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October 2014 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes November 11th
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
Canis lupus
Member
PS4 is out of stock on Amazon, wut.
Orthogonal
Member
Seems very sudden to just go out of stock like that. Wonder if it was pre-emptive to prepare for some new deal/bundle or if Sony is struggling to keep up with shipments as unlikely as that seems.
Putting it up early would mean putting it up during Black Friday madness. Probably would just go up like normal.
Good point
BlackBuzzard
Banned
I guess no rankings list for October?
Welp, I think I did poorly, but I did do better than GAF Aggregate.
Final Verdict
Member
I says it is in stock for me...
Final Verdict
Member
Since not all the results are public, no numerical results are shown here. Also, rankings are just a counter, so if two people are tied, it isn't shown here.
NeoGAF Prediction Results - October 2014
Units
1. MasterSheen
2. shinra-bansho
3. Ty4on
4. 3rdamention
5. shwimpy
6. Gbpackers31
7. allan-bh
8. bakman21
9. 1st Course
10. HalfBaked
11. SwiftDeath
12. pitseleh
13. jvm
14. Jamix012
15. Road
16. Trust me, I'm a PhD
17. theprodigy
18. Loris146
19. CorporateClown
20. Prototype Viktor
21. confuziz
22. donny2112
23. Bgamer90
24. Klart
25. Miles X
26. andy_lhc
27. gtj1092
28. wachie
29. TheCarrotKiller
30. doicare
31. vinnygambini
32. travisbickle
33. twisted h3art
34. TNH853
35. KenPokesBarbie
36. Linkup
37. TomShoe
38. Megadragon15
39. RamzaIsCool
40. prag16
41. Randolph Freelander
42. Graphics Horse
43. QuikNez
44. joecanada
45. Elios83
46. GAF_Agg
47. DryvBy
48. Pachter
49. astrogamer
50. Percy
51. Joeki11a
52. BlackBuzzard
53. John Bender
54. chithanh
55. BuzzJive
56. panda-zebra
57. skedar897
58. Duxxy3
59. jacks81x
60. Bruno MB
61. archnemesis
62. Lexxus
63. madp0k
64. orochi91
65. ascii42
66. noobie
67. Dedication Through Light
68. Kayant
69. Welfare
70. ferrasvansen
71. Jimmyfenix
72. Triggerhappytel
73. Dangoesforth
74. Opt1kon_
75. driver116
76. Final Verdict
77. SensibleSucker
78. Ushay
79. spatenfloot
80. Nintendojitsu
81. Conduit
82. Jallopy
83. Orthogonal
84. SDCowboy
85. Cheech
86. Chobel
87. plainr_
88. rokkerkory
89. RexNovis
90. JoJo UK
91. AngryMoth
92. DrWong
93. Maxxan
94. sacrificengineer
95. Canis lupus
96. slavesnyder
97. DarthWalden
98. GamerJM
99. Elandyll
100. Hammer24
101. strangedopamine
102. Endoplasmatisch
103. Ethelwulf
104. FliXFantatier
105. Apt101
106. mejin
107. Coulomb_Barrier
108. MilesTeg
109. Stilton Disco
110. unknownstranger
111. NotSmartEnough
112. Zero-Crescent
113. Super_Cobra
114. GnawtyDog
115. Regiruler
116. parmanu
Points
Congratulations, MasterSheen!
