The design behind the Xbone is the antithesis of Japanese thinking. It's an American console though and through. TV on demand is not really a thing in Japan. The take up of Live and PS+ over there has been tiny compared to the rest of the world. Japan is very big on ownership, not on services, so the used games restrictions would have been an even bigger killer than in the West.
The first party Xbox exclusives are not ones that resonate with Japan. So you're left with a device that focuses heavily on Cable TV, US Sports, Apps for US entertainment companies, Western genre games and online multiplayer. All things that are designed to hook the US buyer, but nothing that focuses on Japan.
MS will launch there, simply due to the number of Japanese studios and publishers that will support the Xbone for its Western userbase. But I think you would be unwise to bet that it will outsell the 360. It will be utterly destroyed by the WiiU and PS4.
The first party Xbox exclusives are not ones that resonate with Japan. So you're left with a device that focuses heavily on Cable TV, US Sports, Apps for US entertainment companies, Western genre games and online multiplayer. All things that are designed to hook the US buyer, but nothing that focuses on Japan.
MS will launch there, simply due to the number of Japanese studios and publishers that will support the Xbone for its Western userbase. But I think you would be unwise to bet that it will outsell the 360. It will be utterly destroyed by the WiiU and PS4.