Nintendo will not gain marketshare unless it's at the expense of the Xbox. That controller is garbage. That more people will buy a REAL system with a REAL controller this gen than last is telling. Gamers are not gonna beat down store doors to get a fucking remote. The dumbest fucking thing I've ever seen. Dumbest. Less buttons and a lax attitude towards system performance? Puhleez.
The reason Nintendo is making so much money right now is not because of the Gamecube. Their GC business is not nearly as profitable as their handheld business, which is now under threat from the PSP. I will make the not so bold prediction that their profits will slip this generation, considerably. The handheld market may end up split, but that's not gonna be nearly as rich as the complete dominance they have enjoyed for almost 2 decades. I don't expect them to be the most profitable company this gen, and I don't expect them to make anywhere near the same impact in Japan as Sony will. They may yet sell more Rev there than GCs, but that's not saying much. Their second place was a token due to the near non-existence of the XB. The XB sold like day old shit. Gee, beating a total close to zero must be pretty impressive, huh? Nintendo has lost the plot. Their fans are losing it too. Lucky for us, there aren't as many of them remaining as in the past.
I don't think the Rev is the revolution anyone needs. It's a fucking bad STB that plays old games and yet still lacks the functionality of a competing console. Great...it comes with a remote. Hopefully with a power button, so you can turn it off.
MS should improve their marketshare. I see them gaining in the US, though nowhere near what some expect. I think Sony's just dropped a couple megaton bombs on their asses, and still haven't unleashed the major western can of whoopass that will be the next-gen GTA. But MS still has Live, and a fairly loyal fanbase that would probably neuter themselves than buy a Sony system. I can see the early launch giving them an install base large enough to keep from getting completely swamped, and I see them picking up some of the shellshocked Nintendo "evacuees" who can't accept going to the enemy. Much in the way they picked up a bunch of disgruntled Sega fans this gen. In EU, they'll also increase their market, but by a lesser amount then the US, and they're stillborn in Japan...again.
Sony just ended the next-gen war. Yeah, that's totally fanboyish to say, I'll gladly admit. All we got really was one game, which isn't as big in Japan as it is in the west (IIRC). There is so much more they have left to unleash that it's laughable to expect anything else. They are the lead console for devs. That's right, get over it MS fans. Contrary to what some wanted to believe, market and mindshare do count a great deal. The game was always theirs to lose, and one game has just put the score out of reach. There's still GTA, FF, DQ, GT and others that will make their way to the PS3, and systematically lockdown one territory after another. Is it really that farfetched? They have the momentum, not MS. They have 70M more users and growing. And to add insult to injury, they finally have the power advantage. The only one to derail Sony will be Sony. And it's still a possibility b/c I am now cringing at the thought of the price. The console and accessories are gonna get that Sony premium pricing, I just know it...and I hate it.
Wait for X05. Wait for Spaceworld. Wait for reality to sink in. I got flamed to high heaven for saying the same thing prior to the PS2 launch, and it just ended up being a formality. You don't need Ms. Cleo to see what's coming. MS is gonna be overwhelmed, and Nintendo just mailed it in. If you didn't like Sony before, you might as well start getting used to it, b/c the competition is completely inept. PEACE.