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[neurosisxeno]

Republicans sold out their party for an easy win. Once Trump falls the Republicans will have nothing but "Nancy Pelosi! Abortion! Guns! Jesus!" and I'm not sure their base will show up enough to recover.

 

[Zukkoyaki]

What a moron.

I'm starting to feel much better about Trump being elected. It's given the Democrats a shot in the arm, shattered the Republican caucuses and since the president himself is a total moron it reflects poorly on the Republicans as a whole, and on top of that he's actively promoting infighting.

Certainly a lot of silver lining to be had. Still a lot of negative shit to wade through in the meantime.

 

[whyamihere]

It's going to be close. He probably still has to do a runoff. But this is stupid.

 

[The Technomancer]

Thank god Trump seemingly isn't going to try and destroy the Iran deal. Easily one of the things I was most afraid of about his presidency

 

[Holmes]

He'll go generic for that. "Don't vote for Dems and we win bigly!"

Democrats want to release criminals onto the streets and ruin your healthcare.

 

[B-Dubs]

It's going to be close. He probably still has to do a runoff. But this is stupid.

It's taking forever for Fulton to come in

 

[AntraxSuicide]

Democrats want to release criminals onto the streets and ruin your healthcare.

Right exactly.

Though this shit never works. People don't care about minority parties; hell, they don't care about Congress in general! The majority of people think the President does everything and so any bad things that happen are on Trump; doubly any bad things that Republicans propose like AHCA. (God that was a good week or two. Daily stories about people, even within the GOP, mocking the shitty thing.)

 

[StopMakingSense]

Democrats want to release criminals onto the streets and ruin your healthcare.

They'll release criminals into your healthcare and ruin your streets!

 

[metalslimer]

The Trump administration can barely handle the nuclear issue with North Korea let alone a potential Iran crisis. We barely avoided a meltdown when Bibi almost lost his mind in 2012.

 

[Ac30]

Certainly a lot of silver lining to be had. Still a lot of negative shit to wade through in the meantime.

I had night terrors on Nov 8th, now I sleep easy knowing that the courts are keeping him in line and the Republicans have all three houses and yet still can't find consensus on Health Care. Plus, now that McMaster and Mattis are running FP at least I won't die in my sleep.

Pity about the Clean Power Plan though, fucking Scott Pruitt can eat shit.

 

[Holmes]

Democrats might pick up Judson Hill's state senate seat. Democratic vote combined is over 50%. It's going to a runoff.

 

[Box of Kittens]

Remember that Sean guy from RCP who was like "Ossoff could get blow 40% because he's losing .4% with every precinct". Stupid RCP.

You have to hand it to RCP. They've managed to get people to take them seriously despite this.

November 6, 2000
RCP Electoral College Analysis: Bush 446 Gore 92
Bush 51.2 Gore 41.8 Nader 5.7

Highlights.

Illinois

Illinois has leaned Democratic in recent Presidential elections and Gore has been solidly ahead since the Democratic convention. However, like everywhere else, Bush now has the momentum. With no Senate or Governor race, turnout here will be key and a less than enthusiastic black vote in Chicago could give Bush a real chance. RCP Final call: Bush By 2

Reality: Gore by 12

California

The Gore campaign is wisely taking California for granted, they have no other choice if they want to win the election. However, like WA and OR, if Gore is preceived to be the definite loser going in to election day, left-wing Democrats will vote for Nader. These two combinations coupled with the Bush campaign's fight for the state gives Bush a real chance for California. RCP Final call: Bush By 2

Reality: Gore by 12

Delaware

More problems for Gore. He should be up by 6-10 points, not 2. With Delaware's tendencies to vote for the eventual winner, Bush has the momentum. RCP Final call: Bush By 4

Reality: Gore by 13

Nationally

We continue to see a landslide of over 400 electoral votes and a Bush win by 7-10 points. We will have to wait until tomorrow to see whether the "tightening polls" may have worked to save Illinois, California, Minnesota and a few others for the Vice President.

Reality: Well, you know.

Really the entire thing is a great read.

 

[Holmes]

Fulton's having technical difficulties counting the vote and are on the line with tech support.

 

[RustyNails]

Fulton's having technical difficulties counting the vote and are on the line with tech support.

Putin strikes again

 

[The Technomancer]

Wait am I reading this right? He's winning the district by like 30 goddamn points so far? How does this go bad for us in a run off?

 

[Bonen no Max'd]

Wait am I reading this right? He's winning the district by like 30 goddamn points so far? How does this go bad for us in a run off?

Now that the Republicans have consolidated into a single candidate it's easier to run attack ads against Ossoff and unify behind Handel.

Or so the logic goes, we'll see if it plays out in reality.

 

[The Technomancer]

Now that the Republicans have consolidated into a single candidate it's easier to run attack ads against Ossoff and unify behind Handel.

Or so the logic goes, we'll see if it plays out in reality.

That would overcome a lead this big? Like, are we expecting Hendel's share to jump from 18% to 45% as the rest of the results come in?

