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Marathon approaching 15k CCU low (sponsored by coachmcguirk91 - still having a blast)

I mean what in the holy hell does that even mean 😅

The Heroes Journey.

Heroesjourney.svg


Once exclusive to single player games. Now PvP is figuring it out with the Extraction Genre. This is a big thing you guys are missing here. Marathon is not Concord, Highguard, or Spectre Divide. Marathon has loads of room to grow.
 
If today follows every other Sunday trend we just had our first sub 15K day, Sundays always peak at 20UTC and then tank when Cryo is closed. This would actually be significantly below (by ~1K) previous projections.
 
Are the atonement and return phases when you figure out the game is a waste of time and you drop it in favor of better, more comfortable pastures?
"He [Kicking Bird] is frustrated with me. He wants to know how many more white people are coming. I tell him they will most likely just pass through this country and nothing more. But I am speaking in half-truths. One day there will be too many, but I cannot bring myself to tell him that."

Lt Dunbar, to NeoGAF, on the Extraction genre.
 
Could be a huge drop today, since Sunday peaks are Euro hours peaking at 4-5 pm est.

4 pm completed hour

Today 14.5k (this might be the peak for the day)
Last Sunday 18.4k

-3.9k or -21%

If this holds, Mon are usually about -10% vs Sun. So tomorrow might peak at about 13k or so. Sunday late nights drop a lot too. If it ends at 14.5k, it'll probably be about 4k at 6 am. Might even dip to the high 3s.
 
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"He [Kicking Bird] is frustrated with me. He wants to know how many more white people are coming. I tell him they will most likely just pass through this country and nothing more. But I am speaking in half-truths. One day there will be too many, but I cannot bring myself to tell him that."

Lt Dunbar, to NeoGAF, on the Extraction genre.
You strike me more as a Don Quixote than a Lt Dunbar
 
Nope, it was indeed I who was full of sh**. I forgot the Server Slam bled into March.

You may have won this time, but this is not the last you've seen of me
It's okay I still really like you bro. If you aren't making mistakes, you aren't working, lol. This just proves you're on the ball. Next time it will be I who is full of shit, so fact check me, my shit level is no better than the next man. 😏

Also new content:
 
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The heroes journey was exclusive to PvE / single player.

giphy.gif
First diablo had coop/multiplayer mode(up to 4 ppl, could be coop or pvp too, u fricken cut off enemy ear if u pked him:p ) , and game launched on pc early 1997, later in 98 it had amazing psx port with couch coop(save needed whole memory card rip, but it was worth it ;p ).
Here some example, 17yo yt vid:
 
First diablo had coop/multiplayer mode(up to 4 ppl, could be coop or pvp too, u fricken cut off enemy ear if u pked him:p ) , and game launched on pc early 1997, later in 98 it had amazing psx port with couch coop(save needed whole memory card rip, but it was worth it ;p ).
Here some example, 17yo yt vid:

Diablo was primarily built as a PvE title.

Extraction is the Heroes Journey format, built for PvP.
 
The Heroes Journey.

Heroesjourney.svg


Once exclusive to single player games. Now PvP is figuring it out with the Extraction Genre. This is a big thing you guys are missing here. Marathon is not Concord, Highguard, or Spectre Divide. Marathon has loads of room to grow.
It surely has room to grow or change and improve.. but i dont think it will have the time ... if season 2 dont stop the bleeding you probably wont see a season 3.
 
Instead of matchmaking taking a very long time, today I've started to see matchmaking completely fail with a red error message

"Matchmaking Error. No matches with the requested criteria were available."

(I'm just trying to play Dire Marsh Sponsored)
 
It surely has room to grow or change and improve.. but i dont think it will have the time ... if season 2 dont stop the bleeding you probably wont see a season 3.
That's not unreasonable.

Skull and Bones is still getting updates from Ubisoft and it's consistently under 300 players on Steam. For Honor is considered a success for Ubisoft and it crested over 10k CCU on Steam like 6 times in its 8 year history.

I'm not anywhere close to hitting the panic button on Marathon, especially considering I see 4 or 5 relatively easy fixes that'll improve retention considerably imo. I'll get my hand closer to that panic button if S2 doesn't show some improvement. I think it's a layup.
 
That's not unreasonable.

