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How many console games would Nintendo sell if they went strictly third party?

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Nintendo own's monolith software, which made/is making Xenoblade/X, they own TW101 IP, Bayonetta 2 was a multiplat game that nobody wanted to fund and Nintendo stepped in. Sony nor Microsoft went after it. I'll give you Sin and Punishment.

I'm so confused as to where this conversation went. Yes, they own Monolith. I get that. We're talking about a scenario where Nintendo was a third party. You stated that games like that would never have been released if Nintendo was a third party. There is no way to determine if that would have been the case.
 
Nintendo own's monolith software, which made/is making Xenoblade/X, they own TW101 IP, Bayonetta 2 was a multiplat game that nobody wanted to fund and Nintendo stepped in. Sony nor Microsoft went after it. I'll give you Sin and Punishment.

i am pretty sure nintendo owns the trademark on sin & punishment. so it's their series as well.

I'm so confused as to where this conversation went. Yes, they own Monolith. I get that. We're talking about a scenario where Nintendo was a third party. You stated that games like that would never have been released if Nintendo was a third party. There is no way to determine if that would have been the case.

so best-case scenario, they still exist, and worst-case scenario, they don't? that sounds like a fun gamble.
 
Something that has made me really confident in the future is the fact that Sony is showing more than 70 games at their booth this year at E3, and that they have been paying for Japanese Indies to get their games out there for TGS regardless of platform.

It's something I'm really glad of them as a company trying to move the industry forward, and as far as games are concerned, something that shouldn't be worried about for long.

I'm willing to bet that 65 of them are indies that will be available on other platforms.
 
Personally, I think Nintendo should just get out of the console market and go third party, however remain in the handheld market. Its clear they know what they are doing there. That way they can keep pumping out bigger budget console quality games and gain profits, while also remaining in the hardware department and pumping out exclusive hand held games.
 
Brawl will be synonymous with my college years. It is THE dorm game. :P

Nintendo's producers would have to change the feel of their IPs to match their new demographics. Gritty Mario and Zelda would be soulless games based off of years of marketing research. The IPs identity would die and Nintendo would fade.

Nintendo created their own audience and monopoly that they control. That's why they don't "compete." If they went third party they wouldn't be able to make the games they would want to make. They'd be sad and depressed and call it quits. They want to make games that resonate with Japan. And over there "kiddy" is the preferred design while ugly gorey s*** leaves them feeling empty inside.

Also their software only makes up 40% of their revenue. Subtract all the fees for going third party...and they'd lose about 60-70% of what they were making before. Or have we forgotten how huge of a marketshare Nintendo still holds in this industry? Nintendo is huge dispute public perception.
 
No, but really read that first sentence. This is a fever dream in a sense, forget what Nintendo would do and imagine they were just the same and third-party. It goes against their philosophy 162%, and it's not something I would personally want, but just "entertain" the idea they were in that position. Not to sound antagonistic, but thinking about things like this is kinda fun.

But... it's as well-structured a hypothetical as the sound of one hand catching the clap...
 
Every fanboy has the same problem.


Edit: and Nintendo trying to release their console games on multiple platforms probably means even slower output.

Fuck that.

They're only just finally beginning to understand what's needed to make development of their software easier, and I'd hate not to see that come to fruition because they went third party.
Definitely why I'm against it, also, I guess because I like Nintendo's consoles when they hit on the money.
This has all been said but bears repeating:

1. Nintendo kills it in college. My dorm had all three seventh gen consoles and the Wii was by far the most used. Smash Bros. all day every day for years with a wide variety of people.

2. If you own nunchuks or classic controllers, there is no need to use motion controls in MK8. Pro controller > CCP > Gamepad> Classic controller > Nunchuk > Motion.
1. I know, I mentioned it earlier

2. This revelation was thrown on me and I'm still in shock my Classic Controllers have some actual use now.
sly cooper had a far bigger fanbase than pikmin, with less time between games. we're looking at 800k+ for sly 1 and 600k+ for sly 2, with 600k+ and 400k for pikmin 1 and 2 respectively. and sly cooper 4 still managed to do worse than a game on a platform with less than 10% of the userbase and with more time to sell and at a lower price.
It really didn't blow up in popularity though. Sly was thrown under the rug hard after the first two, for some reason.

if you can find an actual indicator of a fanbase moving over wholesale when the audience wasn't previously there, i'd honestly love to see it. all i can dig up is sega throwing out bomb after bomb on the original xbox where one series after another died and was no longer heard from ever again.
OG Xbox salvaging the awkward action games of its competitor and making it its core? I mean it's hard to gauge factual evidence on this matter and that's why thinking about things like this is fun.

