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Predict the gaming landscape in 10 years.

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Who's in who's out, and who's purchased?

My predictions.
MS will make further aquisitions of minor publishers and studios. A push into Japanese studios like Capcom, Platinum etc.
Gamepass will be the dominant subscription service with 70 million subscribers.
Cloud gaming will be mainstream.

Amazon will finally go all in on gaming by buying one of the big publishers such as EA.
Sony will partner up with Amazon for cloud gaming, possibly going in with a subscription service together.

Apple also has moves into gaming, buying a number of studios and publishers.

Disney also sets up a number of game development studios and brings their IP back under their control.

Sony will continue to be the dominat console player, but the gap between xbox and PS has closed.

Epic become a massive corporation and continue on with UE 6.

Tencent get the Huawai treatment from the US government and become less dominant in this space.

Nintendo continue to Nintendo. They have a good working relationship with MS as they don't view each other a threat. First game off the rank is a MS vs Nintendo all star brawl beat them up featuring Mario, Zelda, Doom Guy, Master Cheif etc, which releases on both Xbox and Nintendo's new platform.

VR becomes a major player improvements in tech and pricing.

Sony buys Square and continues to add to their first party studios. They have about 35 inhouse teams.

Apple and Google get smashed by Regulators for their walled garden. They have to allow opposition store fronts.

Google walk away from all gaming interest as they push more into AI.

Sony becomes a multiplatform publisher by releasing everything on PC after a 3 month console exclusive window.

That's about all I have now.
 

feynoob

Banned
Microsoft Net Worth is $1785 Billion.
Pack it up boys.
Suitcase Luggage GIF by Channel 7
 
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8BiTw0LF

Banned
In 10 years every 5-year old can be a game developer, thanks to AI.

The gaming landscape will be in a massive eruption. User created games will take over.

It will start with an AI plugin for Unreal Creative 2.0.
 
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Games will be mostly developed by AI, art and coding.

Npcs will have real personalities.

Augumented reality will be everywhere (differently from VR it has appeal to "non gamers").

Virtual Porn and Virtual Porn games will be everywhere as well.

Lots of AI Twitch and YouTubers... They will boost the feeling of "belonging" of people that suffer with parassocial relationships. The "good" part is that AI will give them "real" attention.

High quality AA games from small indie studios(thanks to AI boosting productivity to 10/100x), allowing mature and porn games to see the light of the day.

Consoles will(they already are) be something from the past, toys made for kids because they can only run "safe" games.


The list goes on.
 

Markio128

Member
MS owns 80% of publishers, yet is still in 3rd place. Nintendo releases Switch 3, capable of 1440p visuals. GTAV is still in the top 10. Sony finally releases it’s COD alternative ‘Yell of Stint.’
 

YuLY

Member
Ubisoft is no longer and their IPs are scattered between various other publishers.

Singleplayer AAA or AA games are 2-3 per an entire year, relegated to prestige products from the likes of Sony, besides that, pretty much dead, not counting indies.

More and more games always-online that will die off forever when their servers are eventually shut down.

Push from companies to leave hardware behind and go cloud gaming, losing the rights to own games and when wanting to play something you need to check for what publisher you need to subscribe this month to access that game.

Dragon Age 4, new Battlefield and new Mass Effect are flops. Bioware is shutdown, Respawn keeps prototyping multiplayer games and most of EA focuses on yearly soulless sports games.

Embracer implodes due to too many studios and flops, most of their IPs will remain in limbo as there will be 2-3 publishers around and they wont focus on AA games. Eidos is closed, their last game is a new Deus Ex and is pretty good, but its the last one we will ever get.
 
Nintendo will still have a hybrid system with AR. Sony and MS will have boxes with no disc drives. Subs will dominate and gamers will covet digital the way they do with physical right now, and naysayers will be making fun of digital buyers, calling them old fashioned.
 
Games will be mostly developed by AI, art and coding.

Npcs will have real personalities.

Augumented reality will be everywhere (differently from VR it has appeal to "non gamers").

Virtual Porn and Virtual Porn games will be everywhere as well.

Lots of AI Twitch and YouTubers... They will boost the feeling of "belonging" of people that suffer with parassocial relationships. The "good" part is that AI will give them "real" attention.

High quality AA games from small indie studios(thanks to AI boosting productivity to 10/100x), allowing mature and porn games to see the light of the day.

Consoles will(they already are) be something from the past, toys made for kids because they can only run "safe" games.


The list goes on.
That was one I missed. Due to UE5 and 6, small Indie devs on AA budgets can match AAA games graphics.
 
Ubisoft is no longer and their IPs are scattered between various other publishers.

Singleplayer AAA or AA games are 2-3 per an entire year, relegated to prestige products from the likes of Sony, besides that, pretty much dead, not counting indies.

More and more games always-online that will die off forever when their servers are eventually shut down.

Push from companies to leave hardware behind and go cloud gaming, losing the rights to own games and when wanting to play something you need to check for what publisher you need to subscribe this month to access that game.