Skull and Bones is still getting updates from Ubisoft and it's consistently under 300 players on Steam. For Honor is considered a success for Ubisoft and it crested over 10k CCU on Steam like 6 times in its 8 year history.

I'm not anywhere close to hitting the panic button on Marathon, especially considering I see 4 or 5 relatively easy fixes that'll improve retention considerably imo. I'll get my hand closer to that panic button if S2 doesn't show some improvement. I think it's a layup.
Dont know how to phrase it correctly... but Ubisoft is accustomed in dealing with flops and being ridiculed... Sony is not, specially now that they seem to be making another change in direction (pivoting from the Gaas endeavors - IF*** reports are to be believed)

Dont know if sony has the stomach to keep a failing product alive for the sake of it. But its not impossible.
 
Dont know how to phrase it correctly... but Ubisoft is accustomed in dealing with flops and being ridiculed... Sony is not, specially now that they seem to be making another change in direction (pivoting from the Gaas endeavors - IF*** reports are to be believed)

Dont know if sony has the stomach to keep a failing product alive for the sake of it. But its not impossible.
Season 2 approaches...
 
"Sony owns a ton of digital real estate on the Playstation dashboards to push Marathon. It's lack of marketing push to support the numbers speaks to the lack of faith from the platform holder."

Told you I'm not seeing it advertised on my PS5 and you laughed.

 
"Sony owns a ton of digital real estate on the Playstation dashboards to push Marathon. It's lack of marketing push to support the numbers speaks to the lack of faith from the platform holder."

Told you I'm not seeing it advertised on my PS5 and you laughed.



It didn't hit 15k today. On a Sunday.

Sony has no faith in this game.
 
"Sony owns a ton of digital real estate on the Playstation dashboards to push Marathon. It's lack of marketing push to support the numbers speaks to the lack of faith from the platform holder."

Told you I'm not seeing it advertised on my PS5 and you laughed.


I don't understand the people claiming there is a "floor" at a certain number. WoW declines have not decreased outside of major changes. Until we get any sign of WoW declines dropping the floor is 0.
 
Jacob Novak obviously doesnt follow the game closely or simply doesnt know anything about trending.

Doesnt make sense any game would have a floor/plateau of 15k when it is dropping every week about -20%. A baseline of core gamers keeping it stable will happen when those weekly drops flatten out to 0%. And you arent going to jump from -20% to 0% in a week. It'll smooth out slowly. Some games dont have that and drop to 0 CCU. But some games can achieve having a stable xxxx CCU even after 10 years.

Marathon is not at that point yet. Still in freefall mode.

Only way to prop up CCU in a big way is Season 2 is a giant success or some kind of F2P/sub plan strategy. But status quo with some minor weekly tweaks, it's still going down. Cryo, big patch and -20% sales price didnt help the ballpark -20% weekly CCU drop much at all except for a bit of less severe % drops for a week or two. But now back to -20% lately again.
 
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I don't understand the people claiming there is a "floor" at a certain number. WoW declines have not decreased outside of major changes. Until we get any sign of WoW declines dropping the floor is 0.

But WoW have been operating longer, have recoup its cost long ago and probably still have enough hardcore fanbase to support its continuation. Marathon has just a mere 2 months.
 
Steam forum for Marathon is insane btw.

Steam's Marathon forum is hilarious. Sometimes people troll with misleading numbers taken at weird hours of the day, but still funny. At the beginning it more evened out, but most of the supporters bailed ship already as the game crashed down the tubes.

You got to sift through many similar threads for gold comments, but often someone on that forum will update CCU. So if anyone doesnt check themselves or someone in this thread didnt do it yet, someone on that thread will. Those threads will also go over stuff like cheating or long MM times too which we dont really discuss here.
 
Steam forum for Marathon is insane btw.

Is that reply from Men_in_Boxes Men_in_Boxes alt on steam?
 
Steam's Marathon forum is hilarious. Sometimes people troll with misleading numbers taken at weird hours of the day, but still funny. At the beginning it more evened out, but most of the supporters bailed ship already as the game crashed down the tubes.

You got to sift through many similar threads for gold comments, but often someone on that forum will update CCU. So if anyone doesnt check themselves or someone in this thread didnt do it yet, someone on that thread will. Those threads will also go over stuff like cheating or long MM times too which we dont really discuss here.

