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donny2112 · Nov 29, 2009

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 5 p.m. EST on Sunday, December 6th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: November 1-28 (4 weeks, October was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: December 10th @ 4 p.m. EST (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EST)

Format:

[360]
[NDS]
[PS2]
[PS3]
[PSP]
[WII]

Code:

Good              Bad
[NDS] 1,250K      [NDS] 1.25m
[NDS] 1,250,000   [NDS] 1.250.000
[NDS] 1250000     [NDS] - 1250000

The Software Prediction thread is here.

Potential hardware impacting events in November:
It's November. Usually the second biggest sales month of the year behind December.

October's Results - thanks to NPD and EviLore

EviLore said:
PlayStation 2 117.8K
PlayStation 3 320.6K
PSP 174.6K
Xbox 360 249.7K
Wii 506.9K
Nintendo DS 457.6K

UNCHARTED 2: AMONG THIEVES (PS3; Oct-09) 537,000
WII FIT PLUS* (WII; Oct-09) 441,000
BORDERLANDS (360; Oct-09) 418,000
WII SPORTS RESORT* (WII; Jul-09) 314,000
NBA 2K10* (360; Oct-09) 311,000
HALO 3: ODST (360; Sep-09) 271,000
NBA 2K10* (PS3; Oct-09) 213,000
FORZA MOTORSPORT 3 (360; Oct-09) 175,000
KINGDOM HEARTS 358/2 DAYS (NDS; Sep-09) 169,000
FIFA SOCCER 10 (360; Oct-09) 156,000

(*includes CE, GOTY editions, bundles, etc. but not those bundled with hardware)

Oct-08 -> Nov-08 transition:

Code:

      Oct-08  Nov-08   % change
360     371K    836K   +125%
NDS     491K   1570K   +220%
PS2     136K    206K   + 51%
PS3     190K    378K   + 99%
PSP     193K    421K   +118%
WII     803K   2040K   +154%

October Prediction Results

Edit:
Thanksgiving Week:
DS - 1 million
Wii - 550K
PS3 - 440K (through 11/29)
360 - 2x previous week

agm2502 · Nov 29, 2009

[360] 486k
[NDS] 1,386k
[PS2] 156k
[PS3] 712k
[PSP] 318k
[WII] 1,412k

Sadist · Nov 29, 2009

[360] 610k
[NDS] 1340k
[PS2] 205k
[PS3] 700k
[PSP] 365k
[WII] 1225k

Vustadumas · Nov 29, 2009

[360] 625K
[NDS] 1650K
[PS2] 150K
[PS3] 675K
[PSP] 250K
[WII] 1200K

Nemo · Nov 29, 2009

[360] 630K
[NDS] 800K
[PS2] 170K
[PS3] 800K
[PSP] 320K
[WII] 1000K

h3ro · Nov 29, 2009

[360] 640K
[NDS] 1000K
[PS2] 140K
[PS3] 800K
[PSP] 200K
[WII] 1250K

MikeE21286 · Nov 29, 2009

[360] 700k
[NDS] 1250k
[PS2] 200k
[PS3] 850k
[PSP] 300k
[WII] 975k

Flakster99 · Nov 29, 2009

[360] 835k
[NDS] 1,586k
[PS2] 135k
[PS3] 775k
[PSP] 210k
[WII] 1,712k

Averon · Nov 29, 2009

[360] 680k
[NDS] 1,140k
[PS2] 200k
[PS3] 760k
[PSP] 235k
[WII] 990k

thestopsign · Nov 29, 2009

[360] 540k
[NDS] 1850k
[PS2] 195k
[PS3] 765k
[PSP] 310k
[WII] 1260k

Elios83 · Nov 29, 2009

[360] 680k
[NDS] 1,800k
[PS2] 200k
[PS3] 760k
[PSP] 380k
[WII] 1,150k

sensi97 · Nov 29, 2009

[360] 630K
[NDS] 1,830K
[PS2] 190K
[PS3] 780K
[PSP] 370K
[WII] 1,230K

Arsenic · Nov 29, 2009

[360]700k
[NDS]1400k
[PS2]180k
[PS3]800k
[PSP]350k
[WII] 1800k

AniHawk · Nov 29, 2009

[360] 800k
[NDS] 1800k
[PS2] 200k
[PS3] 800k
[PSP] 360k
[WII] 1200k

choodi · Nov 29, 2009

[360] 580k
[NDS] 2200k
[PS2] 160k
[PS3] 790k
[PSP] 330k
[WII] 1300k

andy_lhc · Nov 29, 2009

[360] 650K
[NDS] 1550K
[PS2] 190K
[PS3] 750K
[PSP] 295K
[WII] 1350K

Megadragon15 · Nov 29, 2009

[360] 560
[NDS] 1700
[PS2] 178
[PS3] 820
[PSP] 250
[WII] 1100

Provider · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 470K
[NDS] 1,650K
[PS2] 180K
[PS3] 760K
[PSP] 350K
[WII] 1,210K

No_Style · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 700K
[NDS] 1700K
[PS2] 250K
[PS3] 800K
[PSP] 275K
[WII] 1400K

LiquidMetal14 · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 689k
[NDS] 1921k
[PS2] 279k
[PS3] 737k
[PSP] 341k
[WII] 1189k

boiled goose · Nov 30, 2009

wii predictions all over the place...

