Support NeoGAF

donny2112 · Aug 29, 2010

We're predicting for five games that will hopefully either be in the Top 5 for the month or at least get numbers for.

Games/Format:

[360 Madden NFL 11]
[360 Red Dead Redemption]
[PS3 Madden NFL 11]
[WII Madden NFL 11]
[WII Super Mario Galaxy 2]

[Total SW $ in millions]

Code:

Good                                 Bad
[WII Super Mario Galaxy 2] 200K      [WII Super Mario Galaxy 2] 200 thousand
[WII Super Mario Galaxy 2] 200,000   [WII Super Mario Galaxy 2] 200.000
[WII Super Mario Galaxy 2] 200000    [WII Super Mario Galaxy 2] - 200,000

The Hardware Prediction thread is here.

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 5 p.m. EDT on Monday, September 6th (Labor Day in U.S., so an extra day to predict). Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: August 1-28 (4 weeks, July was 4 weeks)
NPD Release: September 9th @ 4 p.m. EDT (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EDT) (may be delayed due to Labor Day, but we'll see)

Code:

                               Jun 2010  Jul 2010

[360 Red Dead Redemption]          583K     <142K
[WII Super Mario Galaxy 2]         548K      193K

[Total SW $ in millions]            531       438

Number of days available for new releases:
360/PS3/WII Madden NFL 11 - 19 days

A Human Becoming · Aug 29, 2010

This seems like a good place to post this. Month by month sales from August 2006 to July 2010.

2mm +

360 CALL OF DUTY: MODERN WARFARE 2* 4.20mm
360 HALO 3* 3.3mm
WII NEW SUPER MARIO BROS. WII 2.82mm
WII SUPER SMASH BROS: BRAWL 2.7mm
WII WII FIT PLUS* 2.41mm
NDS NEW SUPER MARIO BROS 2mm

1.99mm - 1mm

PS3 CALL OF DUTY: MODERN WARFARE 2* 1.87mm
360 GTA IV 1.85mm
360 GEARS OF WAR 1.8mm
WII WII SPORTS RESORT W/ WII MOTION PLUS* 1.79mm
360 CALL OF DUTY: MODERN WARFARE 2* 1.63mm
360 CALL OF DUTY 4: MODERN WARFARE 1.57mm
360 GEARS OF WAR 2 1.56mm
360 HALO 3: ODST 1.52mm
360 CALL OF DUTY 4: MODERN WARFARE ACTIVISION 1.47mm
WII WII PLAY W/ REMOTE 1.46mm
360 CALL OF DUTY: WORLD AT WAR 1.41mm
WII SUPER MARIO GALAXY 1.40mm
WII NEW SUPER MARIO BROS. WII 1.39m
360 CALL OF DUTY: WORLD AT WAR 1.33mm
PS3 CALL OF DUTY: MODERN WARFARE 2* 1.12mm
WII MARIO KART WII W/WHEEL 1.12mm
WII SUPER MARIO GALAXY 1.12mm
PS3 GOD OF WAR III* 1.10M
NDS BRAIN AGE: TRAIN YOUR BRAIN 1.1mm
360 MADDEN NFL 07 1.1mm
WII WII PLAY W/ REMOTE 1.08mm
NDS POKEMON DIAMOND 1.045mm
NDS POKEMON SOULSILVER VERSION 1.02mm
WII WII PLAY W/ REMOTE 1.01mm
360 MADDEN NFL 09 1mm
PS3 GTA IV 1mm
360 GEARS OF WAR 1mm
360 TOM CLANCY'S GRAW 1mm

999k - 900k

WII WII FIT W/ BALANCE BOARD 999K
360 ASSASSIN'S CREED 980K
360 RED DEAD REDEMPTION 945.9K
360 RESIDENT EVIL 5 938K
WII MARIO KART W/ WHEEL 936.1K
360 MADDEN NFL 10 928k

899k - 800k

360 MADDEN NFL 08 896.6K
360 ASSASSIN'S CREED 893.7 K
WII MARIO KART W/ WHEEL 878K
360 GRAND THEFT AUTO IV 871.3K
WII GUITAR HERO WORLD TOUR 859K
PS3 FINAL FANTASY XIII 828.2K
360 BATTLEFIELD: BAD COMPANY 2 825.5K
NDS POKEMON PLATINUM VERSION 805K

