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As Japanese Switch supply shrinks, consumers form long lines for retail "lotteries"

Fraxin

Member
It's hard to tell because only ways to get it so far have been lotteries or online preorders gone in seconds because of scalper bots. I think many people are interested, but with this thing being impossible to get (and not being sold at all in most smaller stores), it's hard to gauge interest.

That's unfortunate to hear. Sony needs to increase the supply. I dont understand why both Nintendo and Sony aren't providing enough stock for Japan.
 

Zedark

Member
They should just get them sent over from New Zealand. No stock problems here at all.
People say this, but this only has two consequences: New Zealand suddenly becomes supply constrained because the units were taken away, and Japan is hardly any less constrained since the demand is much larger than the NZ surplus.
 

Neff

Member
Part of me wonders if Nintendo will space out their games more since supply is so limited that more games would just mean increased demand that can't be met anyways.

Like say Pokemon Stars or Smash Bros are pretty much done and ready to ship. Would it make sense to announce them now and release them in the fiscal year if Nintendo won't have enough systems to sell to the people interested in those games?

I seem to remember a quote from Koizumi saying that Super Mario Odyssey is essentially finished.
 

Terrell

Member
I don't actually get the purpose of making up lies. Is it that you assume no one will check, or can you not tell the difference
Judging by other posts in Nintendo threads from a variety of posters that pull the exact same bullshit? It's a little of both, most likely.
 

Ratros

Member
Had to come to Nintendo NYC before 10am to get one. I guess it is still pretty lucky than having to do lottery tickets.
 

Passose

Banned
Considering this is supposed to replace both the Wii U and 3DS, I don't see anything impressive about this. Remember the NES classic that they purposely undershipped?

Switch is still tracking behind the Wii U, so too early to say that it will be more successful than that.

Nintendo only has 1 hardware to produce now instead of two, so what's wrong with them? Supply shouldn't be an issue at all. Look how many different hardware Sony and MS are producing. Take notes Nintendo.
Is this the second Media Creates thread?
 

tsundoku

Member
Considering this is supposed to replace both the Wii U and 3DS, I don't see anything impressive about this. Remember the NES classic that they purposely undershipped?

Switch is still tracking behind the Wii U, so too early to say that it will be more successful than that.

Nintendo only has 1 hardware to produce now instead of two, so what's wrong with them? Supply shouldn't be an issue at all. Look how many different hardware Sony and MS are producing. Take notes Nintendo.
ds is the third pillar
portable: switch
console: docked
third pillar: 3ds

learn the lore bro
 

Reallink

Member
We've already had a reputable news article about legitimate component shortages with Nintendo competing with mobile companies for parts. It's not a conscious decision to have these shortages. it's not a matter of managing its supply chain and more getting the parts to even make the consoles.

My guess is it's more a matter of not wanting to pay other manufacturers/suppliers more than they're paying their current contractors, in addition to not wanting to risk getting stuck with excess inventory should demand quickly dry out. Nintendo are frugal as fuck, so in that respect, you could argue it's intentional, or rather self inflicted.
 

Crom

Junior Member
Considering this is supposed to replace both the Wii U and 3DS, I don't see anything impressive about this. Remember the NES classic that they purposely undershipped?

Switch is still tracking behind the Wii U, so too early to say that it will be more successful than that.

Nintendo only has 1 hardware to produce now instead of two, so what's wrong with them? Supply shouldn't be an issue at all. Look how many different hardware Sony and MS are producing. Take notes Nintendo.

Your post is tracking behind the Xbox One in Japan.

Do a fact check.
 
I'm going to guess this is a meme, since it contains such obvious falsehoods.

It was tracking behind Wii U in Japan until recently, but only because the Wii U launched during the holidays and wasn't supply-constrained past the first two weeks. It's now only behind 3DS, but is selling more every week than all the previous systems launched this decade at the same point in their lifecycles, including 3DS. The real fight starts this summer when the 3DS dropped in price and the Switch gets Splatoon 2 and Monster Hunter XX HD.
 
My guess is it's more a matter of not wanting to pay other manufacturers/suppliers more than they're paying their current contractors, in addition to not wanting to risk getting stuck with excess inventory.

