D

donny2112

Member

• Apr 3, 2010

• #1

We're predicting for five games that I'm reasonably sure will be in the Top 10 for the month or at least get numbers for.

Games/Format:

[360 Final Fantasy XIII]
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold]
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver]
[PS3 God of War III]
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII]

[Total SW $ in millions]

Code:

Good                                Bad
[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 300K       [360 Final Fantasy XIII] 300 thousand
[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 300,000    [360 Final Fantasy XIII] 300.000
[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 300000     [360 Final Fantasy XIII] - 300,000

The Hardware Prediction thread is here.

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 5 p.m. EDT on Sunday, April 11th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: February 28-April 3rd (5 weeks, February was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: April 15th @ 4 p.m. EDT (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EDT)

Code:

                               Jan 2010  Feb 2010
[Total SW $ in millions]            598       624

Number of days available for new releases:
360/PS3 Final Fantasy XIII - 26 days
NDS Pokemon HeartGold/SoulSilver - 21 days
PS3 God of War III - 19 days

 

P

Pooya

Member

• Apr 4, 2010

• #2

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 400K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 400K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 600K
[PS3 God of War III] 700K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 600K
[360 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 700K
[PS3 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 400K

[Total SW $ in millions] 750

 

T

timetokill

Banned

• Apr 4, 2010

• #3

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 400k
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 650k
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 800k
[PS3 God of War III] 750k
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 590k

[Total SW $ in millions] 720

 

T

TheFLYINGManga_Ka

Member

• Apr 4, 2010

• #4

I won't put down numbers but this is my prediction:

1. Pokemon Heart Gold
2. Pokemon Soul Silver
3. Just Dance Wii
3. Battlefield Bad Company 2 360
4. God of War III PS3
5. Wii Sports Resort
6. Final Fantasy XIII PS3
7. Mario Kart Wii
8. Wii-Play w/Remote
9. Battlefield Bad Company 2 PS3
10. Modern Warfare 2 360

 

F

fernoca

Member

• Apr 4, 2010

• #5

TheFLYINGManga_Ka said:

I won't put down numbers but this is my prediction:

Click to expand...

New Super Mario Bros. Wii?

 

C

cory

Banned

• Apr 4, 2010

• #6

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 430K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 490K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 520K
[PS3 God of War III] 760K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 580K

[Total SW $ in millions] 700

 

N

Nemo

Will Eat Your Children

• Apr 4, 2010

• #7

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 500K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 400K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 600K
[PS3 God of War III] 880K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 750K
[360 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 800K
[PS3 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 500K

[Total SW $ in millions] 820

 

C

Crash Station

Member

• Apr 4, 2010

• #8

I'm usually terrible at the hardware ones but I've never tried these so maybe I'll fair a bit better.

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 500k
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold]760k
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 800k
[PS3 God of War III] 1030k
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 900k

[Total SW $ in millions] 730

 

H

hxa155

Member

• Apr 4, 2010

• #9

[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 630k
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 680k
[PS3 God of War III] 850k
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 800k
[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 600k
[360 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 1000k
[PS3 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 600k

Total software $: 800 million

I'm gonna be in the top 10 for sure.

EDIT: OMG IM A MEMBER NOW BITCHESSSSS

 

O

OnPoint

Member

• Apr 4, 2010

• #10

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 350K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 450K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 485K
[PS3 God of War III] 250K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 330K

 

V

VegaShinra

Junior Member

• Apr 4, 2010

• #11

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 450K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 700K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 650K
[PS3 God of War III] 6500K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 700K
[360 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 725K
[PS3 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 375K

[Total SW $ in millions] 725

 

K

Kagari

Crystal Bearer

• Apr 4, 2010

• #12

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 370K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 500K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 850K
[PS3 God of War III] 800K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 700K
[360 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 950K
[PS3 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 475K

 

M

MikeE21286

Member

• Apr 4, 2010

• #13

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 375k
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 700K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 775k
[PS3 God of War III] 775k
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 725k

[Total SW $ in millions] 750k

 

K

KratosKilla

Banned

• Apr 4, 2010

• #14

VegaShinra said:

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 450K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 700K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 650K
[PS3 God of War III] 6500K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 700K
[360 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 725K
[PS3 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 375K

[Total SW $ in millions] 725

Click to expand...

That's a lot of sales.

