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AIG loses $62bn in 3 months. Sixty-Two Billion.

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I waited all weekend for the Bad Bank episode of This American Life. Hopefully it will shed some additional light on how this is even possible. I mean... wow. I could burn every paycheck I get for the next 50 years and it won't come close to matching what they did in a day
 
Joe Shlabotnik said:
Is there an obvious reason why Europe isn't kicking in some cash to save AIG as well, considering their entire banking system also depends on it remaining solvent?


Because they're on the precipice of collapse as it is? Plus if you can get a foreign country to save your ass props, not your taxpayers getting raped.
 
Jackl said:
Because they're on the precipice of collapse as it is? Plus if you can get a foreign country to save your ass props, not your taxpayers getting raped.
Heh, I probably should have phrased that to ask why our government isn't politely suggesting some international participation. I understand why Europe isn't volunteering.
 
Joe Shlabotnik said:
Heh, I probably should have phrased that to ask why our government isn't politely suggesting some international participation. I understand why Europe isn't volunteering.


Europe wouldn't even bailout the eastern bloc, I seriously doubt they could muster up support for a foreign based company. Quite frankly neither of us knows the terms of US propping up this firm so hard. But I'm fairly sure much backroom talking has been done over it.
 
HamPster PamPster said:
I waited all weekend for the Bad Bank episode of This American Life. Hopefully it will shed some additional light on how this is even possible. I mean... wow. I could burn every paycheck I get for the next 50 years and it won't come close to matching what they did in a day
I'm listening right now. It's a pretty good summary of the bank problem.

However, AIG's problem is largely with CDS, which were adequately explained in an earlier This American Life broadcast, "#365: Another Frightening Show About the Economy".
 
cristiano_ronaldo_football_hero.jpg


Thanks for the $78.0 million!
 
So we just write them a check now, and then they see if they can double their record?

I mean hell, if you can get refunds & blank checks for all your high-risk loans gone bad, why bother regulating them and giving out realistic loans that people can afford to pay?

AIG should go. I just don't care, these huge companies that are "too important" get everything they want.

The whole point of "high-risk" loans is that they're HIGH-RISK. If you make your entire company off them, then surprise, surprise, you're likely to get fucked over. And now everyone's realized that's happened, so we just put a band-aid on it, and let them go on with their billions in pocket (paid to all the CEOs)?

No. I need to read more about it, but that's my uninformed stance.
 
Minsc said:
So we just write them a check now, and then they see if they can double their record?

I mean hell, if you can get refunds & blank checks for all your high-risk loans gone bad, why bother regulating them and giving out realistic loans that people can afford to pay?

AIG should go. I just don't care, these huge companies that are "too important" get everything they want.

The whole point of "high-risk" loans is that they're HIGH-RISK. If you make your entire company off them, then surprise, surprise, you're likely to get fucked over. And now everyone's realized that's happened, so we just put a band-aid on it, and let them go on with their billions in pocket (paid to all the CEOs)?

No. I need to read more about it, but that's my uninformed stance.

In a perfect world we could let them fail. But right now AIG's got both the US and Europe's economies by the balls and the current economic conditions would pale into comparison of how things would be if AIG went down.
 
kaching said:
from the NYTIMES article:

Like everyone else on Wall Street, A.I.G. operated on the belief that the underlying assets — housing — could only go up in price.

This seems to be one of the biggest assumptions at the heart of this mess but I just don't get how anyone could believe this in such an absolute fashion. Surely this is just a euphemism for saying they assumed housing prices would go up long enough for them to get away with it. I don't believe for a second that these people didn't know there was an end to the housing bubble, they were just gambling for as long as they thought they could and like many other junkies, they lost control.

Are you kidding me? Go talk to just about anyone and they STILL BELIEVE THIS. I talk to people at my job who are very intelligent (PhDs) who bought a condo last year or are looking to buy a house this year and I still hear them talking about how they are just throwing their money away on rent and that a house is a great investment and all of this other junk. It is amazing how strong and deep the beliefs about owning a house go.
 
What happened to the good ole days where we took the CEO's of these companies and beat the living hell outta them?
 
Bowser said:
In a perfect world we could let them fail. But right now AIG's got both the US and Europe's economies by the balls and the current economic conditions would pale into comparison of how things would be if AIG went down.

The thing I hate is I think these companies KNOW that and take advantage of it. They know they're so damned important that they can almost factor it in and profit off it. They surely gave out huge amounts of money knowing that in the end, when it all went down, they'd be covered, because they are too important.
 
Staggering.

RBS in the UK also posted the largest loss in British corporate history...while their ex-CEO is getting slammed in the press for getting a pension worth nearly £700m a year up to a total of £16m.

These banks have been run so badly and are really on the edge of collapse. They have to be nationalised. At the moment, all we are doing in Europe and the US is pissing money down a well; taking on all the bad assets and leaving the banks with the remains that might be profitable.