It's not, the component in particular of high demand is Toshiba's NAND flash memory unit. It's not exactly something you want to switch manufacturers for at this point in time. And you can't fucking outbid Google and Apple.
 

cw_sasuke

If all DLC came tied to $13 figurines, I'd consider all DLC to be free
My guess is it's more a matter of not wanting to pay other manufacturers/suppliers more than they're paying their current contractors, in addition to not wanting to risk getting stuck with excess inventory should demand quickly dry out. Nintendo are frugal as fuck, so in that respect, you could argue it's intentional, or rather self inflicted.
Of course they don't wanna drive the production cost above the retail price... They aren't in the business to lose money. Not driving you production costs high to satisfy demand isn't the same as intentionally holding back stock. People act like Nintendo is sitting on 5m Switches in their warehouses but refuses to ship them be a use 'teh hype'...
 
I seem to remember a quote from Koizumi saying that Super Mario Odyssey is essentially finished.

Yeah, by January Mario Odyssey had finished much of its main development stages. Additional polish, QA testing and probably music were the only things left and they wanted a lot of time on that.
 
People lining up to buy a console a few months after it released.
Got dayum.

A lottery 2-3 months in is not a good thing especially for something replacing both a handheld and a console for years to come imo. With Splatoon being popular in Japan that would only hurt it I think if they don't get any out by then

EDIT: they're battling for parts against Apple makes sense now. Wow that's not good for them. This explains the mini getting discontinued.
 

ggx2ac

Member
It's not, the component in particular of high demand is Toshiba's NAND flash memory unit. It's not exactly something you want to switch manufacturers for at this point in time. And you can't fucking outbid Google and Apple.

Let me correct you there.

Nintendo have been using both Toshiba and Samsung since Switch launch for eMMC.

The point is that there are so many devices that use NAND flash memory (Smartphones, Tablets, Database servers) that the costs for manufacturing rise because of demand being higher than supply that Nintendo would have to pay a higher cost to get to the front of the line or stay at the same cost and wait their turn.
 

jariw

Member
Considering this is supposed to replace both the Wii U and 3DS, I don't see anything impressive about this. Remember the NES classic that they purposely undershipped?

What source says that it replaces both the Wii U and the 3DS?

Switch is still tracking behind the Wii U, so too early to say that it will be more successful than that.

What current source do you have for this?

Nintendo only has 1 hardware to produce now instead of two, so what's wrong with them? Supply shouldn't be an issue at all. Look how many different hardware Sony and MS are producing. Take notes Nintendo.

Nintendo is not launching a new 2DS XL in July?
https://www.nintendo.com/2ds/new-nintendo-2ds/

Also, where is your source saying that the 3DS and 3DS XL has stopped being manufactured?
 
Let me correct you there.

Nintendo have been using both Toshiba and Samsung since Switch launch for eMMC.

The point is that there are so many devices that use NAND flash memory (Smartphones, Tablets, Database servers) that the costs for manufacturing rise because of demand being higher than supply that Nintendo would have to pay a higher cost to get to the front of the line or stay at the same cost and wait their turn.

I didn't add Samsung because it was already announced Apple would be their biggest customer this year.
 
I know it's not the same thing exactly but what about the nes classic mini.

If I was a shareholder I would damn well want to know why these things aren't being made still.

Because it was initially only a holiday item and they stand to make more money on lifetime sales on virtual console games than one time sales of 30 games.
 

neohwa

Junior Member
A lottery 2-3 months in is not a good thing especially for soemthing replacing both a handheld and a console for years to come imo. With Splatoon being popular in Japan that would only hurt it I think if they don't get any out by then

Agreed. I wonder how long Nintendo can keep this up making everyone unhappy? A lottery for buying your stuff is absurd. There is no product in this world harder to buy than Nintendo's.
 

Cerium

Member
I know it's not the same thing exactly but what about the nes classic mini.

If I was a shareholder I would damn well want to know why these things aren't being made still.

The fact that they discontinued it while demand was still high is proof that the shortages were never artificial. The artificial shortage theory rests on the assumption that after "creating" demand you eventually meet it.
 
Agreed. I wonder how long Nintendo can keep this up making everyone unhappy? A lottery for buying your stuff is absurd. There is no product in this world harder to buy than Nintendo's.

I mean we did it for the Wii but they should've anticipated this? Idk however now I'm seeing they're battling for parts so it's kind of out of their hands cause Apple has their hands in the jar rn
 
That said, in spite of the shortages in components, any sort of increase in manufacturing would basically take effect on the stock amount into June.

