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Debt Ceiling Deal (OT) BOHICA

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subversus said:
are they really spinning it like that?

fuck...

Yeah!

Their line is that if the country defaults the government won't be able to spend beyond its means which in turn will force fiscal responsability.
 
BruiserBear said:
Everyone is being trolled by these politicians. There is no chance they're not going to reach a debt deal by Aug 2nd.

They're just playing games with one another in hopes of making the other side look bad.
Oh yeah, an entire political party and the most powerful person in Congress (the speaker of the house) just threatening to destroy the entire global economy over taxes, even exlcusively on the rich, is simply "trolling," not something to be taken seriously after they hijacked unemployment benefits, threatened tax increases on the lower and middle classes, and shut down state governments over the last 9 months over these same issues.

Based on the previous 9 months of empirical evidence, they're not bluffing. They'll do it.

Maybe people like you keep on voting for them becausea you don't think they're that crazy. The only reason you don't realize that is because saner minds have caved to their demands so they don't drop the match onto the gas tank.

As bad as this recession was, if the banks had been allowed to fail, if the stimulus hadn't been passed, if unemployment benefits lost funding, if the auto industry had been allowed to fail, I can guarantee you we were facing another Great Depression, possibly even greater than the first one. And we may yet see it, if we don't raise the debt ceiling.


(Actually, the funny thing is, Iremember in late 2008, it was Bush and the republicans who kept on saying we had to bail out the banks, and democrats holding thier noses and muttering "Yeah, yeah, we know, but this isn't right, and it shouldn't have come to such a situation in the first place..." Not that bialing out the banks was a bad thing, because it was the right thing to do, but I distinctly remember democrat legislators being the ones who were most vocal about their displeasure with such an action, even though they recognized the need for the bailouts and voted for them at the same time)
 
Bitmap Frogs said:
Yeah!

Their line is that if the country defaults the government won't be able to spend beyond its means which in turn will force fiscal responsability.
They aren't lying. In fact they have historical precedence. Most countries never pass austerity reforms unless something forces them to.

Do people really think you are going to see entitlment reform or massive cuts in defense during boom periods and peacetimes?
 
Bitmap Frogs said:
Yeah!

Their line is that if the country defaults the government won't be able to spend beyond its means which in turn will force fiscal responsability.
*Looks at Greece, Ireland and Portugal*

yep
 
subversus said:
are they really spinning it like that?

fuck...
The right is spinning this as though obama is seeking a debt ceiling raise so that he can approve more wasteful spending and debt for the country. They are not treating this as though raising the debt ceiling must be done to prevent an immediate economic catastrophe, and, in fact, claim that the compromise is a debt ceiling increase in exchange for spending cuts.

That's why I can't understand people like Bruiser who say this is just two sides trying to make the other look bad. The republicans aren't looking at raising the debt ceiling as a forgone conclusion, but as a potential compromise on their part, which they may or may not agree to.
 
If recent history is an indicator, the new "republican party" is willing to let the house burn down just to remove the tenant (Obama). If I had to guess the motive? Simple racism.
 
Ripclawe said:
*Looks at Greece, Ireland and Portugal*

yep
You want the IMF to come in and dictate your economy? If you think raising taxes on the rich is bad, you should see what those guys do. They sell all the US's assets for peanuts, hell they'd sell the nuclear arsenal to the Chinese if that's what'll get the US debts under control.

"Statue of Liberty?... anyone... ? Sold to Dubai for 5k!"
 
onadesertedisland said:
If recent history is an indicator, the new "republican party" is willing to let the house burn down just to remove the tenant (Obama). If I had to guess the motive? Simple racism.
There are not enough lols in the world.
 
TomServo said:
Who was replying to me. See how this works?


I'm glad GaimeGuy came out and said the poster from the last page was an idiot. That said, it's a general attitude or leaning of a discussion that allows an idiot to post something like "100% taxation" and feel like he's adding something meaningful. That's what I meant by "jumping the shark".

I've become far more liberal since the Great Recession began, as it has challenged some of my core beliefs. Frankly I'm on Obama's side with this issue, but let's not act as if only one side is playing politics. Obama's demand that any agreement cover the debt limit beyond the next election, for example? Pure politics.
The GOP's demand for a short term increase is pure politics. Having to go through this whole charade 3 more times in the next 15 months is embracing economic uncertainty and brinksmanship.. There's really no practical benefit to such an action.

