-
Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.
[RUMOR] Upstream supply chain expects new Nintendo games console to achieve 10-12 mil
- Thread starter entremet
- Start date
ElectricBlanketFire
Member
They wouldn't wait for E3 to announce this if the supposed launch date is in the fall, right?
WhiskerFrisker
Member
They expect to sell 10 million during the first year?
entremet
Member
Sold to retailers. This is supply chain stuff. And being Nintendo, those are WW figures. It's actually not that much.
Shuggananas
Banned
Yeah but if they got zelda and maybe even stuff like MK8/smash/splatoon ports it could work
I can see it happen, but it's realistic they do it with a direct in spring too
Skellig Gra
Member
Wait, launch in the second quarter next year? I can't imagine they'd launch it like the day after E3.
Hibiki Kurosawa
Member
I imagine we'll get an NX specific Direct like thing before E3 that will have all kinds of info including release window.
it'll probably mirror the X1 and PS4 rollout
unveiled in a Nintendo Direct -> E3 Blowout -> release in the Fall
Sectorseven
Member
It's possible. They certainly don't want to cannibalize nine months worth of 3DS and Wii U sales.
Probably 2nd fiscal quarter
Aeriscloud
Banned
I'm scared GAF.
Familienoberhauptvogel
Banned
Year year or fiscal year?
Skellig Gra
Member
Hm, maybe. I just can't see it launching before fall.
Of course 20 million is much. What the hell.
I feel like it might be possible. I totally expect a new 3D Mario and Zelda Wii U port (ala Twilight Princess), along with a few more surprises considering it's Nintendo. If they end up making two variants (portable and home console) and have them reasonably priced I could imagine it being popular.
Well, better than the disaster launch of Wii U.
Well, better than the disaster launch of Wii U.
Sectorseven
Member
Can a hybrid come in under $350?
Graphics Horse
Member
I would expect the first concrete details about it will be around the next investor meeting. Jan-Feb. They won't be in damage limitation mode for Christmas sales by then so it should be easier to discuss, unless the mobile and account delay has knock-on effects to their plans.
I expect Zelda(WiiU), new Mario and Pokémon Z(3DS) on NX for the launch.
Even WiiU and it's horrible launch managed to ship like 6 million copies in its first month, a NX Homeconsole and handheld will be able to hit +10 million shipments if they launch worldwide next year.
Even WiiU and it's horrible launch managed to ship like 6 million copies in its first month, a NX Homeconsole and handheld will be able to hit +10 million shipments if they launch worldwide next year.
It won't be a hybrid. Expecting the handheld for200usd and the home system for max 250usd.
biglittleps
Member
May be they are too confident and found something like Wii in gimmick to attract casuals again. There is no way they can sell that many consoles to gamers in first year without something exciting like Wii and big launch library (which i really doubt especially with 3rd party support in very short time). Also we have to consider that next year is big year for PS4 in game library and VR.
entremet
Member
Again, this is supply chain stuff. They're readying capacity for that much WW. Factories need to work that way so Nintendo gets the best prices in manufacturing.
These are also not Nintendo estimates of sell through the customer, but supply chain capacity.
I think he is referring to what the suppliers actually expect which is 10-12 million.
Stallion Dan
Member
If they expect that many sales it must be super cheap.
Not super cheap... Just worth the asking price. WiiU and 3DS were failures in that department. Next holiday season you will get PS4 and Xbox One systems for sub 250 us doors. Don't expect Nintendo to release a system that is more expensive.
superNESjoe
Member
They've already conviced me
In it to win it.
Ban Puncher
Member
Napalm_Frank
Member
Can't wait for the specs rumour mill to start in a few months.
VendettaRed07
Member
If they are selling a console and handheld separately, this isn't a crazy prediction. Many people will be buying both.
NX Console: 4-5.5m
NX Handheld: 5-7m
That's probably where the numbers should be if we hope this next approach from Nintendo to be a success. WiiU sold (or shipped?) 4m through its first holiday, so NX really should hopefully outperform that.
Nintendo can't continue to screw around though. Show us the goods! If they want this to be a success they need to unveil it January/Febuary, tell us what it is, what its about and start building hype.
The launch line ups HAVE to be better than what 3ds and WiiU were as well. Neither system had any game worthy of making people need to run out and buy the things the first day. Hopefully each have a big title ready on day one.
NX Console: 4-5.5m
NX Handheld: 5-7m
That's probably where the numbers should be if we hope this next approach from Nintendo to be a success. WiiU sold (or shipped?) 4m through its first holiday, so NX really should hopefully outperform that.
Nintendo can't continue to screw around though. Show us the goods! If they want this to be a success they need to unveil it January/Febuary, tell us what it is, what its about and start building hype.
The launch line ups HAVE to be better than what 3ds and WiiU were as well. Neither system had any game worthy of making people need to run out and buy the things the first day. Hopefully each have a big title ready on day one.
The Elite
BOSS
Xbox One was announced in May and released in fall.
Not quite E3, but close.
Ubisoft will be there to release Rayman 2 with it, but that's it.
Napalm_Frank
Member
I think it depends how much Nintendo wants to control it's own message. Like, the solid rumours have to start rolling in around February. With XB1 we basically knew everything including the shitty online plans way before reveal.
eh. nintendo really has to fix their problem with the third parties. nintendo consoles are perceived like "nintendo machines for nintendo games" and this is a problem for third parties sales. for the last 2 consoles this problem was aggravated by hardware limitations, because nintendo chose a different time span. sure nx will probably be more powerful than xbone and ps4, but with ps5 and xbox two (?) out will we see again a console incapable of supporting the last engine updates and minimun specs requested?
i remember that Wii and Wiiu both had nice videos of enthusiast developers talking about it.
10,730,000 by 30 September, but will be easy > 12 million by end of year.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OT: WHAT!?
if they are entering mass production in Q1 2016, then the machine is likely to launch before fall.
Well to be fair, it's Digitimes so maybe I reacted wrongly because it's just bullshit.
They've already conviced me
First person horse riding in Zelda NX confirmed.
Kissenkopf
Banned
Coulomb_Barrier
Member
I said it before but the NX release is going to hit Xbone particularly hard.