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donny2112 · Dec 1, 2008

We're predicting for five games that I'm reasonably sure will be in the Top 10 with some leaning to what EEDAR predicts via the simExchange.

Games/Format:

[360 Gears of War 2]
[360 COD: World at War]
[PS3 COD: World at War]
[PS3 Resistance 2]
[WII Mario Kart]
[Total SW $ in millions]

Code:

Good                        Bad
[WII Mario Kart] 200K       [WII Mario Kart] 200 thousand
[WII Mario Kart] 200,000    [WII Mario Kart] 200.000
[WII Mario Kart] 200000     [WII Mario Kart] - 200,000

The Hardware Prediction thread is here.

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EST on Sunday, December 7th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: November 2 - November 29 (4 weeks, October was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: December 11th @ 4 p.m. EST (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EST)

Code:

                              Sep 2008   Oct 2008

[WII Mario Kart]                  353K       290K
[Total SW $ in millions]           616        697

Days available in tracking period (new releases):
360/PS3 COD: World at War - 20 days
360 Gears 2 - 23 days
PS3 Resistance 2 - 26 days

scorpian007 · Dec 1, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 2,100,000
[360 COD: World at War] 1,300,000
[PS3 COD: World at War] 600,000
[PS3 Resistance 2] 350,000
[WII Mario Kart] 300,000

naldo · Dec 1, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 1,900,000
[360 COD: World at War] 1,100,000
[PS3 COD: World at War] 700,000
[PS3 Resistance 2] 290,000
[WII Mario Kart] 190,000

RBH · Dec 1, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 1700k
[360 COD: World at War] 1100k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 800k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 500k
[WII Mario Kart] 350k
[Total SW $ in millions] 800

Beer Monkey · Dec 1, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 2400k
[360 COD: World at War] 1600k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 600k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 300k
[WII Mario Kart] 540k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1200

borsdy · Dec 1, 2008

Why do you guys think PS3 WaW to sell so much less than 360? Resistance 2 coming out like 2 weeks before?

Shanks · Dec 1, 2008

borsdy said:
Why do you guys think PS3 WaW to sell so much less than 360? Resistance 2 coming out like 2 weeks before?

Most likely cause the install base of the PS3 is so much less?

Beer Monkey · Dec 1, 2008

borsdy said:
Why do you guys think PS3 WaW to sell so much less than 360? Resistance 2 coming out like 2 weeks before?

Last November CoD4 sold like 3.5x the number of copies on 360 as PS3.

Sean · Dec 1, 2008

beermonkey@tehbias said:
Last November CoD4 sold like 3.5x the number of copies on 360 as PS3.

Exact sales for CoD4 last November were 1,565,404 copies sold on 360 and 444,000 on PS3.

jrricky · Dec 1, 2008

So Um, where is WiiFit. The game that had huge shipments on black friday, and um... always sold out?.......

derder · Dec 1, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 2,500,000
[360 COD: World at War] 1,500,000
[PS3 COD: World at War] 500,000
[PS3 Resistance 2] 300,000
[WII Mario Kart] 350,000
[Total SW $ in millions] 900

donny2112 · Dec 1, 2008

jrricky said:
So Um, where is WiiFit. The game that had huge shipments on black friday, and um... always sold out?.......

It'll probably be in the Top 10, but between Wii's monthly mainstays of Play, Fit, and Kart, I figured Kart would be more interesting to predict. Watch this be the month it falls out of the Top 10. :lol

Brakara · Dec 1, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 2200k
[360 COD: World at War] 1100k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 550k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 375k
[WII Mario Kart] 500k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1350

Kuroyume · Dec 1, 2008

Major Nelson already revealed a few weeks ago that Gears 2 passed 2 million during its first weekend. Some of you may want to adjust your numbers. :lol

Polk · Dec 1, 2008

Kuroyume said:
Major Nelson already revealed a few weeks ago that Gears 2 passed 2 million during its first weekend. Some of you may want to adjust your numbers. :lol

But I think it was WW

Kuroyume · Dec 1, 2008

Ah, you're likely right about that. Nevermind then...

jrricky · Dec 1, 2008

donny2112 said:
It'll probably be in the Top 10, but between Wii's monthly mainstays of Play, Fit, and Kart, I figured Kart would be more interesting to predict. Watch this be the month it falls out of the Top 10. :lol

It probably will be in top 10 cause its still been selling out of shipments.

ZealousD · Dec 1, 2008

No predictions for Left 4 Dead?

Sho_Nuff82 · Dec 1, 2008

The lack of Left 4 Dead is startling, it might outsell one or two games on that list.

LOCK · Dec 1, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 2800k
[360 COD: World at War] 2000k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 1100k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 300k
[WII Mario Kart] 550k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1300

FrankT · Dec 1, 2008

Based on data from mygamercard.net, the launch weekend figures, and Lazard Capital's Colin Sebastian recent comments stating Gears 2 was one of the hot ticket items for Black Friday Gears 2 should easily push 2.5 million for the month. No clue on how Left4Dead will fare.

Buccket · Dec 1, 2008

Sho_Nuff82 said:
The lack of Left 4 Dead is startling, it might outsell one or two games on that list.

