AniHawk said:
1. oh. yes, i'm saying that.
2. however, it will sell an additional couple hundred thousand by being a budget release if past history is anything to go by. the wind waker got about an extra 400k-500k out if it by being a player's choice game back in the day
3. you forget that it's coming out against SKYRIM and UNCHARTED and ASSASSIN'S CREED and a lot of other games that not only have had a ton of hype since e3, but appeal more to today's mainstream gamer.
4. didn't help super mario galaxy 2 much. although i think ease of play will be a large factor into skyward sword's continuing success
5. what? i'm pretty sure the only option in most cases was to actually buy the zapper with crossbow training. that won't be the case with skyward sword.
6. yeah, didn't help super mario galaxy 2. won't help rayman origins much either. it's going to come down to how easily people can understand and navigate the game world. you can do that in a 2d platformer much easier than a 3d action-adventure game, and for a lot of hardcore fans, you can do that with a 360 controller a lot easier than you can do it with a wii remote and nunchuk.
1. Well, I believe you are wrong.
2. I don't argue that if TP
in the end may sell more than SS; what I am saying, is TP is only 200K short of 3m, not 400-500K or more. Yes, if TP with its budget release and GC version reaches 5m, SS is very unlikely to sell that much.
3. Two of those game are M rated, one is ARPG, and I don't see them much relevant to Zelda and Wii demographic at all. U3 is PS3 exclusive and definitely not anywhere as major as a mainline Zelda game, and even U3 is quite a different game than Zelda in many ways. Anyhow, even GeoW coming out just one month before BF and MW didn't prevent it selling 3m in one week, while although it is much different but at least it is much closer in genre and demographic to those two games than the games you mentioned compared to Zelda.
4. Because there
are games to replace SMG2. NSMB? Not to mention other Nintendo platformers with similar tones (SMG1, DKCR, Kirby). It was the 3rd console mario game to come out in almost 4 years as well, not the first mainline Zelda game to come out in 5 years.
5. The point is, buy Zapper to play what beside Cross Bow Training?
Also, the demographic that are interested in a limited edition golden Wiimote that is bundled with SS, is much different than those in Fling Smash or Resort (whatever the name of the game is)
6. Rayman Origins is irrelevant, it doesn't have a very strong installed fanbase and is not from Nintendo and is not a Zelda, it just seems to be a very good game in a genre dominated by Nintendo.
SMG2, as I mentioned why, is not a good benchmark either. SMG (like NSMB), however, uses motion control and it has sold almost as good Mario 64. And I believe if SMG2 wasn't released, SMG would have continued to sell better.
SS would't be possible with a regular controller, and definitely sword play seems to be the greatest improvement in Zelda history in terms of battle mechanism, for better.
Anyhow, I am not saying it is going to sell as much as sports resort or NSMB, but as much as SMG.