rokkerkory
Member
Let's also get NC folks!
The terrible governor has been doing us wonders this year
The terrible governor has been doing us wonders this year
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Leaked email reveals Texas Gov. Greg Abbot fears his state will go blue in November
- Thread starter Cerium
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Atomic Playboy
Member
Because the majority of people live in cities. Look at Oregon:
The majority of people live in the blue areas.
By the same token, look at the entire US in 2012:
That was a blowout win for the Democrats.The population is not evenly distributed, so you'll have huge tracts of land in Western states that have the same population as a tiny little blue dot where NYC is.
All that said, I really doubt Texas is going blue this year. I still think Hillary is virtually guaranteed to win, but I don't think her victory involves Texas.
"Leaked"
Kinda sad but that map is almost a perfect swap for an income one.
Texas shift is inevitable. Their tax policies grab companies from California etc. who then bring their workers with them. The influx from California etc. is generally blue state leaning population.
Throw in the Hispanic population on top of the other stuff and its a recipe for a blue shift. Its generally what's happening to all of the states that were once solid red.
Throw in the Hispanic population on top of the other stuff and its a recipe for a blue shift. Its generally what's happening to all of the states that were once solid red.
Squirrel Killer
Member
I wonder which one of the thousands of recipients leaked it.
rokkerkory
Member
I would love this in my lifetime
RPGCrazied
Member
Oh god, as a Texan this pleases me. I'd love to see my state turn blue in my lifetime.
Alex_Mexico
Member
Although Texas in general is very conservative the big cities and the southern border with Mexico is very democratic, is it not?
As a Houstonian, this map scares the shit out of me because it really represents the RACIAL make up of the city well. The purple areas are super diverse (or heavily Asian), the blue areas are either primarily hispanic or African American, and the red areas are predominately white.
So sad...
Ivan A Nguyen
Member
This sounds like a fund raising email. This is how it bounces back and forth on both sides. Telling supporters that if they don't support you more ($) then those godless heathens are going to win.
I just saw you mentioning income as well in another post. There's that too.
Hopefully enough people wake up that their opinions on taxation are not worth a Trump presidency...
makingmusic476
Member
We just need enough red voters from blue states to move to flyover states to make sure they don't flip to red.
It's gerrymandering the presidential election via states, only completely uncoordinated. :lol
hodayathink
Member
Gerrymandering only matters for House elections on the national level and state elections. Senate and presidential elections take the whole state into account, and Republicans are going to be losing the demographic battle in Texas for a while unless they can actually get over themselves and start courting Latino voters.
uncelestial
Member
It's just Abbot trying to scare people into donating money. Trump is ahead nearly 10 points there, and they don't have a gubernatorial election until 2018.
RandomHopeInc
Member
Well now if you list it like that its everyone
Frozenprince
Banned
Please god, let it happen so I can love and be proud of my state again.
MisterShine
Member
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/tx/texas_trump_vs_clinton-5694.html
The last poll here is a couple weeks old, but Trump is a solid 7-10 points ahead each time. I'm not sure if this is a legit thing. Maybe the governor has internal polling that he's using to back up his claim or the leak was intentional.
The last poll here is a couple weeks old, but Trump is a solid 7-10 points ahead each time. I'm not sure if this is a legit thing. Maybe the governor has internal polling that he's using to back up his claim or the leak was intentional.
Version 3.0
Member
270towin.com has Texas at Trump up just 4, and electoral-vote.com has it at Trump up 7. NYT has Trump up 9. These are all averages (of not very many polls, since Texas isn't considered in play).
All down from prior election results. How much is Trump and how much demographics, who knows. But although you're right and Texas isn't really at risk, it's not based on nothing.
Prototype Viktor
Member
Luck?
Transistor
Banned
Well, I'm doing my part to make Texas blue in November.
Squirrel Killer
Member
While everyone is right to correct the people asking about gerrymandering (and I'd probably be correcting them myself if there weren't enough already,) gerrymandering can influence a statewide vote. Turnout can be depressed in districts where gerrymandering has made them uncompetitive, whether by the minority party running a weak candidate or no candidate whatsoever. When's there's 7-8 million voters even a small depressing effect can mean thousands or even tens of thousands of votes.
Long story short: Gerrymandering's bad, m'kay.
Long story short: Gerrymandering's bad, m'kay.
Squirrel Killer
Member
Look at it from the perspective of the state leaders (who decide how they'll allocate their electoral votes,) WTA maximizes the influence of the state in the Electoral College.
Why would you have more than 1 congressional district?
SlimySnake
Flashless at the Golden Globes
lol that is one segregated city.
Shalashaska161
Member
I don't think it will happen this cycle, but Texas has been looking like it will go blue eventually for awhile now. Trump's racism that's encouraging hispanic people to register to vote is just speeding up the process.
lol that is one segregated city.
You say that but Houston is one of the least segregated cities in the country...you should look at other maps, they are significantly worse.
Beyond that Houston is also the most diverse city in the country and race relations are generally great compared to other US cities.
Absolutely true.
Outdoor Miner
Member
Oh my god the pure schadenfreude if Texas were to go blue this cycle.
Applesauce
Boom! Bitch-slapped!
FYI to my fellow Texans early voting starts on 10/24 and ends on 11/4 if you want to avoid bigger crowds on election day.
The south will be mostly red but states like Texas, South Carolina, Arizona, North Carolina, Georgia, Virgina will be more blue or turn into battleground states, the midwest will start turning more red besides Illonis .
Hilary needs a 13 or 14 point win nationally to win texas most likely. She will definitely lose the state by less than 10 points this year. I don't see trump winning many states by 10 points on November 8th at this point.
Squirrel Killer
Member
Houston is not so wack that you would have more than one congressional district on your ballot. You only have one representative in the House. Not sure which particular district you live in, but if you're in one of the two you listed in your photo, you'll have either 2 or 3 candidates to choose from for US Representative:
US Representative, District 7:
James Cargas - D
John Culberson (i) -R
US Representative, District 10:
Tawana W Cadien - D
Bill Kelsey - L
Michael T McCaul (i) - R
The lack of a US Senate race for you this year is a function of 6 year Senate terms and only two Senate seats to be decided over the course of three election cycles, not "Fucking lol how these are drawn."
Zoe
Member
I'm skeptical about that. My area has gotten more red as the Californians have come in.
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