Dreams-Visions
Member
so in about 20 minutes?Suikoguy said:
I'll be watching. We're about to see billions of losses in the market. All of which were completely avoidable.
so in about 20 minutes?Suikoguy said:
Help Me! said:Well, if every nation gets downgraded, no nation gets downgraded, so no harm no foul. Am I doing is rite?
Dreams-Visions said:so in about 20 minutes?
I'll be watching. We're about to see billions of losses in the market. All of which were completely avoidable.
Dreams-Visions said:so in about 20 minutes?
I'll be watching. We're about to see billions of losses in the market. All of which were completely avoidable.
TheNatural said:In the meantime, some smart investors are about to gain a shitload of money, because all this is speculation and panic. Wait for the dollar to bottom out and watch some smart monetary investors buy it low, and then when it rises and stabilizes (like the market ALWAYS does), cleanup time. If I were a rich European, I would be taking the Euro next week and switching to dollars, and then back to Euro after it rises again.
TheNatural said:Nice sum up. Friedman's theories Reagan loved though, seem to have gotten way too much credit, since Reagan basically spent his way out of the 70's problems. Now that's exactly the problem. I'm not saying there's a catch all theory, sometimes you may need to adjust based on what's going on in the world, but we know what the problem is right now - it's DEBT. And from 1980-1990 debt went from 907.7 billion to 3.23 trillion.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/histdebt/histdebt_histo4.htm
Of course an econ theory is going to be in favor when you spend whatever the hell you want during that timeframe and you're postponing the crunch until, well NOW.
Wall said:Yeah, agree on Reagan. Since the Cold War ended ended its largely been Friedman that dominated though.
The problem now is that the Chicago School response to periods of depressed GDP and high unemployment, the Fed lowering interest rates, can't be used because they are already at zero. They keep trying to find other ways to stimulate spending, that the call "Quantitative Easing", but as far as I can tell those programs aren't really doing anything. About the only other "Chicago School" response that I could think of would be for the Fed to do a massively more advanced version of what it did to keep the financial system from collapsing, only targeted at individuals instead of banks. In other words, the would start buying up mortgages, student loans, and other types of debt that consumers carry from banks and other lenders and then either renegotiate the terms of those loans to make them less onerous to consumers, or cancel them outright. In effect, they would remove a lot of the private sector debt that is currently dragging the economy down. It would be the "demand side" solution of Chicago School economics, rather than the "supply side" solution they enacted where they just bought the worthless mortgage backed securities from the banks and loaned to them at zero interest rates in order to repair the banks' balance sheets.
I would put the likelihood of that happening at less than zero.
The only other way to remove private sector debt is the Keynesian solution, which is to have the government run at a deficit and spend money in a way that maximizes the chances that the money will land in the hands of private sector entities that can then use that money to repay their debts and spend elsewhere in the economy. Hopefully in that case the elevated economic activity would also spur businesses to expand their operations in order to meet increased demand.
Doing nothing, the Austrian solution, is basically what we did from the time our country started industrializing until 1932 or 1936. We were a young country, with cheap land and room to expand, and rapid scientific advances led to rapid leaps in technology that allowed for great technical progress, but there is a reason that parts of the period were called a "gilded age" and ideologies such as socialism and communism started to gain a foothold - the economy was simply too unstable to spread the new wealth generated by technological advances across society.
Attempts to find a "free market" solution to that problem, which we tried in the 20's, simply ended in a massive economic crash. In many ways, the history and ideas were eerily similar to what the second President Bush (and some democrats) were trying to do.
Someone has to pay for the bear patrol. We must think of the children.Chibits12 said:Funny, some of these same politicians voted so many times to increase the debt ceiling without issues during the past decade and now they're saying no? In 2004 the US Public debt was about $7 trillion. Seven years later, it's more than $14 trillion...
The United States has one of the lowest tax rates in the western world. There should be a compromise, cutting debt without raising taxes is not very realistic. It's like increasing a credit line on your credit card and not finding a way to pay them.
I think there should have been a debt deal about a week ago. It might be too little too late to calm down the global market. Worst thing could happen is people panicking and running to the banks and pulling money from investments, I highly doubt this would happen though.
Just imagine if we got a bill that raised taxes on the top 1% to 40%....and we actually spent it wisely? That alone could solve half the problem and get us on the right track.
ReBurn said:What's even more unrealistic is thinking that you can cut debt without cutting spending. Half of that increase in public debt has happened in the last two and a half years, which shows just how out of control things are.
Raising taxes is only half of the equation. You don't need to earn more money to pay off debt. You need to spend less than you earn, which give you a surplus that can be used to pay down debt. Raising taxes would provide more revenue, but the spend-hungry politicians won't ever use it to pay down debt. They'd rather make the minimum payments on the debt.