that's totally not what we're talking about. it's about what appeals to certain people. i will probably never buy a call of duty game. i played call of duty 2. i had good memories of it. i'm not interested the series currently though. these same people are similarly not interested in the types of games nintendo releases, as evidenced by the sales on those platforms.
But not everyone feels apathy, people just plainly don't like buying other consoles when the consoles they get normally are the most powerful console they can get, on an ecosystem that their friends have, and they have all the third-party stuff they want without having a sub-optimal experience. I mean I really don't know how to explain it any better than that.
it seems your argument is that if nintendo were to make games for those other platforms, that other people would buy the nintendo games in the same amounts they used to when they were on nintendo platforms.
They wouldn't buy it in the same ammount, but the games that they like and that are more mainstream would sell better. Mario Kart 8's 666% increase in UK is a very big indicator that people want to play these games, but they just didn't want to buy the games. When Smash comes out, prepare for even bigger numbers, despite it featuring on the more populated 3DS "ecosystem".

i see no reason they should do that when they'd be losing a considerable amount of revenue in the process.
Ah, but of course that's why I don't want them in third-party. This is hysteria land.
But... it's as well-structured a hypothetical as the sound of one hand catching the clap...
Ahahaha, that's the fun part.
I'm willing to bet that 65 of them are indies that will be available on other platforms.
No doubt, I'm looking at the list and seeing some multi-plats but it is the way that Sony is helping these games, with the intention of filling their pockets, and trying to help the industry move forward that will make me think that the console will see fruition in games.

But if we are to be honest, Wii U, who especially nice to indies, is probably not going to be seeing much of a share from the indies on that list.
 
When Nintendo needs to get software on shelves, they'll put out everything they can.

With that kind of logic, why don;t we see 20 new IP's a year instead of sequel after sequel from publishers? Nintendo would get all their owned studios to drop the niche games and focus on Mario, Mario Kart, Smash, Zelda, Pokemon, Mario Party, and Donkey Kong.

They want software on the shelves, but they'd only want the ones guaranteed to sell. They wouldn't even bother with the ones that might lose money but gain GOTY awards and fan praise (cult classics) or games that barely break even.
 
It's something I'm really glad of them as a company trying to move the industry forward, and as far as games are concerned, something that shouldn't be worried about for long.

90% of those indie games at TGS are going to be mobile titles lol. The E3 thing is good though.
 
nintendo is in a heap of trouble, and I'll admit right off the bat that I don't have a solution. I'm just throwing ideas out there. they could come out with a console that's technically superior to PS4, but competing with hardware specs isn't nintendos usual MO. they could release a console with some far out controller gimmick, but that's not a guarantee of success. personally I like the consoles that follow the good ole' NES format: use your left thumb for movement and your right thumb to perform actions.

wouldn't it be amazing to be right now a fly (who speaks japanese) on the wall of nintendos boardrooms. I bet they're experimenting with all kinds of crazy contraptions. then there's the hype behind VR; nintendo could release a console with a head mounted display that could also be hooked up to your HDTV if you prefer.

at least they are taking a break before immediately dumping wiiu. they need to figure out exactly what their problems are and how to address them.
 
If we were to consider Japanese sales (Nintendo does get accused of having too much of a Japanese mindset nowadays, right :-p) then ooof, maybe some otakus who own PS3s would have fun with some of Nintendo's games such as Fire Emblem, but other than that, yikes, Nintendo's Japanese console game sales would plunge.
 
I like when people complain about Nintendo's lineup lacking diversity, someone will bring up games like Pikmin 3 or Wonderful 101 and the response is "Well those didn't sell well"

Well whose fucking fault was that
 
Some of their IPs are once every console generation.

Smash: 5M
Kart: 15M -- This sucker will sell year after year
Mario 2D/Mario 3D: 5M

I dont think games like Mario Party will sell on Sony/M$ consoles.
 
I like when people complain about Nintendo's lineup lacking diversity, someone will bring up games like Pikmin 3 or Wonderful 101 and the response is "Well those didn't sell well"

Well whose fucking fault was that

Nintendo. On a near-sighted level, the lack of marketing.

On a far-sighted level, releasing a console that was underpowererd, relied on a gimmick that wasn't as appealing as motion controls, not having a unified account system, and overpricing their console, thus leading to a small install base to sell those already niche games to.
 
