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WSJ makes the case that Nintendo stock is overvalued (as compared to Sony)

Other than the Playstation, what other Sony thing from their other branches is hot? I'm hearing they're doing fine but they don't seem to show it.
 
If only Sony had the balls to end their film division their numbers would seem better.

You don't cut a whole division, losing thousands of jobs, just to make your number look better for a short while. Sony hasn't had a lot of luck with their movies lately sure. But in stead of cutting things, they could also try to turn things around. Every movie division has his share of stinkers. You are just as good/bad as you last movie. They'll turn things around i'm sure.
 
Other than the Playstation, what other Sony thing from their other branches is hot? I'm hearing they're doing fine but they don't seem to show it.

Pretty much all their divisions are making money, then you got pictures that wasn't doing so hot has a critically rated spider-man on the way.

Their also going to be making $4.5 billion for the next 12 months, highest in 20 years..
 
Other than the Playstation, what other Sony thing from their other branches is hot? I'm hearing they're doing fine but they don't seem to show it.
They are a publicly traded company. They show of how their divisions are doing quarterly by law. Wtf is going on in this thread?!
 
Pretty much every division of Sony outside of Playstation is doing poorly. Thats kind of important.


outside of their movie division, most of the money losing division has been cut (VAIO)...why are we still repeating this same echo?

Even their TV division made money this year...
 
Yikes. It's like Groundhog Day for me when people start talking trading multiples.

Nintendo is overvalued relative to peers because you pay a lot for future earnings. For $1 of EBITDA, you are paying 27 dollars. Yeowza. I mean not exactly but this is how you should think about it.

When you go to buy a video game, would you buy a game that costs such a premium to other games? You might say depends on the game. Investors are generally speaking not like that. Most public comparable trade in a very tight range. "Pharma" trades like pharma, retail like retail, etc. Only really best in class names that sustain high growth over long periods of time--or more importantly project high growth far into the future-- trade at continued premiums relative to peers.

Does no one see the risk in investing in a stock after it's run up 50%? Is it more likely to run up another 50% (given historical trading range) or run down? Hence it's expensive.

I mean...brands or some shit.

Stop making sense!

Nintendo does what Sony doesn't!
 
Other than the Playstation, what other Sony thing from their other branches is hot? I'm hearing they're doing fine but they don't seem to show it.

Their finance division is still doing great in japan, their lens are still sort after for mobile devices and cameras, their TVs are re-surging this year (personally i think Samsung dropped the ball this year while LG and Sony finally caught up with the price/performance/quality combo for their TVs)...

and of course playstation is a juggernaut.

yah...the movie division is kinda a downer with questionable choices (Ghostbusters?) but hopefully spider-man will kickstart something positive going forward.

EDIT:

Forgot to mention their mobile division. The Xperia seems to be doing somewhat well...obviously it's not samsung galaxy or even LG level.....but it's no longer belonging to the same league as HTC. (i am talking in terms of sales, not quality. I actually like HTC phones better when compared to them all)
 
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this looks pretty bad, their sales are dropping by large % which is bad for the company from a long term perspective.
 
I really doubt Sony Pictures is doing anything negative to the brand. If anything the diversification just creates brand awareness.

The main problem with Sony in terms of shares is that they have been in a holding pattern for ages. Kaz is doing a fantastic job rescuing the company, but that just keeps the shares from cratering. It's not causing an uptick. When has Sony done something exciting? It's a CE company that somehow manages to be even more stagnant than Philips. But with a better brand at least.

Nintendo is branching out, stayed profitable during their worst period and evidently still has IPs that can be leveraged to create global phenomena. Switch+Mobile (+theme parks etc) will bring them back to WiiDS revenues and the share price is still half that of 2008. That's what's causing surging share prices.
 
Pretty much every division of Sony outside of Playstation is doing poorly. Thats kind of important.

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No, that's not the case at all. They've more divisions making profit than divisions that lose money.

Chips and Sensors are on the up, but they've been pumping money into Colombia Pictures to stop it from flat-lining - not to mention having to downsize TV and Mobile and jettison Laptops.
 
Actually, considering the sales of Nintendo consoles and games, compared to stuff like Angry Birds and Minecraft, this is no longer true. Our generation grew up playing Nintendo games. Every kid after 1990, at least until the success of the Wii, would have grown up playing Playstation, with only a small portion having access to Nintendo's games.

Far far more kids these days grow up playing Angry Birds and Minecraft than Nintendo properties. And Nintendo is only really now trying to capitalize on expanded media to leverage their IP in wider non-gaming mediums, like mobile Apps, movies and theme parks. They should have been doing this decades ago.