NeoGAF Prediction Results - October 2014
Units
1. MasterSheen
2. shinra-bansho
3. Ty4on
4. 3rdamention
5. shwimpy
6. Gbpackers31
7. allan-bh
8. bakman21
9. 1st Course
10. HalfBaked
11. SwiftDeath
12. pitseleh
13. jvm
14. Jamix012
15. Road
16. Trust me, I'm a PhD
17. theprodigy
18. Loris146
19. CorporateClown
20. Prototype Viktor
21. confuziz
22. donny2112
23. Bgamer90
24. Klart
25. Miles X
26. andy_lhc
27. gtj1092
28. wachie
29. TheCarrotKiller
30. doicare
31. vinnygambini
32. travisbickle
33. twisted h3art
34. TNH853
35. KenPokesBarbie
36. Linkup
37. TomShoe
38. Megadragon15
39. RamzaIsCool
40. prag16
41. Randolph Freelander
42. Graphics Horse
43. QuikNez
44. joecanada
45. Elios83
46. GAF_Agg
47. DryvBy
48. Pachter
49. astrogamer
50. Percy
51. Joeki11a
52. BlackBuzzard
53. John Bender
54. chithanh
55. BuzzJive
56. panda-zebra
57. skedar897
58. Duxxy3
59. jacks81x
60. Bruno MB
61. archnemesis
62. Lexxus
63. madp0k
64. orochi91
65. ascii42
66. noobie
67. Dedication Through Light
68. Kayant
69. Welfare
70. ferrasvansen
71. Jimmyfenix
72. Triggerhappytel
73. Dangoesforth
74. Opt1kon_
75. driver116
76. Final Verdict
77. SensibleSucker
78. Ushay
79. spatenfloot
80. Nintendojitsu
81. Conduit
82. Jallopy
83. Orthogonal
84. SDCowboy
85. Cheech
86. Chobel
87. plainr_
88. rokkerkory
89. RexNovis
90. JoJo UK
91. AngryMoth
92. DrWong
93. Maxxan
94. sacrificengineer
95. Canis lupus
96. slavesnyder
97. DarthWalden
98. GamerJM
99. Elandyll
100. Hammer24
101. strangedopamine
102. Endoplasmatisch
103. Ethelwulf
104. FliXFantatier
105. Apt101
106. mejin
107. Coulomb_Barrier
108. MilesTeg
109. Stilton Disco
110. unknownstranger
111. NotSmartEnough
112. Zero-Crescent
113. Super_Cobra
114. GnawtyDog
115. Regiruler
116. parmanu
Points
Code:
October 2014 Overall 2014 Top (8/10)
01. MasterSheen ---.-- allan-bh ---.--
02. shinra-bansho ---.-- shinra-bansho ---.--
03. Ty4on ---.-- Road ---.--
04. shwimpy ---.-- theprodigy ---.--
05. 3rdamention ---.-- Gbpackers31 ---.--
06. Gbpackers31 ---.-- doicare ---.--
07. allan-bh ---.-- vinnygambini ---.--
08. bakman21 ---.-- Graphics Horse ---.--
09. Jamix012 ---.-- prag16 ---.--
10. 1st Course ---.-- donny2112 ---.--
11. Nintendojitsu ---.-- MasterSheen ---.--
12. HalfBaked ---.-- jvm ---.--
13. jvm ---.-- Loris146 ---.--
14. DryvBy ---.-- Canis lupus ---.--
15. donny2112 ---.-- archnemesis ---.--
16. SwiftDeath ---.-- SwiftDeath ---.--
17. Loris146 ---.-- ascii42 ---.--
18. pitseleh ---.-- Elios83 ---.--
19. Trust me, I'm a PhD ---.-- BlackBuzzard ---.--
20. Klart ---.-- Maxxan ---.--
21. TNH853 ---.-- Randolph Freelander ---.--
22. CorporateClown ---.-- confuziz ---.--
23. astrogamer ---.-- Bruno MB ---.--
24. Randolph Freelander ---.-- bakman21 ---.--
25. prag16 ---.-- 1st Course ---.--
26. Linkup ---.-- BuzzJive ---.--
27. Bgamer90 ---.-- jayu26 ---.--
28. confuziz ---.-- Chobel ---.-- * Aquamarine ---.--
29. theprodigy ---.-- andy_lhc ---.--
30. travisbickle ---.-- Bgamer90 ---.--
31. Miles X ---.-- RamzaIsCool ---.--
32. TomShoe ---.-- Lexxus ---.--
33. twisted h3art ---.-- pitseleh ---.--
34. KenPokesBarbie ---.-- skedar897 ---.--
35. Kayant ---.-- michaelius ---.--
36. RamzaIsCool ---.-- Hammer24 ---.--
37. chithanh ---.-- Zero-Crescent ---.--
38. gtj1092 ---.-- CorporateClown ---.--
39. Cheech ---.-- astrogamer ---.--
40. wachie ---.-- noobie ---.--
41. joecanada ---.-- travisbickle ---.--
42. doicare ---.-- DrWong ---.--
43. Road ---.-- gtj1092 ---.--
44. Megadragon15 ---.-- Jamix012 ---.--
45. Prototype Viktor ---.-- Ty4on ---.--
46. andy_lhc ---.-- sacrificengineer ---.--
47. QuikNez ---.-- Goldmund ---.--
48. Percy ---.-- Aquamarine ---.--
49. Bruno MB ---.-- Duxxy3 ---.--
50. Dangoesforth ---.-- Megadragon15 ---.--Congratulations, MasterSheen!
Chocolate & Vanilla
Fuck Strawberry
Since not all the results are public, no numerical results are shown here. Also, rankings are just a counter, so if two people are tied, it isn't shown here.