I know atleast 7 people at work whom want Mario Kart 8 but won't buy another console just to play it. Makes me angry, but I realize their line of thought.

This is exactly why I'm certain they would sell a lot more games if they went multiplatform. I have lots of friends that own the PS4/XB1, but almost none of them have a Wii U. If they could buy MK8 on their next gen console they would.
 
With that kind of logic, why don;t we see 20 new IP's a year instead of sequel after sequel from publishers? Nintendo would get all their owned studios to drop the niche games and focus on Mario, Mario Kart, Smash, Zelda, Pokemon, Mario Party, and Donkey Kong.

They want software on the shelves, but they'd only want the ones guaranteed to sell. They wouldn't even bother with the ones that might lose money but gain GOTY awards and fan praise (cult classics) or games that barely break even.

They're not going to sacrifice quality. It's Nintendo. I think because of their current situation, they're taking a game that never made it out of Japan and releasing it elsewhere to, yes, take a risk, and see how it performs, while also getting another piece of software on the shelves.
 
I like when people complain about Nintendo's lineup lacking diversity, someone will bring up games like Pikmin 3 or Wonderful 101 and the response is "Well those didn't sell well"

Well whose fucking fault was that

Usually people who call for "diversity" in Nintendo's software lineup are asking them to create Nintendo versions of Halo, Uncharted, and Assassin's Creed.
:P
I'm completely against them putting any focus into the PlayStation/Xbox audience. I hope that never happens, and it's very likely that it won't. :)
 
Nintendo. On a near-sighted level, the lack of marketing.

On a far-sighted level, releasing a console that was underpowererd, relied on a gimmick that wasn't as appealing as motion controls, not having a unified account system, and overpricing their console, thus leading to a small install base to sell those already niche games to.
I don't know I kind of feel like whenever games like those are shown the response is "WHERE'S ZELDA" but maybe that's just me

My point is Nintendo's new IPs are dismissed for arbitrary and stupid reasons
 
It really didn't blow up in popularity though. Sly was thrown under the rug hard after the first two, for some reason.

maybe because sony knew what sold well and focused their marketing efforts on something with a better return on investment.

OG Xbox salvaging the awkward action games of its competitor and making it its core? I mean it's hard to gauge factual evidence on this matter and that's why thinking about things like this is fun.

actually it's pretty easy. here i did the work already:

Code:
[b]Microsoft Xbox[/b]              |  [b]Total[/b]  | 
----------------------------+---------+
SONIC MEGA COLLECTION PLUS  | 357,973 |
NFL 2K3                     | 303,929 |
SONIC HEROES                | 266,425 |
HOUSE OF THE DEAD III       | 219,225 |
ESPN NFL FOOTBALL           | 205,615 |
NBA 2K3                     | 186,314 |
ESPN NBA BASKETBALL         | 155,937 |
WORLD SERIES BASEBALL       | 136,753 |
PANZER DRAGOON ORTA         | 129,625 |
NBA 2K2                     | 119,135 |
NCAA FOOTBALL 2K3           | 114,799 |
CRAZY TAXI 3                | 107,535 |
NFL 2K2                     | 103,847 |
JET SET RADIO FUTURE        | 101,533 |
GUNVALKYRIE                 |  95,840 |
SEGA GT 2002                |  90,572 | 
WORLD SERIES BASEBALL 2K3   |  90,034 |
NCAA BASKETBALL 2K3         |  84,966 |
ESPN MLB BASEBALL           |  77,792 |
NHL 2K3                     |  68,271 |
TOEJAM & EARL III           |  68,036 |
SUPER MONKEY BALL DX        |  66,423 |
SHADOW THE HEDGEHOG         |  65,389 |
ESPN NHL HOCKEY             |  65,367 |
ESPN COLLEGE HOOPS          |  65,003 |
OTOGI: MYTH OF DEMONS       |  60,493 |
SEGA GT ONLINE              |  49,018 |
WORM FORT UNDER SIEGE       |  36,160 |
WORMS 3D                    |  32,742 |
SOCCER SLAM                 |  31,713 | 
OTOGI 2                     |  28,892 |
SPARTAN TOTAL WAR           |  43,043 |
TAITO LEGENDS               |  13,539 |
HEADHUNTER REDEMPTION       |  10,253 |
SPIKEOUT                    |   1,534 |

man, what i really love these days are all those crazy taxi, shenmue, panzer dragoon, and toejam and earl games.