Nintendo isn't even close to Disney and I'd say that unless they can be successful in their future non-gaming ventures, as well as actually start taking mobile gaming on iOS/Android seriously, they'll be at a real risk of their properties becoming less an less relevant to young kids (especially in the west) as time goes on.

This is true. GTA has more cachet at this time, just look at its massive, massive popularity.
 
My man, I am a huge fan of the book series,but I'm not sure we can count on the tower yet. That one is def a wait and see.

True, and there is a difference between a good/bad movie and having a box office hit. Case is point, Despicable Me 3. Bad reviews but nr 1 at box office in the US. Lets hope Dark Tower is good and sells tickets.
 
this thread is really funny.

i now understand the worth of such articles and headlines. it's to watch fanboys show their asses and get summarily corrected. good stuff.

the Nintendo market exuberance is actually pretty interesting but i want to see what happens when another phone Pokemon AR game ships, and doesn't run on the Switch.
 
True, and there is a difference between a good/bad movie and having a box office hit. Case is point, Despicable Me 3. Bad reviews but nr 1 at box office in the US. Lets hope Dark Tower is good and sells tickets.

Just because your #1 at the box office doesn't always mean your doing good. Case and point: The Last Knight.
 
I mean...what? Sony's getting remarkably good at drawing blood from stones, but it's clearly Nintendo that's positioned for transformational market growth, not Sony.

Look at Sony's pivot plays to mobile and VR, neither of which achieved anything resembling growth; meanwhile, Nintendo looks like they know exactly what they're doing with mobility.

It's also worth considering that Wii U and 3DS were a depression period for Nintendo that was well below their baseline, even before the Wii and DS era. So this is a correction period for them more so than a bubble.
 
Chips and Sensors are on the up, but they've been pumping money into Colombia Pictures to stop it from flat-lining - not to mention having to downsize TV and Mobile and jettison Laptops.

They are actually doing quite well in the high end TV market and have been gobbling up the market share from Samsung and LG as of late. I believe they've actually surged past Samsung and are right behind LG now.
 
$^@&$ -6% because of this bullshit article. It will rebound but thanks but no thanks Jacky Wong.

That article was written so somebody's big institutional and hedge fund friends could get in on a dip before the next big rise, probably after Christmas.

Yikes. It's like Groundhog Day for me when people start talking trading multiples.

Nintendo is overvalued relative to peers because you pay a lot for future earnings. For $1 of EBITDA, you are paying 27 dollars. Yeowza. I mean not exactly but this is how you should think about it.

When you go to buy a video game, would you buy a game that costs such a premium to other games? You might say depends on the game. Investors are generally speaking not like that. Most public comparable trade in a very tight range. "Pharma" trades like pharma, retail like retail, etc. Only really best in class names that sustain high growth over long periods of time--or more importantly project high growth far into the future-- trade at continued premiums relative to peers.

Does no one see the risk in investing in a stock after it's run up 50%? Is it more likely to run up another 50% (given historical trading range) or run down? Hence it's expensive.

I mean...brands or some shit.

That's not at all how growth stocks work, and Nintendo is a growth stock for the time being until Switch reaches it's peak. Just look at what NTDOY did during the Wii era for an idea of what may happen. If you're sitting on NTDOY you'd be a fool to sell it because some WSJ guy wrote an article to drive the price down so his big institutional and hedge fund friends could get in.

If you had bought NVDA at any point after it has run up 50% throughout 2016 you would still have made an unbelievable amount of money by now. According to your advice, my original shares of NVDA that I bought for $11.80 back in 2012, after they gained 50% I should have sold them all. I mean imagine if I had sold all my NVDA at $15, or $20, or $30, or $45, etc. You what I actually did? Up until my final buy at $123, I keep adding to my stake. NVDA's stock is currently at $134 and it was as high as $164 earlier this year. I can't imagine how I would feel if I had sold all my NVDA instead of adding to it as it ran upwards. Yikes.
 
Ummm. Undervalued? Are you sure? I think all the folks who know their stuff in the thread disagree. FWIW I disagree too, though I'm not claiming particular expertise beyond seeing the comparisons between the financial reports.

Sorry, just getting around to see with this. Yeah, I'd say they're undervalued. They're starting to make better use of leveraging their ip (their bread and butter), and when they really get to it, like their theme park attractions, more mobile dominance, and future success of the switch and it's successors, that's when I think they'll get their appropriate value. On top of that, their desire to expand their IP in recent years will probably pay a lot more dividends because it'll allow a lot more streams of income for them. Basically, I see their earning potential as untapped until the rest of their plans start happening.
 
PlayStation brand is great but when Nintendo delivers a good console like it seems Switch will be, its stock price goes up because Mario and pals have more value that any other videogame character on the market.