NeoGAF Prediction Results - October 2014
Units
1. MasterSheen
2. shinra-bansho
3. Ty4on
4. 3rdamention
5. shwimpy
6. Gbpackers31
7. allan-bh
8. bakman21
9. 1st Course
10. HalfBaked
11. SwiftDeath
12. pitseleh
13. jvm
14. Jamix012
15. Road
16. Trust me, I'm a PhD
17. theprodigy
18. Loris146
19. CorporateClown
20. Prototype Viktor
21. confuziz
22. donny2112
23. Bgamer90
24. Klart
25. Miles X
26. andy_lhc
27. gtj1092
28. wachie
29. TheCarrotKiller
30. doicare
31. vinnygambini
32. travisbickle
33. twisted h3art
34. TNH853
35. KenPokesBarbie
36. Linkup
37. TomShoe
38. Megadragon15
39. RamzaIsCool
40. prag16
41. Randolph Freelander
42. Graphics Horse
43. QuikNez
44. joecanada
45. Elios83
46. GAF_Agg
47. DryvBy
48. Pachter
49. astrogamer
50. Percy
51. Joeki11a
52. BlackBuzzard
53. John Bender
54. chithanh
55. BuzzJive
56. panda-zebra
57. skedar897
58. Duxxy3
59. jacks81x
60. Bruno MB
61. archnemesis
62. Lexxus
63. madp0k
64. orochi91
65. ascii42
66. noobie
67. Dedication Through Light
68. Kayant
69. Welfare
70. ferrasvansen
71. Jimmyfenix
72. Triggerhappytel
73. Dangoesforth
74. Opt1kon_
75. driver116
76. Final Verdict
77. SensibleSucker
78. Ushay
79. spatenfloot
80. Nintendojitsu
81. Conduit
82. Jallopy
83. Orthogonal
84. SDCowboy
85. Cheech
86. Chobel
87. plainr_
88. rokkerkory
89. RexNovis
90. JoJo UK
91. AngryMoth
92. DrWong
93. Maxxan
94. sacrificengineer
95. Canis lupus
96. slavesnyder
97. DarthWalden
98. GamerJM
99. Elandyll
100. Hammer24
101. strangedopamine
102. Endoplasmatisch
103. Ethelwulf
104. FliXFantatier
105. Apt101
106. mejin
107. Coulomb_Barrier
108. MilesTeg
109. Stilton Disco
110. unknownstranger
111. NotSmartEnough
112. Zero-Crescent
113. Super_Cobra
114. GnawtyDog
115. Regiruler
116. parmanu
Points
Code:October 2014 Overall 2014 Top (8/10) 01. MasterSheen ---.-- allan-bh ---.-- 02. shinra-bansho ---.-- shinra-bansho ---.-- 03. Ty4on ---.-- Road ---.-- 04. shwimpy ---.-- theprodigy ---.-- 05. 3rdamention ---.-- Gbpackers31 ---.-- 06. Gbpackers31 ---.-- doicare ---.-- 07. allan-bh ---.-- vinnygambini ---.-- 08. bakman21 ---.-- Graphics Horse ---.-- 09. Jamix012 ---.-- prag16 ---.-- 10. 1st Course ---.-- donny2112 ---.-- 11. Nintendojitsu ---.-- MasterSheen ---.-- 12. HalfBaked ---.-- jvm ---.-- 13. jvm ---.-- Loris146 ---.-- 14. DryvBy ---.-- Canis lupus ---.-- 15. donny2112 ---.-- archnemesis ---.-- 16. SwiftDeath ---.-- SwiftDeath ---.-- 17. Loris146 ---.-- ascii42 ---.-- 18. pitseleh ---.-- Elios83 ---.-- 19. Trust me, I'm a PhD ---.-- BlackBuzzard ---.-- 20. Klart ---.-- Maxxan ---.-- 21. TNH853 ---.-- Randolph Freelander ---.-- 22. CorporateClown ---.-- confuziz ---.-- 23. astrogamer ---.-- Bruno MB ---.-- 24. Randolph Freelander ---.-- bakman21 ---.-- 25. prag16 ---.-- 1st Course ---.-- 26. Linkup ---.-- BuzzJive ---.-- 27. Bgamer90 ---.-- jayu26 ---.-- 28. confuziz ---.-- Chobel ---.-- * Aquamarine ---.-- 29. theprodigy ---.-- andy_lhc ---.-- 30. travisbickle ---.-- Bgamer90 ---.-- 31. Miles X ---.-- RamzaIsCool ---.-- 32. TomShoe ---.-- Lexxus ---.-- 33. twisted h3art ---.-- pitseleh ---.-- 34. KenPokesBarbie ---.-- skedar897 ---.-- 35. Kayant ---.-- michaelius ---.-- 36. RamzaIsCool ---.-- Hammer24 ---.-- 37. chithanh ---.-- Zero-Crescent ---.-- 38. gtj1092 ---.-- CorporateClown ---.-- 39. Cheech ---.-- astrogamer ---.-- 40. wachie ---.-- noobie ---.-- 41. joecanada ---.-- travisbickle ---.-- 42. doicare ---.-- DrWong ---.-- 43. Road ---.-- gtj1092 ---.-- 44. Megadragon15 ---.-- Jamix012 ---.-- 45. Prototype Viktor ---.-- Ty4on ---.-- 46. andy_lhc ---.-- sacrificengineer ---.-- 47. QuikNez ---.-- Goldmund ---.-- 48. Percy ---.-- Aquamarine ---.-- 49. Bruno MB ---.-- Duxxy3 ---.-- 50. Dangoesforth ---.-- Megadragon15 ---.--
Congratulations, MasterSheen!