I find nothing hilarious with so many jobs at steak.

Steam forum troll memes are the best
 
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Just some Sunday ratio comparisons to gauge a low tonight.

Last Sunday midnight hour peak 14.8k
Stated chart low (best hourly number) 5k
Actual low checking 10 min intervals 4.9k

Midnight to Actual low ratio = 3 (14.8k / 4.9k)

Today midnight 11.8k
Estimated low = 3.9k (11.8k / 3)

Past low was over 4k. Could break under 4k tonight.
 
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There is a huge crossover in D2 players and Marathon. IMO most D2 players would rather be playing D2 and just bought Marathon because they love Bungie games.

My point? Bungie better hope that June update for D2 sucks.
laugh GIF
 
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Listening to cross and I mean I just can't get over how these guys don't see the forest thru the trees... He says it needs a free map.

Why don't these guys realize this trash was free already? Nobody wanted it. It's an ugly game, i get it has its fans but I'm sorry I don't get it I'm not saying someone is stupid for liking it people can like whatever but man I do not get any remote appeal for it. But new maps, f2p, doesn't change it's ugly and not cool looking at all.
 
Listening to cross and I mean I just can't get over how these guys don't see the forest thru the trees... He says it needs a free map.

Why don't these guys realize this trash was free already? Nobody wanted it. It's an ugly game, i get it has its fans but I'm sorry I don't get it I'm not saying someone is stupid for liking it people can like whatever but man I do not get any remote appeal for it. But new maps, f2p, doesn't change it's ugly and not cool looking at all.
I think that comment is coming from a place of copium. (and he knows that)

But he had a good insight in that stream/clip:

If I remember correctly:

Destiny community (streamers and influencers) went out of their way to help marathon. (if you go to twitch, the ones streaming marathon are Destiny content creators). But Bungie failed to capture a new audience. Marathon had like 70% crossover with Destiny players... In other words:

Marathon didn't have a Concord-like lifespan because of them.

That realization should be depressing and completely humiliating for everyone at Bungie.

He also understands/feels or even fears that Sony could kill Bungie. So, his solutions are meant to show Sony that there is still an audience that justifies (not even Bungie) but keeping the IP Destiny alivie. (even under another studio)
 
There is a huge crossover in D2 players and Marathon. IMO most D2 players would rather be playing D2 and just bought Marathon because they love Bungie games.

My point? Bungie better hope that June update for D2 sucks.
laugh GIF

I really think Destiny is just done for short of a miracle.

Edge of Fate might have been a bad update / expansion from what I've heard about the portal, but people didn't even show up to try it. It managed 1/3rd the numbers of prior expansions on launch. The quality of Edge of Fate didn't ultimately matter. It could have been the best content Bungie ever produced and it still would have under performed because people have lost faith in Bungie.

The community was sick of Bungie's bullshit, stuck around for the Final Shape, and took the opportunity to fuck off and be free of the cycle. I didn't even bother with The Final Shape and just ducked out shortly after Lightfall because I didn't believe in Bungie anymore. Seeing them ruin the IP, lore, and world they built by shitting Star Wars content into it just proved me right.

People do not want more Destiny from Bungie, and the Destiny 3 people are just huffing copium.
 
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At its current state this game will no doubt feature only hardcore players, making it literally impossible for newcomers to jump in. And its out for.. 2 months? At best Marathon only managed to convert a few most loyal Destiny fans. Which means its in no way welcoming to new players and its also helping Bungie in no way.

In other words, Marathon is going to die.

They can try to make it more accessible, F2P, regular PvP TDM. But otherwise this game is officially dead by Summer which was my initial guess.
 
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At its current state this game will no doubt feature only hardcore players, making it literally impossible for newcomers to jump in.
Sponsored Dire Marsh is a pretty good attempt at helping new players, although hardcore players still get to keep all their upgrades like being able to use their abilities faster etc.

I am really hoping for Sponsored Outpost this week so that I can get some questlines finished
 
Extraction genre is lord of the rings? All it really is just another just way to gamble with fake stuff. Will you get out or not? Will a camper or cheater shoot you or will you extract? That's all it is. Might as well play vampire survivors.
 
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