But it's a PC game!

rikitikitik · Dec 2, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 2150k
[360 COD: World at War] 1580k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 615k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 515k
[WII Mario Kart] 670k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1250

MThanded · Dec 2, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] A
[360 COD: World at War] }
[PS3 COD: World at War] |
[PS3 Resistance 2] ^
[WII Mario Kart] %
[Total SW $ in millions] _

KuwabaraTheMan · Dec 2, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 1900k
[360 COD: World at War] 1600k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 950k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 800k
[WII Mario Kart] 550k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1300

Brakara · Dec 2, 2008

Jtyettis said:
Based on data from mygamercard.net, the launch weekend figures, and Lazard Capital's Colin Sebastian recent comments stating Gears 2 was one of the hot ticket items for Black Friday Gears 2 should easily push 2.5 million for the month. No clue on how Left4Dead will fare.

If you compare its mygamercard.net data with Gears 2, then around 450k (provided Gears 2 sells 2.5m). I also checked Call of Duty, and it has almost exactly half the numbers of Gears 2 on mygamercard.net.

Son of Godzilla · Dec 2, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 3100K
[360 COD: World at War] 1200K
[PS3 COD: World at War] NOTLISTED
[PS3 Resistance 2] 350K
[WII Mario Kart] 550K
[Total SW $ in millions] 1500K

donny2112 · Dec 3, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 1600K
[360 COD: World at War] 650K
[PS3 COD: World at War] 400K
[PS3 Resistance 2] 400K
[WII Mario Kart] 425K
[Total SW $ in millions] 1750

SIP YEK NOD · Dec 3, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2]2000k
[360 COD: World at War]1500k
[PS3 COD: World at War]750k
[PS3 Resistance 2]1000k
[WII Mario Kart]500k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1800

just gonna take the easy way out

Spiegel · Dec 3, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 1500k
[360 COD: World at War] 890k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 445k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 555k
[WII Mario Kart] 400k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1650

Bill Squabber · Dec 3, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 2400k
[360 COD: World at War] 850k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 650k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 600k
[WII Mario Kart] 340k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1650

starship · Dec 4, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 1,800,000
[360 COD: World at War] 1,900,000
[PS3 COD: World at War] 700,000
[PS3 Resistance 2] 470,000
[WII Mario Kart] 450,000
[Total SW $ in millions] 1850

FrankT · Dec 4, 2008

Brakara said:
If you compare its mygamercard.net data with Gears 2, then around 450k (provided Gears 2 sells 2.5m). I also checked Call of Duty, and it has almost exactly half the numbers of Gears 2 on mygamercard.net.

After taking a second look at everything it's going to land in the 2-2.5 range for the month most likely I'd say now. Called Fable 2 at no lower than 700k last month so this should be close (the line for the midnight launch at my local spot was as long as GTA IV and that was multi). You're probably right about Left4Dead. Actually checking the L4D numbers th probably will not come in quite that high either.

Hammer24 · Dec 5, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 2250k
[360 COD: World at War] 1150k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 495k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 375k
[WII Mario Kart] 695k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1750

andy_lhc · Dec 5, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 2,300,000
[360 COD: World at War] 1,200,000
[PS3 COD: World at War] 450,000
[PS3 Resistance 2] 350,000
[WII Mario Kart] 300,000
[Total SW $ in millions] 1100

Cheech · Dec 5, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 3100k
[360 COD: World at War] 1700k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 900k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 225k
[WII Mario Kart] 550k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1900

botticus · Dec 5, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 2000k
[360 COD: World at War] 1100k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 450k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 400k
[WII Mario Kart] 400k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1500

Jonsoncao · Dec 5, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 1000k
[360 COD: World at War] 800k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 350k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 300k
[WII Mario Kart] 500k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1750

Jesse2040 · Dec 5, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 2000k
[360 COD: World at War] 1400k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 600k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 335k
[WII Mario Kart] 400k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1350

rostocker · Dec 6, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 2400k
[360 COD: World at War] 1400k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 560k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 490k
[WII Mario Kart] 620k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1400

Frillen · Dec 6, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 2200k
[360 COD: World at War] 1500k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 650k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 400k
[WII Mario Kart] 550k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1400

llonesmiz · Dec 6, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 2200k
[360 COD: World at War] 1430k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 570k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 320k
[WII Mario Kart] 500k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1400

apujanata · Dec 6, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 2000k
[360 COD: World at War] 1570k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 670k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 350k
[WII Mario Kart] 550k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1450

Aaron Strife · Dec 7, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 2100k
[360 COD: World at War] 1600k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 600k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 440k
[WII Mario Kart] 350k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1400 (seems to be the magic number for most people)

Chumly · Dec 7, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 2200K
[360 COD: World at War] 1350K
[PS3 COD: World at War] 650K
[PS3 Resistance 2] 300K
[WII Mario Kart] 600K
[Total SW $ in millions] 1500

Dirtbag · Dec 7, 2008

This NPD is going to rock!
That's my prediction.

Should be hilarious.

Accident · Dec 7, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 2100K
[360 COD: World at War] 1300K
[PS3 COD: World at War] 550K
[PS3 Resistance 2] 320K
[WII Mario Kart] 450K
[Total SW $ in millions] 1420

gottalovetheglove · Dec 7, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 1850K
[360 COD: World at War] 1500K
[PS3 COD: World at War] 600K
[PS3 Resistance 2] 275K
[WII Mario Kart] 500K
[Total SW $ in millions] 1600

kefka2030 · Dec 7, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 1,956,000
[360 COD: World at War] 1,426,000
[PS3 COD: World at War] 421,000
[PS3 Resistance 2] 385,000
[WII Mario Kart] 471,000
[Total SW $ in millions] 1,526

akilshohen · Dec 7, 2008

[360 Gears of War 2] 1700k
[360 COD: World at War] 850k
[PS3 COD: World at War] 400k
[PS3 Resistance 2] 200k
[WII Mario Kart] 450k
[Total SW $ in millions] 1900k

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