People so vastly overestimate EV marketshare growth. Millions of people live in apartments in the suburbs or in crowded cities with random on street parking. Who is going to pay for the implementation of millions of charging plug in locations and how is use going to be controlled? I keep seeing articles on the bad state of the subway in NYC and DC. People think they are going to roll out a city wide EV charging system?
I get what he's saying. He's wrong. People should look up energy creation and emission of an ICE car vs a power plant that provides the energy for an EV...even a coal power plant. You'll be surprised at what you find and how inefficient an ICE vehicle is.
Saying a new version of an ICE car is 30% better at emitting does mean much when it's so inefficient to start with.
It has best ratio of engine size/volume to power output of any ICE engines, I believe. Rotary engines can be very small and lightweight and produce lots of power. Problem with them is the delicacy of the mechanics. The complex rotary motion creates more wear and tear, and requires more lubrication to work long term.What's supposed to be so hype about the rotary engine?
If the new version of the ICE car has 30% less emissions, and we assume that an electric car has no emissions (which is fair since we aren't taking into consideration the emissions required to produce the gasoline and get it to the pump either), these improved ICE cars only have to outsell electric cars 3.33:1 to match the emissions savings, in comparison to existing ICE cars.
I thought this was rotary related.
RX-9 plz
It's so weird when I hear people arguing different points or thoughts on ICE cars. In what way would excluding the other elements that go into an ICE car be ok?
Let's break it down very cleanly:
EV's
Emission from generating electricity through either Coal, Natural Gas, Hydro, Renewables.
Emissions when building the car
No emissions from driving EV
ICE
Emission from building the car
Emissions from extracting oil out of the ground
Emission from transporting oil from extraction point to refining plant
Emission from refining oil
Emission from transport refined oil(gasoline) to gas stations across world
Emissions from car being driven
One additional fact: the energy required just to refine the amount of gasoline needed to propel an internal combustion vehicle 100 miles is pretty close to the amount of energy required to propel an EV 100 miles.......so just the process of refining the oil is the equivalent of all of the emission from an EV.
What's supposed to be so hype about the rotary engine?
They are fun to drive if you like high horsepower and high rpms. The 1.3L in the RX-8 makes around 250hp and will safely rev to 9000rpm. A comparable sized 1.3L piston engine in a Toyota Yaris makes 84hp.
But they have terrible fuel consumption (that same RX-8 engine consumes fuel like a V8 in a truck) and poor emissions. On top of that, in order to keep them alive you essentially have to intentionally burn oil (as oil is injected to keep the (apex) seals in the engine lubricated, unlike piston engines where that lubricating oil can be recycled).
No, this is only in the "new" Mazda's that will be starting production next year. Ford, GMC, the others won't be using this engine next year, probably not for a couple years. By 2020, you'll see over a million EV's being sold each year. By 2025, you're going to see 3-4 million EV's sold per year. How on earth are you coming to the conclusion that on "new" vehicle says, EV's will have a "tiny" marketshare. Even a market share of just 20% of new vehicle sales for EV's will reduce emission more than 80% of new cars using this engine. A 30% reduction doesn't mean much when EV's emit nothing and again, people don't understand how an ICE car produces energy to move vs a power plant creating energy.
I was excluding them because I didn't know them, so had no way of including them in the math. I admit my 3.33:1 ratio was a rough estimate. What do you think is more accurate, and how long do you think it will take for sales to reach that ratio? Last year it was something like 116:1 worldwide, I believe.
4 million is less than 5% of total sales. If 95% of the market produces 30% less emissions, that's better than 5% of the market producing 0 emissions.
What's supposed to be so hype about the rotary engine?
It's so weird when I hear people arguing different points or thoughts on ICE cars. In what way would excluding the other elements that go into an ICE car be ok?
Let's break it down very cleanly:
EV's
Emission from generating electricity through either Coal, Natural Gas, Hydro,
ICE
Emissions from extracting oil out of the ground
Emission from transporting oil from extraction point to refining plant
Emission from refining oil
Emission from transport refined oil(gasoline) to gas stations across world
Actually, even at 5%, it still would better for emissions. If you look at my post earlier, I break down all of the emissions associated with ICE cars which is how it should be viewed.
Does the coal just magick itself from the ground into electricity?
In the 70s, Mazda had the bright idea to put them in a pickup truck. I wonder how that was to use. Rotary engines aren't known for their torque.
How many cars will this engine go into is my question. Will it just be Ford, Mazda and Toyota? On only a fraction of their line up?
I mean good on them of course, this engine paired with some hybrid tweaks would be awesome. But if it doesn't end up in any cars it doesn't help much lol.
The difference created by processes unique to ICE based cars isn't close enough to overcome it. 30% taken from almost the entire market is enormous.
The skyactive engines are across their entire line. If the engine works the way they claim it does, unless there is some aspect of it that is undesirable for certain applications, I think they would have this in every car they make.
