RespectThySole
Member
[PS4] 220K
[XB1] 195K
[3DS] 80K
[WIU] 55K
[XB1] 195K
[3DS] 80K
[WIU] 55K
I honestly think the alpha did more harm than good due to tech problems, and I also question the interest in asymetric online pvp, not only in "classes" but also in numbers (4v1) as too much relies on the skills of 1 player imo.I saw someone comment on Evolve earlier in the thread, and I just wanted to reinforce that Preorders for that game are bad. Would be worse than Sunset overdrive if it weren't on more than one system kind of bad. That might be its eventual saving grace for profitability, but I really don't see that game doing well with the market.
So Pachter released his January 2015 predictions to clients.
They're quite silly this month
/snip
XB1: 400K
PS4: 325K
WIU: 65K
So Pachter released his January 2015 predictions to clients.
They're quite silly this month, so I want to remind everyone with a friendly Q&A before I post them.
Please read the Q&A before the predictions. Thank you.
Q&A:
Q: "LOL so Pachter gets paid to make stupid video game predictions? Where can I sign up?
A: Actually, Pachter's job is to release complex, thorough, and intelligent company analyses and evaluate whether or not they are a good buy for investors. Pachter primarily focuses around companies in the digital entertainment and retail entertainment sectors, like AMC, Netflix, Amazon, and Nintendo.
Pachter does an amazing job with his frequent, lengthy reports to clients and definitely, 100% deserves every penny Wedbush Securities pays him. There's a reason why Pachter has kept his job all these years.
Pachter frequently discusses video game predictions in mainstream media, and he releases NPD predictions to clients. All of these video game predictions are done FOR FUN, and are in no way related to his core job.
Q: "Should we trust Pachter?"
A: Pachter subscribes to NPD (so he has the full spectrum of historical data available to him), and he conducts a variety of small-scale channel checks in the market.
Basically, Pachter calls up various store managers and asks how the retail market has been doing. He is IN NO WAY an authoritative source of video game sales or an "insider."
We have the same phenomenon here at NeoGAF where people who work in the USA video game retail sector like Abdiel and The Shogun give us sell-through trends.
There is no reason to trust Pachter over any other intelligent GAFfer. He is essentially another NeoGAF poster.
Q: "Should I make a topic about this where we make fun of Pachter ad nauseam?"
A: Unless you're comfortable making a "Aquamarine's JPMorgan Chase NPD Predictions" thread, you shouldn't be comfortable making a "Pachter's NPD Predictions" thread.
If an ignorant website picks up his predictions, please don't parrot them into a new thread.
The level of discourse in new threads diminishes greatly from propagation of Pachter misinformation and mockery. Here is a fantastic example of the low-quality nonsense that rises to the surface when we make dedicated threads:
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=911723
Without further ado, here are Pachter's predictions for January 2015:
XB1: 400K
PS4: 325K
WIU: 65K
Oh, so he purposely predicts "for fun".So Pachter released his January 2015 predictions to clients.
They're quite silly this month, so I want to remind everyone with a friendly Q&A before I post them.
Please read the Q&A before the predictions. Thank you.
Q&A:
Q: "LOL so Pachter gets paid to make stupid video game predictions? Where can I sign up?
A: Actually, Pachter's job is to release complex, thorough, and intelligent company analyses and evaluate whether or not they are a good buy for investors. Pachter primarily focuses around companies in the digital entertainment and retail entertainment sectors, like AMC, Netflix, Amazon, and Nintendo.
Pachter does an amazing job with his frequent, lengthy reports to clients and definitely, 100% deserves every penny Wedbush Securities pays him. There's a reason why Pachter has kept his job all these years.
Pachter frequently discusses video game predictions in mainstream media, and he releases NPD predictions to clients. All of these video game predictions are done FOR FUN, and are in no way related to his core job.
Q: "Should we trust Pachter?"
A: Pachter subscribes to NPD (so he has the full spectrum of historical data available to him), and he conducts a variety of small-scale channel checks in the market.
Basically, Pachter calls up various store managers and asks how the retail market has been doing. He is IN NO WAY an authoritative source of video game sales or an "insider."
We have the same phenomenon here at NeoGAF where people who work in the USA video game retail sector like Abdiel and The Shogun give us sell-through trends.
There is no reason to trust Pachter over any other intelligent GAFfer. He is essentially another NeoGAF poster.
Q: "Should I make a topic about this where we make fun of Pachter ad nauseam?"
A: Unless you're comfortable making a "Aquamarine's JPMorgan Chase NPD Predictions" thread, you shouldn't be comfortable making a "Pachter's NPD Predictions" thread.
If an ignorant website picks up his predictions, please don't parrot them into a new thread.
The level of discourse in new threads diminishes greatly from propagation of Pachter misinformation and mockery. Here is a fantastic example of the low-quality nonsense that rises to the surface when we make dedicated threads:
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=911723
Without further ado, here are Pachter's predictions for January 2015:
XB1: 400K
PS4: 325K
WIU: 65K
Now opening predictions on when someone ignores/doesn't read this and makes a thread on it anyway
Oh, so he purposely predicts "for fun".
I don't get it. I really don't.
I've not got the experience he has in analysis and business modelling, etc, but when the biggest web store in the country shows the PS4 consistently having outsold the X1 all month, and the fact that a win for either one on that web store has translated to an NPD win every single time... even I can tell the X1 hasn't won.
Anyway, why is it Amazon hasn't restocked the ACU bundle? Only third party sellers are selling it right now.
MS prepping for another one?
Even though Amazon is pretty big, the numbers they contribute to NPD numbers are pretty small.
Even though Amazon is pretty big, the numbers they contribute to NPD numbers are pretty small.
Trends.
I don't get it. I really don't.
I've not got the experience he has in analysis and business modelling, etc, but when the biggest web store in the country shows the PS4 consistently having outsold the X1 all month, and the fact that a win for either one on that web store has translated to an NPD win every single time... even I can tell the X1 hasn't won.
Anyway, why is it Amazon hasn't restocked the ACU bundle? Only third party sellers are selling it right now.
MS prepping for another one?
I'm fully aware of the trends, but from Pachter's perspective since he has full access to NPD reports he probably ignores Amazon's Best Sellers list based on that fact.
I'm fully aware of the trends, but from Pachter's perspective since he has full access to NPD reports he probably ignores Amazon's Best Sellers list based on that fact.
Actually....Pachter collates the top-selling video games from Amazon, Wal-Mart, and Gamestop in his predictions.
Which makes the fact that his predictions are contrary to Amazon even more ridiculous.
Yeah i agree he probably doesn't give Amazon a thought. What percentage of NPD do they cover again?
Even though Amazon is pretty big, the numbers they contribute to NPD numbers are pretty small.
So Pachter released his January 2015 predictions to clients.
Without further ado, here are Pachter's predictions for January 2015:
XB1: 400K
PS4: 325K
WIU: 65K
You missed the point. I'm not saying Amazon's numbers contribute the most sales.
Why do you all think PS4 is gonna beat Xbone this month? Since the price-cut Xbone has been winning 2 month in a row, in january they'd raised the price up again to 399$ but just for a week, it came back to 349$ quickly, so i guess the trend could easily continue with Xbone outsell PS4 again in the USA at least.