But not everyone feels apathy, people just plainly don't like buying other consoles when the consoles they get normally are the most powerful console they can get, on an ecosystem that their friends have, and they have all the third-party stuff they want without having a sub-optimal experience. I mean I really don't know how to explain it any better than that.

essentially it comes down to guesswork versus facts. and until we have facts to show that nintendo's situation would improve elsewhere, i don't see the point relying in guesswork.

it's not even guesswork, as that implies maybe dragging in more than anecdotes. it's more or less fantasy.
 
Nintendo would be a monster third party. It's a testament to how strong their IP is that they can go multiple console cycles with their first party offerings being essentially the only draw. People like to say "look what happened to Sega". Well, Sega couldn't support their own console with first party only, because their IP wasn't as strong.

If the barrier to entry was lifted from Nintendo games, every mainline Mario and Zelda release would be a GTA sized event. There are no other franchises in games that have stood the test of time that Nintendo franchises have. People who know nothing about games know who Mario is. Nintendo should be the Disney of games, the difference is you don't need a "Disney Disc" player to watch Frozen.
 
Well, from my side if I could get Nintendo properties on my Xbox One, that would turn me from not a Nintendo customer to a Nintendo customer in seconds. Nintendo has several game franchises I would be interested in trying out and playing, I just don't want to purchase another $200-$300 system which I know will just sit and collect dust 98% of the year.
 
Something that has made me really confident in the future is the fact that Sony is showing more than 70 games at their booth this year at E3, and that they have been paying for Japanese Indies to get their games out there for TGS regardless of platform.

It's something I'm really glad of them as a company trying to move the industry forward, and as far as games are concerned, something that shouldn't be worried about for long.

It's the first time I've looked at that list, what's there for the PS4 doesn't exactly make me want to rush out and spend £400 especially as most are multiplats
 
maybe because sony knew what sold well and focused their marketing efforts on something with a better return on investment.
Oh, I know the interest started drumming down, I was just referencing how I liked the series to the contrary.


actually it's pretty easy. here i did the work already:

Code:
[b]Microsoft Xbox[/b]              |  [b]Total[/b]  | 
----------------------------+---------+
SONIC MEGA COLLECTION PLUS  | 357,973 |
NFL 2K3                     | 303,929 |
SONIC HEROES                | 266,425 |
HOUSE OF THE DEAD III       | 219,225 |
ESPN NFL FOOTBALL           | 205,615 |
NBA 2K3                     | 186,314 |
ESPN NBA BASKETBALL         | 155,937 |
WORLD SERIES BASEBALL       | 136,753 |
PANZER DRAGOON ORTA         | 129,625 |
NBA 2K2                     | 119,135 |
NCAA FOOTBALL 2K3           | 114,799 |
CRAZY TAXI 3                | 107,535 |
NFL 2K2                     | 103,847 |
JET SET RADIO FUTURE        | 101,533 |
GUNVALKYRIE                 |  95,840 |
SEGA GT 2002                |  90,572 | 
WORLD SERIES BASEBALL 2K3   |  90,034 |
NCAA BASKETBALL 2K3         |  84,966 |
ESPN MLB BASEBALL           |  77,792 |
NHL 2K3                     |  68,271 |
TOEJAM & EARL III           |  68,036 |
SUPER MONKEY BALL DX        |  66,423 |
SHADOW THE HEDGEHOG         |  65,389 |
ESPN NHL HOCKEY             |  65,367 |
ESPN COLLEGE HOOPS          |  65,003 |
OTOGI: MYTH OF DEMONS       |  60,493 |
SEGA GT ONLINE              |  49,018 |
WORM FORT UNDER SIEGE       |  36,160 |
WORMS 3D                    |  32,742 |
SOCCER SLAM                 |  31,713 | 
OTOGI 2                     |  28,892 |
SPARTAN TOTAL WAR           |  43,043 |
TAITO LEGENDS               |  13,539 |
HEADHUNTER REDEMPTION       |  10,253 |
SPIKEOUT                    |   1,534 |
Actually looking back, Xbox has always been invested in Sports and has had exclusive marketing deals, so I guess yeah, the sport market definitely did come home to the Xbox, especially with Live.

man, what i really love these days are all those crazy taxi, shenmue, panzer dragoon, and toejam and earl games.
I'm not arguing that.
The real shocker is that Crazy Taxi 3 is a thing.

essentially it comes down to guesswork versus facts. and until we have facts to show that nintendo's situation would improve elsewhere, i don't see the point relying in guesswork.

it's not even guesswork, as that implies maybe dragging in more than anecdotes. it's more or less fantasy.]
It really is a "fantasy", there is not much logical work to work with, so we often have to rely on guesswork so much that we'll never know for sure.But that's what message boards are good for.
 