Nintendo alone can open a Nintendoland because tons of great and known characters they have. but Sony , Microsoft , Bethesda , nope....
 
There's probably no good reason to justify it outside of a kind of silly hunch. I think it's entirely possible to be "bothered" (I'm not bothered, I just think it's dumb) by the headline and have no interest in console wars or any of that stuff.

Yeah that's where I'm at as well. That article's headline is the most blatant console wars thing i've seen in ages. Like, Sega vs. Nintendo level bad.

But appearently I'm a console warrior myself for thinking that according to some people.
 
I don't think so. Do they not see Nintendo's eventual ventures outside of video games media not of value? Because when their movie deals and theme parks come around its gonna be incredible for Nintendo. That on top of their pretty good mobile business with Animal Crossing on the horizon, and the Switch doing pretty good.

Whats Sony got? A failing movie division and a great video game side.

Personally with Nintendo's IP they have the capacity to become huge outside of video games media, and they have plans to take advantage of that finally. I don't see Nintendo's stock being overvalued.

Let's wait till after Friday to make this sentiment. And what movies division is doing all that great anyway?

Actual revenue >ip values
http://www.eurogamer.net/articles/2016-04-28-sonys-psn-is-making-more-money-than-all-of-nintendo
 
I really wouldn't base purchasing stock or financial choices on a paper that Rupert Murdoch owns. :-/

That said, Sony has a more diverse amount of risk.

Nintendo has a focused amount of risk.

While Sony has the potential to do far better, they also have the potential to do far worse. Nintendo is a safe long term bet, but Sony could make you more money in the future... emphasis on could.
 
this looks pretty bad, their sales are dropping by large % which is bad for the company from a long term perspective.
You can't post the slide alongside your ridiculous hyperbole. The slide you posted literally says 6% lol. And they're pretty much making the same amount of income on that drop in sales.
 
There are very quiet, slow plans for their multimedia expansion, and I'm not confident they're gonna execute it perfectly.

I have no faith in mobile. I utterly hate the transaction model.

Switch success is hampered by component supply issues (iirc)

NTDOY needs to go back down to $7 a share
so I can afford it
 
I really wouldn't base purchasing stock or financial choices on a paper that Rupert Murdoch owns. :-/

That said, Sony has a more diverse amount of risk.

Nintendo has a focused amount of risk.

While Sony has the potential to do far better, they also have the potential to do far worse. Nintendo is a safe long term bet, but Sony could make you more money in the future... emphasis on could.

Yeah, I wouldn't want to believe the FAKE NEWS FAKE NEWS FAKE NEWS coming from the most respected newspaper for finance. :-/

But yeah, Rupert Murdoch just has some kind of fanboy hard on to hurt Nintendo, good thing you read the article you're responding to... -_-
 
That's not at all how growth stocks work, and Nintendo is a growth stock for the time being until Switch reaches it's peak. Just look at what NTDOY did during the Wii era for an idea of what may happen. If you're sitting on NTDOY you'd be a fool to sell it because some WSJ guy wrote an article to drive the price down so his big institutional and hedge fund friends could get in.

If you had bought NVDA at any point after it has run up 50% throughout 2016 you would still have made an unbelievable amount of money by now. According to your advice, my original shares of NVDA that I bought for $11.80 back in 2012, after they gained 50% I should have sold them all. I mean imagine if I had sold all my NVDA at $15, or $20, or $30, or $45, etc. You what I actually did? Up until my final buy at $123, I keep adding to my stake. NVDA's stock is currently at $134 and it was as high as $164 earlier this year. I can't imagine how I would feel if I had sold all my NVDA instead of adding to it as it ran upwards. Yikes.

I don't think you understood my post. I am not a registered investment adviser and I did not offer advice. I tried giving people (you included) a primer on valuation. You did not understand it.
 
The case makes itself. Nintendo stock is overvalued, not just in comparison to Sony but to most similar stocks.
 
Actually, considering the sales of Nintendo consoles and games, compared to stuff like Angry Birds and Minecraft, this is no longer true. Our generation grew up playing Nintendo games. Every kid after 1990, at least until the success of the Wii, would have grown up playing Playstation, with only a small portion having access to Nintendo's games.

Far far more kids these days grow up playing Angry Birds and Minecraft than Nintendo properties. And Nintendo is only really now trying to capitalize on expanded media to leverage their IP in wider non-gaming mediums, like mobile Apps, movies and theme parks. They should have been doing this decades ago.

Yeah. They waited until their brand was in deep decline before they started expanding their scope. It's a shame. Most kids probably know who Mario is, but that doesn't mean most kids care anymore.
 
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