They’ve given an indie game GOTY at least once IIRC. If that can happen, there’s no reason BG 3 can’t take it. And I think it likely will, I think Geoff and his team are decently aware of what’s happening in the industry, the fact that not only was BG 3 such a step forward for its genre and has reached sales records that no other CRPG has achieved before to my knowledge, but also served as a reminder of what hard work and dedication can result in as opposed to rushing out a product (ironically, this might not have been made such a public discussion if certain other developers hadn’t hastily gotten so defensive before anyone even said anything), these are important factors. Just as BOTW was clearly the most talked about game in the industry for 2017 in terms of impacting the medium, BG 3 has grabbed that status for 2023. That alone doesn’t guarantee a win, but it definitely is going to be a significant factor in its favor.