uncredited male
Member
I think Splatoon is going to blow up. The definitive new IP of this generation.
I excite easy.
I excite easy.
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Predict the Wii U's 2015 (2nd) Best Seller
- Thread starter Mory Dunz
- Start date
Oh I'm going to buy it. Looks great!
But do you know how much money it takes to launch a new Ip at a #1 position? Do you really think Nintendo of all companies is going to spend that kind of cash, particularly at this environment? That's just too risky for an ROI driven company.
Also it doesn't have Mario in the title! Cmon.
You know better
When Donkey Kong is struggling to hit 400k in a year, you know their budget is going Zelda and mario.
Wait, leaks, this isn't the NPD thread.
Man, that's bad.
To answer my own question, maybe Mario Party. Wii U Party may have dented that though.
ArchersOfAgincourt
Neo Member
I expect Zelda to be one of the definitive Wii U titles in 2015, but I certainly don't expect it to sell the best.
As a rabid fan that's been voraciously hungering for a new StarFox game, I hope StarFox U gets its due!
As a rabid fan that's been voraciously hungering for a new StarFox game, I hope StarFox U gets its due!
?
And MP10 would have to get extremely lucky. I really don't see a lot of these games breaking 1 million, which Zelda will do.
higgsboson1997
Member
Oh I'm going to buy it. Looks great!
But do you know how much money it takes to launch a new Ip at a #1 position? Do you really think Nintendo of all companies is going to spend that kind of cash, particularly at this environment? That's just too risky for an ROI driven company.
Also it doesn't have Mario in the title! Cmon.
You know better
When Donkey Kong is struggling to hit 400k in a year, you know their budget is going Zelda and mario.
Donkey Kong's almost at 800k.
theprodigy
Member
what's up with the "Zelda isn't that big outside of message boards, that's why I'm picking Splatoon" posts
I don't expect Mario Party 10 to do better than the Gamecube ones, though it might break a million (then again who knows, it could pull a DK and just flop)
John Harker is definitely talking about US only
I don't expect Mario Party 10 to do better than the Gamecube ones, though it might break a million (then again who knows, it could pull a DK and just flop)
John Harker is definitely talking about US only
timetokill
Banned
Currently Unannounced Title will be their best seller in 2015.
Infernal Monkey
Member
Isn't Mario vs Donkey Kong just going to be another eShop title with NST's tired artstyle again? I don't see that getting any attention whatsoever.
I hope Splatoon really takes off, it looks insanely fun.
I hope Splatoon really takes off, it looks insanely fun.
I want it to be Xenoblade but it's going to be Mario Party 10 or Mario Maker
PreyingShark
Member
Man, the Mario amiibo is going to outsell all the other amiibos. He's really popular. Anybody who thinks he won't be the bestselling amiibo is crazy.
I'm surprised people seem so confident about Splatoon. Game seems like it could easily end up bombing.
-New IP with no name/franchise recognition
-Size of market for family-friendly cartoon multiplayer FPS on WiiU is unknown
-Online multiplayer experience on a Nintendo console doesn't inspire great confidence
-Name and character design will make it look like a licensed Nickelodeon shovelware game to Joe Sixpack looking at the box at Walmart
Nintendo is going to have to market the hell out of it.
-New IP with no name/franchise recognition
-Size of market for family-friendly cartoon multiplayer FPS on WiiU is unknown
-Online multiplayer experience on a Nintendo console doesn't inspire great confidence
-Name and character design will make it look like a licensed Nickelodeon shovelware game to Joe Sixpack looking at the box at Walmart
Nintendo is going to have to market the hell out of it.
Would Nintendo spend that in the West on a new and unproven IP?
RespectThySole
Member
1. Mario Party 10
2. Zelda U
2. Zelda U
Star Fox will sell poorly, but it may be a small-scale title so the sales may be in line with what Nintendo expected.
Mario Party 10 seems like the least interesting Wii U title for 2015, but it may end up being the 2nd best seller. That ,or possibly Animal Crossing, but it depends on how supportive Japan is of it.
Splatoon will probably have decent sales but it won't be the hit Nintendo and gamers hope it will be.
Xenoblade X will under perform. I think people are overestimating its appeal and Japan will likely not show much support to it just as it did with the original Xenoblade.
Kirby's Rainbow Curse may not be a good seller at first , but it will probably do alright in the long run, especially if Japan ends up supporting it as much as they did with the original Canvas Curse game.
Mario Maker will probably sell better than expected due to the interest in its level editor mode and various art styles. If it were just another New SMB, then I think there wouldn't be much interest in it due to franchise fatigue.
Yoshi's Yarn, I think will outsell Kirby's Rainbow Curse.