 

S

Slurmer

Banned

• Apr 4, 2010

• #15

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 320K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 513K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 522K
[PS3 God of War III] 805K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 630K

[Total SW $ in millions] 741

 

T

thestopsign

Member

• Apr 4, 2010

• #16

TheFLYINGManga_Ka said:

I won't put down numbers but this is my prediction:

1. Pokemon Heart Gold
2. Pokemon Soul Silver
3. Just Dance Wii
3. Battlefield Bad Company 2 360
4. God of War III PS3
5. Wii Sports Resort
6. Final Fantasy XIII PS3
7. Mario Kart Wii
8. Wii-Play w/Remote
9. Battlefield Bad Company 2 PS3
10. Modern Warfare 2 360

Click to expand...

This is a wholly flawed list from 3 to 10. If Just Dance is #3 for the month I will eat my shorts, and that is not because I don't like the game. It's because Battlefield Bad Company 2 (PS3 and 360), God of War III, and Final Fantasy XIII (PS3 and 360) would have to completely bomb for that to happen (around 200-250k). You also have 11 games in the Top 10.

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 425k
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 800k
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 799k
[PS3 God of War III] 820k
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 680k

[Total SW $ in millions] 810

 

S

seady

Member

• Apr 4, 2010

• #17

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 310K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 540K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 560K
[PS3 God of War III] 670K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 500K

[Total SW $ in millions] 888

 

A

Averon

Member

• Apr 4, 2010

• #18

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 420K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 670K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 680K
[PS3 God of War III] 775K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 610K
[360 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 750K
[PS3 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 575K

[Total SW $ in millions] 900

 

H

HocusPocus

Member

• Apr 4, 2010

• #19

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 500K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 450K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 470K
[PS3 God of War III] 800K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 600K

[Total SW $ in millions] 800

 

Baki

Member

• Apr 4, 2010

• #20

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 468K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 510K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 450K
[PS3 God of War III] 880K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 702K
[PS3 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 290K
[360 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 695K

[Total SW $ in millions] 770

 

R

rostocker

Member

• Apr 4, 2010

• #21

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 484K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 620K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 630K
[PS3 God of War III] 723K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 681K
[PS3 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 450K
[360 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 1000K

[Total SW $ in millions] 750

I'd say that BC2 (360) will be the biggest seller. It had the whole month, and the 360 crowd always goes crazy for MP-shooters.

 

G

Goldmund

Member

• Apr 4, 2010

• #22

This is the first time I'm posting in such an interestingly short-lived thread. I'll try my best. If I fail miserably, hardly anyone will remember. I myself will, of course, but the amount of shame one is forced to gather in one's life has little consideration for that raised on Internet forums.

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 250K
[NDS Pokémon HeartGold] 300K
[PS3 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 380K
[NDS Pokémon SoulSilver] 400K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 480K
[PS3 God of War III] 510K
[360 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 700K

I've been a little conservative. This has more to do with my being new to this, than modest speculation [sic!]. I have no idea how well Pokémon games usually sell; but I do know that the perceived coolness might give SoulSilver an edge. I think Final Fantasy XIII will show to have suffered from the lukewarm reception it got from our gaming интеллигенция [intelligentsia]. Maybe not as badly as my numbers suggest. We'll see.

 

A

andy_lhc

Member

• Apr 5, 2010

• #23

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 400K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 610K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 620K
[PS3 God of War III] 820K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 650K

[Total SW $ in millions] 810

 

W

Walshicus

Member

• Apr 5, 2010

• #24

I'm usually pretty shit in these prediction threads, but weren't 360 and PS3 sales of FFXIII neck and neck in England for the first week? Does that usually translate to US sales?

 

W

WaltJay

Member

• Apr 5, 2010

• #25

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 350K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 600K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 650K
[PS3 God of War III] 600K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 425K
[360 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 600K
[PS3 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 250K

[Total SW $ in millions] 675

 

N

nico

Banned

• Apr 5, 2010

• #26

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 500K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 500K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 500K
[PS3 God of War III] 800K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 650K

[Total SW $ in millions] 850

 

U

user_nat

THE WORDS! They'll drift away without the _!

• Apr 6, 2010

• #27

Odd not to do Battlefield, which will outsell most of these IMO.

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 600k
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 600k
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 700k
[PS3 God of War III] 800k
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 650k

[Total SW $ in millions] 800

 

D

donny2112

Member

• Apr 6, 2010

• #28

user_nat said:

Odd not to do Battlefield, which will outsell most of these IMO.