No, it's really not. This has been brewing for months and has been warned about since the beginning of the year, if not earlier.ReBurn said:Don't buy into the media hype. Much of the anxiety people are feeling is the result of attempted ratings grabs by news outlets.
What plan are you referring to? Because I don't know of any plan on the table that is not driven heavily by spending cuts.ReBurn said:What's even more unrealistic is thinking that you can cut debt without cutting spending. Half of that increase in public debt has happened in the last two and a half years, which shows just how out of control things are.
Raising taxes is only half of the equation. You don't need to earn more money to pay off debt. You need to spend less than you earn, which give you a surplus that can be used to pay down debt. Raising taxes would provide more revenue, but the spend-hungry politicians won't ever use it to pay down debt. They'd rather make the minimum payments on the debt.
ReBurn said:What's even more unrealistic is thinking that you can cut debt without cutting spending. Half of that increase in public debt has happened in the last two and a half years, which shows just how out of control things are.
Raising taxes is only half of the equation. You don't need to earn more money to pay off debt. You need to spend less than you earn, which give you a surplus that can be used to pay down debt. Raising taxes would provide more revenue, but the spend-hungry politicians won't ever use it to pay down debt. They'd rather make the minimum payments on the debt.
Please explain, clearly, how President Obama, who publicly proposed a plan with three trillion plus in cuts over ten years and 1.2 trillion in revenue increases that don't violate Grover Norquist's insane pledge, are destroying the country.LQX said:I thought me and my friends were all having a laugh at the expense of democrats but my g-d, Obama is really on path to destroying this country. I don't like the games either side is playing though.
You're right. I've caught a lot of flak for suggesting that the answer is both spending cuts and increases in taxes for all Americans. I hate hearing people say that funding cuts to entitlement programs is draconian or some other hyperbolic term. Much of the spend in these programs is on the cost of bureaucracy, not the actual benefits paid to people. Eliminating waste in government could offset a lot of the need to raise taxes, but probably not all of it.Phoenix said:Well you really have to do both. I've been labelled 'evil' by suggesting to people that taxes are too low... they are, but at the same time you have to cut spending too. There are tons of places where you can make cuts from the budget and you don't need to make THAT big a change in the tax code to generate absurd amounts of additional revenue such that the average joe wouldn't notice.
I think that's a rather narrow view of the problem. The Bush tax cuts and defense spending seem to be the #1 battle cry of people wanting to blame Republicans for this mess, but what about Obama's new spending? The government has been spending money faster than ever before under his administration, and that's not spending directly related to war. He likes to say it's because of Bush, but it isn't all Bush. This article has a lot of good stuff in it that you can draw your own conclusions from:TheNatural said:The #1 reason for the debt increase recently has without a doubt been the Bush era tax cuts. It's really drove debt up a ridiculous amount the past few years. Pulling out of Iraq and Afghanistan and ending the Bush era tax breaks would almost single handedly stop the debt shortfall over the next several years.
A little old, but I'm sure this has been posted before:
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2010/11/13/weekinreview/deficits-graphic.html
ReBurn said:What's even more unrealistic is thinking that you can cut debt without cutting spending. Half of that increase in public debt has happened in the last two and a half years, which shows just how out of control things are.
Raising taxes is only half of the equation. You don't need to earn more money to pay off debt. You need to spend less than you earn, which give you a surplus that can be used to pay down debt. Raising taxes would provide more revenue, but the spend-hungry politicians won't ever use it to pay down debt. They'd rather make the minimum payments on the debt.
ReBurn said:You're right. I've caught a lot of flak for suggesting that the answer is both spending cuts and increases in taxes for all Americans. I hate hearing people say that funding cuts to entitlement programs is draconian or some other hyperbolic term. Much of the spend in these programs is on the cost of bureaucracy, not the actual benefits paid to people. Eliminating waste in government could offset a lot of the need to raise taxes, but probably not all of it.
u be tr-llinLQX said:I thought me and my friends were all having a laugh at the expense of democrats but my g-d, Obama is really on path to destroying this country. I don't like the games either side is playing though.
UltimaPooh said:But takes also need to be raised... and cutting entitlement programs aren't really an answer either when you can easily take a scalpel to the U.S. Military.
ReBurn said:You're right. I've caught a lot of flak for suggesting that the answer is both spending cuts and increases in taxes for all Americans. I hate hearing people say that funding cuts to entitlement programs is draconian or some other hyperbolic term. Much of the spend in these programs is on the cost of bureaucracy, not the actual benefits paid to people. Eliminating waste in government could offset a lot of the need to raise taxes, but probably not all of it.
