ViperVisor
Member
I think Nintendo held off on Pach's Wii HD advice 3 years ago cause it would of been a bizarro NES and killed the industry by being too successful.
He also believes that Activisions support of the Wii U with a lot of casual titles (sans Black Ops 2), signals that they think the Wii U market is casual.
Lack of supply will lead to record-breaking launch sales (going by that 7-million-through-March thing), which will then fall away completely.On Wii U success/failure: I think that it will sell 50% as well as Wii, but will start as well because of fan base and supply constraints
So playing out the theoretical, what if his percentages were accurate and the extreme case happened of losing all the casuals to Zynga and Gameloft? So Wii U does 50% as well as Wii, Durango 85% as well as X360, and PS4 65% as well as PS3? Assuming they'd launch a year after Wii U, through the end of 2017 things would go something likeI think Wii was 50% casual, 50% core; 360 was 85/15; PS3 65/35. Casual alternatives (tablets, phones, social) hurt Nintendo more than others
Flip those percentages for 360 and PS3, should have been 15/85 and 35/65. Sorry for the excess tweetage . . .
yepMichael had some more predictions on Twitter today. This my favorite:
Lack of supply will lead to record-breaking launch sales (going by that 7-million-through-March thing), which will then fall away completely.
There was also
So playing out the theoretical, what if his percentages were accurate and the extreme case happened of losing all the casuals to Zynga and Gameloft? So Wii U does 50% as well as Wii, Durango 85% as well as X360, and PS4 65% as well as PS3? Assuming they'd launch a year after Wii U, through the end of 2017 things would go something like
A division not unlike this generation, really, except everyone smaller and Nintendo would need the headstart to achieve it rather than earning it with monster sales the first few years.
So playing out the theoretical, what if his percentages were accurate and the extreme case happened of losing all the casuals to Zynga and Gameloft? So Wii U does 50% as well as Wii, Durango 85% as well as X360, and PS4 65% as well as PS3? Assuming they'd launch a year after Wii U, through the end of 2017 things would go something like
A division not unlike this generation, really, except everyone smaller and Nintendo would need the headstart to achieve it rather than earning it with monster sales the first few years.
like a lot others said, i'm really sad that wii u is going fail, fail hard. i'm not even joking.
he was right about nintendo everytime.
People continually underappreciate what Wii did with surpassing 360 in < 1 year and almost being > PS360 in the U.S. at one time all while launching a year later than 360. The year headstart they're getting, even with substantial declines from last generation, is just huge.
I think Wii was 50% casual, 50% core; 360 was 85/15; PS3 65/35.
I foresee a bright future ahead of you here.
That might be the worst thing I've ever read.
Can he rate the respective CEO's in terms of DBZ power levels next?
So that's why we're not getting Pikmin 3 yet... Miyamoto has special plans in his pocket for them
That might be the worst thing I've ever read.
Can he rate the respective CEO's in terms of DBZ power levels next?
How do the Japanese pronounce 'Pachter'?
Pachteru?
/racist
I think they will sell out in Japan for a while through the holidays. I don't see interest remaining extremely high unless Nintendo has something up their sleeves around February we don't know about. That doesn't mean it won't sell well just not sell out levels
He actually gets paid to make these bold predictions?
He gets paid even if he said "The PlayStation 4 will be announced next year".
They will sell out during holidays of course, but sales will slow down during Q1-Q2 and then first price drop will be announced to counter upcoming PS4 and Xbox 8 launches.I reckon it will be like the 3DS launch.
Anyone else go from being hugely skeptical after E3 to being completely sold? Pretty much what happened to me.
Anyone else go from being hugely skeptical after E3 to being completely sold? Pretty much what happened to me.
Not me. What killer IP's does it have at launch besides a Mario game? What games do we even have to look forward to that were announced besides Pikmin?
Zelda, Smash Brothers, Metroid? Nope? All will probably end up on the 3DS before the WiiU. The 3DS really has a much more solid line up of games for the next year compared to the nothingness that is the WiiU.
Anyone else go from being hugely skeptical after E3 to being completely sold? Pretty much what happened to me.
This fucking guy.
Reads Neogaf - threads of Wiiu selling out.
Makes a prediction - Wiiu will sell out.
Gets paid - by someone presumably.
I would love his job
The only thing Nintendo has for the 3DS next year is Luigi's Mansion 2 and Fire Emblem (in the US).
Not me. What killer IP's does it have at launch besides a Mario game? What games do we even have to look forward to that were announced besides Pikmin?
Zelda, Smash Brothers, Metroid? Nope? All will probably end up on the 3DS before the WiiU. The 3DS really has a much more solid line up of games for the next year compared to the nothingness that is the WiiU.
Not me. What killer IP's does it have at launch besides a Mario game? What games do we even have to look forward to that were announced besides Pikmin?
Zelda, Smash Brothers, Metroid? Nope? All will probably end up on the 3DS before the WiiU. The 3DS really has a much more solid line up of games for the next year compared to the nothingness that is the WiiU.