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(Hardware) February 2010 NPD Predictions - Closes March 7

donny2112

Member
Note:
We're predicting for PS2 for the Unit results only. As there are bonus points granted for finishing in the Top 10 by units, PS2 results could still minorly affect points, but the 20 points granted for the PS2 closeness in the point results is now removed for 2010. We'll still predict for PS2 as long as NPD publicly releases the results, though.

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 5 p.m. EST on Sunday, March 7th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: January 31-February 27th (4 weeks, January was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: March 11th @ 4 p.m. EST (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EST)

Format:

[360]
[NDS]
[PS2]
[PS3]
[PSP]
[WII]

Code:
Good              Bad
[NDS] 500K        [NDS] 500 thousand
[NDS] 500,000     [NDS] 500.000
[NDS] 500000      [NDS] - 500000
The Software Prediction thread is here.


Potential hardware impacting events in February:
Some level of Wii and PS3 shortages


January's Results - thanks to NPD and EviLore

EviLore said:
PlayStation 2 41.6K
PlayStation 3 276.9K
PSP 100.1K
Xbox 360 332.8K
Wii 465.8K
Nintendo DS 422.2K


NEW SUPER MARIO BROS. WII WII NINTENDO OF AMERICA Nov-09 656.7K
MASS EFFECT 2* 360 ELECTRONIC ARTS Jan-10 572.1K
WII FIT PLUS W/ BALANCE BOARD* WII NINTENDO OF AMERICA Oct-09 555.7K
CALL OF DUTY: MODERN WARFARE 2* 360 ACTIVISION BLIZZARD Nov-09 326.7K
MARIO KART W/ WHEEL WII NINTENDO OF AMERICA Apr-08 310.9K
SPORTS RESORT W/ WII MOTION PLUS* WII NINTENDO OF AMERICA Jul-09 297.6K
CALL OF DUTY: MODERN WARFARE 2* PS3 ACTIVISION BLIZZARD Nov-09 259.0K
ARMY OF TWO: THE 40TH DAY 360 ELECTRONIC ARTS Jan-10 246.5K
JUST DANCE WII UBISOFT Nov-09 191.9K
DARKSIDERS 360 THQ Jan-10 171.2k

(*includes CE, GOTY editions, bundles, etc. but not those bundled with hardware)

Jan-09 -> Feb-09 transition:

Code:
      Jan-09  Feb-09   % change
360     309K    391K   + 27%
NDS     511K    588K   + 15%
PS2     101K    131K   + 30%
PS3     203K    276K   + 36%
PSP     172K    199K   + 16%
WII     679K    753K   + 11%

January Prediction Results
 
[360] 308k
[NDS] 432k
[PS2] 35k
[PS3] 298k
[PSP] 110k
[WII] 412k

EDIT: CHanged prediction BEFORE deadline.
 
[360] 335k
[NDS] 450k
[PS2] 45k
[PS3] 190k
[PSP] 110k
[WII] 450k

Signs pointed to ps3 shortage being very real...my number there is probably even too high.
 
[360] 305K
[NDS] 410K
[PS2] 55K
[PS3] 220K
[PSP] 75K
[WII] 430K

Considering the PS3 shortages, anyone predicting over 250K might like to revise their numbers.
 
[PS3] 220K
[360] 285k
[Wii] 335k
[DS] 390k
[PS2] 25k
[PSP] 50k

I think February is going to be a pretty down month for Hardware. If the HD twins surpass 300K, they should be happy.
 
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