My best result to date. Wish I could know how close but I'll settle for just knowing I was top 10 on units
anonymous_abc
Member
I really suck at predicting NPD.
strangedopamine
Member
From doing really well the previous month to doing absolutely terrible this month. Hopefully I'll do a little better in the November predictions.
While we don't know how close it was, might as well highlight what the best prediction turned out to be:
MasterSheen
Member
o/
Pyrrhic victory though, since we apparently didn't get all the hardware data. What did we get besides Wii U?
Pyrrhic victory though, since we apparently didn't get all the hardware data. What did we get besides Wii U?
I don't think that sales from external retailers are counted into their charts, it's just the items shipped by them.
Reason for the increase is simple: the GTA V sales boosting effect is real, things will get even better next week with the BF bundles.
Was wondering for next month's thread how to give any indication of October sales since so little is public, but I think I'll just use this. Better starting point for predicting November than nothing.
AQM should be back tomorrow to give some further indications, but now she doesn't have to give hints on basically everything just to get prediction results.
spatenfloot
Member
I overestimated both next gens this time. People must be waiting for the sales.
theprodigy
Member
moving on up....slowly
11->17->53 (lol dropping January killed me here)->22->18->16->18->19->6 (thanks for the 2nd drop?)->4, hopefully I don't botch the holidays
11->17->53 (lol dropping January killed me here)->22->18->16->18->19->6 (thanks for the 2nd drop?)->4, hopefully I don't botch the holidays
Gbpackers31
Member
Decent month - looks like I overestimated XB1 (maybe underestimated 3DS) though. Shame we don't have anything concrete, but I think it's good enough and fairly obvious where everything is around.
vinnygambini
Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
I'm really losing my grip ;.;
At least I'm in the top 10 overall woosh
plasmawave
Banned
PS4 is number 1 on Amazon. Did something happen that I totally missed?
$84 scam seller. I think third-party sellers count toward the rankings or else Wii U would never be on the rankings, at all. GTAV (PS4) also released today.
GTA V, along with others like Far Cry 4 probably bumped it up to first place.
Let's see if Xbox One can climb again.
Might give Microsoft the chance to release PR announcing that Xbox One has beaten PS4 for the third week in a row.
Cold.
Hot,
shinra-bansho
Member
As much as I like my monthly position... is it based on more than the Wii U number we got?
If GTAV is really the reason the PS4 is number 1 on amazon right now in such a short span. I really did not forsee that coming and people have truly underestimated this.
Black Friday should be something to behold.
It's based on the full results.
SwiftDeath
Member
Congrats to MasterSheen and thanks as always Donny!!!
Not too bad. Been doing well the last three months or so. Was 24th for the year after August, then 20th after September, now 16th after October. Hoping I can at least break and stay in the Top 15
Not too bad. Been doing well the last three months or so. Was 24th for the year after August, then 20th after September, now 16th after October. Hoping I can at least break and stay in the Top 15
CosmicQueso
Member
In total, the combined number is off by only 2%.
Trust me. I'm a PhD
Member
Thanks again, Donny^^ I did better than last month, so I think a little pessimism on my initial guesses paid off^^
Wow, he did really well! Sounds like last gen beat the expectations though.