Farmboy said:
Wii is a completely different animal. I suspect it'll do well. Maybe that's because, when I saw those goofy folks wagglin' away at E3, my association was not that they looked dorky (although they certainly did) but that they were having fun.
exactly. The people insisting you look like any idiot while playing a Wii game are grossly overestimating how "cool" they look when they play a normal video game. Nothing looks nerdier than a grown man zonked at his PC during his 6th straight hour of World of Warcraft. Watching people play normal video games is absolutely boring. It never looks like the person playing is enjoying themselves. Gamers look like they are constipated, spaced out, etc... The types of games that draw crowds are the arcade games that get the player involved. DDR, those mo-cap fighting games, the infra-red sword game, and on consoles, in-store demos like Eyetoy and Guitar Hero. Those are the ones that get people passing by interested. The only arcade game I've ever seen draw a crowd like the games that make the player move was Mortal Kombat, and the allure of watching video game characters disembowl one another disappeared years ago. The spectacle of people playing Wii will get attention, and that attention will become fun.
Wii is so new to people that it is bound to sell well out of the gates. If priced at 200 or below, it will be the "thing" this holiday season. Like Tickle Me Elmo and that awful singing fish, it will be a curiosity that gets tons of word of mouth. People aren't aware this technology exists. They will be so shocked to see their movements control on screen objects, that they won't care how well it's working in the game. We nitpick, we ask ourselves how this helps franchise A, are the motion funcitons just tacked on, etc... but for regular people, they'll never think that far.
The only reason I see kiosks hurting the Wii is if the kiosks are too hard to set-up and maintain. People will need to be informed of how the sensor bar works, people could move the sensor bar, break the gyros in the remote, the demos would need a lot of space, controllers might disappear... etc. Also, if the PS3 has a nice looking motion based demo right next store, that might cause problems, as people also won't stop to think about how the Wii controller is different, and what other games it makes possible.