k+ is very, very optimistic though.
 
J

JoshuaJSlone

Member
bcn-ron said:
It's October. When I look at the past few years, it seems typical for NPD October (4 weeks) to end up with roughly the same sales as NPD September (5 weeks), i.e. a 25% seasonal bump in weekly sales.
Click to expand...
It's true that in general numbers are flat or not much down, but the same doesn't hold true if there was a reason for a September bump that will naturally be lessened as time goes on. Again going to last year, of course X360 couldn't maintain its unusually high September rate in October.
 
W

Walshicus

Member
JoshuaJSlone said:
It's true that in general numbers are flat or not much down, but the same doesn't hold true if there was a reason for a September bump that will naturally be lessened as time goes on. Again going to last year, of course X360 couldn't maintain its unusually high September rate in October.
Click to expand...
Last year's bump was due to software. This year's was due to price. You'd expect a price related demand increase to have longer legs.

But who knows? We'll see in a week or so.
 
A

apujanata

Member
JoshuaJSlone said:
A note to those who have predicted X360 at 400K or higher: Do you realize it didn't even do that well last year, when it still had the Halo 3 bump going for it? It went from a 528K September to a 366K October.
Click to expand...

If you are referring to me, did I mention that I am going WILD this time ? Don't worry, there are still time to change it (if I ever think it is necessary), right ? :D
 
P

Private Hoffman

Banned
Sir Fragula said:
Last year's bump was due to software. This year's was due to price. You'd expect a price related demand increase to have longer legs.

But who knows? We'll see in a week or so.
Click to expand...

Longer legs, yes. But the first month of the price drop is generally the largest (disregarding the holiday bumps which usually don't start until November).

The sales then tend to decrease to more of a steady state.

For instance, when the PS3 dropped price to 499, you saw the PS3 sales shoot up the first month, then gradually dwindle until the 399 PS3 hit last November.
 
F

FrankT

Member
Looking at some of the overall numbers in the retail sector Mastercard in a report today stated a near 20% drop in electronics sales for the month of October. EA CEO also stated last week there has been a slow down in game sales during the time frame. I'm wondering how much the overall economic impact will have for the month in the sector. There have been a lot of quality games this month however so as a whole for hardware/software I would imagine it should still be up.
 
Z

Zihark

Member
[360] 450K
[NDS] 750K
[PS2] 250K
[PS3] 400K
[PSP] 370K
[WII] 850K
With these numbers, I'll either be nostradamus or so far outta it.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

Circana (NPD) October 2023: #1 Spider-Man 2 #2 Super Mario Wonder #3 AC Mirage; PS5 #1 Units + Revenue, NSW #2 Units, XBS #2 Revenue
Sales-Age 3 4 5 6 7
307
21K
Unknown? replied
Did anyone else think that the Nintendo Wii was going to be the best selling console ever back then?
39
3K
Eddie-Griffin replied
Circana (NPD) Full Year Software Top 20 Results from 1995 to 2022 (Ranked by Revenue)
Sales-Age
16
1K
onQ123 replied
NPD FLASHBACK: Top 200 best selling PS2/Xbox/GC games end of gen.
Sales-Age
17
3K
Yoshi replied
NPD Flashback: The top 40 best selling GBA games (Also top 40 in Japan)
Sales-Age
4
2K
Deleted member 738976 replied
Top Bottom