Yes, Obama benefits politically from avoiding such confrontations during the election season, but it happens to also be the best course of action for approaching our fiscal problems. I can't say the same thing about the 3-stage approach or this ridiculous super congress idea.
 
onadesertedisland said:
If recent history is an indicator, the new "republican party" is willing to let the house burn down just to remove the tenant (Obama). If I had to guess the motive? Simple racism.
yes, everytime someone opposes Obama on anything it is motivated by racism. This is the sort of nonsense I expect to hear on black radio shows like Tom Joyner, I have higher expectations for neogaf even on this subject.
 
onadesertedisland said:
If recent history is an indicator, the new "republican party" is willing to let the house burn down just to remove the tenant (Obama). If I had to guess the motive? Simple racism.
During Bill Clinton's presidency Republicans won both the House and the Senate and they endlessly hammered the guy too. However, some say Clinton was the first black president so...
 
remnant said:
Except that we do. In what other time in history have wealth been gained and lost as quickly as now?

But hey, if you think our society is inefficient, there still North Korea.
Quickly =/= efficiently.
 
Bitmap Frogs said:
Yeah!

Their line is that if the country defaults the government won't be able to spend beyond its means which in turn will force fiscal responsability.

They will change their tune once the shit hits the fan.
 
Ripclawe said:
yes, everytime someone opposes Obama on anything it is motivated by racism. This is the sort of nonsense I expect to hear on black radio shows like Tom Joyner, I have higher expectations for neogaf even on this subject.
The socialist, kenyan, marxist, birth-certificate attakcs on obama all havethe same underpinnings as racism: that he's an outsider, a foreigner, someone "different" who doesn't belong. Same thing with the attacks on his use of a teleprompter and being a "community organizer" who never had a real job: it all has an underlying message that he's "different," and that such differences make him inferior. It has the exact same underlying tones as racism, or xenophobia in a broader sense.
 
Ripclawe said:
yes, everytime someone opposes Obama on anything it is motivated by racism. This is the sort of nonsense I expect to hear on black radio shows like Tom Joyner, I have higher expectations for neogaf even on this subject.
Your debate technique is poor, sir.
 
[Nintex] said:
You want the IMF to come in and dictate your economy? If you think raising taxes on the rich is bad, you should see what those guys do. They sell all the US's assets for peanuts, hell they'd sell the nuclear arsenal to the Chinese if that's what'll get the US debts under control.

"Statue of Liberty?... anyone... ? Sold to Dubai for 5k!"

The IMF is the US, that scenario doesn't apply
 
Spokker said:
During Bill Clinton's presidency Republicans won both the House and the Senate and they endlessly hammered the guy too. However, some say Clinton was the first black president so...
Did any of them say Bill Clinton wasn't born in America?
Or that he was a secret Muslim because of his name?


I don't understand how anyone could not see racism as the underlying factor in all of this. It should have become blatantly clear what the message was when they hammered that Obama was born in Kenya. Why would they try to say Obama was not born in the US? Why use that to discredit him? What put the ideas into their little heads that Obama may not be from America?
 
GaimeGuy said:
The socialist, kenyan, marxist, birth-certificate attakcs on obama all havethe same underpinnings as racism: that he's an outsider, a foreigner, someone "different" who doesn't belong.
The head of the Republicans dismissed the birther issue. It was a bunch of Tea Party idiots harping on that front, not mainstream Republicans. Other high-ranking Republicans have rejected the birther movement explicitly.
 
Spokker said:
The head of the Republicans dismissed the birther issue. It was a bunch of Tea Party idiots harping on that front, not mainstream Republicans. Other high-ranking Republicans have rejected the birther movement explicitly.

Shame then that it seems like tea partiers are now republican mainstream.

Abandon ship true republicans. The democrats are now the party of traditional republicans in all but name.

And real democrats are left dispossessed.
 
remnant said:
Except that we do.
No, we don't. Look at any chart of the distribution of wealth over the 20th and 21st centuries. Wealth has become more concentrated not less; the remuneration for productivity among the majority of the Western population is decreasing.