Is Mazda a big percentage of cars sold?
Maybe I'm missing your point, but I don't see how it is even possible to see this development in a bad light. Let's say you're right, and 5% of electric vehicles sold will be a *better* accomplishment than this 30% gas saving provides in terms of emissions and pollution. Even still, having this 30% saving in ICE engines is better than not having it at all, which would be the case if this engine has not being invented, and everyone keeps using old type ICE for the remaining 95% of the cars sold. So what's the negative here exactly?I'd love for you to look into this yourself because yes it is. The difference only get's bigger as more electricity is generated from renewables to replace coal and eventually natural gas
It's so weird when I hear people arguing different points or thoughts on ICE cars. In what way would excluding the other elements that go into an ICE car be ok?
Let's break it down very cleanly:
EV's
Emission from generating electricity through either Coal, Natural Gas, Hydro, Renewables.
Emissions when building the car
No emissions from driving EV
ICE
Emission from building the car
Emissions from extracting oil out of the ground
Emission from transporting oil from extraction point to refining plant
Emission from refining oil
Emission from transport refined oil(gasoline) to gas stations across world
Emissions from car being driven
One additional fact: the energy required just to refine the amount of gasoline needed to propel an internal combustion vehicle 100 miles is pretty close to the amount of energy required to propel an EV 100 miles.......so just the process of refining the oil is the equivalent of all of the emission from an EV.
I'd love for you to look into this yourself because yes it is. The difference only get's bigger as more electricity is generated from renewables to replace coal and eventually natural gas
What's supposed to be so hype about the rotary engine?
Maybe I'm missing your point, but I don't see how it is even possible to see this development in a bad light. Let's say you're right, and 5% of electric vehicles sold will be a *better* accomplishment than this 30% gas saving provides in terms of emissions and pollution. Even still, having this 30% saving in ICE engines is better than not having it at all, which would be the case if this engine has not being invented, and everyone keeps using old type ICE for the remaining 95% of the cars sold. So what's the negative here exactly?
What about emissions from EV battery production? Making chargers? Emissions from oil to produce all sorts of petroleum based products still in EVs like tires, gaskets, seals, seats, plastics etc...? Emissions from creating new electric infrastructure? I understand what you are getting at, but I think your breakdown is overly simplified and misleading. It isn't that simple.
So, "emission from building the car," which is listed above.What about emissions from EV battery production? Making chargers? Emissions from oil to produce all sorts of petroleum based products still in EVs like tires, gaskets, seals, seats, plastics etc...? Emissions from creating new electric infrastructure? I understand what you are getting at, but I think your breakdown is overly simplified and misleading. It isn't that simple.
What about emissions from EV battery production? Making chargers? Emissions from oil to produce all sorts of petroleum based products still in EVs like tires, gaskets, seals, seats, plastics etc...? Emissions from creating new electric infrastructure? I understand what you are getting at, but I think your breakdown is overly simplified and misleading. It isn't that simple.
Transportation accounts for 14% of greenhouse emissions worldwide (in the US passenger cars are roughly 60% of this number but it's easier if we ignore this as this proportion applies to EVs equally). Reducing 95% of cars emissions by 30% is taking about 4% off total emissions. Having 5% of cars be EVs takes off less than 1%. Even if we say output from all industrial sources (21% globally) is also reduced by 5% (an extremely generous allowance) by those EVs that's still less than 2% total compared to 4%. I can even reduce electricity generation (25% globally) by 5% to get 3.25% total for EVs and ICE still comes out ahead.
Why are you changing the comparison to include all emission from everything in the world? I'm under no illusion that if all cars suddenly turned into EV's, that the emissions issue would be solved....or even close to solved. I'm comparing the total costs of emissions from ICE vehicles to EV's
I still wish Hydrogen was being perused. Electric still has to get the energy produced to charge, plus all the issues that come from making all those batteries.
So am I? I don't understand your comment.
That's my bad. On the go and misread the whole quote from my phone. So my numbers and calculations come out much different because we don't agree on a net emission for an ICE car and a EV. I include everything related to building a ICE, driving the ICE car, and how the fuel is made and transported for said ICE car. I do the same for EV's.
I already took into account the emission needed to build the car. We can break down the car but ICE cars will lose in that venture too because there's less material in a EV car than an ICE. Emissions from oil to produce other products wasn't listed because it goes into both cars...as I said, the emission needed to build both cars.
It's not overly simplistic and actually the more detailed you get about the breakdown, the more apparent it is that ICE cars are incredibly inefficient.
I did the same here and I was overly generous. The problem is EVs are such a small portion of sales and will be for a while. Big differences in efficiency for use and production of EVs are blunted by the overwhelming majority that ICE has.
Yeah its' pretty apparent that we are using different numbers and also have different views on market penetration of EV's. Did a lot of research when I was investing some money into the renewable energy industry and EV so I'm pretty sound in my belief of market penetration but I get that other people don't view it the same.