These are pretty exceptional circumstances too and I see no justification at all for letting bankers walk away with pay-offs, massive pensions, or claim bonuses or increased salaries. The idea that we will lose "intelligent" people if they don't get paid enormous sums is beyond ridiculous given that it is those very people who have been pivotal in fucking the global economy and sucking money up the ladder into their pockets with little to no down-side for them now.
 
BigGreenMat said:
Are you kidding me? Go talk to just about anyone and they STILL BELIEVE THIS. I talk to people at my job who are very intelligent (PhDs) who bought a condo last year or are looking to buy a house this year and I still hear them talking about how they are just throwing their money away on rent and that a house is a great investment and all of this other junk. It is amazing how strong and deep the beliefs about owning a house go.
I hear this shit a lot too. I can't see myself owning a house for quite awhile.... I just don't see it as important.
 
~Kinggi~ said:
yeah, and then watch what happens.

Well, for one, we'd probably learn our lesson. When the entire world turns in to a hostile environment and riots/muggings/murders are an hourly occurrence everywhere, maybe, just then, maybe, a few people who aren't being completely oppressed by the filthy rich organization would remember how it all started 500 years from then when some revolution forms.

Hmm. On second though, bail the bastards out, and let them keep their mansions and 100K cars, I'll deal with it.
 
Dorrin said:
"largest quarterly loss in corporate history"

Management setting new records.. I smell bonus! :lol

I love how the automakers have to come groveling on their hands and knees through broken glass to get a few billion to keep going but AIG gets billions thrown to it like its candy. I guess AIG doesn't have unions that need to broken.

Freakin joke.

if AIG goes down, you're looking at a $1+ trillion worldwide lost. At least.

Or so that's what the analyst are reasoning why AIG can't go down.
 
BigGreenMat said:
Are you kidding me? Go talk to just about anyone and they STILL BELIEVE THIS. I talk to people at my job who are very intelligent (PhDs) who bought a condo last year or are looking to buy a house this year and I still hear them talking about how they are just throwing their money away on rent and that a house is a great investment and all of this other junk. It is amazing how strong and deep the beliefs about owning a house go.
I'm referring to something at a much different scale here...at a basic individual level, there's nothing wrong with the belief that a house is a good investment. The problem comes in when you try to scale that to everyone's home purchase.
 
BigGreenMat said:
Are you kidding me? Go talk to just about anyone and they STILL BELIEVE THIS. I talk to people at my job who are very intelligent (PhDs) who bought a condo last year or are looking to buy a house this year and I still hear them talking about how they are just throwing their money away on rent and that a house is a great investment and all of this other junk. It is amazing how strong and deep the beliefs about owning a house go.

Hell, some people are walking away from their upside down house and using the tax credit to buy a new house. If both husband and wife aren't on the original mortgage, the other one can get a loan, take advantage of the tax credit and they both walk away from the original one, leaving 20+% for the banks/AIG to cover. Sure it'll mess up the original owner's credit for a couple of years, but why not buy the comparable house across the house for 1/2 the price of your own?

With each AIG bailout, taxpayers are pretty much footing the bill for the loss in home value.
 
Orin GA said:
What happened to the good ole days where we took the CEO's of these companies and beat the living hell outta them?
gone, since corporations are defined as a separate legal entity, and the CEOs have no personal liability for any damages their decisions as CEOs cause.
 
What a fuckin joke. And I'm sure the real punchline is that the execs in charge of AIG are still probably making more money in a year than I will make in 10.
 
mr jones said:
So, what WOULD happen if we let them fall?


Shit asset cascade event. More banks go under, so do markets, Sovereign wealth funds, mutuals, pension plans take on more dmg. More people leave the market, less credit is available. Business/job collapse.

Personally I don't think the government can fund enough money to plug all these holes and eventually they're going to lose everything.
 
Jackl said:
Shit asset cascade event. More banks go under, so do markets, Sovereign wealth funds, mutuals, pension plans take on more dmg. More people leave the market, less credit is available. Business/job collapse.

Personally I don't think the government can fund enough money to plug all these holes and eventually they're going to lose everything.

Yep, the Titanic is going down no matter what at this point. The only question is, do we jump in the water now and swim for it, or wait until later when it might be colder/shark infested?
 
GodofWine said:
We need to let these failed companies just fail...
Way too late. Now if they fail, they fail with billions of our dollars. The point of pumping in more money to stabilize is to minimize losses. Too much has been put in to just let them fail now. They should have been allowed to fail in the first place. IMO, the amount of money that has been spent globally could have been used to socialized restructuring of the system following the collapse. The collapse and recovery might have been faster than keeping the system on life support like it is now. But I say that with no professional knowledge, just my gut. PEACE.
 
The Housing market, from consumers trying to keep up with the Jones' to AIG greedy suits, is broken. Everybody at every level of this situation tried to attain something they know the shouldn't have.