Mario Party 10 seems like the least interesting Wii U title for 2015, but it may end up being the 2nd best seller. That ,or possibly Animal Crossing, but it depends on how supportive Japan is of it.
Splatoon will probably have decent sales but it won't be the hit Nintendo and gamers hope it will be.
Xenoblade X will under perform. I think people are overestimating its appeal and Japan will likely not show much support to it just as it did with the original Xenoblade.
Kirby's Rainbow Curse may not be a good seller at first , but it will probably do alright in the long run, especially if Japan ends up supporting it as much as they did with the original Canvas Curse game.
Mario Maker will probably sell better than expected due to the interest in its level editor mode and various art styles. If it were just another New SMB, then I think there wouldn't be much interest in it due to franchise fatigue.
Yoshi's Yarn, I think will outsell Kirby's Rainbow Curse.
Heart: Splatoon
Head: Pokken Tournament
This is a bit premature because it most likely still relies on Tekken mechanics and that game didn't sell well.
With that out of the way Smash came out so any hold out fighting game players have the system. In addition Pokemon as a franchise is more popular than any of these other games including Mario Party. Namco would have to fuck up real world in execution to not print money with this.
That said for the sake of Nintendo not getting stuck in a rut and sell this console beyond people interested in their staple games I hope Splatoon convinces a lot of people the rest of the Wii U library is good enough to not ignore it.
Head: Pokken Tournament
This is a bit premature because it most likely still relies on Tekken mechanics and that game didn't sell well.
With that out of the way Smash came out so any hold out fighting game players have the system. In addition Pokemon as a franchise is more popular than any of these other games including Mario Party. Namco would have to fuck up real world in execution to not print money with this.
That said for the sake of Nintendo not getting stuck in a rut and sell this console beyond people interested in their staple games I hope Splatoon convinces a lot of people the rest of the Wii U library is good enough to not ignore it.
higgsboson1997
Member
I hope we both are talking worldwide
DKC:TF sold 130 k during launch week in USA (wikipedia) and 36 k in Japan (mediacreate). Combined with Europe (where it was no. 1 in France and charted everywhere), sales were definitely over 200k and closer to 250k. Beyond that, VGC is the only good estimate- they generally undertack nintendo games slightly, with SM3DW and MK8 both being under how much they've already sold. VGC currently has it at 760k, so it's fair to assume the game's close to that. It's certainly far above 400k.
EDIT: I see that we're not supposed to use VGC on GAF. Also, I simply used it to give a more reasonable estimate than what 400k speculation provides. I'm sorry if I wasn't supposed to.
vinnygambini
Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
I hope we both are talking worldwide
DKC:TF sold 130 k during launch week in USA (wikipedia) and 36 k in Japan (mediacreate). Combined with Europe (where it was no. 1 in France and charted everywhere), sales were definitely over 200k and closer to 250k. Beyond that, VGC is the only good estimate- they generally undertack nintendo games slightly, with SM3DW and MK8 both being under how much they've already sold. VGC currently has it at 760k, so it's fair to assume the game's close to that. It's certainly far above 400k.
Erase this before Aqua sees youuuuuuuuuuuuu
She gun kill you in your sleep child.
There's no confirmation that a wii u port for pokken is coming in 2015.
Gotdatmoney
Member
Mario Party 10
I hope we both are talking worldwide
DKC:TF sold 130 k during launch week in USA (wikipedia) and 36 k in Japan (mediacreate). Combined with Europe (where it was no. 1 in France and charted everywhere), sales were definitely over 200k and closer to 250k. Beyond that, VGC is the only good estimate- they generally undertack nintendo games slightly, with SM3DW and MK8 both being under how much they've already sold. VGC currently has it at 760k, so it's fair to assume the game's close to that. It's certainly far above 400k.
John was talking US actually. So it's over 400K
And don't use chartzzz...
Pokkén is a 2016 game for the Wii U I'm pretty sure.
I hope we both are talking worldwide
DKC:TF sold 130 k during launch week in USA (wikipedia) and 36 k in Japan (mediacreate). Combined with Europe (where it was no. 1 in France and charted everywhere), sales were definitely over 200k and closer to 250k. Beyond that, VGC is the only good estimate- they generally undertack nintendo games slightly, with SM3DW and MK8 both being under how much they've already sold. VGC currently has it at 760k, so it's fair to assume the game's close to that. It's certainly far above 400k.
you've committed grave errors, sir
Did you just use VGC data on neogaf?I hope we both are talking worldwide
DKC:TF sold 130 k during launch week in USA (wikipedia) and 36 k in Japan (mediacreate). Combined with Europe (where it was no. 1 in France and charted everywhere), sales were definitely over 200k and closer to 250k. Beyond that, VGC is the only good estimate- they generally undertack nintendo games slightly, with SM3DW and MK8 both being under how much they've already sold. VGC currently has it at 760k, so it's fair to assume the game's close to that. It's certainly far above 400k.
