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Fivethirtyeight has Republicans at almost 70% chance of taking the Senate.

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Yoda

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Not much, there isn't much they can change because Congress is doing jack shit as it is. They aren't getting a super-majority so Harry Reid will just have a role-reversal w/Mitch McConnell in filibustering everything he can. Republicans are going to have to take ownership of the Congress' dysfunction though, which could hurt them going into 2016, which is looking dire for them atm.
 

ivysaur12

Banned
Eh, that's not necessarily true. Anybody with any sense could have told you this was coming literally years in advance.

The Senate seats that are up for election in this year's midterms are the same seats that were up for election in Obama's first presidential election year. That was a Democratic wave election where virtually every race that could have broken one way or another broke for the Democrats, thanks to Obama leading people to the polls. These included many normally red Senate seats that uncharacteristically flipped blue. These were always going to go right back to being red when they came back up for reelection in 2014 due to a return to a more "typical" election environment. There is no generational candidate leading the charge at the top of the ballot to lift up those Senate candidates, and the demographics of a midterm election favor Republicans to begin with. This is basically a return to the status quo for many of these seats, with the Democratic incumbent sitting in them now the actual outlier.

Simply put, for Republicans to fail to take back the Senate, something would have to be really really really wrong with them.

The exception to that is Colorado, but it looks like an R+2 year and Gardner is above water in his approval, so that's not entirely surprising.

The GOP also had stellar recruiting this year to make all of these races incredibly competitive with no Christine O'Donnells. (The Ds also had great recruiting with Nunn and sort of with Grimes. Both could easily run again if/when they lose)

The only real missteps in recruiting where Land and Braley. Perdue isn't great, but he'll probably win when it's all over.
 

HylianTom

Banned
Not much, there isn't much they can change because Congress is doing jack shit as it is. They aren't getting a super-majority so Harry Reid will just have a role-reversal w/Mitch McConnell in filibustering everything he can. Republicans are going to have to take ownership of the Congress' dysfunction though, which could hurt them going into 2016, which is looking dire for them atm.
Meanwhile, their base is going to get very very frustrated when they control both chambers and don't get enough of their agenda passed. We'll be sure to hear those frustrations aired-out during the sure-to-be-entertaining primaries.
 
Those evil republicans redrawing state lines! Will the stop at NOTHING?

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Meanwhile, their base is going to get very very frustrated when they control both chambers and don't get enough of their agenda passed. We'll be sure to hear those frustrations aired-out during the sure-to-be-entertaining primaries.

Worry not. Fox News and right wing media will explain us how Obama is the obstructionist because he is the vetoer in chief.
 

NeoXChaos

Member
Meanwhile my home state looks poised to have a Democratic governor, and an Independent Senator, unseating a Republican. For the first time since the fifties.

Strange place this Kansas. Then again it couldn't exactly go farther right.

Im so sorry your prediction turned out wrong. Kansas is hurting so bad right now.
 
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