But hey, if you think our society is inefficient, there still North Korea.
Lazy argument.
 
Zaptruder said:
So when the government fails to raise the debt ceiling, who's gonna get the blame according to the common folk?

democrats will blame republicans

Republicans blame democrats

the rest will blame both
 
Ripclawe said:
*Looks at Greece, Ireland and Portugal*

yep
Austerity =/= fiscal responsibility

It's a reaction to symptoms of overall economic problems. Whether or not you think it's a smart reaction, doesn't make it fiscally responsible in and of itself.
 
Zaptruder said:
So when the government fails to raise the debt ceiling, who's gonna get the blame according to the common folk?
I was reading this article on CNN earlier:

http://money.cnn.com/2011/07/24/news/economy/debt_ceiling_no_deal/index.htm?cnn=yes&hpt=hp_t2

A key sticking point remains how much to raise the debt ceiling: Democrats want it raised enough so the issue won't come up again until after the November 2012 election. Boehner has said that is impossible; he wants it raised in two, smaller increments.
Both parties are playing politics with this because they're trying to influence the 2012 elections, not fix the problem. Nobody is worried about the problem, they're more worried about long-term power. If this goes away quickly then Obama and the Democrats can claim a victory over the debt problem in 2012. If it doesn't, then Boehner and the Republicans can use it as a millstone to hang around Obama's neck.

Defending either party at this point is seriously bizarre. The common folk should demand better from their elected officials.
 
balladofwindfishes said:
Did any of them say Bill Clinton wasn't born in America?
Or that he was a secret Muslim because of his name?


I don't understand how anyone could not see racism as the underlying factor in all of this. It should have become blatantly clear what the message was when they hammered that Obama was born in Kenya. Why would they try to say Obama was not born in the US? Why use that to discredit him? What put the ideas into their little heads that Obama may not be from America?

Did Bill Clinton spend a good portion of his childhood living abroad? Was Bill Clinton's father a muslim? Did Bill Clinton attend a muslim school as a child? In fact, can you name me a single American president who has shared those three qualities with Obama?


It's hilarious watching people have this conversation about Obama without acknowledging that he clearly had a unique background for an American president. Of course none of that means that he's not an American citizen, or he's a muslim, but to deny that there is anything unique about his background is intellectually dishonest. He was obviously our first black president, and he has a very unique background. The fact that a few wacky conspiracy theories arose about him should surprise no one, and I personally believe it has nothing to do with the color of his skin.

If you had a white guy born in Hawaii, who spent a portion of his childhood living in Germany, and his father was a French atheist, and he attended an atheist school of sorts, it wouldn't be shocking if rumors arose that he might be an atheist who was born in Germany or France. Wouldn't surprise me in the least. But carry on with the talk that this is all about skin color. Some people enjoy that sort of thing.
 
OK I'm smelling a massive scam when I'm looking at the stock prices. Buy stocks at low due to uncertain debt deal and sell them after a deal is made. Who will make the most out of it? The people who sign the deal.
 
So apparently, the Dems caved. Their plan have all spending cuts and no revenue increases. No cuts to defense *sigh*

I guess this was inevitable. The GOP always had the advantage in this game of chicken since they were more than willing to crash the car in the economy. Economic terrorism works!!!
 
Averon said:
So apparently, the Dems caved. Their plan have all spending cuts and no revenue increases. No cuts to defense *sigh*

I guess this was inevitable. The GOP always had the advantage in this game of chicken since they were more than willing to crash the car in the economy. Economic terrorism works!!!

well at the least the US didn't default
 
outunderthestars said:
interesting poll numbers:

"According to a Wall Street Journal poll, the public supports Obama's grand bargain by a 22% margin. ABC News and The Washington Post reported that 77% believed that the GOP has not done enough to compromise on the deficit, compared with 58% saying the same about Obama. According to CBS News, 71% of those surveyed were unhappy with how the Republicans were handling the negotiations, compared with a 48% disapproval rate for Obama." cnn.com

Polls and Statistics are meaningless in US Media.
Look at what Jon Stewart Showed earlier today (Video at link)
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/07/22/jon-stewarts-debt-ceiling_n_906273.html

Earlier this week, Jon Stewart's Daily Show spliced together a series of talking heads on cable news using poll results to make wildly contradictory claims about public opinion on the debt ceiling debate (beginning at about 1:45 in the video).