Dragon Age 4, new Battlefield and new Mass Effect are flops. Bioware is shutdown, Respawn keeps prototyping multiplayer games and most of EA focuses on yearly soulless sports games.

Embracer implodes due to too many studios and flops, most of their IPs will remain in limbo as there will be 2-3 publishers around and they wont focus on AA games. Eidos is closed, their last game is a new Deus Ex and is pretty good, but its the last one we will ever get.
I reckon you might be close with Embracer. Too many mouths to feed with not enough quality games. Could be a fire sale
 

Unknown?

Member
Sega comes back and makes consoles, instantly gets 50% of market share because it's being run by Tom Kalinske's clone.
 
VR 4K 60fps haptic-enabled Simulator games with graphics that look like real life(like unrecorded but even more realistic somehow) will be the new wave. We'll have simulators of every kind. Simulators for experiencing prom night, for skydiving, for being a game dev, for being president, etc.

We will also see a trend of games recreating movies like the UE5 Matrix demo.
 
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More games will follow PC and not release a physical version. Already seeing that more from MS with no physical for HiFi and Ghostwire. This sucks arse, as I pay less for Physical than digital.
Just bought Dead Island 2 at Jb HiFi for $79 AUD, while the Xbox store has it for $109 AUD.
 
MS will be out of the console business and GamePass is on PlayStation similar to the EA one. Their main focus is on PC which continues to be successful. Call of Duty is on the downswing. Nintendo makes a VR headset console. Sony branches out away from grimdark movie games. Cloud gaming is still totally irrelevant.
This.

The main reason VR is needed is that TV gaming is reaching diminished returns. Switch might not be as powerful as people likes but it is actually pretty close to acceptable. So in 10 years it would basically be possible to run AAA games on a handheld console that is "good enough" to not need a giant non-portable device. You would only need more power, power that require a dedicated box, if you are running a VR game.

It's basically like with music; mp3 is not perfect but it is good enough for people who aren't quality purists. So suddenly unless you want ultra suround sound, music is no longer an expensive thing. ipods cease to exist because you no longer need a dedicated device for music. Before we know it music players are just an app and no longer a device.
 
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MS will be out of the console business and GamePass is on PlayStation similar to the EA one. Their main focus is on PC which continues to be successful. Call of Duty is on the downswing. Nintendo makes a VR headset console. Sony branches out away from grimdark movie games. Cloud gaming is still totally irrelevant.
This is one thing I will never understand.
If Sony agrees and puts GP on PlayStation, that will be the end of MS having a console. Why would anyone buy an Xbox when you can buy a PS and then have all of Sony's games, and all of MS games on it from GP.
Why wouldn't Sony do that to get rid of its opposition, and why would MS do it as it would kill off their own console.
 

LordOfChaos

Member
Zelda: Heart of the Champions will look like a 10 year old game that looked like a 6 year old game which somehow already looked like a 6 year old game at 900p 30fps no AA no AF. CoD developers within Microsoft have massive stress breakdowns from making the thing run on an 18 year old underclocked Tegra X1.
 

diffusionx

Gold Member
This is one thing I will never understand.
If Sony agrees and puts GP on PlayStation, that will be the end of MS having a console. Why would anyone buy an Xbox when you can buy a PS and then have all of Sony's games, and all of MS games on it from GP.
Why wouldn't Sony do that to get rid of its opposition, and why would MS do it as it would kill off their own console.
read the first sentence of the post you quoted again
 

diffusionx

Gold Member
Yeah, I'm just wondering why Sony hadn't jumped to say yes to GP already.
I don't keep up with all the console platform war stuff but I don't know if MS has ever put forth a serious proposal and what the terms are. The devil is in the details of course. I think Sony would be reluctant to try to do what, say, Sony is trying to do with PC by treating it as a second-tier platform with years-old ports while also using it to advertise your platform. Without that sort of situation I think they would jump on it.
 
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Yoboman

Member
Microsoft has bought EA, Take Two, Capcom, Square Enix, Namco, Konami, Ubisoft. None of the publishers have managed to release a game in the 4 years since the Xbox 5 was released.

They are appealing to regulators to allow them to buy Nintendo because their market share is still only 30%
 

ReBurn

Gold Member
Digital distribution will be the only way you can buy games. The UK will still base everything on boxed charts but all of the numbers will be zero.
 
Twitter is dead, MS spun off Xbox and is solely an AI weapons contractor, Sony and Nintendo are run by the CCP and primarily sell freemium games on Samsung refrigerators, and Uwe Bohl’s adaptation of Leisure Suit Larry to the big screen outgrossed both the Mario/Rabbids/Minions crossover movie and Minecraft 2: We Are Legion film.

Meanwhile, Blizzard has re-released WOW Classic for $199.99. It tops NPD for the 3rd time.
 
