Any of the Yakuza games. They've earned it but also by the time they come to the west reviews are out on the Japanese release so it's pretty easy to pre-order with confidence.
Dishonored 2 is an actual gamble but it's so unlikely that I'd regret pre-ordering that I don't lose sleep over it.
So far I'm pretty happy with my track record on pre-orders too since I've only done it with MGSV, Borderlands 2, Borderlands: the Pre-sequel, VA-11 Hall-A, MGR:REVENGEANCE, and Clash of Heroes:Might and Magic PC version.