One says a majority of Americans "want nothing to do with a tax hike in the debt deal," the next claims "the vast majority of Americans want tax hikes to be part of the debt ceiling deal." One cites "an almost two-to-one majority" of Americans who "want their member of Congress to vote against raising the debt limit," while another says more Americans are ready to say "raise it, they understand the implications for the economy." And so on. The result, per Stewart's quip, is a lot more obfuscation than clarity.
 
Ripclawe said:
*Looks at Greece, Ireland and Portugal*

yep

Ireland crashed and burned because of its austerity measures.

Look at how much help the measures are doing for Greece & Portugal.

OH wait! They are still down the foxhole with no way out!

Edit: The example you want is Iceland.
 
operon said:
The IMF is the US, that scenario doesn't apply
Nope

IMF contributors in 2009- voting rights

Etats-Unis 17,09% 16,79%
Japon 6,13% 6,02%
Allemagne 5,99% 5,88%
France 4,94% 4,86%
Grande-Bretagne 4,94% 4,86%
Chine 3,72% 3,66%
Italie 3,25% 3,20%
Canada 2,93% 2,89%
Russie 2,74% 2,70%
Pays-Bas 2,38% 2,34%
Belgique 2,12% 2,09%
Inde 1,91% 1,89%
Mexique 1,45% 1,43%
Espagne 1,40% 1,39%
Brésil 1,40% 1,38%
Corée du Sud 1,35% 1,33%
Afrique du Sud 0,86% 0,85%
Turquie 0,55% 0,55%


USA has roughly the same quote-part as EU.
 
_Xenon_ said:
OK I'm smelling a massive scam when I'm looking at the stock prices. Buy stocks at low due to uncertain debt deal and sell them after a deal is made. Who will make the most out of it? The people who sign the deal.

uhhh are you reading emails on penny stocks? Don't ever take advice from strangers on penny stocks.
 
BruiserBear said:
Did Bill Clinton spend a good portion of his childhood living abroad? Was Bill Clinton's father a muslim? Did Bill Clinton attend a muslim school as a child? In fact, can you name me a single American president who has shared those three qualities with Obama?
McCain spent his early life abroad and wasn't even born in the traditional America (on a base).

Where were the wild accusations that McCain was not really American?


Why should I answer your arbitrary set of guidelines? Obviously Obama is a unique case, as he's the first black president, and the only president in history with any possible ties to islamic beliefs.
 
balladofwindfishes said:
McCain spent his early life abroad and wasn't even born in the traditional America (on a base).

Where were the wild accusations that McCain was not really American?


Why should I answer your arbitrary set of guidelines? Obviously Obama is a unique case, as he's the first black president, and the only president in history with any possible ties to islamic beliefs.

Being born abroad was only one part of the equation. Having a foreign born father, who was also a muslim, and then you attended a muslim school for a portion of your childhood.

That's a lot more to run with than "He was born on an army base abroad".

Mccain also has the whole "war hero" badge to wear, which obviously insulates you from that type of thing.
 
unomas said:
Panama doesn't need a central bank because of the US dollar? Please connect the dots for me on exactly why that's the reason they don't need a central bank? And why exactly Panama has had a lower rate of inflation than the US for the last 20 years despite using the almighty dollar.
unomas said:
Discussing anything with you at any point in this thread is worthless if you can't even see something as simple as inflation. To ignore the simple facts is beyond insane, and yet you pretend to be receptive to information when you're beyond understanding even the most basic of monetary concepts. Enjoy your inflation and QE3, the blindness caused by the American ego is never to be underestimated.



Again, our inflation rate is lower right now. You really should just close it up cause you don't know what your talking about and with every post keep exposing your intellectual capacity only goes as far as your ability to plagiarize the musings of fringe blogs. The whole " their inflation is lower," was true in 2007 - when your silly mises article was written - it's not true now. Your biggest problem right now is you take info that reinforces your viewpoint without ever verifying it which ends you up with egg on your face. Your like a walking example of the dangers of confirmation bias.
 