I mean we did it for the Wii but they should've anticipated this? Idk however now I'm seeing they're battling for parts so it's kind of out of their hands cause Apple has their hands in the jar rn

After the Wii U? Even if the President wanted Wii-like numbers, I don't think the company as a whole expected this much demand in such a short time. Hell, most of this forum didn't expect it either.
 

SighFight

Member
... I walk into media market last saturday and see this:
img_20170527_114047koumd.jpg
and yes, I bought one. Neon colors forever!

Edit: fixed link
 

Cerium

Member
That said, in spite of the shortages in components, any sort of increase in manufacturing would basically take effect on the stock amount into June.

For the Splatoon 2 launch I would do whatever it takes to flood Japan with Switches, even if it means diverting supply from other regions.
 

Reallink

Member
It's not, the component in particular of high demand is Toshiba's NAND flash memory unit. It's not exactly something you want to switch manufacturers for at this point in time. And you can't fucking outbid Google and Apple.

It's a standard 32GB eMCC isn't it? There must be a half dozen to a dozen different manufacturers producing them with nearly identical specs.

Of course they don't wanna drive the production cost above the retail price... They aren't in the business to lose money. Not driving you production costs high to satisfy demand isn't the same as intentionally holding back stock. People act like Nintendo is sitting on 5m Switches in their warehouses but refuses to ship them be a use 'teh hype'...

Consoles are about losing money on the front end to build a user/customer base, which lures third parties, who pay Nintendo royalties and eShop fees for every software unit sold.
 
That said, in spite of the shortages in components, any sort of increase in manufacturing would basically take effect on the stock amount into June.



After the Wii U? Even if the President wanted Wii-like numbers, I don't think the company as a whole expected this much demand in such a short time. Hell, most of this forum didn't expect it either.

After Pokémon Go and Mini consoles which helped with promoting their overall brand and anticipation for Switch they should've I think. Them being conservative makes sense though considering the U
 

MoonFrog

Member
For the Splatoon 2 launch I would do whatever it takes to flood Japan with Switches, even if it means diverting supply from other regions.
Yeah their catalog going through Splatoon, Arms, and Monster Hunter screams that they want to make Switch the local multiplayer portable of Japan's dreams within its first year. They need to stock the device to have the impact of that software and what it could mean for third party support.
 
Ya I'm not sure either but I love to read the debates about it on GAF.

So is it intentional or not? I find it hard to belive that a world wide company with tons of experience cannot manage it's supply chain properly so I lean on the side of intentional

It's a debate in the same way climate change is a debate
 
I wonder if Nintendo will eventually eat some profits to push more of these out. I can't imagine these parts shortages will get any better with the holidays.

How do you even solve a problem like this?
 

cw_sasuke

If all DLC came tied to $13 figurines, I'd consider all DLC to be free
Consoles are about losing money on the front end to build a user/customer base, which lures third parties, who pay Nintendo royalties and eShop fees for every software unit sold.

No, never been the case for Nintendo and wont be the case on Switch.
Their financial forecast isnt based on them increasing the production costs for the system every 2 weeks because of demand.

No one does this....if every first party was willing to pay ANY price for the console production so there are no shortages, we never would have had shortages...crazy to expect Nintendo to do it lol.
 
I mean we did it for the Wii but they should've anticipated this? Idk however now I'm seeing they're battling for parts so it's kind of out of their hands cause Apple has their hands in the jar rn

Nobody anticipated this. The Wii U flopped and the 3DS took about a year to get traction. The moment the hybrid rumor started floating around people were predicting a swift death. Remember when Nintendo shares dropped after the Switch reveal? Even after we knew what the system was and that Zelda would launch with it, people still thought it was going to fail. I don't even think anybody at Nintendo was sure that Zelda would be a hit. Think about it. A hybrid system launching with a port of one of Nintendo's biggest franchises that broke most of the tropes it was known for. Why would anybody there have anticipated a worldwide scarcity?

On another note, these artificial shortage conspiracies need to stop. Nintendo is not sitting on stock of a console in high demand to "create hype". The hype is clearly here and people still can't find one easily in most places. Do any of you know how ridiculous you sound?
 

antonz

Member
Nintendo is very likely holding stock back for MH and Splatoon. No idea how successful they will be with their production rampup so its also very likely holiday stockpiling will begin soon
 
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