Let's say either Sony or Microsoft bought out Nintendo - name, rights to everything, all of it, what would then happen in that battle? Would it ultimately be the end for the other company?
 
Nintendo would be a monster third party. It's a testament to how strong their IP is that they can go multiple console cycles with their first party offerings being essentially the only draw. People like to say "look what happened to Sega". Well, Sega couldn't support their own console with first party only, because their IP wasn't as strong.

but the Wii U is selling worse than the Dreamcast did in the same span
 
Wouldn't it be nice if I could play some ps4 games on my gaming PC? I mean then I wouldn't be stuck with the much lower end hardware of the ps4. The framerates, resolutions, post processing - everything goes up and I could even play shooters with a proper control scheme. Why won't Sony release their goods on PC? All you're doing is increasing the amount of money you make by increasing the amount of software you sell, right? Simple math.

Edit: oh and even better I don't have to pay an asinine fee to access the multiplayer component of the game, thereby allowing me to buy 1 more sony title to play on my PC. Everybody wins, right? More simple math!
 
If the barrier to entry was lifted from Nintendo games, every mainline Mario and Zelda release would be a GTA sized event..

There is a lot of weird stuff in your post, but how did you come to this conclusion?

GTA is an "event" on SONY and MS consoles because it's a tried and true high selling franchise that is specifically tailored to the needs of the young male audience.
Mario and Zelda are so far removed from that description that it's hilarious.
 
As someone who's grown up buying every nintendo console, the idea of playing a nintendo game on a non nintendo console sounds so completely foreign I don't know if I'd even buy it. I personally just can't imagine myself playing Mario on a playstation.
 
I'm sure most if not all franchises would see a boost (if only slight increase) in sales, but Nintendo may or may not see a boost in revenue.

Right now they make money from consoles (excluding the Wii U for now) gamesales, peripherals etc. and don't have to pay any royalties. They potentially lose all that.

Games that you'd see a HUGE increase in are games like NSMB, Mario Kart... Smash Brothers and anything with Mario in it. Games like Metroid, Zelda etc, might not see a huge increase in sales. Most people I know that don't buy nintendo console have no interest in other nintendo games, but you can get that Mario game for your kids and enjoy them yourself as well.
 
Are those world wide sales? If so it really brings it home how ballooning costs have ruined the mid teir

just the us. i don't know what it did in europe, but i can't imagine any of those games did much better in japan given the xbox's userbase.
 
They would devour Sony and Microsoft from within and we'd have Digital Foundry comparing the differences between the Nintendo Playstation and the Nintendo Xbox.

Actually I would have to imagine that they'd dominate so long as they retained their current quality and didn't go a more Sega-esque route, though the titles would depend more on the long tail still and their smaller series could easily get lost in the shuffle.
 
I like when people complain about Nintendo's lineup lacking diversity, someone will bring up games like Pikmin 3 or Wonderful 101 and the response is "Well those didn't sell well"

Well whose fucking fault was that

The fault of the fans, I guess. The people who praise the console, praise the games, but don't actually buy any of them.
 
I think Mario Kart would be bigger than GTA and CoD together.

I know plent of people that only own sony or microsoft plataforms. The other day one asked me if there was a Mario game on the ps3.

Anecdotal evidence, for sure. But I really doubt someone has hard data on this.
 
Mario Kart 8 would be the best selling game this generation if it was available on PS4/XB1/PC.
Wait til Smash. Wii U purchases will be higher despite 3DS being owned by the larger crowd and it coming out earlier.

Still might not oversell previous entries... perhaps combined.
 
I disagree, I'm sure there are plenty of people who would love to buy Nintendo games but don't feel like spending $300 to play them.

I would be one of them. I would happily buy Nintendo games on my PS3 or PS4. I just don't want to own a Wii or Wii U.
 
I would be one of them. I would happily buy Nintendo games on my PS3 or PS4. I just don't want to own a Wii or Wii U.

I'm here. I'd like to play a few Nintendo games (Metroid, fire emblem, pikmin), but I just can't justify the console to play them.

I personally think Nintendo would do well going third party. The brand is strong enough to thrive.

Can't say the same about any of the other player's however. Like I imagine if Sony went 3rd party, Naughty Dog, Polyphony, and Santa Monica would thrive, but the others might struggle a lot.

When Sega exited the hardware biz, I feel like the only recognizable asset they had was Sonic. I don't think Nintendo is in that boat.
 
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