Veezy said:Please explain, clearly, how President Obama, who publicly proposed a plan with three trillion plus in cuts over ten years and 1.2 trillion in revenue increases that don't violate Grover Norquist's insane pledge, are destroying the country.
TheNatural said:The #1 reason for the debt increase recently has without a doubt been the Bush era tax cuts. It's really drove debt up a ridiculous amount the past few years. Pulling out of Iraq and Afghanistan and ending the Bush era tax breaks would almost single handedly stop the debt shortfall over the next several years.
A little old, but I'm sure this has been posted before:
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2010/11/13/weekinreview/deficits-graphic.html
Xyrmellon said:What plan? Nothing is on paper. Nothing went to congress, because Pelosi and Reid won't go along with it.
The republican plan failed to pass the senate by only 5 votes.
Rather than compromise on this, the democrats forced a quick vote and said that plan will not be considered again. I think Obama and Boehner could get a compromise deal done themselves, but their own parties won't budge on their positions.
DayShallCome said:The thing I don't completely understand is why the "rich" get so much hate in all of this.
Raise taxes on the rich (exclusively)? Why? They already pay more (% wise) than the rest of us (the entire idea of our graduated taxation scheme). It seems pretty ridiculous to say "well, let's just up the tax on the very rich to 40%." How is that reasonable?
Because they're rich. They can afford it.DayShallCome said:Raise taxes on the rich (exclusively)? Why?
Those who have over 90 percent of the wealth should have 90 percent of the sacrifice.DayShallCome said:The thing I don't completely understand is why the "rich" get so much hate in all of this.
Raise taxes on the rich (exclusively)? Why? They already pay more (% wise) than the rest of us (the entire idea of our graduated taxation scheme). It seems pretty ridiculous to say "well, let's just up the tax on the very rich to 40%." How is that reasonable?
That said, I'd argue that the Bush tax cuts were done in bad faith - our budget was not balanced at that point, and it was pretty reckless to lower taxes in that situation.
I LOVED the gang-of-six plan (though I'd love for them to go even farther with tax reform) - it'd be great to just remove all tax breaks and exemptions. Wouldn't it be amazing to be able to figure out your taxes in 10 minutes?
DayShallCome said:The thing I don't completely understand is why the "rich" get so much hate in all of this.
Raise taxes on the rich (exclusively)? Why? They already pay more (% wise) than the rest of us (the entire idea of our graduated taxation scheme). It seems pretty ridiculous to say "well, let's just up the tax on the very rich to 40%." How is that reasonable?
That said, I'd argue that the Bush tax cuts were done in bad faith - our budget was not balanced at that point, and it was pretty reckless to lower taxes in that situation.
DayShallCome said:The thing I don't completely understand is why the "rich" get so much hate in all of this.
Raise taxes on the rich (exclusively)? Why? They already pay more (% wise) than the rest of us (the entire idea of our graduated taxation scheme). It seems pretty ridiculous to say "well, let's just up the tax on the very rich to 40%." How is that reasonable?
That said, I'd argue that the Bush tax cuts were done in bad faith - our budget was not balanced at that point, and it was pretty reckless to lower taxes in that situation.
I LOVED the gang-of-six plan (though I'd love for them to go even farther with tax reform) - it'd be great to just remove all tax breaks and exemptions. Wouldn't it be amazing to be able to figure out your taxes in 10 minutes?
You're joking, right?DayShallCome said:Raise taxes on the rich (exclusively)? Why?
DayShallCome said:The thing I don't completely understand is why the "rich" get so much hate in all of this.
Raise taxes on the rich (exclusively)? Why? They already pay more (% wise) than the rest of us (the entire idea of our graduated taxation scheme). It seems pretty ridiculous to say "well, let's just up the tax on the very rich to 40%." How is that reasonable?
That said, I'd argue that the Bush tax cuts were done in bad faith - our budget was not balanced at that point, and it was pretty reckless to lower taxes in that situation.
I LOVED the gang-of-six plan (though I'd love for them to go even farther with tax reform) - it'd be great to just remove all tax breaks and exemptions. Wouldn't it be amazing to be able to figure out your taxes in 10 minutes?
It's simple:DayShallCome said:The thing I don't completely understand is why the "rich" get so much hate in all of this.
Raise taxes on the rich (exclusively)? Why? They already pay more (% wise) than the rest of us (the entire idea of our graduated taxation scheme). It seems pretty ridiculous to say "well, let's just up the tax on the very rich to 40%." How is that reasonable?
