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Wkd BO 03•24-26•17 - Beasteality reigns, wee Life for "Teenagers" with attitude @ BO

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The Force Awakens was one of the top 5 most impressive box office runs in the 40 years since the original Star Wars, so it makes sense.

Rogue One was surprisingly quite in contrast.

We'll see how the Last Jedi does. It will likely be our first $200M+ opening in 2 years. I expect Episode 9 to have a better shot at a new weekend record though.

Those threads were lit. It was like multiple threads at over 2k posts wasn't it? That run was insane.
 

gamz

Member
That's an exaggeration. 5 of the top 10 Hollywood films in China last year were Disney. China has started to have a preference for their own stuff, but Zootopia was the #1 Foreign film of the year.




King Kong will easily clear Godzilla's worldwide total.

Chance for 600M?
 

vinnygambini

Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
Good start for Power Rangers and fantastic hold for Beauty and the Beast.

Ghost in the Shell next week, hope it does well.
 

Kusagari

Member
This will be the first Pirates film since China became the king of international box-office.

We think they'll take to it or not?
 
I think it avoids that label even if it drops from the previous films. It won't be Alice 2.

Yeah Pirates already seems to have a lot more interest than say Alice 2 did. It very well may be a big drop for the franchise but it will likely avoid the "bomb" label
 

kswiston

Member
Chance for 600M?

I guess it depends on overseas legs and Japan, but probably not.

Add another $80-90M for China and at least $40M for the domestic run to what you currently see. That gives you $510-520M.

This weekend was around $20M overseas outside of China. So somewhere over $30M for the remaining run in those territories. King Kong 2006 made $20M in Japan, and Hollywood films have been on a downward trend since then.

$550M would be my target for now unless Japan is bigger than expected and late legs are really good.

No chance of Disney dropping one film that bombs this year? They always manage to sneak in one.

Pirates relative to its no doubt insane budget is the only real opportunity they have. I guess there's an outside chance of Coco pulling a Good Dinosaur. Disney isnt releasing much.
 

3N16MA

Banned
2010: Prince of Persia
2011: Mars needs Moms
2012: John Carter
2013: The Lone Ranger
2015: Tomorrowland
2016: Alice 2

They avoided a disaster in 2014. Maybe they avoid one this year.
 

kswiston

Member
Disney 2019 has a lot of question marks still, but what we do know of is already insane:

Captain Marvel - 3/8/19
Untitled Disney Fairy Tale (Live Action) - 3/29/19
Untitled Disneytoon Movie (2019) - 4/12/19
Untitled Avengers - 5/3/19
Toy Story 4 - 6/21/19
Untitled Indiana Jones (2019) - 7/19/19
Untitled Disney Fairy-Tale #1 (2019) - 11/8/19
Untitled Disney Animation (3-D) - 11/27/19
Untitled Disney Fairy-Tale #2 (2019) [Live Action] - 12/20/19

Episode IX is no doubt in the 2019 lineup as well. My guess for the untitled 11/19 animated film is the Frozen sequel.
 

3N16MA

Banned
Pirates relative to its no doubt insane budget is the only real opportunity they have. I guess there's an outside chance of Coco pulling a Good Dinosaur. Disney isnt releasing much.

I forgot that the budget has ballooned to crazy levels. I guess we will see if the franchise still has some heavyweight pull.
 

Kusagari

Member
Disney 2019 has a lot of question marks still, but what we do know of is already insane:

Captain Marvel - 3/8/19
Untitled Disney Fairy Tale (Live Action) - 3/29/19
Untitled Disneytoon Movie (2019) - 4/12/19
Untitled Avengers - 5/3/19
Toy Story 4 - 6/21/19
Untitled Indiana Jones (2019) - 7/19/19
Untitled Disney Fairy-Tale #1 (2019) - 11/8/19
Untitled Disney Animation (3-D) - 11/27/19
Untitled Disney Fairy-Tale #2 (2019) [Live Action] - 12/20/19

Episode IX is no doubt in the 2019 lineup as well. My guess for the untitled 11/19 animated film is the Frozen sequel.

So they would potentially have Toy Story 4, Infinity War 2, Lion King, an Indiana Jones, Episode IX AND Frozen 2 in the same year?