799k - 700k

360 ASSASSIN'S CREED II 794.7K
WII WII PLAY W/ REMOTE 796K
360 FABLE II 790K
WII MARIO KART Wii W/ WHEEL 787.4K
360 ASSASSIN'S CREED II 783.1K
WII WII FIT 777K
PS3 METAL GEAR SOLID 4: GUN OF THE PATRIOTS 774.6K
NDS POKEMON HEARTGOLD VERSION 761.2K
WII WII SPORTS RESORT W/ WII MOTION PLUS 754k
360 *TOM CLANCY'S RAINBOW SIX: VEGAS 2 752.3K
360 GEARS OF WAR 2 745K
360 LEFT 4 DEAD 2 744k
360 HALO 3 742.7 K
360 LEFT 4 DEAD 2 728.5K
WII WII SPORTS RESORT* 720.2K
NDS POKEMON PEARL 712k

699k - 600k

WII WII FIT 697K
WII WII FIT W/ BALANCE BOARD 687.7K
360 UFC 2009 UNDISPUTED 679.6K
WII WII FIT PLUS* 679k
PS3 MADDEN NFL 10 665K
NDS BRAIN AGE 2: MORE TRAINING IN MINUTES A DAY 659.5K
NDS MARIO & LUIGI: BOWSER'S INSIDE STORY 656.7K
WII NEW SUPER MARIO BROS. WII 656.7K
WII WII FIT W/BALANCE BOARD 644K
PS3 MADDEN NFL 09 643K
360 HALO WARS 639K
WII MARIO KART 637K
360 LEFT 4 DEAD 629K
360 GUITAR HERO III: LEGENDS OF ROCK 624.6 K
WII MARIO AND SONIC: OLYMPIC GAMES 613.0 K
360 STAR WARS: THE FORCE UNLEASHED 610K
360 ARMY OF TWO 606.1K

599k - 500k

PS3 CALL OF DUTY: WORLD AT WAR 597K
PS3 RESIDENT EVIL 5 585K
360 RED DEAD REDEMPTION 582.9K
360 MASS EFFECT 2* 572.1K
PS3 RED DEAD REDEMPTION 567.1K
WII WII PLAY W/ REMOTE 564K
WII SUPER MARIO GALAXY 2 563.9K
360 BIOSHOCK 2* 562.9k
WII WII FIT PLUS W/ BALANCE BOARD* 555.7K
WII NEW SUPER MARIO BROS. 555.6K
WII SUPER MARIO GALAXY 2 548.4K
WII WII FIT W/BALANCE BOARD 541K
NDS MARIO KART DS 540K
PS3 UNCHARTED 2: AMONG THIEVES 537k
PS3 CALL OF DUTY: WORLD AT WAR 533K
WII WII FIT W/ BALANCE BOARD 518K
WII Wii SPORTS RESORT W/ WII MOTION PLUS 508.2K

I have data as low as 150k if anyone is interested.

velvet_nitemare · Aug 29, 2010

You have 2 versions of PS3 CoD:WaW on that list.

thcsquad · Aug 29, 2010

velvet_nitemare said:
You have 2 versions of PS3 CoD:WaW on that list.

There's two version of many games on there. I think he's putting down individual months?

A Human Becoming · Aug 29, 2010

thcsquad said:
There's two version of many games on there. I think he's putting down individual months?

Yes. That's why I bolded month by month sales.

andy_lhc · Aug 30, 2010

[360 Madden NFL 11] 900k
[360 Red Dead Redemption] 85k
[PS3 Madden NFL 11] 630k
[WII Madden NFL 11] 110k
[WII Super Mario Galaxy 2] 170k

[Total SW $ in millions] 495

NeoUltima · Aug 30, 2010

andy_lhc said:
[360 Madden NFL 11] 380k
[360 Red Dead Redemption] 85k
[PS3 Madden NFL 11] 230k
[WII Madden NFL 11] 110k
[WII Super Mario Galaxy 2] 170k

[Total SW $ in millions] 495

Those Madden numbers are waaaay to low. imho of course...

donny2112 · Aug 30, 2010

ICallItFutile said:
999k - 900k

360 MADDEN NFL 10 928k

699k - 600k

PS3 MADDEN NFL 10 665K

Gracias.

There's last year's launch month Madden NFL 10 sales, for reference.

andy_lhc · Sep 2, 2010

NeoUltima said:
Those Madden numbers are waaaay to low. imho of course...

Updated.....

VegaShinra · Sep 2, 2010

[360 Madden NFL 11] 480k
[360 Red Dead Redemption] 95k
[PS3 Madden NFL 11] 330k
[WII Madden NFL 11] 155k
[WII Super Mario Galaxy 2] 210k

[Total SW $ in millions] 515

KuwabaraTheMan · Sep 2, 2010

[360 Madden NFL 11] 885k
[360 Red Dead Redemption] 90k
[PS3 Madden NFL 11] 590k
[WII Madden NFL 11] 85k
[WII Super Mario Galaxy 2] 205k

[Total SW $ in millions] 520

donny2112 · Sep 3, 2010

[360 Madden NFL 11] 1000K
[360 Red Dead Redemption] 200K
[PS3 Madden NFL 11] 725K
[WII Madden NFL 11] 150K
[WII Super Mario Galaxy 2] 200K