MikeE21286 · Nov 30, 2009

amtentori said:
wii predictions all over the place...

yeah, in retrospect I believe the gap between my wii and ps3 predictions should be larger....

I'd rather just leave it rather than have the "edited" attached to my prediction.

Scott32020 · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 650k
[NDS] 1625k
[PS2] 225k
[PS3] 825k
[PSP] 300k
[WII] 1300k

Danthrax · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 500k
[NDS] 1485k
[PS2] 152k
[PS3] 720k
[PSP] 304k
[WII] 1214k

I think some of you are drastically overestimating 360 sales. One, the bundles suck this year. Two, the PS3 is the same price as the 360 this year and is providing serious competition. Three, the 360 is closer to its saturation point this year than last year. Four, I imagine more people have more reliable 360s than last year, which means not as many people are buying replacement consoles.

I'll bet I'm too low on my DS number, though :lol

Osuwari · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 543k
[NDS] 1818k
[PS2] 123k
[PS3] 654k
[PSP] 333k
[WII] 1313k

expy · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 590K
[NDS] 1280K
[PS2] 295K
[PS3] 727K
[PSP] 420K
[WII] 1100K

starsky · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 700k
[NDS] 1900k
[PS2] 225k
[PS3] 695k
[PSP] 300k
[WII] 1800k

pseudocaesar · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 600k
[NDS] 1900k
[PS2] 195k
[PS3] 750k
[PSP] 300k
[WII] 1100k

Thunder Monkey · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 695,000
[NDS] 1,750,000
[PS2] 230,000
[PS3] 875,000
[PSP] 410,000
[WII] 1,485,000

This is gonna be a fun month!

nextgeneration · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 685k
[NDS] 1600k
[PS2] 200k
[PS3] 795k
[PSP] 395k
[WII] 1200k

Can't wait!!!

Jubs · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 815k
[NDS] 1300k
[PS2] 215k
[PS3] 800k
[PSP] 300k
[WII] 1500k

krae_man · Nov 30, 2009

PS3 will probably have its best month ever this month. December will probably be the first month it breaks a million.

user_nat · Nov 30, 2009

Hard month I guess..

[360] 650k
[NDS] 1500k
[PS2] 400k
[PS3] 800k
[PSP] 500k
[WII] 1300k

.. didn't really put any thought into those, just kinda typed stuff.

VegaShinra · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 775K
[NDS] 1250K
[PS2] 200K
[PS3] 925K
[PSP] 275K
[WII] 1500K

squicken · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 500k
[NDS] 2000k
[PS2] 110k
[PS3] 700k
[PSP] 350k
[WII] 1700k

Sohter.Nura · Nov 30, 2009

[360]700k
[NDS]1700k
[PS2]150k
[PS3]900k
[PSP]345k
[WII]1650k

WaltJay · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 690k
[NDS] 900K
[PS2] 120K
[PS3] 710K
[PSP] 220K
[WII] 1200K

vicissitudes · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 650k
[NDS] 1500k
[PS2] 170k
[PS3] 720k
[PSP] 320k
[WII] 1250k

catchabad0ne · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 700K
[NDS] 1,800K
[PS2] 300K
[PS3] 850K
[PSP] 280K
[WII] 1,600K

tass0 · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 740K
[NDS] 1400K
[PS2] 238K
[PS3] 650K
[PSP] 300K
[WII] 900K

markatisu · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 525k
[NDS] 1675k
[PS2] 150k
[PS3] 725k
[PSP] 305k
[WII] 1350k

Jonsoncao · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 540k
[NDS] 1,700k
[PS2] 170k
[PS3] 830k
[PSP] 330k
[WII] 1,100k

SonicX_Zero · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 650k
[NDS] 1500k
[PS2] 175k
[PS3] 600k
[PSP] 400k
[WII] 1250k

C.Dark.DN · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 1
[NDS] 1
[PS2] 200,000,000
[PS3] 23
[PSP] 42
[WII] 0

timetokill · Nov 30, 2009

[NDS] 1400K
[Wii] 1220K
[PS3] 850K
[360] 500K
[PSP] 350K
[PS2] 180K

Wow, Wii predictions are going to have a huge spread this month :lol

DeathNote said:
random #s

Also, DeathNote is MichaelPachter trying to ruin GAF's prediction accuracy!!!!!!

Gadfly · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 420k
[NDS] 1950k
[PS2] 150k
[PS3] 950k
[PSP] 340k
[WII] 1700k

Version 3.0 · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 600k
[NDS] 1460k
[PS2] 178k
[PS3] 600k
[PSP] 380k
[WII] 1200k

TheFallen · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 600k
[NDS] 1,400k
[PS2] 190k
[PS3] 800k
[PSP] 400k
[WII] 1,200k

AlternativeUlster · Nov 30, 2009

[360] 675k
[NDS] 2,300k
[PS2] 160k
[PS3] 820k
[PSP] 310k
[WII] 1,900k

JoshuaJSlone · Nov 30, 2009

[NDS] 1460K
[Wii] 1290K
[PS3] 890K
[360] 550K
[PSP] 380K
[PS2] 170K

EDIT: Based on the PS3 Thanksgiving week number, I've upped PS3 from 690K to 890K.

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