Jesus Christ.
 

3N16MA

Banned
Disney 2019 has a lot of question marks still, but what we do know of is already insane:

Captain Marvel - 3/8/19
Untitled Disney Fairy Tale (Live Action) - 3/29/19
Untitled Disneytoon Movie (2019) - 4/12/19
Untitled Avengers - 5/3/19
Toy Story 4 - 6/21/19
Untitled Indiana Jones (2019) - 7/19/19
Untitled Disney Fairy-Tale #1 (2019) - 11/8/19
Untitled Disney Animation (3-D) - 11/27/19
Untitled Disney Fairy-Tale #2 (2019) [Live Action] - 12/20/19

Episode IX is no doubt in the 2019 lineup as well. My guess for the untitled 11/19 animated film is the Frozen sequel.

Why won't Disney think of the other studios? They have to eat too.
 

zero_suit

Member
Disney 2019 has a lot of question marks still, but what we do know of is already insane:

Captain Marvel - 3/8/19
Untitled Disney Fairy Tale (Live Action) - 3/29/19
Untitled Disneytoon Movie (2019) - 4/12/19
Untitled Avengers - 5/3/19
Toy Story 4 - 6/21/19
Untitled Indiana Jones (2019) - 7/19/19
Untitled Disney Fairy-Tale #1 (2019) - 11/8/19
Untitled Disney Animation (3-D) - 11/27/19
Untitled Disney Fairy-Tale #2 (2019) [Live Action] - 12/20/19

Episode IX is no doubt in the 2019 lineup as well. My guess for the untitled 11/19 animated film is the Frozen sequel.

Disney, have mercy!
 
Disney, have mercy!

Disney and the box office

giphy.gif
 

kswiston

Member
Aren't they supposed to be making a Maleficent 2?

Wonder if we'll see that in 2019.

I sort of wonder if Through the Looking Glass will have a dampening effect on plans for sequels in the fairytale slate. I think that the novelty of seeing these properties in "live action" is a big part of the draw. Is anyone going to care about a Maleficent sequel five years out?
 

kewlmyc

Member
I might be the only one who wants more live action anime adaptions, so I hope GitS is good and does well at the box office.
 

BumRush

Member
There is no way Wrinkle in Time bombs.

Live action family based fantasy is the one genre I could see failing (and has in the past) for Disney.

For the record, the source material is amazing, the cast looks good and I don't think it will...just that its more realistic than Marvel / Star Wars / live action princesses failing.
 
Boxoffice.com has it at 160m OW, 400m total.

I highly expect them to raise that as we get closer.

Jesus. I was expecting a big bump opening weekend compared to the first, but that is pretty big jump.
The question is if GOTG2 will be the first RDJ free Marvel movie to crack $1b. But watch them sneak in a cameo just for shits and giggles.

This year? No. A wrinkle in time in April of 2018? Maybe.

No damn way Wrinkle in Time bombs unless it is some horrible turd of a film, which with the talent involved, will not be the case. You have a damn good director, a great screenwriter, and working from one of the more beloved children's books ever.
It may not set the box office on fire, but it isn't going to bomb.

Wow, Russia really loved the Boss Baby.
Putin told them it was about Trump.
 

El Topo

Member
No damn way Wrinkle in Time bombs unless it is some horrible turd of a film, which with the talent involved, will not be the case. You have a damn good director, a great screenwriter, and working from one of the more beloved children's books ever.
It may not set the box office on fire, but it isn't going to bomb.

Didn't people say that about The BFG as well? I'm also not quite sure how popular the book is worldwide. Never heard of it here in Germany.
 

BumRush

Member
No damn way Wrinkle in Time bombs unless it is some horrible turd of a film, which with the talent involved, will not be the case. You have a damn good director, a great screenwriter, and working from one of the more beloved children's books ever.
It may not set the box office on fire, but it isn't going to bomb.

I DEFINITELY don't think it will...and hope it doesn't. I just think it's more feasible than Marvel / Star Wars / live action princesses.

Pete's Dragon, BFG, Alice 2, Tomorrowland, etc. all underperformed and are in similar genres.
 
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