Click to expand...

Based on your predictions => Battlefield: Bad Company 2 on one system would do > 800K. Battlefield 1 on 360 launched at ~350K in Summer 2008. Just saying.

Regardless, it's more about interesting predictions with a slant toward new releases than trying to predict a Top 5. From that sense, FFXIII's performance between PS3/360 makes a much better talking point.

 

D

dolemite

Member

• Apr 6, 2010

• #29

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 300K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 450K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 440K
[PS3 God of War III] 700K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 400K

[Total SW $ in millions] 900

 

K

Kagari

Crystal Bearer

• Apr 6, 2010

• #30

donny2112 said:

Based on your predictions => Battlefield: Bad Company 2 on one system would do > 800K. Battlefield 1 on 360 launched at ~350K in Summer 2008. Just saying.

Regardless, it's more about interesting predictions with a slant toward new releases than trying to predict a Top 5. From that sense, FFXIII's performance between PS3/360 makes a much better talking point.

Click to expand...

Battlefield 2 will probably do better because of MW2's success.
FFXIII will be the first big hyped up title to sell a significant amount more on PS3 versus 360.

 

W

wizword

Banned

• Apr 6, 2010

• #31

Kagari said:

Battlefield 2 will probably do better because of MW2's success.
FFXIII will be the first big hyped up title to sell a significant amount more on PS3 versus 360.

Click to expand...

What is a significant amount. I can't see it being greater than 100k.

 

K

Kagari

Crystal Bearer

• Apr 6, 2010

• #32

wizword said:

What is a significant amount. I can't see it being greater than 100k.

Click to expand...

Hard to say. I'm guessing around at least a 60:40 split though.

 

L

lobdale

3 ft, coiled to the sky

• Apr 6, 2010

• #33

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 420K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 840K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 900K
[PS3 God of War III] 820K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 650K

[Total SW $ in millions] 1300

 

D

donny2112

Member

• Apr 7, 2010

• #34

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 400K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 700K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 800K
[PS3 God of War III] 750K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 600K

[Total SW $ in millions] 790

 

Baki

Member

• Apr 7, 2010

• #35

I thought you guys might be interested in AMAZON.com Software sales for the month:

Amazon has revealed their best-selling video game related products for the month of March. You can view the best-selling games on the month, individual charts for each of the three consoles as well as the overall top 10 products in the charts below:

Top 10 Best-Selling Games on Amazon in March
1. God of War III (Playstation 3)
2. Final Fantasy XIII (Playstation 3)
3. Pokemon SoulSilver (Nintendo DS)
4. Wii Fit Plus with Balance Board (Nintendo Wii)
5. Pokemon HeartGold (Nintendo DS)
6. Battlefield Bad Company 2 (Xbox 360)
7. Just Dance (Nintendo Wii)
8. New Super Mario Bros Wii (Nintendo Wii)
9. Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Nintendo Wii)
10. Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 (Xbox 360)

Top 10 Best-Selling Nintendo Wii Games on Amazon in March
1. Wii Fit Plus with Balance Board
2. New Super Mario Bros Wii
3. Super Mario Galaxy 2
4. Wii Sports Resort
5. Wii Fit Plus
6. Mario Kart Wii with Wii Wheel
7. Mario and Sonic at the Olympic Winter Games
8. MadWorld
9. EA Sports Active
10. Endless Ocean: Blue World

Top 10 Best-Selling Playstation 3 Games on Amazon in March
1. God of War III
2. Final Fantasy XIII
3. Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2
4. God of War: Collection
5. Heavy Rain
6. Battlefield Bad Company 2
7. Tekken 6
8. MLB 10 The Show
9. Assassin's Creed II
10. Dante's Inferno Divine Edition

Top 10 Best-Selling Xbox 360 Games on Amazon in March
1. Battlefield Bad Company 2
2. Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2
3. Final Fantasy XIII
4. Tom Clancy's Splinter Cell Conviction
5. Mass Effect 2
6. Halo: Reach
7. Assassin's Creed II
8. Battlefield: Bad Company Platinum Hits
9. Dragon Age: Origins Awakening
10. Just Cause 2

Top 10 Best-Selling Overall Video Game Products on Amazon in March
1. God of War III (Playstation 3)
2. Final Fantasy XIII (Playstation 3)
3. Nintendo Wii
4. Pokemon SoulSilver (Nintendo DS)
5. Playstation 3 120 GB
6. Wii Fit Plus with Balance Board (Nintendo Wii)
7. Pokemon HeartGold (Nintendo DS)
8. Wii MotionPlus
9. Battlefield Bad Company 2 (Xbox 360)
10. Just Dance (Nintendo Wii)

Click to expand...