RIP
The Aquamarine is coming.....
I don't think the people who watch Nickelodeon have Wii Us tbh.
Star Fox is gonna flop harder than DK guys.
YatÅkiri_Kilgharrah
Banned
Zelda games are 3-6 million sellers.
That's Final Fantasy/ Tomb raider levels
How could starfox flop? People watched Guardians of the Galaxy they're willing to do anything lol
Kirby games sell like 800k alone in japan.
The fist xenoblade sold over 160k first week. And lol at a yoshi game outselling kirby.
I suggest you look up sales for older starfox games btw.
higgsboson1997
Member
Who's Aquamarine? And what did I do that's so wrong, and how can I fix it? Help
I also used data from more trusted sources, and simply used that site to show that 400k wasn't reasonable. It can't be worse than simply stating that the game has sold 400k without any evidence at all, can it?
Ah I thought otherwise.
Well since that's the case, Splatoon has so much momentum going for it I'm willing to bet on it over Mario Party and Kirby.
She's someone who has access to sales data and knows VGC is full of shit and hates it when people use their info to prove a point when it's false info.Who's Aquamarine? And what did I do that's so wrong, and how can I fix it? Help
It can't be worse than simply stating that the game has sold 400k without any evidence at all, can it?
Who's Aquamarine? And what did I do that's so wrong, and how can I fix it? Help
It can't be worse than simply stating that the game has sold 400k without any evidence at all, can it?
Harker is an insider.
And Vg Chartz basically makes their numbers up.
theprodigy
Member
Yatōkiri_Kilgharrah;143094910 said:
Triple Deluxe hasn't even reached 700k yet, how the hell is a Wii U game gonna reach 800k
YatÅkiri_Kilgharrah
Banned
Donkey kong didnt flop.
Starfox games usually sell like 5million copies when they're used to push some gimmick in nintendo's systems. Otherwise they're 1-2 million sellers
Mysterious
Banned
What Wii game outsold Zelda in 2011?
New Super Mario Bros. Wii by ~1M in FY2011 (Apr 2011-Mar 2012).
Mario Kart Wii by ~2M in FY2011 (Apr 2011-Mar 2012).
Aquamarine
Member
Nah I'll be nice.
Who's Aquamarine? And what did I do that's so wrong, and how can I fix it? Help
I also used data from more trusted sources, and simply used that site to show that 400k wasn't reasonable. It can't be worse than simply stating that the game has sold 400k without any evidence at all, can it?
Hello. Welcome to GAF.
Sourcing VG Chartz for anything (even indirectly) is banned on GAF.
YatÅkiri_Kilgharrah
Banned
The banned site makes their numbers up about as much as pachter says something incorrect.
John Harker is also not an insider. He works in marketing so he knows some things but not really.
Go back to the media create threads padowan. Triple deluxe is past 700k already.
The fist xenoblade sold over 160k first week. And lol at a yoshi game outselling kirby.
I suggest you look up sales for older starfox games btw.
Aquamarine
Member
Yatōkiri_Kilgharrah;143095774 said:
Everything John Harker has ever said about NPD sales is 100% accurate.
SwiftDeath
Member
I hope we both are talking worldwide
DKC:TF sold 130 k during launch week in USA (wikipedia) and 36 k in Japan (mediacreate). Combined with Europe (where it was no. 1 in France and charted everywhere), sales were definitely over 200k and closer to 250k. Beyond that, VGC is the only good estimate- they generally undertack nintendo games slightly, with SM3DW and MK8 both being under how much they've already sold. VGC currently has it at 760k, so it's fair to assume the game's close to that. It's certainly far above 400k.
EDIT: I see that we're not supposed to use VGC on GAF. Also, I simply used it to give a more reasonable estimate than what 400k speculation provides. I'm sorry if I wasn't supposed to.
VGC doesn't track anything
The strength of Mario Party will an interesting story next year.
But to sell over a million? I'm not sure.
How well did the 3DS one do?
YatÅkiri_Kilgharrah
Banned
Are you seriously vouching for pachter? Because he seriously vouches for that site that must not be named
theprodigy
Member
Yatōkiri_Kilgharrah;143095774 said:
YOU should go back and check, here's the most recent number from any tracker (thank goodness for Dengeki showing top 50)
YatÅkiri_Kilgharrah
Banned
He does not like being called an insider, I suggest you refrain from calling him that.