This thread isn't helping either.
Yoshida said there won't be ANY online passes. Not first-, not third-party.
I'll believe him over anyone else at Sony.
http://www.computerandvideogames.com/413102/interviews/the-ps4-interview-shuhei-yoshida/
In terms of just getting access of multiplayer online, it's now taken care of at a platform level by PS Plus. So our first party titles had the online pass on PS3 and Vita. That we are not doing on PS4 because of that platform level. It's the same for third parties; when it comes to just giving you access to online multiplayer, it's PS Plus going forward.
What will still be possible though, are DLC codes, season passes and MMO subscriptions.
But basic online multiplayer will
not require a code.