BruiserBear said:
Being born abroad was only one part of the equation. Having a foreign born father, who was also a muslim, and then you attended a muslim school for a portion of your childhood.

That's a lot more to run with than "He was born on an army base abroad".

Mccain also has the whole "war hero" badge to wear, which obviously insulates you from that type of thing.
That didn't insulate the Right's criticism of Kerry as a coward who deserted from the military, which wasn't even true...

And further, there have been a bunch of presidents with foreign born parents, and such things were never even mentioned in the elections of them.

There have been lots of president educated abroad, in England, France or Germany. Thomas Jefferson was taught by a Scottish immigrant. John Q Adams spent pretty much his entire childhood in Europe, and went to college in the Netherlands.

And to finish it off, how does any of what you're saying disprove that the Tea Party and sectors of the GOP are being hostile and self-destructive because Obama is black. Being Muslim =/= being black.
 
Bitmap Frogs said:
I thought it was funny how Fox was spinning the line that a default wouldn't necessarily be bad but in fact would be good.
I really don't get this. If defaulting doesn't matter, then why on Earth are they so concerned about the debt in the first place? They offer no mechanism for any of their policies are supposed to work.

Step 1: Cut Spending
Step 2: ???????
Step 3: Create Jobs

Step 1: Lower Taxes
Step 2: ??????
Step 3: Balance Budget

Step 1: Continue Deficit
Step 2: ??????? (now that it is clear that they don't take anything that could go here seriously)
Step 3: Disaster and Weimarian hyperinflation!

It's as if they have no concern for answering the question of cause and effect when defending their proposals. Instead, it's as if they're operating on a series of self-selected economic moral standards that, if followed, the holy economy will magically reward us for following.
 
Trurl said:
It's as if they have no concern for answering the question of cause and effect when defending their proposals. Instead, it's as if they're operating on a series of self-selected economic moral standards that, if followed, the holy economy will magically reward us for following.

That's a good way to describe it, I think. It is indeed the height of irony that they are threatening to default the country in the name of fiscal responsibility. As you say, if default is irrelevant (or even a good thing), then it seems we may as well double, triple, or even quadruple our spending. The best part about this peculiar version of fiscal responsibility is that we can also cut taxes to zero while we do it.
 
So how come the markets aren't collectively pooping themselves yet? We are past the point where politicians suggested we could reasonably introduce a plan, debate it, and vote on it before 8/2.
 
TxdoHawk said:
So how come the markets aren't collectively pooping themselves yet? We are past the point where politicians suggested we could reasonably introduce a plan, debate it, and vote on it before 8/2.
I don't know what "the markets" think, but I would suggest most people involved don't believe it's impossible to get this done on time. Congress did several impossible things at the height of the 2008 financial crisis.
 
TxdoHawk said:
So how come the markets aren't collectively pooping themselves yet? We are past the point where politicians suggested we could reasonably introduce a plan, debate it, and vote on it before 8/2.

Because realistically, at this point if either side caves they're not really going to debate on it.
 
TxdoHawk said:
So how come the markets aren't collectively pooping themselves yet? We are past the point where politicians suggested we could reasonably introduce a plan, debate it, and vote on it before 8/2.

there is no more debate if one side surrenders
 
Interesting. I guess we will find out soon. I was half-expecting this to end like the 2008 bailout issue, with the market dropping like a rock and essentially forcing politicians to deal with the problem.
 
Didn't President Kennedy catch a lot of shit for being Catholic? Seen as someone that would let the Pope influence US policy? Doesn't Mitt Romney currently catch shit just for being Mormon?

It is quite common for presidential hopefuls to catch criticism simply due to their beliefs or background if they do not align with what the country is used to. Obama isn't unique in that regard.
 
GoldenEye 007 said:
Didn't President Kennedy catch a lot of shit for being Catholic? Seen as someone that would let the Pope influence US policy? Doesn't Mitt Romney currently catch shit just for being Mormon?

It is quite common for presidential hopefuls to catch criticism simply due to their beliefs or background if they do not align with what the country is used to. Obama isn't unique in that regard.
Except for one minor difference

Obama isn't a muslim
 
The markets still have a week to shit themselves and apparently feel it's almost impossible that the U.S. will actually default.

Credit agencies, on the other hand, could drop the bomb any day.
 
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