That said, I'd argue that the Bush tax cuts were done in bad faith - our budget was not balanced at that point, and it was pretty reckless to lower taxes in that situation.
I LOVED the gang-of-six plan (though I'd love for them to go even farther with tax reform) - it'd be great to just remove all tax breaks and exemptions. Wouldn't it be amazing to be able to figure out your taxes in 10 minutes?
outunderthestars said:They received 98% of all new wealth created since 1980 but have had their taxes cut. The current system is destroying the middle class, which is vital for a healthy economy.
By rolling back just the Bush tax cuts to the top 2% we can generate 54 billion a year in revenue.
Close the mortgage interest deduction for the top 10% and we get another $25 billion.
add a 5.4% surtax on incomes over a million and you get another $50 billion.
$129 billion in new revenue, just by going back to our old tax codes.... That is almost one third of our shortfall.
Reform the estate tax and get us out of the foreign wars while cutting the overall size of the military and you add $170 billion to that. Now we're 75% of the way done.....
The Republicans have cut taxes on the wealthy in almost every possible way. They are trying to starve the government into making massive cuts that are not necessary.
Saadster said:Dude as long as I have my incandescent bulbs I'm gonna be great, just fucking great.
Retards run our country.
Veezy said:It's simple:
The rich, frankly, benefit more from American society and it's benefits then the poor do, specially that were an incredibly low tax country with a huge military and a piss poor regulated market. Despite this, their money doesn't go back into the country they benefit so much from, since they finance politicians who fight hard to keep taxes low on the premise that low taxes create jobs.
This theory, of course, is shown by the extreme amount of jobs that were totally created via the Bush tax cuts and all the amazing salary raises I, and my lower middle class brethren, have received. That last statement was sarcasm.
So, the rich are doing well and corporations are making record breaking profits. The middle class and the poor are not doing so well. It's during times like these that the most wealthy among us should be asked to step up and help take care of shit, considering that our middle class money is what takes care of them.
Or, I'm bitter because they're doing better than me and I bust my ass 60 hours a week.
Razorwind said:And the rich are just going to say "Oh, 2%? Ok, here you go."
While it is easy to see the extra tax revenue, we would definitely see a larger outflow of money out of the US as the rich utilize even more tax havens to park their assets under. Let's ignore the potential lobbying that might happen, it is rather hard as it is to raise taxes to anyone, let alone foxes that have significant control over the media.
Meanwhile, just for laughs, someone has to own those corporate jets and show that America is the place to get filthy rich.
outunderthestars said:They received 98% of all new wealth created since 1980 but have had their taxes cut. The current system is destroying the middle class, which is vital for a healthy economy.
By rolling back just the Bush tax cuts to the top 2% we can generate 54 billion a year in revenue.
Close the mortgage interest deduction for the top 10% and we get another $25 billion.
add a 5.4% surtax on incomes over a million and you get another $50 billion.
$129 billion in new revenue, just by going back to our old tax codes.... That is almost one third of our shortfall.
Reform the estate tax and get us out of the foreign wars while cutting the overall size of the military and you add $170 billion to that. Now we're 75% of the way done.....
The Republicans have cut taxes on the wealthy in almost every possible way. They are trying to starve the government into making massive cuts that are not necessary.
SoulPlaya said:People need to stop with this "raise income tax to 40%" BS. All you'll be doing is hammering on upper middle class professionals. If you really want to tax the rich, then you need to tax capital gains more. That's how the top 400 earners in the country are paying something like 14% in taxes.
Maybe so, but my point still stands. If you want to go after "corporate jet riders", then you must go after capital gains.outunderthestars said:People making $250,000 or more are not upper middle class.
Wall said:Most of the deficit over the short term is caused by the Bush tax cuts, the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and the revenue shortfalls and associated spending increases in fiscal stabilizers such as unemployment benefits resulting from the recession. Letting the Bush tax cuts expire, winding down the wars, and stimulating the economy so that it returns to full employment will largely fix these contributors to the deficit.
Over the long term, Social Security will go into a deficit and need to start dipping into its trust fund in order to keep paying out benefits sometime towards the end of this decade, and become unable to pay benefits as mandated by law sometime in the early 2040's. We can fix this problem by lifting the cap on payroll taxes.
Medicare and Medicaid will continue to contribute the deficit because medical expenses in general are rising and the amount of people using those programs is increasing. We definitely need to find ways to save money here. There are two bits of good news here though. One bit of good news is that there are plenty of examples of countries around the world who do this, manage to provide universal coverage to their citizens, and have health outcomes that are just as good or even better than ours. The other bit of goods news is that the Affordable Care Act already has measures that start to address this issue.