Source

 

G

Garjon

Member

• Apr 8, 2010

• #36

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 350K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 480K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 590K
[PS3 God of War III] 600K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 600K
[360 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 650K
[PS3 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 390K

[Total SW $ in millions] 750

 

B

boontje

Member

• Apr 9, 2010

• #37

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 375k
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 650k
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 800k
[PS3 God of War III] 800k
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 625k

[Total SW $ in millions] 800

 

S

starship

psycho_snake's and The Black Brad Pitt's B*TCH

• Apr 10, 2010

• #38

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 300K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 660K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 770K
[PS3 God of War III] 850K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 600K

[Total SW $ in millions] 820

 

B

Brakara

Member

• Apr 10, 2010

• #39

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 450k
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 700k
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 600k
[PS3 God of War III] 900k
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 550k
[360 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 600K
[PS3 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 350K

[Total SW $ in millions] 750

 

R

RBH

Member

• Apr 10, 2010

• #40

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 350k
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 750k
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 700k
[PS3 God of War III] 850k
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 500k

[Total SW $ in millions] 700

Baki said:

I thought you guys might be interested in AMAZON.com Software sales for the month:



Source

Click to expand...

Keep this shit out of here.

 

F

Four_Chamber

Member

• Apr 10, 2010

• #41

Baki said:

I thought you guys might be interested in AMAZON.com Software sales for the month:



Source

Click to expand...

Amazon doesn't mean shit

I'll play this month- like others, I think Battlefield 360 will win the software title this month:

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 500k
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 800k
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 750k
[PS3 God of War III] 600k
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 520k

[Total SW $ in millions] 780

 

M

Mystery

Member

• Apr 10, 2010

• #42

OnPoint said:

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 350K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 450K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 485K
[PS3 God of War III] 250K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 330K

Click to expand...

You can't be serious.

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 350K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 700K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 755K
[PS3 God of War III] 700K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 550K

[Total SW $ in millions] 800

 

Baki

Member

• Apr 10, 2010

• #43

RBH said:

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 350k
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 750k
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 700k
[PS3 God of War III] 850k
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 500k

[Total SW $ in millions] 700



Keep this shit out of here.

Click to expand...

How about no.

Every piece of information helps (although amazon appears to be skewed towards certain demographics in the US).

 

R

RBH

Member

• Apr 10, 2010

• #44

Baki said:

How about no.

Every piece of information helps (although amazon appears to be skewed towards certain demographics in the US).

Click to expand...

People have brought up Amazon sales in many NPD prediction threads in the past and it hasn't really meant shit once the actual results come out.

 

D

dolemite

Member

• Apr 10, 2010

• #45

Baki said:

How about no.

Every piece of information helps (although amazon appears to be skewed towards certain demographics in the US).

Click to expand...

Amazon lumps used and new sales when they calculate the rankings --> useless.

 

R

Road

Member

• Apr 11, 2010

• #46

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 440K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 690K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 790K
[PS3 God of War III] 800K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 610K

[Total SW $ in millions] 750


And, since it's free:

[360 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 640K
[PS3 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 390K

 

J

Jesse2040

Member

• Apr 11, 2010

• #47

i don't know why no one has asked me to provide the lists again? Battlefield will certainly make the top ten. Both Pokemons, Final Fantasies, GOW, and Battlefield

 

J

Jesse2040

Member

• Apr 11, 2010

• #48

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 600K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 650K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 650K
[PS3 God of War III] 900K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 650K
[360 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 900K
[PS3 Battlefield Bad Company 2] 550K

[Total SW $ in millions] 799

 

Baki

Member

• Apr 11, 2010

• #49

dolemite said:

Amazon lumps used and new sales when they calculate the rankings --> useless.

Click to expand...

Didn't know that.

 

A

apujanata

Member

• Apr 11, 2010

• #50

[360 Final Fantasy XIII] 500K
[NDS Pokemon HeartGold] 600K
[NDS Pokemon SoulSilver] 700K
[PS3 God of War III] 800K
[PS3 Final Fantasy XIII] 810K

[Total SW $ in millions] 770