 

[Holmes]

So how many runoff elections where the winner of the first round was 1-2% from 50% eventually lost?

That would overcome a lead this big? Like, are we expecting Hendel's share to jump from 18% to 45% as the rest of the results come in?

The runoff is in two months.

 

[StopMakingSense]

That would overcome a lead this big? Like, are we expecting Hendel's share to jump from 18% to 45% as the rest of the results come in?

What are you talking about? There's a runoff election.

 

[wandering]

That would overcome a lead this big? Like, are we expecting Hendel's share to jump from 18% to 45% as the rest of the results come in?

The runoff is the top two candidates.

 

[The Technomancer]

What are you talking about? There's a runoff election.

I was misreading some results, I think I understand better now

 

[pigeon]

Now imagine if this special took place after the unnecessary GOP government shutdown at the end of April.

 

[Ac30]

Now imagine if this special took place after the unnecessary GOP government shutdown at the end of April.

How many votes in the senate are needed to pass a budget? 50?

 

[electricpirate]

So how many runoff elections where the winner of the first round was 1-2% from 50% eventually lost?

The runoff is in two months.

Most pieces I've seen put it at 50 50.

Time to get to work!

 

[broz0rs]

https://twitter.com/wsbtv/status/854539503494729729

JUST IN: Rare data error from one of the cards means Fulton Co. will have to manually go through hundreds of cards to find the culprit.

lol

 

[Crocodile]

How many votes in the senate are needed to pass a budget? 50?

60. The end of next week will probably be a shit show.

 

[RustyNails]

But that would mean Dems also voting against the budget/funding govt. Media will bothside the story and say fc and Dems are responsible for the shutdown.

 

[metalslimer]

So did Republicans ever raise the debt ceiling?

 

[pigeon]

How many votes in the senate are needed to pass a budget? 50?

Shutdowns happen because of failure of appropriations bills. Those stil require 60.

 

[Box of Kittens]

I mean, the media can "both sides" it as much as they want. If the government shuts down when the president's party controls both houses, the only voters who will blame the minority are hardcore partisans.

 

[tbm24]

Whatever the result, Ossoff has found himself gaining a very healthy amount of political capital with all this exposure. Much more so than the candidate in Kansas.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

So did Republicans ever raise the debt ceiling?

Not yet! They've got 5 and a half months to raise the debt ceiling left though.

 

[Holmes]

Fulton coming in. Ossoff will finish probably at 48%.

 

[Chumley]

Fulton coming in. Ossoff will finish probably at 48%.

Weren't they saying he needs to end at 49 to win the runoff?

 

[Aaron Strife]

But that would mean Dems also voting against the budget/funding govt. Media will bothside the story and say fc and Dems are responsible for the shutdown.

Meh, doesn't matter. President's party catches the blame.

Media was chicken littling the Dems' chances in 2006 too iirc, I think only 08 was ever treated as a slam dunk.

 

[Holmes]

Weren't they saying he needs to end at 49 to win the runoff?

No, 50%+1 vote.

 

[Allard]

Weren't they saying he needs to end at 49 to win the runoff?

49% of the remaining vote in Fulton County, He was already up to 55%, he is now below 49% total for the entire county.

 

[Officerrob]

My prediction of 47% is looking good

 

[JP_]

No, 50%+1 vote.

Think he's talking about projecting current trends out to June's runoff -- what he needs today to be expected to win in June.

Personally, I'm not sure how accurate those projections will be -- hard to account for whatever response GOP/DEM will have between then and now.

 

[Chumley]

No, 50%+1 vote.

Sorry, I meant the projections for June runoff.

 

[whyamihere]

Looks like it'll be 47.5-48. A touch higher than I expected.

See you in June, Georgia Martha Coakley.

 

[Snowman Prophet of Doom]

Richard Spencer ended up speaking at Auburn tonight, federal judge ruled the university had to let him speak. Guess he and his alt-right dudes got literally chased off campus after he was done, however.

 

[Aaron Strife]

Looks like it'll be 47.5-48. A touch higher than I expected.

See you in June, Georgia Martha Coakley.

At least Coakley won anything.

 

[Oblivion]

You can ban a lot of stuff in the deep south. You could get rid of basketball tomorrow. But football? Not a chance.

Oh you were referring to the football thing, not the other stuff. Okay, I agree.

Spoiler

Which makes it much more depressing.

 

[Carpe Libertatem]

At least Coakley won anything.

Handel was GA Secretary of State! Like a decade ago.

 

[Holmes]

Combined Democratic vote in Hill's old state senate seat is a smudge under 57%.

 

[Teggy]

And like clockwork, trump claims he helped get a "big R win" in GA.

 

[Aaron Strife]

Handel was GA Secretary of State! Like a decade ago.

Retracted.

 

[Slizeezyc]

And like clockwork, trump claims he helped get a "big R win" in GA.

Does....Does he know how a jungle primary works?

 

[Surfinn]

And like clockwork, trump claims he helped get a "big R win" in GA.

"Glad to be of help!"

Lol he will literally take credit for anything