I don't keep up with all the console platform war stuff but I don't know if MS has ever put forth a serious proposal and what the terms are. The devil is in the details of course. I think Sony would be reluctant to try to do what, say, Sony is trying to do with PC by treating it as a second-tier platform with years-old ports while also using it to advertise your platform. Without that sort of situation I think they would jump on it.
Most of the stuff on GP outside of Xbox first party arnt really that high calibre that it would reduce sales of those games on the PS platform.
The only one that would cause an issue would be COD. If it's on GP, and GP was on PS, then alot of people would play it via that rather than buying it on PS. We know how much money Sony get out of COD so that's a sticking point.
However, if Xbox goes away, then they would more than make up for it via extra console and game sales.
 
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Astral Dog

Member
World War Three happens, total economic collapse, a meteor destroyed Japan,western civilization has crumbled down humanity lives on small settlements among the debris, barely fighting to survive,but most are so Woke they don't know how to make babies anymore, some managed to escape the planet on an Elon Musk rocket but it exploded before arriving at its destination

At least China is fine and currently moving to rule over the ashes.
 

I Master l

Banned
MS will close the Xbox devision
Sony will become third party publisher
Most people wont be able to buy gaming consoles because they will become too expensive
Gaming PCs will be banned due to power restrictions
Mobile and streaming will become the main way to play games
EA to file bankruptcy
Nintendo will be the same
Nvidia will abandon the gaming market
 
I predict it will be fine, and nothing like the worst-case scenarios in this thread. It will be similar to what we're seeing today.

I also predict I will be at least 10 years older than today.
 
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D

Deleted member 471617

Unconfirmed Member
My predictions -

Microsoft -
- Game Pass dominates with over 100m paid subscribers and I believe this happens by the end of 2028.
- Microsoft will acquire Sega to finally have that Japanese publisher and will have an extra bonus with Rovio.
- Microsoft will acquire more studios throughout the remainder of the current generation.
- Microsoft will have their own mobile storefront up and running and competing very strongly with Apple and Google.
- Microsoft will still have their consoles but for next generation, will have only one at $500 for those who want the best console experience while those who are more casual will be able to stream the games via an Xbox Series X/S if they don't want to buy that next generation console.
- Microsoft will merge the Windows Store for gaming into Battle.net which would also include Game Pass.
- Microsoft's Cloud Streaming will grow but still be another 10+ years away from becoming normal/mainstream.
- Microsoft's first party output will be mostly great and high quality which will only help to continue growing Game Pass.
- Microsoft will eliminate the online paywall know as Gold thus making every online co-op/multi-player game free to play so to speak.
- Microsoft will increase Game Pass Ultimate to $20 a month starting with generation but add all first party DLC/expansions to the tier along with a Ubisoft vault (similar to EA Play) after Ubisoft+ fails to take off on consoles and increase the discounted price from 10% to 20% when buying games and whatnot if you're subscribed to Game Pass.
- Microsoft will keep the basic Game Pass service at $10 a month.
- Microsoft will have Game Pass app on the vast majority of TV's and Cell Phones (excluding I-Phone of course) and this service tier will be cloud based only and cost $5 per month.

Nintendo -
- I don't pay much attention to Nintendo but I will say that their next console will be their equivalent of the Xbox Series S.
- Nintendo will bring back Virtual Console because why wouldn't they knowing that their fans want it and makes a shit ton of money.
- Nintendo will upgrade their online service component to where it won't be at Microsoft's or Sony's level but will still be leaps and bounds better than what they currently have setup right now.
- Nintendo will acquire Platinum Games.
- Nintendo in collaboration with Microsoft will announce that Game Pass will be on their next gaming console day one but will only feature Microsoft's first party titles and be Cloud Streaming based.

Sony -
- Sony will keep acquiring more studios that they haven't worked with for two decades simply because they need to as they can't wait around forever to do so.
- Sony will put all of their first party titles on PC day one before the generation ends. They already confirmed that the live service games will be on PC day one.
- Sony will have at least two success stories in regards to the 10+ live service games that they currently have planned.
- Sony will not renew the MLB license when their current contract expires and end up selling the San Diego Studio to either MLB itself so they can keep releasing the game on multiple platforms or to EA who then signs a deal with MLB. Either way, MLB will still exist and remain multi-platform.
- Sony will shut down Media Molecule if their next game flops.
- Sony will not replace the juggernaut that is COD with a singular title but will have a few "hits" that when combined, can off-set the the majority of the money lost by not having COD anymore.
- Sony will expand more quickly into mobile gaming than they already are and probably acquire at least two more mobile studios.
- Sony will not release PSVR 3.
- Sony will include all of their first party games day one on PlayStation Plus once they realize that, holy shit, subscription services is the way that it's going and like it or not, will have to pivot for that reality. This is what I believe Sony will keep in their back pocket if/when the time comes that they're losing market share and need to retain/bring in new consumers. Basically, this is their ace in the hole.
- Sony will integrate PSN into Steam so those who play their games on Steam can get trophies in addition to their normal Steam achievements.
 
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