Good thing I'm getting a gun soon.
 
ahoyhoy said:
Yep, the Titanic is going down no matter what at this point. The only question is, do we jump in the water now and swim for it, or wait until later when it might be colder/shark infested?
Did you watch the movie? You can't swim to land in the middle of an Ocean. Also, the longer you stay out of the water the better your chances are to individually not get hypothermia and get rescued by a small boat.
 
Pimpwerx said:
Way too late. Now if they fail, they fail with billions of our dollars. The point of pumping in more money to stabilize is to minimize losses. Too much has been put in to just let them fail now.

If they're losing $62B a quarter, then propping them up is going to be more expensive than letting them fail very rapidly. The USA would be better off just making a new central bank, letting the others blow over like trailers in a hurricane, and thus we take over the world, muahahahahaha.
 
Jackl said:
Shit asset cascade event. More banks go under, so do markets, Sovereign wealth funds, mutuals, pension plans take on more dmg. More people leave the market, less credit is available. Business/job collapse.

Personally I don't think the government can fund enough money to plug all these holes and eventually they're going to lose everything.

This is what I don't understand. How is that not happening now? AIG just lost over a third of one-hundred fifty billion dollars, in one quarter. AIG's stock is under 50 cents a share. People are bailing out now. Taxes are going to have to rise this year to compensate for government spending, and the country's "debt" is going to escalate in the next year, as they take out IOUs against the countries that need AIG to stay afloat.

So if that much is going to happen if the US government doesn't provide any more money to AIG, what will happen if they do provide another large loan?
 
lawblob said:
It boggles the mind we basically had zero regulations for the Credit Default Swap market.
And yet the guys on Wallstreet keep screaming that we need less regulation, more bailouts and we can't increase taxes or the poor Joe's who only take home $250,000 will really start to suffer.

I never really despised the finance guys before but if you listen to those assholes talk for just 5 minutes these days it is all you can do to stop from throwing something through the television.
 
We should get a GAF clubhouse going out in the wilderness with gun emplacements and bunkers where we can meet up when the nukes start launching.


!!
 
to the folks that say "We should just let them fail, it's the free market afterall, right?!"

do you realize how many other people and corporations have money invested into AIG? It isn't just a matter of AIG failing, it's someone losing their investment, or even worse, someone on the brink of retirement watching their 401K shrink to 1/3 of what it was. and we're not just talking america... we're talking most advanced financial countries and unions. investments, gone. jobs, gone. insurance equities, gone. GM being "too big to fail" is definitely debatable.... not AIG. If AIG went under, the current economic situation would be the golden years compared to the depression the WORLD would be thrown into.

and I hate saying that. I hate the thought of nationalizing AIG or any financial institution... but at this point if we don't, the company will crumble and the world will fall. AIG's leadership is so far corrupt and gone when it comes to running the company effectively that they are just doing everything they can right now to make sure they get paid and the money trickles down the employment ladder as far as it can.
 
Dodes, AIG has already been nationalized. The Government owns something like 80% of the company and the top brass has been cleared out for some time now.
 
Epic Lulz if it wasnt indeed reality... :(

http://www.cnbc.com/id/29465061

AIG's CEO Won't Rule Out Needing Another Bailout
AIG, BAILOUT, INSURER
CNBC.com
| 02 Mar 2009 | 11:35 AM ET

American International Group CEO Edward Liddy told CNBC that the big insurer is far more stable and secure than it was last fall but acknowledged that it's "difficult to say" if AIG will need even more money from the government in the future.

Liddy's remarks came on the same day the AIG posted a record breaking $61.7 billion loss for the fourth quarter and said it will get another $30 billion from the government on top of the $150 billion it's already received.

The latest bailout avoids for now any crippling credit rating downgrades that could force AIG to come up with billions of dollars that it might not have.

When asked if the latest rescue package would finally resolve AIG's problems, Liddy offered no guarantees.

“It really depends on what happens to the capital markets from here,” he said. “Back in September we had a liquidity crisis of unbelievably large proportions, and that’s been stabilized. Our cash liquidity is fine right now, but now because the capital markets are in such a freefall we’re fighting another issue, which is do we have enough equity to support the debt that we have.”

The new bailout gives AIG more lenient terms on existing financing, and will give the government a preferred-share stake in two life insurance businesses.

Liddy attributed the company's huge loss to severe credit market deterioration.

Liddy says AIG plans to pay back taxpayers, and the company is going through a major overhaul to do so.

"Clearly with the sale or disposition of AIA and ALICO (American Life Insurance Company), that’s a large chunk of our world-wide life business, (so) we’ll get a lot smaller," he said. "We’d like to take up to 20 percent of our property casualty business public, give it a separate brand name, a separate identity...That’s what we have to do in order to pay back the taxpayer.”
 
mr jones said:
So, what WOULD happen if we let them fall?
When Lehman collapsed and AIG edged to the brink last fall there was a day or two when the credit market froze completely. Why was that a problem?

Well, among many many other problems, some firms make payroll by taking out short-term loans on the commercial paper market. If that dries up they can't pay their employees.
 
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