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July 2011 NPD Predictions - closes August 8

D

donny2112

Member
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 8 p.m. EDT on Monday, August 8th. Format use is required if you want your entry counted.

NPD Coverage: July 3-30 (4 weeks, June was 5 weeks)
NPD Release: August 11th @ 4 p.m. EDT (thread posted ~6:30 p.m. EDT)

Format:

[360]
[3DS]
[NDS]
[PS3]
[WII]

Good/Bad Formatting
Code: 
Good              Bad
[360] 400K        [360] 400 thousand
[360] 400,000     [360] 400.000
[360] 400000      [360] - 400000


Potential hardware impacting events in July:
Continuation of free 360 Slim 4GB with Windows 7 PC purchase $699 and up


June's Results - thanks to EviLore (and Nirolak?)

EviLore said:
Hardware
Xbox 360 - 507,000
Wii - 273,000
PS3 - ~276,000 (extrapolated) (maybe 279K)
3DS - 143,000
DS - 386,000
Click to expand...
Jun-10 -> Jul-10 transition:

Code: 
      Jun-10  Jul-10   % change
360     452K    444K   -  2%
NDS     511K    398K   - 22%
PS3     305K    214K   - 30%
WII     422K    254K   - 40%

NPD Prediction Thread Archive
 
[360] 400K
[3DS] 120K
[NDS] 300K
[PS3] 220K
[WII] 230K

Nothing spectacular this month, but August is going to be unpredictable for 3DS.
 
[360] 480k
[3DS] 120k
[NDS] 250k
[PS3] 230k
[WII] 210k

i missed last month by a hair and lost my streak. sucked even more coming off one of my better predictions.
 
[360] 400k
[3DS] 105k
[NDS] 280k
[PS3] 210k
[WII] 215k

missed last month due to relocation, oh well...

EDIT: last min edit before the deadline...I think Wii may surpass PS3 by a little margin this month, let's see...
 
[360] 360k
[3DS] 90k
[NDS] 115k
[PS3] 210k
[WII] 225k
I predict low sales for 3DS in July with a huge increase in August
 
It is my belief that the PS3 sales were slightly higher, at around 279K, for June. I realize it's a tiny difference, but there you go.
 
noobie said:
[360] 612,000
[3DS] 107,000
[NDS] 340,000
[PS3] 235,000
[WII] 265,000
Click to expand...
And I thought my prediction was insanely high. Keep in mind that this is only a 4-week month. You're predicting a ~60% growth
 
[360] 320K
[3DS] 99K
[NDS] 265K
[PS3] 200K
[WII] 180K

Another price drop for Wii in the Fall. Have to, at this point. $150 wasn't enough, as predicted. The long drawn out high price for Wii has sucked away most of the "normal" small price cut levels. $99 should make an impact when it comes, though. With Wii U next year (hopefully around Summer or before), might as well try to do what you can with Wii for this December. Think it was Chris1964 who said that the expected profit cut for this FY by Nintendo was only partially covered by the 3DS price drop, or something like that. :)
 
donny2112 said:
[360] 320K
[3DS] 99K
[NDS] 265K
[PS3] 200K
[WII] 180K

Another price drop for Wii in the Fall. Have to, at this point. $150 wasn't enough, as predicted. The long drawn out high price for Wii has sucked away most of the "normal" small price cut levels. $99 should make an impact when it comes, though. With Wii U next year (hopefully around Summer or before), might as well try to do what you can with Wii for this December. Think it was Chris1964 who said that the expected profit cut for this FY by Nintendo was only partially covered by the 3DS price drop, or something like that. :)
Click to expand...

I dont think Wii U will be out in the Summer or before due to the slow 3DS. Might as well keep a Wii price cut to 99 after this holiday season, a second price drop just months after a previous one seems odd.
 
Dedication Through Light said:
a second price drop just months after a previous one seems odd.
Click to expand...

An $80 price drop 5 months in is a little odd, too, but Nintendo did it.

With the Wii being at $250 for so long, it sort of sucked away many who would've bought it at this level of price cut. The Wal-Mart $50 gift card when it was $200 might've taken away a number of potential buyers at that level, too. Regardless, the $50 cut in May ain't doing squat for Wii but keeping it above "total bomba" monthly levels. A $99 Wii should make a big impact, though, especially before Christmas. Wii U is coming in 2012. Summer or Fall. Therefore if they want the Wii to really be able to shine at $99 for a Christmas, this one is it.

Plus there was a comment from Chris1964 that the profit drop put out by Nintendo wasn't totally due to the 3DS price drop, so that leaves open at least the possibility of a Wii price drop.
In Japan, it should be at 5K Yen or something. It's been tanking there for ~3 years, now, so it would need something "extra" to make any difference. Making it less than the cost of many games would have a large impact. :lol
 
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