[Total SW $ in millions] 440

seady · Sep 5, 2010

[360 Madden NFL 11] 910k
[360 Red Dead Redemption] 100k
[PS3 Madden NFL 11] 700k
[WII Madden NFL 11] 110k
[WII Super Mario Galaxy 2] 150k

[Total SW $ in millions] 500

Brakara · Sep 5, 2010

[360 Madden NFL 11] 850k
[360 Red Dead Redemption] 80k
[PS3 Madden NFL 11] 650k
[WII Madden NFL 11] 70k
[WII Super Mario Galaxy 2] 120k

[Total SW $ in millions] 525

Nirolak · Sep 5, 2010

I should probably put this here.

EA said:
August 31, 2010 05:27 PM Eastern Daylight Time

REDWOOD CITY, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ:ERTS) announced today that Madden NFL 11 is delivering a strong performance in August in both retail sales and direct-to-consumer digital revenue. Based on internal estimates, Madden NFL 11 is the #1 selling game in North America in August sales are projected to be up approximately 5% year-over-year across all platforms for the month.

Source: http://news.ea.com/portal/site/ea/i...gId=1012492&newsId=20100831007131&newsLang=en

Road · Sep 5, 2010

[360 Madden NFL 11] 950k
[360 Red Dead Redemption] 70k
[PS3 Madden NFL 11] 700k
[WII Madden NFL 11] 50k
[WII Super Mario Galaxy 2] 100k

[Total SW $ in millions]

I don't really know why we're predicting for games that won't be in the top 10 (or even top 20) like RDD and NFLWii.

rostocker · Sep 6, 2010

[360 Madden NFL 11] 1010k
[360 Red Dead Redemption] 99k
[PS3 Madden NFL 11] 694k
[WII Madden NFL 11] 120k
[WII Super Mario Galaxy 2] 153k

[Total SW $ in millions] 490

donny2112 · Sep 7, 2010

Road said:
I don't really know why we're predicting for games that won't be in the top 10 (or even top 20) like RDD and NFLWii.

RDD was #6 last month, and the thought is that it might've seen an uptake with the new 360 owners. That or it'll be steady and the the Top 5 cutoff will be lower than last month. Madden Wii is just a figuring that it'll get reported somewhere. Either in a positive comparison to last years or as just an object of ridicule for third-party sales on Wii. :lol

Road · Sep 7, 2010

donny2112 said:
RDD was #6 last month, and the thought is that it might've seen an uptake with the new 360 owners. That or it'll be steady and the the Top 5 cutoff will be lower than last month. Madden Wii is just a figuring that it'll get reported somewhere. Either in a positive comparison to last years or as just an object of ridicule for third-party sales on Wii. :lol

Weeeird.

I think I pressed the reply button on that message once instead of preview because I thought I didn't post that comment. I see, now, I even forgot to put the software sales prediction in it. Something must have really distracted me when I was about to finish posting. Or my brain is just failing from old age. :lol

Since I "said that out loud", I agree with you and it's possible we'll get figures for Madden Wii, but for RDR360, I don't know. I mean, we're already missing it for last month (waiting for Famitsu to save us). Living on the edge. hahaha

donny2112 · Sep 7, 2010

Road said:
I see, now, I even forgot to put the software sales prediction in it.

8 people predicted for software this month. Go ahead and post it. :lol

Road · Sep 7, 2010

I'll post separately for what it is worth:

[Total SW $ in millions] 444

starship · Sep 7, 2010

[360 Madden NFL 11] 850k
[360 Red Dead Redemption] 70k
[PS3 Madden NFL 11] 700k
[WII Madden NFL 11] 180k
[WII Super Mario Galaxy 2] 170k

[Total SW $ in millions] 505

donny2112 · Sep 15, 2010

We got PS3/360 Madden 11 and SMG2 sales. Was there a press release from Microsoft with RDR's sales? Haven't read through the NPD thread. I think jvm did an guesstimate on Madden Wii sales, but was anything definite posted?

Thanks.

Brakara · Sep 15, 2010

RDR moved 75k units according to jvm (citing MS PR):

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=23267043&postcount=1031

jvm · Sep 15, 2010

Really was a guesstimate on Wii Madden. Please don't use it for anything serious.

Support NeoGAF

(Software) August 2010 NPD Predictions - Closes Sept. 6

Member

More than a Member

Member

Member

More than a Member

Member

Member

Member

Member

Junior Member

Banned

Member

Member

Member

Mrgrgr

Member

Member

Member

Member

Member

Member

psycho_snake's and The Black Brad Pitt's B*TCH

Member

Member

Gamasutra.

Similar threads